THE U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE GUIDE TO NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES VOLUME I: THEORY OF WAR AND STRATEGY 4th Edition J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. Editor July 2010 Visit our website for other free publication downloads http://www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/ To rate this publication click here. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. Authors of Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) publications enjoy full academic freedom, provided they do not disclose classified information, jeopardize operations security, or misrep- resent official U.S. policy. Such academic freedom empowers them to offer new and sometimes controversial perspectives in the interest of furthering debate on key issues. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** This publication is subject to Title 17, United States Code, Sections 101 and 105. It is in the pub- lic domain and may not be copyrighted. ii ***** Comments pertaining to this report are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 122 Forbes Ave, Carlisle, PA 17013-5244. ***** All Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) publications may be downloaded free of charge from the SSI website. Hard copies of this report may also be obtained free of charge by placing an order on the SSI website. The SSI website address is: www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil. ***** The Strategic Studies Institute publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the research of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming conferences sponsored by the Institute. Each newsletter also provides a strategic com- mentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please subscribe on the SSI website at www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/newsletter/. ISBN 1-58487-450-3 iii CONTENTS Introduction J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. ………………………………....………………….................…...vii I. Strategic Theory 1. Why is Strategy Difficult? ……………………………………………………........................…3 David Jablonsky 2. A Survey of the Theory of Strategy……………………………………………...................…13 J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. 3. Toward a Theory of Strategy: Art Lykke and the Army War College Strategy Model ………………………………………………………………….........................45 H. Richard Yarger 4. The Strategic Appraisal: The Key To Effective Strategy …………………………...............53 H. Richard Yarger 5. Managing Strategic Risk…………………………………………………….....................……67 James F. Holcomb 6. A Theory of Victory ……………………………………………………………........................79 J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. 7. Toward a Strategic Theory of Terrorism: Defining Boundaries in the Ongoing Search for Security ……………………………………………………......................95 Frank L. Jones 8. Thucydides and Contemporary Strategy………………………………………...................107 R. Craig Nation II. The Elements of Power 9. National Power………………………………………………………………….......................123 David Jablonsky 10. National Power ………………………………………………………………..........................141 R. Craig Nation 11. Strategic Communication: Wielding the Information Element of Power …….............…153 Dennis M. Murphy 12. Diplomacy as an Instrument of National Power………………………….................……..167 Reed J. Fendrick iv FIGURES - VOLUME I Chapter 1 Figure 1. The Policy Continuum ................................................................................................3 Figure 2. The Remarkable Trinity .............................................................................................. 4 Figure 3. The Impact of Technology ..........................................................................................4 Figure 4. The Continuum of War ...............................................................................................7 Figure 5. National Strategy: The Horizontal Plane ..................................................................8 Figure 6. National Strategy and the Vertical Continuum of War ..........................................8 Chapter 3 Figure 1. Strategic and Operational Art ..................................................................................47 Figure 2. Comprehensiveness of Strategy ...............................................................................48 Figure 3. The Lykke Model .......................................................................................................48 Chapter 4 Figure 1. Strategic Appraisal Process .......................................................................................54 Figure 2. Realms of Strategy ......................................................................................................55 Figure 3. Levels of Intensity ......................................................................................................58 Figure 4. Strategic Factors ..........................................................................................................59 Figure 5. Strategic Thinking Competencies ............................................................................61 Chapter 6 Figure 1. Scale of Success ...........................................................................................................82 Figure 2. Scale of Decisiveness ..................................................................................................83 Figure 3. Scale of Achievement .................................................................................................83 Chapter 9 Figure 1. Gain and Risk Assessment ......................................................................................135 v Chapter 16 Figure 1. Shares in the World Economy from Jagdish Bhagwati .........................................216 Chapter 17 Figure 1. Components of Security Policy ..............................................................................227 Figure 2. Evaluations of Compellent Threats .......................................................................230 Figure 3. Range of Military Operations .................................................................................232 Figure 4. Guidelines for the Use of Force ..............................................................................235 Figure 5. Weinburger Doctrine from Vietnam to Iraq .........................................................239 Chapter 18 Figure 1. The Army Organizational Life Cycle Model ........................................................256 Figure 2. Characteristics of Centers of Gravity ......................................................................260 Figure 3. Indentifying Centers of Gravity .............................................................................260 Chapter 19 Figure 1. Interaction with the Analysts ................................................................................272 Chapter 21 Figure 1. John Warden’s Five Ring Model ............................................................................315 Chapter 23 Figure 1. The Network Centric Operations Conceptual Framework ................................344 Figure 2. Tenets of NCW and the Value ................................................................................346 vi 13. Theory and Practice of Modern Diplomacy: Origins and Development to 1914 ……………………………………………………………………………..........................173 Louis J. Nigro, Jr. 14. Economic Diplomacy: Views of a Practitioner …………………….................…………….187 Constance Phlipot 15. Economics: A Key Element of National Power ………………………………….................199 Clayton K. S. Chun 16. Political Economy and National Security: A Primer …………………………................…211 Janeen M. Klinger 17. Military Power and the Use of Force……………………………………………...................225 John F. Troxell III. Strategic Issues and Considerations 18. Systems Thinking in Campaign Design ……………………………………….....................253 Charles D. Allen and Glenn K. Cunningham 19. Intelligence as a Tool of Strategy ……………………………………………….................…263 John Aclin 20. Air Power Theory: An Analytical Narrative from the First World War to the Present ……………………………………………………………………......................279 Tami Davis Biddle 21. John Warden’s Five Ring Model and the Indirect Approach to War …………............…311 Clayton K. S. Chun 22. Naval Theory for Soldiers ………………………………………………………....................325 J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. 23. The Network-Centric Warfare Journey: Realizing the Power of Information ….............341 Jeffrey L. Groh 24. Space Power: A Strategic Assessment and a Way Forward ……………………...............359 Jeffrey A. Farnsworth Appendix I: Contributors …………………………………………………………...............……373 vii INTRODUCTION J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. The U. S. Army War College Guide to National Security Issues is the latest edition of the U. S. Army War College Guide to National Security Policy and Strategy, which the college has published sporadi- cally under different titles since 2001. As begun with the last publication, this edition of the Guide is in two volumes that correspond roughly to the two core courses that the Department of Na- tional Security and Strategy teaches: “Theory of War and Strategy” and “National Security Policy and Strategy.” Like its predecessors, this edition is largely an expansion of the existing materials, although about a quarter is new, and the previously published chapters have been updated as necessary. This year we have begun a process we hope to continue in the future of including case studies that might be useful/instructive illustrations of principles we teach. The authors, with one exception all current or former members of the faculty, represent each of the four primary teaching departments of the college. Short biographical sketches of each are in an appendix at the end of each volume. The appendix on the U.S. Army War College (USAWC) strategy formulation model in the second volume reflects the alterations in that fundamental document made for the 2010 academic year (2009-10). The entire model is currently under review, and the version for the 2011 academic year will probably be different—although continuity will probably outweigh change in the versions. Although the Department of National Security and Strategy and other departments uses several of the chapters in this volume as readings for its core courses, this is not a textbook. It does reflect, however, both the method and manner we use to teach the theory of war and the formulation of national security strategy to America’s future senior leaders. As we continue to refine and update the Guide, we intend to increase course-oriented essays, and several of the new chapters were writ- ten specifically to support instruction. The book is also not a comprehensive or exhaustive treat- ment of either the theory of war, strategy, or the policy making process; there are major topics in all fields that deserve treatment before one could claim to present a comprehensive product. The Guide is organized in broad clusters of chapters addressing general subject areas. Chapters are placed in general blocks for convenience, not as a rigid framework. I made no effort to con- strain or shape the authors’ work based on where I saw the chapter fitting in the book. Thus, some chapters might have been placed in several blocks, and their presence in a specific block should not be considered a restrictive form of categorization. Volume 1 starts with theoretical issues on war and strategy. The second block examines power both conceptually and in terms of the elements of power. The volume concludes with studies on specific theoretical issues. The second volume on national security strategy and policy opens with a look at the U.S. security community and its functions. The second block expands to multinational issues and considerations. The third block presents studies of specific policy issues or considerations. The volume concludes with illustrative case studies. PART I STRATEGIC THEORY
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