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„Walk to Beijing‟ – A mixed methods evaluation of a financial incentive scheme aimed at encouraging physical activity participation in Sandwell, West Midlands. Gemma Louise Hurst A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirement of Staffordshire University for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy May 2013 Acknowledgements Firstly, I would like extend my sincere gratitude to my PhD supervisors for their continued guidance, support and encouragement throughout the completion of this research: to Dr. Christopher Gidlow for your perseverance in getting me to the finish line; to Professor Sarah Grogan for your encouragement, ability to always highlight the positives and qualitative expertise; and to Professor David Clark-Carter for your continued support and statistical expertise. I would also like to thank my original principal supervisor, Professor Rachel Davey, now at the University of Canberra, Australia, for your faith in my ability and offering me this PhD position. Secondly, I would like to thank everyone in Sandwell PCT‘s Physical Activity Team, especially Dene Stevens and Lindsay Manford. This gratitude is also extended to the health assessors who were instrumental in delivering the Walk to Beijing intervention. Special thanks are also reserved for those who took part in the Walk to Beijing intervention. Thirdly, thank you to Staffordshire University, the Centre for Sport, Health and Exercise Research and the Centre for Health Psychology for the continued and extended support. Special thanks also go to my fellow PhD students, colleagues and friends, especially: Naomi - I couldn‘t have got through the early years without you; Phil - you kept me sane(ish) throughout; and Dan - I couldn‘t have finished it without you. Finally, I would like to say thank you to my family, for their continued and unwavering support, with particular thanks going to Charlotte and Tim for keeping me fed and watered during the final few months. i Contents Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................ i Contents ............................................................................................................................ ii Abstract .......................................................................................................................... viii List of Tables.................................................................................................................... ix List of Figures ................................................................................................................. xii List of Appendices .......................................................................................................... xv List of Presentations ....................................................................................................... xvi List of Acronyms ......................................................................................................... xviii Glossary ......................................................................................................................... xix 1 Chapter 1: Introduction ......................................................................................... 1 1.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Physical Activity and Public Health ................................................................. 1 1.3 Defining Key Terms .......................................................................................... 2 1.4 Physical Activity Recommendations ................................................................ 4 1.5 Prevalence and Impact of Physical Inactivity ................................................... 5 1.6 Policy and Position Statements ......................................................................... 7 1.7 National Physical Activity Interventions .......................................................... 8 1.8 Summary ......................................................................................................... 10 1.9 Aim .................................................................................................................. 11 1.10 Objectives ........................................................................................................ 11 1.11 Outline of Thesis ............................................................................................. 11 2 Chapter 2: Literature Review .............................................................................. 13 2.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 13 2.2 Correlates and Determinants of Physical Activity Behaviour ........................ 13 2.2.1 Personal Characteristics .............................................................................. 14 2.2.2 Environmental and Social Characteristics .................................................. 16 2.3 Physical Activity Promotion ........................................................................... 18 2.3.1 Types of Physical Activity Intervention ..................................................... 18 ii 2.3.2 Interventions to promote Lifestyle Physical Activity ................................. 20 2.3.3 Physical Activity Interventions in Community Settings ............................. 22 2.4 Theoretical Framework: Models of Behaviour Change and Theories of Motivation ................................................................................................................... 22 2.4.1 Stage-Based Theory: The Transtheoretical Model of Behaviour Change .. 23 2.4.2 Attitude-Based Theory: Theory of Planned Behaviour .............................. 27 2.4.3 Control-Based Theories: Social Determination Theory and Cognitive Evaluation Theory ................................................................................................... 29 2.5 Evidence relating to Walk to Beijing Intervention Components .................... 33 2.5.1 Pedometer-based Interventions ................................................................... 34 2.5.2 Health Checks, Health Assessments and Physical Activity Consultations . 35 2.5.3 Brief, Tailored Physical Activity Interventions .......................................... 35 2.5.4 Financial Incentives .................................................................................... 36 2.6 Incentivised Physical Activity Interventions: a Systematic Review ............... 41 2.6.1 Introduction and Review of Methods .......................................................... 41 2.6.2 Results ......................................................................................................... 42 2.6.3 Discussion of Review Findings ................................................................... 62 2.7 Summary ......................................................................................................... 66 3 Chapter 3: Contextualisation and Background to Research ............................ 67 3.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 67 3.2 Profile of Sandwell, West Midlands ............................................................... 67 3.2.1 About Sandwell ........................................................................................... 67 3.2.2 Population Demographics ........................................................................... 68 3.2.3 Ethnicity ...................................................................................................... 70 3.2.4 Deprivation .................................................................................................. 70 3.2.5 Health Profile .............................................................................................. 72 3.2.6 Health Behaviour ........................................................................................ 76 3.3 Walk to Beijing – Background and Rationale................................................. 79 3.4 Overview of the Study Design ........................................................................ 80 3.4.1 Using a Mixed Methods Approach ............................................................. 81 iii 3.4.2 A Quantitative Methodological Approach: Chapter 4 ................................ 84 3.4.3 A Qualitative Methodological Approach: Chapter 5 .................................. 84 3.4.4 A Mixed Methods and Case Study Approach: Chapter 6 ........................... 85 4 Chapter 4: An Outcome Evaluation of the Walk to Beijing Intervention ....... 87 4.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 87 4.2 Methods ........................................................................................................... 87 4.2.1 Design ......................................................................................................... 88 4.2.2 Recruitment ................................................................................................. 89 4.2.3 Participants .................................................................................................. 89 4.2.4 Intervention Procedure ................................................................................ 90 4.2.5 Outcome Measures ...................................................................................... 94 4.2.6 Sample Size Estimates and Power Analysis ............................................. 101 4.3 Results ........................................................................................................... 103 4.3.1 Participant Flow ........................................................................................ 103 4.3.2 Recruitment Mapping................................................................................ 105 4.3.3 Baseline Sample Characteristics ............................................................... 106 4.3.4 Baseline Descriptive Statistics .................................................................. 110 4.3.5 Data Analysis ............................................................................................ 121 4.4 Reasons for Participation .............................................................................. 150 4.5 Attrition ......................................................................................................... 150 4.5.1 Baseline to Three-month Attrition ............................................................ 150 4.5.2 Three-month to Six-month Attrition ......................................................... 155 4.6 Pedometer Output.......................................................................................... 159 4.7 Allocation of Incentives ................................................................................ 160 4.8 Summary ....................................................................................................... 161 5 Chapter 5: A Process Evaluation of the Walk to Beijing Intervention .......... 163 5.1 Introduction ................................................................................................... 163 5.2 Methods ......................................................................................................... 163 5.2.1 Reliability and Validity of Qualitative Research ...................................... 163 5.3 Data Collection Techniques .......................................................................... 165 iv 5.3.1 Semi-Structured Interviews ....................................................................... 165 5.3.2 Focus Groups ............................................................................................ 166 5.3.3 Comparison with Other Qualitative Data Collection Techniques............. 167 5.3.4 Rationale for the Selected Data Collection Method .................................. 169 5.4 Data Analysis: Thematic Analysis ................................................................ 169 5.4.1 The Development of Thematic Analysis................................................... 169 5.4.2 Comparison with other Methods of Qualitative Data Analysis ................ 170 5.4.3 Rationale for the Selected Analysis Method ............................................. 172 5.5 Ethical Considerations .................................................................................. 173 5.5.1 Informed Consent ...................................................................................... 173 5.5.2 Deception .................................................................................................. 174 5.5.3 Anonymity and Confidentiality................................................................. 174 5.5.4 Participant De-Briefing ............................................................................. 174 5.5.5 Withdrawal from the Investigation ........................................................... 174 5.5.6 Protection of Participants .......................................................................... 175 5.5.7 The Right to See Results ........................................................................... 175 5.5.8 Invasion of Privacy ................................................................................... 175 5.6 Process and Methods of Data Collection and Analysis ................................ 176 5.6.1 Setting ....................................................................................................... 176 5.6.2 The Interviewer ......................................................................................... 176 5.6.3 Sampling and Recruitment ........................................................................ 176 5.6.4 Pilot Focus Group Interviews and Semi-structured Interview Schedule Development ......................................................................................................... 177 5.6.5 Procedure................................................................................................... 178 5.6.6 Process of Analysis ................................................................................... 180 5.7 Results and Discussion .................................................................................. 183 5.8 Summary ....................................................................................................... 224 6 Chapter 6: Exploring the Longitudinal Impact of Walk to Beijing Intervention Participation: A Case-study Analysis ................................................. 227 v 6.1 Introduction ................................................................................................... 227 6.2 Methods ......................................................................................................... 227 6.2.1 The Case Study Approach ......................................................................... 227 6.2.2 Interpretative Phenomenological Analysis (IPA) ..................................... 228 6.2.3 Comparison with Other Methods of Qualitative Data Analysis ............... 229 6.2.4 IPA Data Collection Methods ................................................................... 231 6.3 Rationale ....................................................................................................... 232 6.4 Process of Data Collection and Analysis ...................................................... 232 6.4.1 Setting ....................................................................................................... 232 6.4.2 The Health Assessor .................................................................................. 233 6.4.3 The Interviewer ......................................................................................... 233 6.4.4 Sampling and Recruitment ........................................................................ 233 6.4.5 Procedure................................................................................................... 237 6.4.6 Process of Analysis ................................................................................... 238 6.4.7 The Role of the Researcher ....................................................................... 240 6.5 Case Studies .................................................................................................. 240 6.5.1 Case Study One: Kate ............................................................................... 241 6.5.2 Case Study Two; Julia ............................................................................... 257 6.6 Case Study Discussion .................................................................................. 279 6.6.1 Initial Motivation ...................................................................................... 279 6.6.2 Physical Activity and Behaviour Change ................................................. 280 6.6.3 Intervention Outcomes .............................................................................. 281 6.6.4 Impact of Intervention Components.......................................................... 282 6.6.5 Intervention Evaluation ............................................................................. 284 7 Chapter 7: Discussion and Conclusions ............................................................ 286 7.1 Introduction ................................................................................................... 286 7.2 Summary of Findings .................................................................................... 286 7.2.1 Who Took Part? ........................................................................................ 286 7.2.2 Who Dropped Out? ................................................................................... 288 vi 7.3 Evaluation of Objectives ............................................................................... 289 7.4 Strengths and Limitations of this Research ................................................... 305 7.4.1 Strengths .................................................................................................... 306 7.4.2 Methodological Issues and Limitations .................................................... 306 7.5 Future Research ............................................................................................. 310 7.6 Recommendations for Practice ..................................................................... 311 7.6.1 Recommendations: Quantitative Evaluation ............................................. 311 7.6.2 Recommendations: Qualitative Evaluation ............................................... 312 7.6.3 Implementation of Recommendations ...................................................... 313 7.7 The Role of the Researcher ........................................................................... 314 7.8 Researcher‘s Reflections ............................................................................... 315 7.8.1 Introduction ............................................................................................... 315 7.8.2 Reflections: The Outcome Evaluation ...................................................... 316 7.8.3 Reflections: The Process Evaluation and the Case Study Approach ........ 318 7.8.4 Real-world Research and the PhD Journey ............................................... 325 7.9 General Conclusions ..................................................................................... 325 References .................................................................................................................... 327 Appendices ................................................................................................................... 355 vii Abstract Background. The many health benefits of physical activity are well established. In response to the low levels of activity in Sandwell, UK, the ‗Walk to Beijing‘ (WTB) intervention aimed to increase lifestyle physical activity using financial incentives (in combination with a health assessment, pedometer and brief advice). Aim. To examine the benefits of a financial incentive scheme to promote physical activity, specifically walking, in sedentary adults. Methods. A mixed methods evaluation comprised: (1) outcome evaluation employing a pre-post intervention design to measure three- and six- month changes in physical activity, physiological and self-reported health; (2) process evaluation using semi-structured interviews to explore participant experiences, motivations towards physical activity, incentivised health schemes and WTB participation; and (3) mixed methods case-study approach using data at collected at six- and 12-month follow-up to further explore sustainability of behaviour change. Results. Three-month data were available for 1082 participants (64.5% of baseline sample). A statistically significant positive change from baseline to three-month follow-up was observed for stage of change (p<.001, d=.63), which was maintained (but not further improved) at six-months (p<.001, d=.64). Significant three- and six-month improvements were also found in objective (e.g., BMI, waist-hip ratio, waist circumference and blood pressure) and subjective (e.g., EQ-5D, SF12v2 and Theory of Planned Behaviour constructs) measures of health status. At baseline, 41.7% of participants cited the financial incentive as influencing their decision to take part. Qualitative data also identified that the financial incentive was the primary motivator for some, but not all, individuals; other intervention components were also motivators. Conclusion. Data suggested that financial incentives may promote participation in lifestyle physical activity through aiding uptake and sustaining engagement, however, other intervention components were also important. This research is the first to conduct an evaluation of a financial incentive scheme to promote physical activity comprising a combination of quantitative, qualitative and longitudinal case study methods to gain a unique and detailed insight into the area. Important implications for future research and practice were identified. viii List of Tables Table 1. TTM processes of change ................................................................................ 24 Table 2. A summary table presenting study design, participants, type of incentives employed and outcomes measures of the 28 included studies ...................................... 44 Table 3. A summary table presenting intervention design and study outcomes of the 28 included studies ............................................................................................................. 51 Table 4. Age and gender distribution of the Sandwell population ................................ 69 Table 5. Ethnic profile of the Sandwell population....................................................... 70 Table 6. Estimated cases of deaths pre year prevented by physical activity by hypothetical level of physical activity in the population of Sandwell (ages 40-79) ...... 77 Table 7. Criteria for rewards ........................................................................................ 91 Table 8. TTM questionnaire responses and associated stage of change category ....... 95 Table 9. The International classification of adult underweight, overweight and obesity according to BMI. ......................................................................................................... 96 Table 10. World Health Organisation cut-off points and risk of metabolic complications ................................................................................................................ 97 Table 11. Classification of Blood Pressure for Adults 18 years or older ..................... 98 Table 12. Participant Recruitment from each area of Sandwell ................................. 105 Table 13. Summary of baseline sample characteristics of WTB participants............. 107 Table 14. Descriptive statistics for age and gender of participants at baseline ......... 108 Table 15. A summary table of dependent variable measures at baseline ................... 110 Table 16. Number of participants in each stage of change (TTM) pre- and post- intervention (baseline and three-months) ................................................................... 124 Table 17. The BMI Classification, according to WHO (2013), of participants pre- and post-intervention ......................................................................................................... 126 Table 18. Mean WHR of participants at baseline and three-months .......................... 127 Table 19. Mean waist circumference of participants pre- and post intervention (baseline and three-months) ........................................................................................ 128 Table 20. Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure measurements pre- and post- intervention ................................................................................................................. 130 Table 21. Blood pressure classification for participants pre- and post-intervention . 130 Table 22. Means, standard deviations and standard errors for the TPB subscales ... 131 Table 23. SF12v2 physical and mental component scores pre- and post-intervention ..................................................................................................................................... 133 ix

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