Why Rural Matters 2007: The Realities of Rural Education Growth Jerry Johnson, Ed.D, Research and Analysis Unit Manager Marty Strange, Policy Director Rural School and Community Trust A Report of the Rural School and Community Trust Policy Program October 2007 Why Rural Matters 2007: The Realities of Rural Education Growth Jerry Johnson, Ed.D, Research and Analysis Unit Manager Marty Strange, Policy Director Rural School and Community Trust A report of the Rural School and Community Trust Policy Program October 2007 ABOUTTHERURALSCHOOLANDCOMMUNITYTRUST The RuralSchoolandCommunity Trustthe leadingnationalnonprofitorganization addressingthe crucialrelationshipbetween goodschoolsandthrivingcommunities. Our mission istohelpruralschoolsandcommunitiesgetbetter together.Workingin some ofthe poorest,mostchallengingplaces,the RuralTrustinvolvesyoungpeople in learninglinkedtotheir communities,improvesthe quality ofteachingandschool leadership,andadvocatesin avariety ofwaysfor appropriate state educationalpoli- cies,includingthe key issue ofequitable andadequate fundingfor ruralschools. WhyRuralMatters2007:TheRealitiesofRuralEducationGrowth © 2007by the RuralSchoolandCommunity Trust Allrightsreserved. Printedin the UnitedStatesofAmerica. Publication ofthisreportisfundedin partby the AnnenbergFoundation. Editor:Alison Yaunches Exceptaspermittedunder the UnitedStatesCopyrightActof1976,nopartofthis publication may be reproducedor distributedin any formor bany means,or stored in adatabase retrievalsystemwithoutprior permission ofthe publisher. ORDERINGINFORMATION Toorder ahardcopy ofthispublication for $20,please contactthe RuralSchooland Community Trustat: Telephone:(703)243-1487 Fax:(703)243-6035 Email:[email protected] Or order itonline atwww.ruraledu.org/store. Apdfversion isavailable withfree registration atthe RuralSchoolandCommunity Trust’swebsite:www.ruraledu.org/whyruralmatters. Contents ExecutiveSummary........................................................................................................i Report Methodology: Gauging Rural Education...............................................................................i Report Highlights...............................................................................................................................iii Other Report Highlights.....................................................................................................................iv DataPresentationandAnalysis Introduction...................................................................................................................1 Gauging Rural Education in the 50 States.......................................................................................1 Results............................................................................................................................4 Importance Gauge...............................................................................................................................5 Socioeconomic Challenges Gauge.....................................................................................................7 Student Diversity Gauge...................................................................................................................10 Policy Context Gauge.......................................................................................................................13 Outcomes Gauge...............................................................................................................................16 Rural Education Priority Gauge.......................................................................................................18 Discussion.....................................................................................................................21 Notes on Report Methodology........................................................................................................21 Top Ranking States...........................................................................................................................23 Meeting the Needs of Rural ELL Populations................................................................................25 Beating the Odds: Measuring the Gap between Socioeconomic Challenges and Educational Outcomes..............................................................................................................27 Making Things Better or Making Things Worse: Investigating the Relationships between Achievement Gaps and Educational Policy Variables....................................................28 PolicyImplications.......................................................................................................31 MapsofStateRankings..............................................................................................35 State-by-StateResults(alphabetical by state)..............................................................41 Indicators(rankings of all 50 states on each indicator) Importance Gauge Indicators...........................................................................................................91 Socioeconomic Challenges Gauge Indicators.................................................................................96 Student Diversity Gauge Indicators...............................................................................................101 Policy Context Gauge Indicators...................................................................................................106 Outcomes Gauge Indicators...........................................................................................................111 Executive Summary Why Rural Mattersisthe fourthin aseriesofbiennialreportsanalyzingthe importance ofrural education in eachofthe 50statesandcallingattention tothe urgency withwhichpolicymakers in eachstate shouldaddressruraleducation issues. Report Methodology: Gauging Rural Education We framedthisreportaroundfive gaugesmeasuring:(1)the Importanceofruraleducation,(2) the levelofSocioeconomic Challengesknown tobe barrierstoacademicachievementfacedby ruralschools,(3)the levelofStudent Diversityamongruralstudents,(4)the ruraleducational Policy Context,and(5)the educationalOutcomes ofruralstudentsin eachstate.Eachgauge is comprisedofseveralequally weightedindicators—23indicatorsin all—the largestnumber of indicatorsandgaugeswe have usedtodate. The higher the rankingon agauge,the more importantor the more urgentruraleducation mattersare in thatstate. We then combinedthe five gauge rankings,computingan overallrankingcalledthe Rural Education Priority Gauge toprioritize statesaccordingtothe overallstatusofruraleducation in eachstate. Importance Sixofthe 13stateswhere ruraleducation ismostimportanttothe overalleducationalperform- ance ofthe state are locatedin the Prairie/Plainsregion (SouthDakota,Oklahoma,Montana, NorthDakota,Iowa,andKansas).The restofthe 13are in Northern NewEngland(Maine and Vermont),the Southeast(NorthCarolina),the Mid-SouthDelta(MississippiandAlabama),the Far West(Alaska),andCentralAppalachia(Kentucky). Rural education is predominant in small states where there are no large cities, but also rela- tively few rural students. The states with the most rural students are heavily urbanized, and rural students, though large in number, constitute a small minority.The ten stateswiththe highestpercentagesofruralstudentshave acombinedruralenrollmentofnearly 1.9million— about45%ofthe totalstudentenrollmentin those states,butonly about19%ofthe totalrural enrollmentin the U.S.On the other hand,more than halfofallruralstudentsattendschoolin 12 stateswhere they are amuchsmaller minority,includingsome ofthe nation’smostpopulousand mosturban states:Texas,California,Ohio,Michigan,NewYork,andFlorida. SocioeconomicChallenges Socioeconomicchallenges,suchasthe percentage ofstudentseligible for free or reduced-price mealsor the adultunemploymentrate,presentthe mostpersistentthreatstohighlevelsofstu- dentachievement.Eightofthe 13statesfacingthe worstruralsocioeconomicchallengesare locatedin the SoutheastandMid-SouthDelta(Mississippi,Louisiana,SouthCarolina,Alabama, Tennessee,Arkansas,NorthCarolina,andGeorgia).Other regionsrepresentedin the top13are CentralAppalachia(Kentucky andWestVirginia)andthe Southwest(NewMexico,Oklahoma, andArizona). StudentDiversity Publicschoolsdonothave agoodtrackrecordin meetingthe needsofdiverse studentpopula- tions.Agreatdealofdiversity amongruralstudentsindicatesbothachallenge andan opportu- nity for astate tocontribute toclosingthe many nationalachievementgaps.Four ofthe 12 statesin whichattention toruralstudentdiversity ismostcrucialare locatedin the Southwest (Arizona,NewMexico,Oklahoma,andTexas),andanother four are in the Southeast(Florida, NorthCarolina,SouthCarolina,andGeorgia).The remainingstatesare scatteredin different regions:the Northwest(Oregon),the Midwest/GreatLakes(Illinois),andthe Far West(California andAlaska). PolicyContext Characteristicsofthe publicschoolingsystemthatare driven by policy decisions—suchasinstruc- tionalexpendituresper pupilor the size ofschoolsanddistricts—are often closely relatedto studentachievementandoverallstudentwell-being.Four ofthe statesin whichthe policy con- textisleastconducive toruraleducationalachievementare locatedin the Southeast(Louisiana, Florida,Alabama,andMississippi).Three othersare allor partly in the CentralAppalachian Region (Kentucky,Virginia,andOhio).The remainingtop13statesare scatteredacrossseveralregions: the Southwest(Arizona),the Midwest(IllinoisandMissouri),the West(UtahandIdaho),andthe GreatPlains(NorthDakota). Outcomes Studentacademicachievementoutcomes—suchasperformance on nationalassessments or schools’successin graduatingstudents—illustrate the urgency withwhichpolicymakers shouldapproachimprovingruralschools.Seven ofthe 13stateswiththe pooresteducational outcomesare locatedin the SoutheastandMid-SouthDelta(Alabama,Mississippi,Georgia, SouthCarolina,Louisiana,Tennessee,andNorthCarolina).Twoeachare in the Southwest (ArizonaandNewMexico),CentralAppalachia(Kentucky andWestVirginia),andthe Far West (CaliforniaandHawaii). RuralEducationPriority The statesrankingthe highestoverallare locatedin quintessentially ruralregionsofthe country: the Southeast (NorthCarolina,SouthCarolina,Tennessee,Florida,andGeorgia),the Mid-South Delta(Mississippi,Alabama,andLouisiana),the Southwest (Arizona,NewMexico,andTexas), andCentral Appalachia(Kentucky).Oklahoma,whichbordersthe Mid-SouthDeltaandthe Southwest,isalsoincluded.The lowestrankingstatesare mostly urban stateson the EastCoast andin the GreatLakesRegion. Nostate scoresatthe topon allfive indicators,butthe four highestpriority states(Mississippi, Alabama,Arizona,andNorthCarolina)score the higheston four ofthem. The top priority states have challenging rural populations, few resources, and poor outcomes. Statesidentifiedasthe highestpriority are oneswhose ruralschoolsface more substantialchal- lengesthan ruralschoolsin other states,receive fewer resourcesthan others,andproduce less than othersin termsofstudenteducationaloutcomes.Poverty,fiscalincapacity,lowlevelsof adulteducation,andlowlevelsofstudentachievementrun in the same mutually reinforcing circlesin these states,many ofwhichare asfiscally challengedastheir citizensandschools. Rural students in urban states are out of sight, out of mind. The stateswhere ruraleducation is mostnotably underperforming(thatis,the state’sperformance ranksworse than itssocio- economicchallengeswouldsuggestitshould)are predominantly non-ruralstateson the Eastor Westcoastwhere the ruralpopulation is“outofsight,outofmind,” including,amongothers, CaliforniaandMaryland. ii WHY RURAL MATTERS 2007 Major Report Highlights (cid:2) Ruralstudentenrollmentisincreasingbothabsolutelyandasapercentageofthe nationalstudentenrollment(seepage1). Between 2002-03and2004-05,ruralschoolenrollmentgainedwhile non-ruralschoolenroll- mentdeclined: • Overallpublicschoolenrollmentin the U.S.increasedby about602,000students,or 1%. • Enrollmentin ruralschools(those in communitieswithapopulation under 2,500) increased by over 1,339,000 (or 15%). • Enrollmentfor schoolsin communitiesofgreater than 2,500decreased by over 738,000or 2%. For consistency,the above comparisonsuse categoriesfromthe locale code systemfirstdeveloped in the 1980sby the NationalCenter for Education Statistics(NCES).However,in 2006,NCES releasedanewlocale code systemthatincorporatesgeospatialelements—e.g.,distance from urban areas—in an efforttooffer greater precision.We use thisnewlocale code systemtodefine ruralschoolsanddistrictsfor Why Rural Matters 2007. Usingthe newlocale code system,in 2006,there were 9,974,462studentsattending26,390 schoolsin U.S.communitiesofunder 2,500,accountingfor 22%ofU.S.publicschoolenroll- ment.Nationally,29%ofpublicschoolstudentsattendedschoolin communitiesoffewer than 25,000people.Meetingthe needsofnearly ten million ruralchildren isachallenge thatisworthy ofsociety’sattention. (cid:2) ThehighestpriorityruraleducationregionsaretheSouthwest,Southeast, Mid-SouthDelta,andAppalachia(seepages18-20). Poverty,fiscalincapacity,lowlevelsofadulteducation,andlowlevelsofstudentachievementrun in the same mutually reinforcingcirclesin statesin these regions,many ofwhichare asfiscally challengedastheir citizensandschools.Ofthe 23indicatorsusedin thisreport,the onesmost closely associatedwiththe overallpriority state rankingare (in order ofcorrelation strength): 1.Percentage ofruralfamiliesin poverty 2.Percentage ofruralstudentseligible for free or reducedmeals 3.RuralNAEPreadingscore 4.Ruralmedian householdincome 5.RuralNAEPmathscore 6.Percentage ofruraladultswithahighschooldiploma 7.Ruralinstructionalexpendituresper pupil (cid:2) Ruraleducationpolicymakersfacefourrealities(seepages28-30). Significantresultsfromstatisticalcorrelationsbetween state rankingson the five gaugesusedin thisreportsuggestthe followingrealities: 1.The more ruralthe state,the more severe the ruralsocioeconomicchallenges. 2.The poorer astate’sruralpopulation, a. The worse the ruraleducationaloutcomes. b. The worse the ruraleducationalpolicy context. 3.The more racially andethnically diverse astate’sruralpopulation, a. The more severe the ruralsocioeconomicchallenges. b. The worse the ruraleducationaloutcomes. c. The worse the ruraleducationalpolicy context. 4.The worse the policy context,the worse the ruraleducationaloutcomes. WHY RURAL MATTERS 2007 iii (cid:2) Inlowachievingstates,policiesaremakingthingsworse,notbetter. Researchsuggeststhatstatesservinghigher percentagesofstudentswhoare poor or have limited Englishlanguage skillswillhave toinvestadditionalresourcestoenable their studentstoreach the same levelofachievementasother states.Researchalsodemonstratesthatpoor andminority studentsderive substantialachievementbenefitsfromattendingsmaller schoolsanddistricts.But the actualpatternswe findin ruralAmericaare exactly the opposite.Asexpected,the states where the educationaloutcomesin ruralschoolsrequire the mosturgentattention are the states withthe mostimpoverished,minority,andELLruralstudents.They are alsothe stateswhere schoolsreceive the fewestresourcesandwhere studentsattendthe largestschoolsanddistricts. Other Report Highlights (cid:2) Manystateshaveseenadramaticchangeinthedemographicmakeupoftheir studentpopulationinthepastdecade(seepage11). Stateswhere the demographicmakeupofthe studentpopulation haschangedmostdramatically in the pastten yearsare alsoamongthe stateswiththe smallestruralminority enrollmentsin the nation (the topten—NewHampshire,Iowa,Illinois,Missouri,Vermont,Pennsylvania,Nebraska, Maine,Kansas,andUtah—together serve justover 100,000ruralminority students).Their average percentage increase is124%.While the size ofthe ruralminority population in these statesisnot large,the rapidrate ofchange suggeststhatschoolsmightnotbe preparedtomeetthe needsof studentswithdifferentbackgrounds. Substantialincreasesin the number ofruralminority studentsare notlimitedtostateswithsmall ruralminority enrollments,however.Nationally,the percentincrease isabout55%,andstates suchasTexas,California,andNorthCarolina—eachrankingnear the topin termsofnumber and/or percentruralminority enrollment—showincreasesofmore than 50%. (cid:2) RuralschoolsaremostraciallyandethnicallydiverseintheSoutheastand Southwest(seepage10). In five states(Hawaii,NewMexico,Alaska,Arizona,andCalifornia),there isnoracialor ethnic majority groupin ruralschools.Minority studentsmake up25%or more ofthe studentpopula- tion in 11other states(in descendingorder,Mississippi,SouthCarolina,Texas,Oklahoma, Louisiana,NorthCarolina,Georgia,Delaware,Florida,Alabama,andVirginia)andthese states serve 80%ofallruralminority studentsin the U.S. The mostdiverse ruralstudentpopulationsare concentratedin stateswhere ruraleducation isnot likely tobe aprimary policy focus.Many ofthe statesthatrankhighestoverallon the Diversity Gauge are larger stateswithlowpercentageruralpopulationsbuthighnumbersofruralpeople, andfive ofthe mostdiverse statesrankin the bottomhalfofthe Importance Gauge—Texas, Florida,California,Illinois,andOregon.Given the limitedpolicy effortstomeetthe needsof diverse studentpopulationsin any setting,providingappropriate servicestoruralminority studentsin these statescouldprove doubly challenging. (cid:2) RuralEnglishLanguageLearnersaremostprevalentintheWest(seepage11). In bothNewMexicoandAlaska,aboutone in three ruralstudentsqualifiesfor ELLservices;in ArizonaandCalifornia,one in five.The highestrankingstate eastofthe MississippiRiver isNorth Carolina,withjustover 5%(or one in 20)ofstudentsqualifyingfor ELLservices. iv WHY RURAL MATTERS 2007 (cid:2) RuralinstructionalexpendituresperpupilarelowestinSouthernstates,where ruralschoolsfaceseveresocio-economicchallenges(seepages13-14,9). Instructionalexpendituresper pupilrange from$3,600in ruralOklahomatomore than $7,900in ruralNewYork.Seven other statesjoin Oklahomain spendinglessthan $4,000per pupilfor instruction in ruralschools:Mississippi($3,688),Arkansas($3,790),Alabama($3,793),Tennessee ($3,856),Arizona($3,925),Idaho($3,925),andUtah($3,994).Significantly,nine ofthe 13top ratedstateson the SocioeconomicChallengesgauge are amongthe 13stateswiththe lowestper pupilinstructionalfunding:Mississippi,Kentucky,SouthCarolina,Alabama,Tennessee,Arkansas, NorthCarolina,Arizona,andOklahoma.Thatthese statesserve the mostimpoverishedrural schoolsandcommunitiesin the nation,andthatthey dosowithfewer resources,suggestsa disturbingpattern in whichthe distribution ofresourcesappearstobe compoundingalready challengingcircumstances. (cid:2) Lowruralteachersalariesdominateinthenation’sheartland(seepage14). The 13stateswiththe lowestspendingon instructionalsalariesare in contiguousstatesin the Heartland,fromCanadatothe GulfofMexico,includingMontana,NorthDakota,South Dakota,Nebraska,Iowa,Kansas,Missouri,Oklahoma,Arkansas,Louisiana,Mississippi,Alabama, andTennessee. (cid:2) BigschoolsinbigdistrictsdominateinSoutheasternstatesknownforconsoli- datedcountywideschooldistrictsandregionalhighschools(seepage14). The 13stateswiththe largestschoolsin the largestdistrictsare locatedin or adjacenttothe SoutheastRegion:(in order)Maryland,NorthCarolina,Florida,Georgia,SouthCarolina,Alabama, Tennessee,Virginia,Louisiana,Delaware,Mississippi,Kentucky,andWestVirginia.Stateswiththe smallestschoolsanddistrictsare mostly in the GreatPlainsandthe West—stateswithmostly local independentschooldistricts. (cid:2) Thepoorerandmorediversetheruralstudentpopulation,thelowertherural NAEPscores(seepages16-17,9,12). Twelve stateshave the lowestaverage scoreson boththe mathandreadingNAEPtestfor rural schools.They are locatedprimarily in the Southwest,the Southeast,andCentralAppalachia (Alabama,Arizona,Arkansas,Georgia,Hawaii,Louisiana,Mississippi,Nevada,NewMexico,Okla- homa,Tennessee,andWestVirginia).These statesalsohave highsocioeconomicchallengesand studentdiversity,showingastrongcorrelation between these factorsandlowruralNAEPscores. (cid:2) GraduationratesarelowestinstatesmostlyintheSoutheast,butsomestates withthehighestoverallgraduationratesalsohadthelargest“graduationgaps” betweenwhiteandminoritystudents(seepage17). Ruralgraduation ratesare below70%in ten states,mostly in the Southeast:Alabama,Alaska, Arizona,Delaware,Florida,Georgia,Mississippi,NorthCarolina,SouthCarolina,andTennessee. SouthCarolinaleadsthe nation withthe lowestrate at55%. In sixstates,lessthan halfofallminority studentsin an 8thgrade cohortgraduatedfromhigh schoolfive yearslater (Nebraska,SouthDakota,Iowa,Delaware,Georgia,andIndiana).In ten other states,the graduation rate amongruralminority studentswaslessthan 60%(Nevada, Kansas,Oregon,Wyoming,NorthCarolina,Utah,Connecticut,Missouri,Alaska,andAlabama). WHY RURAL MATTERS 2007 v Some ofthe statesthatproducedthe highestoverallruralgraduation rateshadthe largestgaps in graduation ratesbetween white andminority students(e.g.,Nebraska,SouthDakota,Iowa, Utah,Wyoming).In these states,avery highpercentage ofruralminority studentsare Native American or Hispanic. (cid:2) Thepoorestruralpopulationsareinthepooreststatesleastabletoaffordthe costofanadequateeducation(seepages23and31). Unfortunately,over $12billion in federalaidthroughTitle Iofthe Elementary andSecondary Education Act(ESEA)intendedtohelpschoolscombatthe effectsofpoverty isdistributed throughformulasthatsystematically discriminate againstsmall,high-poverty schooldistricts. Congressshouldeliminate thatbiasandalsoconsider apilotprogramunder Title IIofESEAthat takesamore targetedapproachtoteacher improvementin some ofthe very poorestruralschools in the poorestruralregions. (cid:2) AsruralAmericagrowsincreasinglydiverse,theneedforadequateresourcesand supportivepolicyenvironmentstomeettheneedsofEnglishLanguageLearner (ELL)studentsgrowsevermoreimportant(seepages25-27). Nearly one-halfofallELLstudentslive in ruralcommunities,andthe rate ofgrowthofthis population isvery high.Butthe growthin ELLstudentpopulationsisruralareasisnotspread uniformly acrossstates,within states,or even within schooldistricts.Regionally,the fastest growth(in termsofbothactualgrowthandpercentage growth)occurredin the southeastern U.S (see pages31-32). Ruralschoolsservingproportionally larger ELLstudentpopulations,on average,face higher concentrationsoftraditionalbarrierstoeducationalachievementthan dotheir counterparts servingfewer ELLstudents.In many states,higher percentagesofELLstudentsare associated withhigher levelsofpoverty amongallstudents. In consideringpolicy implications,the limitedleveloffundingavailable toruraldistrictsserving ELLstudentsismostpressingbecause itdirectly impactsmany other areasofconcern (e.g., teacher recruitmentandretention,professionaldevelopment)andbecause itisindicative ofthe waysin whichpolicy contextscan workagainstpubliceducation in ruralsettings. In the 2002-03schoolyear,the mostrecentdatayear available,federaldollarsfor bilingual education amountedtolessthan $51per ELLstudent,andmostofthatwasin the formofcom- petitive grantsthatmany ruraldistrictsdidnothave the capacity tocompete for.Amongdistricts enrollingatleast100ELLstudents,only 36%receivedfederalELLfunding. Only nine states(Arkansas,Colorado,Florida,Maryland,Michigan,NorthDakota,NewJersey, Virginia,andWashington)reportedprovidingcategoricalfundstoruralschooldistrictsfor ELL programsin the 2002-03schoolyear,rangingfrom$1,716per ruralELLstudentin Floridato $20per ruralELLstudentin Michigan.Some other statestake intoaccountthe additionalcosts ofELLprogramsby allocatingresourcesbasedon weightedstudentenrollmentcounts. vi WHY RURAL MATTERS 2007
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