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Value Theory and Business Cycles PDF

290 Pages·1933·15.397 MB·English
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VALUE THEORY AND BUSINESS CYCLES bnr ROBERT OWEI\'$ L\BOR TIME ;-';OTF- ;'I;llte. :--:0one on studv Robert Owen's Labor Time Nore of one hundred vc.irs ago "'ithout recognizing at once thJr ir \\.".1; rhc orig in.,1 "T'erhnr.crari: EI'g" so cnthusiasricallv proposed recently by Mr. SCali vnd his TechnocrJtic collc.>gucs .l~ rhe molgic money that would sake thc world's economic ~t)d mone[.1ry problems, set the world to worl, eliminate uncmplovmcnr, and balance production ,md consumption. H:ld [he,· been economists in,(e~d of engineers, rhcv would h.ivc known tn:lt their experiment had been tried before, .1nd [he rcnsons for its fJilure. (Sec"Tullf1')Cf(Jty Smolhei (he Price Svsrr»!" bv How.ird Scott. Harper> M.,g.17.ine, .J~I\. 1933 ) V A L U E !-H E,OR Y , l ,j "1 I, I, •• ', , AND ',,'.': / ' t , BUSINESS CY·CLES'·<".' By HARLAN LINNEUS McCRACKEN, PH.D. ......,...~ Lecturerin Economics University ofMinnesota ---- ~_R_E PAL C 0 S ......-.-s _ ,,.~,.,.,.. '. I .., ... 1..C..'..".._.#~ / --~~ ! . Copyrig'ht) 1933 by Fi\LCOi\ PRESS) INC. PRIJ>;TF.D IN THE UNITED STATES or A:MEkJ(;A BY THE VAIL-BALLOU PH.ESS, I~C., llIl\;GIIAll.iTON, N. s. PREFACE The past t\VO decades have brought forth a vast number of books and articles on business cycles and price movements. I\10st of these treatises have dealt with description, quantitative measurement, causes and cures. The views presented have been highly divergent, and in many instances distinctly contradictory. A partial explanation of this situation would seem to lie in the fact that many have proceeded directly to an analysis and ex planation of price movements and business cycles without recog nizing that these phenomena are definite problems in applied economic theory, especially value theory. It is the purpose of the present study to show the vital relation between business cycle theory and value theory. In fact, the study is intended to contribute quite as definitely to the eco nomics of value as of business cycles. Book I deals with embodied value theory and price move ments. The analysis appears to show that no embodied value theorist can logically explain a business cycle. He either in volves himself in a dual theory of value, a logical inconsistency, or explains nothing but a secular trend. The presentation isquite critical, since it deals, as we believe, withthe "false trails," based upon an erroneous theory of value, formulated by Ricardo, and utilized in a modified form by the Socialists, Anarchists, Green backers, and those affiicted with "Lawism." Book II deals with business cycles in relation to the marginal utility theory of value, as developed by the Austrian School. The "fore-runner" of this theory was T. R. Malthus, who coined the term "Commanded Value." Malthus serves as a logical starting point for the consideration of business cycles, first, because he stressed the importance of "short run" factors, and second, because his value approach was from the demand v vi PREFACE side. Consistent with his theory of value, he held that business might be depressed, either by a voluntary failure of demand on the part of those who had the po\ver but not the will, or by an involuntary failure of demand by those who had the will but not the po\ver. The former is pursued much further by Aftalion in the light of the completed statement of the marjrinal utility theory of value by the Austrians. The latter is presented, though less successfully, we believe, by Foster and Catchings. Fisher and Keynes extend the argument still farther by showing how a failure of demand may result from unstable 1110ney and unsound banking policies. Book III deals directly with the problem of business equili bration, showing how certain forces contribute to instability, and suggesting \vays and means for the achievement of greater business stability. The positive argun1ent in this work nlay be followed quite successfully by reading the first chapter in Book I and then proceeding directly to Books II and III. Bankers and other business men who n1ay be interested primarily in the monetary sections, should be able to read with profit, chapters \,1 and "1 on "La\visn1" together with chapters XIV and XV, by Fisher and Keynes. Everyone interested in the general problem of business instability even though un familiar with economic literature and terminology, should be able to follow quite easily the argument in Book III as it is purposely written in non-technical language. The author is indebted to numerous friends and colleagues for helpful suggestions and criticisms. First of all I am obliged to Professor John R. Commons of the University of Wisconsin who was a helpful counsellor in the early stages of preparation, while I was a graduate student at Wisconsin, and who has made helpful suggestions at all stages. I am next indebted to Dr. W. E. Zeuch, who first developed the "Commanded Value" concept as given by Malthus, and placed before me the results of his labor. The Ricardian theory of value has been made clearer and more accurate by being privileged to "sit in" with PREFACE Vll Professor F. B. Garver of the University of Minnesota in his graduate seminar. Helpful suggestions have been received from my colleagues at the University of Minnesota, especially, Pro fessors Alvin H. Hansen, Bruce D. Mudgett, Roy G. Blakey, Walter I~. Myers and Mr. Herbert Tout. At the University of 'T. Chicago) Professors Frank H. Knight and Garfield COX were of great assistance by \vay of cooperation and constructive criti cism. Additional help came from Professor I~agnarFrisch of the University of Oslo. The monetary section dealing with Fisher and Keynes has benefited by valuable suggestions made by Irving Fisher, himself, after a careful reading of those chapters. For these kind favors, I am extremely grateful. H. L. l\1CCRACKEN University of Minnesota Minneapolis. CONTENTS BOOK I Ef\,1BODIED VALUE THEORY IN ITS RELi\TION TO BUSINESS CYCLES PART I PRICE ftl0VEMENTS IN A PRECIOUS METALS ECOJ.lOMY CHAPTER PAGE Ricardo's Theory of Value . 3 Ricardo and Malthus in vital disagreement over value. Ricardo's theory of exchange value. Effect of demand and supply on value. Possibility of overproduction. Appraisal and criticism, Ricardo deals with "the long run," Malthus deals with "the short run." Alfrcd Marshall deals with both. II Sismondl's Theory of Commercial Crises 15 The multiple causes of crises. (a) Industrial Revolution and the Factory System. (b) The "false calculus" of en treprencurs. (c) Freedom of competition. (d) The role of banks. (e) Government protection of industry. (f) Mieu» Value. The possibility of general over-production. J. B. Say, Ricardo and Sismondi, debate the "Law of Mar kets." Sismondi's theory of value, Appraisal and criticism. Errors and inconsistencies. III KarI "'1arx . 4I Theory of value and price. Explanation of price level. S.urplus value and the business cycle. Appraisal and criti cisrn. PART II EMBODIED llALUE THEORY AND PRICE MOVEMENTS IN A PAPER ftl0NEY ECONOMY IV Early Types of Currency and Banking . 57 A. Paper money as commodity tickets. The Commodatum and Bailment period. B. Paper money as commodity- ix

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