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Spyt, T; Abu-Omar, Y; Fynn, S; Thorpe, B; Stoneman, V PDF

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HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT VOLUME 22 ISSUE 19 APRIL 2018 ISSN 1366-5278 Amaze: a double-blind, multicentre randomised controlled trial to investigate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of adding an ablation device-based maze procedure as an adjunct to routine cardiac surgery for patients with pre-existing atrial fibrillation Linda Sharples, Colin Everett, Jeshika Singh, Christine Mills, Tom Spyt, Yasir Abu-Omar, Simon Fynn, Benjamin Thorpe, Victoria Stoneman, Hester Goddard, Julia Fox-Rushby and Samer Nashef DOI 10.3310/hta22190 Amaze: a double-blind, multicentre randomised controlled trial to investigate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of adding an ablation device-based maze procedure as an adjunct to routine cardiac surgery for patients with pre-existing atrial fibrillation Linda Sharples,1* Colin Everett,2 Jeshika Singh,3 Christine Mills,4 Tom Spyt,5 Yasir Abu-Omar,6 Simon Fynn,6 Benjamin Thorpe,2 Victoria Stoneman,4 Hester Goddard,4 Julia Fox-Rushby7 and Samer Nashef6 1Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK 2Leeds Institute of Clinical Trials Research, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK 3Health Economics Research Group (HERG), Brunel University London, London, UK 4Papworth Trials Unit Collaboration, Papworth Hospital, Cambridge, UK 5Department of Cardiac Surgery, Glenfield Hospital, Leicester, UK 6Department of Cardiology and Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Papworth Hospital, Cambridge, UK 7Department of Population Science, King’s College London, London, UK *Corresponding author Declared competing interests of authors: SamerNashef receivedpersonal expenses from AtriCure, Inc. (Amsterdam, the Netherlands) for contributing to educational courses for surgeonsinterested in learning the mazeprocedure, independently of this study. AtriCure, Inc.is one of several manufacturers of atrial fibrillation ablation devices, the technology of which was used in atrial fibrillation surgery in this study. Published April 2018 DOI: 10.3310/hta22190 This reportshould be referenced as follows: SharplesL, Everett C, Singh J, MillsC, SpytT, Abu-Omar Y,et al.Amaze:adouble-blind, multicentrerandomisedcontrolledtrialtoinvestigatetheclinicaleffectivenessand cost-effectivenessofaddinganablationdevice-basedmazeprocedureasanadjuncttoroutine cardiacsurgeryforpatientswithpre-existingatrialfibrillation.HealthTechnolAssess2018;22(19). HealthTechnology Assessment isindexed and abstracted in IndexMedicus/MEDLINE, Excerpta Medica/EMBASE, ScienceCitation Index Expanded (SciSearch®) andCurrent Contents®/ Clinical Medicine. Health Technology Assessment HTA/HTATAR ISSN1366-5278(Print) ISSN2046-4924(Online) Impactfactor:4.236 HealthTechnologyAssessmentisindexedinMEDLINE,CINAHL,EMBASE,TheCochraneLibraryandtheClarivateAnalyticsScienceCitation Index. ThisjournalisamemberofandsubscribestotheprinciplesoftheCommitteeonPublicationEthics(COPE)(www.publicationethics.org/). Editorialcontact:[email protected] ThefullHTAarchiveisfreelyavailabletoviewonlineatwww.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk/hta.Print-on-demandcopiescanbepurchasedfromthe reportpagesoftheNIHRJournalsLibrarywebsite:www.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk CriteriaforinclusionintheHealthTechnologyAssessmentjournal ReportsarepublishedinHealthTechnologyAssessment(HTA)if(1)theyhaveresultedfromworkfortheHTAprogramme,and(2)they areofasufficientlyhighscientificqualityasassessedbythereviewersandeditors. ReviewsinHealthTechnologyAssessmentaretermed‘systematic’whentheaccountofthesearchappraisalandsynthesismethods(to minimisebiasesandrandomerrors)would,intheory,permitthereplicationofthereviewbyothers. HTAprogramme TheHTAprogramme,partoftheNationalInstituteforHealthResearch(NIHR),wassetupin1993.Itproduceshigh-qualityresearch informationontheeffectiveness,costsandbroaderimpactofhealthtechnologiesforthosewhouse,manageandprovidecareintheNHS. ‘Healthtechnologies’arebroadlydefinedasallinterventionsusedtopromotehealth,preventandtreatdisease,andimproverehabilitation andlong-termcare. ThejournalisindexedinNHSEvidenceviaitsabstractsincludedinMEDLINEanditsTechnologyAssessmentReportsinformNationalInstitute forHealthandCareExcellence(NICE)guidance.HTAresearchisalsoanimportantsourceofevidenceforNationalScreeningCommittee(NSC) policydecisions. FormoreinformationabouttheHTAprogrammepleasevisitthewebsite:http://www.nets.nihr.ac.uk/programmes/hta Thisreport TheresearchreportedinthisissueofthejournalwasfundedbytheHTAprogrammeasprojectnumber07/01/34.Thecontractualstartdate wasinSeptember2008.ThedraftreportbeganeditorialreviewinJanuary2017andwasacceptedforpublicationinAugust2017.The authorshavebeenwhollyresponsibleforalldatacollection,analysisandinterpretation,andforwritinguptheirwork.TheHTAeditorsand publisherhavetriedtoensuretheaccuracyoftheauthors’reportandwouldliketothankthereviewersfortheirconstructivecommentson thedraftdocument.However,theydonotacceptliabilityfordamagesorlossesarisingfrommaterialpublishedinthisreport. ThisreportpresentsindependentresearchfundedbytheNationalInstituteforHealthResearch(NIHR).Theviewsandopinionsexpressedby authorsinthispublicationarethoseoftheauthorsanddonotnecessarilyreflectthoseoftheNHS,theNIHR,NETSCC,theHTAprogramme ortheDepartmentofHealthandSocialCare.Ifthereareverbatimquotationsincludedinthispublicationtheviewsandopinionsexpressedby theintervieweesarethoseoftheintervieweesanddonotnecessarilyreflectthoseoftheauthors,thoseoftheNHS,theNIHR,NETSCC,the HTAprogrammeortheDepartmentofHealthandSocialCare. ©Queen’sPrinterandControllerofHMSO2018.ThisworkwasproducedbySharplesetal.underthetermsofacommissioning contractissuedbytheSecretaryofStateforHealthandSocialCare.Thisissuemaybefreelyreproducedforthepurposesof privateresearchandstudyandextracts(orindeed,thefullreport)maybeincludedinprofessionaljournalsprovidedthat suitableacknowledgementismadeandthereproductionisnotassociatedwithanyformofadvertising.Applicationsfor commercialreproductionshouldbeaddressedto:NIHRJournalsLibrary,NationalInstituteforHealthResearch,Evaluation,Trials andStudiesCoordinatingCentre,AlphaHouse,UniversityofSouthamptonSciencePark,SouthamptonSO167NS,UK. PublishedbytheNIHRJournalsLibrary(www.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk),producedbyPrepressProjectsLtd,Perth,Scotland (www.prepress-projects.co.uk). Health Technology Assessment Editor-in-Chief Professor Hywel Williams Director, HTA Programme, UK and Foundation Professor and Co-Director of the Centre of Evidence-Based Dermatology, University of Nottingham, UK NIHR Journals Library Editor-in-Chief Professor Tom Walley Director, NIHR Evaluation, Trials and Studies and Director of the EME Programme, UK NIHR Journals Library Editors Professor Ken Stein Chair of HTA and EME Editorial Board and Professor of Public Health, University of Exeter Medical School, UK Professor Andrée Le May Chair of NIHR Journals Library Editorial Group (HS&DR, PGfAR, PHR journals) Dr Martin Ashton-Key Consultant in Public Health Medicine/Consultant Advisor, NETSCC, UK Professor Matthias Beck Professor of Management, Cork University Business School, Department of Management and Marketing, University College Cork, Ireland Dr Tessa Crilly Director, Crystal Blue Consulting Ltd, UK Dr Eugenia Cronin Senior Scientific Advisor, Wessex Institute, UK Dr Peter Davidson Director of the NIHR Dissemination Centre, University of Southampton, UK Ms Tara Lamont Scientific Advisor, NETSCC, UK Dr Catriona McDaid Senior Research Fellow, York Trials Unit, Department of Health Sciences, University of York, UK Professor William McGuire Professor of Child Health, Hull York Medical School, University of York, UK Professor Geoffrey Meads Professor of Wellbeing Research, University of Winchester, UK Professor John Norrie Chair in Medical Statistics, University of Edinburgh, UK Professor John Powell Consultant Clinical Adviser, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), UK Professor James Raftery Professor of Health Technology Assessment, Wessex Institute, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, UK Dr Rob Riemsma Reviews Manager, Kleijnen Systematic Reviews Ltd, UK Professor Helen Roberts Professor of Child Health Research, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, UK Professor Jonathan Ross Professor of Sexual Health and HIV, University Hospital Birmingham, UK Professor Helen Snooks Professor of Health Services Research, Institute of Life Science, College of Medicine, Swansea University, UK Professor Jim Thornton Professor of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, UK Professor Martin Underwood Director, Warwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, UK Please visit the website for a list of members of the NIHR Journals Library Board: www.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk/about/editors Editorial contact: [email protected] NIHRJournalsLibrary www.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk DOI:10.3310/hta22190 HEALTHTECHNOLOGYASSESSMENT2018 VOL.22 NO.19 Abstract Amaze: a double-blind, multicentre randomised controlled trial to investigate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of adding an ablation device-based maze procedure as an adjunct to routine cardiac surgery for patients with pre-existing atrial fibrillation Linda Sharples,1* Colin Everett,2 Jeshika Singh,3 Christine Mills,4 Tom Spyt,5 Yasir Abu-Omar,6 Simon Fynn,6 Benjamin Thorpe,2 Victoria Stoneman,4 Hester Goddard,4 Julia Fox-Rushby7 and Samer Nashef6 1Department of Medical Statistics, London School ofHygiene &Tropical Medicine, London,UK 2Leeds Institute ofClinical Trials Research, University ofLeeds, Leeds, UK 3HealthEconomicsResearchGroup(HERG),BrunelUniversityLondon,London,UK 4Papworth Trials Unit Collaboration, Papworth Hospital, Cambridge, UK 5Department of Cardiac Surgery,Glenfield Hospital, Leicester, UK 6Department of Cardiology andDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Papworth Hospital, Cambridge, UK 7Department of Population Science, King’s College London, London, UK *Corresponding author [email protected] Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) can betreated using amaze procedureduring planned cardiac surgery, but theeffect onclinical patient outcomes, and the cost-effectiveness compared withsurgery alone, are uncertain. Objectives: To determine whether or not themaze procedure issafe, improves clinical and patient outcomes and iscost-effective for theNHS in patients with AF. Design: Multicentre, Phase III, pragmatic, double-blind, parallel-arm randomised controlled trial. Patients were randomised on a1:1 basis usingrandom permuted blocks, stratified for surgeon and planned procedure. Setting: Eleven acute NHS specialist cardiac surgical centres. Participants: Patients aged ≥18 years, scheduledfor elective or in-house urgent cardiac surgery, witha documented history (>3 months) of AF. Interventions: Routine cardiac surgery withor without an adjunct mazeprocedure administered by anAF ablation device. Main outcome measures:The primary outcomes were return to sinus rhythm (SR) at 12 months and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) over2 years after randomisation. Secondary outcomes included return to SR at 2years, overall and stroke-free survival, drug use, quality of life (QoL), cost-effectiveness and safety. ©Queen’sPrinterandControllerofHMSO2018.ThisworkwasproducedbySharplesetal.underthetermsofacommissioningcontractissuedbytheSecretaryofStatefor HealthandSocialCare.Thisissuemaybefreelyreproducedforthepurposesofprivateresearchandstudyandextracts(orindeed,thefullreport)maybeincludedinprofessional vii journalsprovidedthatsuitableacknowledgementismadeandthereproductionisnotassociatedwithanyformofadvertising.Applicationsforcommercialreproductionshould beaddressedto:NIHRJournalsLibrary,NationalInstituteforHealthResearch,Evaluation,TrialsandStudiesCoordinatingCentre,AlphaHouse,UniversityofSouthamptonScience Park,SouthamptonSO167NS,UK. ABSTRACT Results: Between25February2009and6March2014,352patientswererandomisedtothecontrol (n=176)orexperimental(n=176)arms.Theoddsratio(OR)forreturntoSRat12monthswas2.06 [95%confidenceinterval(CI)1.20to3.54;p=0.0091].Themeandifference(95%CI)inQALYsat2years betweenthetwotrialarms(maze/control)was–0.025(95%CI0.129to0.078;p=0.6319).TheORfor SRat2yearswas3.24(95%CI1.76to5.96).Thenumberofpatientsrequiringanticoagulantdruguse wassignificantlylowerinthemazearmfrom6monthsaftertheprocedure.Therewerenosignificant differencesbetweenthetwoarmsinoperativeoroverallsurvival,stroke-freesurvival,needforcardioversion orpermanentpacemakerimplants,NewYorkHeartAssociationFunctionalClassification(forheartfailure), EuroQol-5Dimensions,three-levelversionscoreandShortFormquestionnaire-36itemsscoreatanytime point.Sixtypercentofpatientsineachtrialarmhadaseriousadverseevent(p=1.000);mosteventswere mild,but71patients(42.5%)inthemazearmand84patients(45.5%)inthecontrolarmhadmoderately severeevents;31patients(18.6%)inthemazearmand38patients(20.5%)inthecontrolarmhadsevere events.Themeanadditionalcostofthemazeprocedurewas£3533(95%CI£1321to£5746);themean differenceinQALYswas–0.022(95%CI–0.1231to0.0791).Themazeprocedurewasnotcost-effective at£30,000perQALYover2yearsinanyanalysis.Inasmallsubstudy,theactiveleftatrialejectionfraction wassmallerthanthatofthecontrolpatients(meandifferenceof–8.03,95%CI–12.43to–3.62),but withinthepredefinedclinicallyequivalentrange. Limitations: Low recruitment, early release of trial summaries andintermittent resource-use collection may have introduced bias and imprecise estimates. Conclusions: Ablation can be practised safely in routine NHS cardiac surgical settings and increases return to SRrates, but notsurvival or QoL upto 2years after surgery. Lower anticoagulant drug useand recovery of leftatrial function support anticoagulant drug withdrawal provided that goodatrial function is confirmed. Further work: Continued follow-up and long-term clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness analysis. Comparison of ablation methods. Trial registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN82731440. Funding: This project was funded bythe NIHR Health Technology Assessment programme and willbe published in full in HealthTechnology Assessment; Vol. 22,No. 19.See theNIHR Journals Library website for further project information. viii NIHRJournalsLibrary www.journalslibrary.nihr.ac.uk

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failure or cause heart failure; treatment of AF and its consequences is expensive alternative imputation model was fitted, in which each test and health-care visit Mann DL, Zipes DP, Libby P, Bonow RO, Braunwald E. Braunwald's Heart Disease: A Textbook of .. White IR, Royston P, Wood AM.
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