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U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE GUIDE TO NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUES VOLUME I: THEORY OF WAR AND STRATEGY 3rd Edition Revised and Expanded Edited by J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. Department of National Security and Strategy June 2008 Visit our website for other free publication downloads http://www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/ To Rate This Publication Click Here This publication is a work of the United States Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, section 101. As such, it is in the public domain, and under the provisions of Title 17, United States Code, Section 105, it may not be copyrighted. ***** The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the U.S. Army War College, the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** The Department of State Public Affairs Office reviewed the manuscript for Chapter 13 and poses no objection to its publication. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the official policy or position of the Department of State. ***** Comments pertaining to this report are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 122 Forbes Ave, Carlisle, PA 17013-5244. ***** All Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) publications are available on the SSI homepage for electronic dissemination. Hard copies of this report also may be ordered from our homepage. SSI’s homepage address is: www.StrategicStudiesInstitute. army.mil. ***** The Strategic Studies Institute publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the research of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming conferences sponsored by the Institute. Each newsletter also provides a strategic commentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please subscribe on our homepage at www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/newsletter/. ISBN 1-58487-356-6 ii CONTENTS VOLUME I: THEORY OF WAR AND STRATEGY Introduction J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. .........................................................................................................vii I. Strategic Theory ........................................................................................................................... 1 1. Why Is Strategy Difficult? David Jablonsky ............................................................................................................... 3 2. A Survey of the Theory of Strategy J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. ..............................................................................................13 3. Toward a Theory of Strategy: Art Lykke and The U.S. Army War College Strategy Model Harry R. Yarger ...............................................................................................................43 4. The Strategic Appraisal: The Key To Effective Strategy Harry R. Yarger ...............................................................................................................51 5. Managing Strategic Risk James F. Holcomb ...........................................................................................................65 6. A Theory of Victory J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. ..............................................................................................79 7. Toward a Strategic Theory of Terrorism: Defining Boundaries in the Ongoing Search for Security Frank L. Jones ..................................................................................................................95 8. Landpower in Traditional Theory and Contemporary Application G. K. Cunningham ........................................................................................................107 9. Thucydides and Contemporary Strategy R. Craig Nation .............................................................................................................129 II. The Elements of Power ..........................................................................................................143 10. National Power David Jablonsky ............................................................................................................145 11. National Power R. Craig Nation .............................................................................................................163 12. Strategic Communication: Wielding The Information Element of Power Dennis M. Murphy........................................................................................................175 13. Diplomacy as an Instrument of National Power Reed J. Fendrick ............................................................................................................189 14. Theory and Practice of Modern Diplomacy: Origins and Development to 1914 Louis J. Nigro, Jr. ..........................................................................................................195 15. Military Power and the Use of Force John F. Troxell ...............................................................................................................209 16. Political Economy and National Security: A Primer Janeen M. Klinger .........................................................................................................235 17. Economics: A Key Element of National Power Clayton K. S. Chun .......................................................................................................249 iii III. Strategic Issues and Considerations.....................................................................................261 18. Air Power Theory: An Analytical Narrative from the First World War to the Present Tami Davis Biddle ........................................................................................................263 19. John Warden’s Five Ring Model and the Indirect Approach to War Clayton K. S. Chun .......................................................................................................295 20. Spacepower: A Strategic Assessment and a Way Forward Jeffrey A. Farnsworth ...................................................................................................309 21. Network-centric Warfare: Leveraging the Power of Information Jeffrey L. Groh ...............................................................................................................323 Appendix I: Contributors ..............................................................................................................339 iv FIGURES - VOLUME I Chapter 1 Figure 1. The Policy Continuum ......................................................................................4 Figure 2. The Remarkable Trinity .................................................................................... 5 Figure 3. The Impact of Technology ................................................................................5 Figure 4. The Continuum of War .....................................................................................8 Figure 5. National Strategy: The Horizontal Plane ........................................................9 Figure 6. National Strategy and the Vertical Continuum of War ................................9 Chapter 3 Figure 1. Strategic and Operational Art ........................................................................45 Figure 2. Comprehensiveness of Strategy .....................................................................46 Figure 3. The Lykke Model .............................................................................................46 Chapter 4 Figure 1. Strategic Appraisal Process .............................................................................52 Figure 2. Realms of Strategy ............................................................................................53 Figure 3. Levels of Intensity ............................................................................................56 Figure 4. Strategic Factors ................................................................................................56 Figure 5. Strategic Thinking Competencies ..................................................................59 Chapter 5 Figure 1. Value and Cost/Risk Factors ..........................................................................69 Chapter 6 Figure 1. Scale of Success .................................................................................................82 Figure 2. Scale of Decisiveness ........................................................................................83 Figure 3. Scale of Achievement .......................................................................................83 Chapter 8 Figure 1. The Range of Effectiveness of Military Options ........................................118 Figure 2. Responsibilities of a Theater Army in Joint and Combined Operations ...................................................................................122 Chapter 10 Figure 1. Gain and Risk Assessment ............................................................................157 Chapter 15 Figure 1. Components of Security Policy ....................................................................211 Figure 2. Evaluations of Compellent Threats .............................................................214 Figure 3. Range of Military Operations .......................................................................216 Figure 4. Guidelines for the Use of Force ....................................................................219 Figure 5. Weinburger Doctrine from Vietnam to Iraq ...............................................222 v Chapter 16 Figure 1. Shares in the World Economy ......................................................................240 Chapter 19 Figure 1. Five Ring Model .............................................................................................299 Chapter 21 Figure 1. The Network Centric Operations Conceptual Framework .....................326 Figure 2. Tenets of NCW and the Value .....................................................................328 vi INTRODUCTION J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr. The U. S. Army War College Guide (USAWC) to National Security Issues is the latest edition of the U. S. Army War College Guide to National Security Policy and Strategy, which the college has published sporadically under different titles since 2001. This edition of the Guide is in two volumes that correspond roughly to the two core courses that the Department of National Security and Strategy (DNSS) teaches: “Theory of War and Strategy” and “National Security Policy and Strategy.” Like its predecessors, this edition is largely an expansion of the existing materials, although over 40 percent is new, and the previously published chapters have been updated as necessary. The authors, with one exception all current or former members of the faculty, represent each of the four primary teaching departments of the college. The exception is the inclusion this year of a chapter on space power by a recent graduate—the chapter was his research project while a student. The appendix on the USAWC strategy formulation model in the second volume reflects the alterations in that fundamental document made for the 2008 academic year (2007-08). Although DNSS uses several of the chapters in this volume as readings for its core courses, and at least one other department uses chapters in its core instruction, this is not a textbook. It does reflect, however, both the method and manner we use to teach the theory of war and the formulation of national security strategy to America’s future senior leaders. As we continue to refine and update the Guide, we intend to increase course-oriented essays, and several of the new chapters were written specifically to support instruction. The book is also not a comprehensive or exhaustive treatment of either the theory of war, strategy, or the policymaking process. The Guide is organized in broad clusters of chapters addressing general subject areas. Chapters are placed in general blocks for convenience, not as a rigid framework. I made no effort to constrain or shape the authors’ work based on where I saw the chapter fitting in the book. Thus, some chapters might have been placed in several blocks, and their presence in a specific block should not be considered a restrictive form of categorization. Volume I starts with theoretical issues on war and strategy. The second block examines power both conceptually and in terms of the elements of power. The volume concludes with studies on specific theoretical issues. The second volume on national security strategy and policy opens with a look at the U.S. security community and its functions. The second block expands to multinational issues and considerations. The volume concludes with studies of specific policy issues or considerations. vii PART I STRATEGIC THEORY

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33. Kennedy, “Grand Strategy in War and Peace: Toward a Broader Definition,” p. 7. available at www.dtic.mil/doctrine/jel/new_pubs/jp1_02.pdf, pp. 507, 357;
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