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Theoretical Foundations for Decision Making in Engineering Design PDF

69 Pages·2001·1.277 MB·English
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ee us i s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS Paall s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci FOERN DGEINCEISEIROINNG M DAEKSINIGGN IN al typhave ginay orim he ors m terr k, not froographic op oy er bme t p ao ps original ed, and he ain m tret oe ed frat bnnot ea es crer, c L filwev Mo Xh m g, ed fromattin en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version Committee on ThBeoDoairrvedits iiocoannl MFoNnoa uanEntuindofgaanictanitloeu eRnrrsieinfnsogegr aa aDrncnedhdc E iCPsniohoguyninsn Miceciealarlk iSnincgig eD ninecs eEisgnngineering Design epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio PDF file: This new nal; line lengths, wnt version of this pu NATIONWAaLsh AinCgtAoDn,E DM.CY. PRESS About this to the origiuse the pri ee us ii s are trd. Plea es. 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Plea ke eaert ge bry ins Paall s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci al typhave ginay orim m the errors The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished k, not froographic stCecochhnongloarelrossg se yin nag na1dg8 e6tod3 ,ti hnthe sierc Aiuescneat idffoeirc m tahyne d gh eeannsge ari anmle waenreidlnfagatr ere e.t shUeaapt rorcneh qt,hu deier aedusi ctihato tteroid tay td oov fti hstheee ft hucehrt ahfreetderrae nrgacrlae ng otoefv dse ctroine mint cebeny ta tonhnde ooyp scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences. er bme t p ao The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy ps he original ained, and otthhfee S fsceeidleeencrctaeilos gn, o aovsf ea ri tnpsma mreaenlmlte. lbT oehrregs ,aN snahitzaiaroitnnioagnl wA oicft ahod utehtmset ayNn oadfti inEognn aeglni nAgeicenareidenergsm .a yIlts ooisf s Sapucotinoesnnoocremss eo tnuhgse i inrnee seiptrsio nangds mipbriionligitsryta rfmaotsrio aanid mvaniesddi n iagnt m tret meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of oe engineers. Dr. Wm. A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering. ed frat bnnot The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the ea ML files crowever, c stShecreive hinceceaesls t ohbf y oe ifmt sti hnceoe nnptgu rmbelseismci.ob nTeahrlse co hIfna asrtpteiptrur totoep b raieac tatesn puarndodvfeiessre strih oteon srt heines p ftoehdnee serixabali mlgiotiyvn eagrtiinvomenne on tfto pa tonhldie,c yuN pmaotnaiot itntesar sol wApencr atiandiientmiiantygiv oteof, Xh m g, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute ed fromattin of Medicine. en recomposg-specific forn. TtaAhdhceve abi dNsreioanmatgdiyo tc,nh otaehml ef mRe Cdeueosneruiaatnylr c cgoihofl vshCceaoirsenu nbmnceceeci nlao tnwm.d aFe stu e tonchrhcegnt aipoonrlinoiznigencydgi pw biaynilt htaoh ctpehc eeNor rAaadttciiaonandngcea eaml gAwyeci’nstah cdp yegu mreopnfyo e bsoreoafs tlS h opc ftoi heflnueiccr Ntiehesaes ti rdniion e1gnt9e ak1rlnm 6Ao itwcnoa leaeddsde sgbmoeyc y aita nhotdeef eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version StIowhnfcwe sitt ehwsintecu.c inNteeeansa t ottiaiioffno inMdcna aatellh-nd aeRdi cc eNeaisnndaeegteai.imr onDcnehiraee. l Csr BA.ioonrcruguagn ccdceoei Almm. lmyb euornft siEt ainengsd.i nTDeher.er Wi Cngmo ui.nn A cp.ir lWo ivsu iadlfdi nmagrie ns ceishrtvaeiircremeds a jtnoo i anthntledy g vboiycv eeb rconhtmha iAernmcta,a dnthe, emr episeupsbe lacintcid,v aetnlhyde, epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri ee us iv s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins Paall s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci al typhave ginay orim he ors m terr k, not froographic op oy er bme t p ao ps original ed, and he ain m tret oe ed frat bnnot ea es crer, c L filwev Mo Xh m g, ed fromattin en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri ee us v s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins COMMITTEE ON THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DECISION MAKING IN Paall ENGINEERING DESIGN s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci RBCOOETBRHEB REETT.A TJL .DELA.ECGNAA,U UNDn (IicLvheLar,si riG)ty,E So Aafn iMdrciiarna Nnfte aEstoinotgani,a nMle Lsi,na Cnbeoinaracptioonlrniisaetsi,, AOlhbiuoquerque, New Mexico al typhave RJ.SOTNUAALRDT A H.HUONWTEARR, DP,r iSntcaentfoonr dU Uninvievresritsyit,y P, rPinalcoe tAonlt,o N, Cewal iJfeorrsneiya originmay CHRISTOPHER L.MAGEE, Ford Motor Company, Dearborn, Michigan he ors SIMON OSTRACH, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio m terr WILLIAM B.ROUSE, Enterprise Support Systems, Norcross, Georgia k, not froographic Board on Manufacturing and Engineering Design Staff op er bome ty CAURUNLG MVUO,Z sHtuId, yst uddirye cdtiorre c(utonrt i(lf rDoemc eDmebceerm 1b, e2r0 10,0 2)000) p ao ps TONI MARECHAUX, board director original ed, and TJUEDRYI T EHSOTREOP,W seGnOioOr pDr,o rjeecset aarscshis atasnsotciate he ain om te ret Government Liaison ed frat bnnot GEORGE HAZELRIGG, National Science Foundation, Arlington, Virginia ea es crer, c L filwev Mo Xh m g, ed fromattin en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri ee us vi s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins BOARD ON MANUFACTURING AND ENGINEERING DESIGN Paall s. ent JOSEPH G.WIRTH (chair), Raychem Corporation (retired), Mt. Shasta, California ed ting filesetbeen acci FJHO.APHERNTR EYGR .EB B.OCOLOELORINK, TG, iUEgneRriv ,S eUcrniseiitnvyte irofsifci tI,y lIl nioncfo .W,i sB,i osUcyronbntaosninna ,B- CMehaaacdmhi,s poFanliogrnida al typhave PRAOMBEERLTA EAA.DGRAENW, S, aTnhdei aB Noeaitniogn Calo Lmapbaonrya,t oSreieastt,l eA, lWbuaqsuheirnqgutoe,n New Mexico ginay EDITH M.FLANIGEN, UOP Corporation (retired), White Plains, New York m the orierrors m JJOAHMNIE W C..GHISLUL,E GSePnIeEr,a Jl RM.,o Utonrisv Cerosriptyo roaft iDonel,a Wwaarrere, nN, eMwiacrhkigan k, not froographic RJJAAICMYH ELASER EMD, AU LTn.KiTteIECdG ETG,e U,c hMnniivolaelocrsgraoieln sT, RIencechs.ne (aorrelcothigr yeCd Ce)n,o tCreprion, rcEaiantisnota nHt,i ,aD rOtafhyoitroodn, ,C Oohninoecticut ooyp CAROLYN W.MEYERS, North Carolina A&T University, Greensboro er bme t JOE H.MIZE, Oklahoma State University (retired), Stillwater p ao FRIEDRICH B.PRINZ, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California ps he original ained, and JDJAOAMELLEI BSSOA BRM.R FUI.CEVELR, SYJARUL.D, OMKVaEIsNCsa,, cAIhnFutesLle- tCCtsoI OIrnp,so Wtriatuatitsoehn io,n fSg Ttaonencta,h DnCo.lCalor.ag,y C, Calaimfobrnriidage m tret TONI MARECHAUX, director oe ed frat bnnot ea es crer, c L filwev Mo Xh m g, ed fromattin en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri ee us PREFACE vii s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins PREFACE Paall s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci original typmay have practiDcee soigf ne nisg ain pereorcinegss d beys iwgnh iicnhv ohluvmesa nn oint toenllleyc tp, ucrree aatnivdi tayp, palniedd p ascssieionnc easr,e b terhanavsliaotreadl ianntdo suosceifaull sacrtiiefnaccetss., Tanhde he ors economics but also many aspects of business and law. A designer must work effectively with a team composed m terr of members of different disciplines and make tens or even hundreds of decisions for simple products and k, not froographic tthhouumsTba nhthdisas ts otcufa dpdyteu fcroiesc ieuoxsnpesse rfoioenrn tccheoe mt odp eslvyeenxlt ohppermtoicde nuetcn tavsni. rdoT nuomsoele son fttso t othaoialdts adalnelosdwi ga nptheprers od aeecxshitgeensn defr o frtro od fmelcy i dsthieorsnoig umng hagk vuiniirdgteu sian la menndog dirneuellsee.sri nogf op er bome ty desigTn.h Iet Calosmo mexiattmeein oens tThhee porreeptiacraalt iFoon utnhdata tuionndse rfgorra dDueacteis siotund Menatsk irnegc eiinv eE fnogri naepeprliynign gD deescigisni orne vaineawlyesdi ss otomoels .of p ao ps the relevant literature and consulted experts to seek clarification as needed. In assessing commonly used design original ed, and m(jeett heondgoinloeg);i ems athnea gceommemnti tdteeec iaslisoon sh efoarr da pcroemsemnteartcioianls parbooduutc td e(Csihgenv eronlgeitn eCeorrinvget tper)a; catincde sm feotrh ao dcso manpdl etxo oplrso udsuecdt he ain in risk analysis and design of a one-of-a-kind product (a space exploration vehicle). m tret The committee, though small, brought wide-ranging expertise in economics, decision theory, academic oe ed frat bnnot rceosmeamrcuhn,i caantdin ign daucrsotrsisa ld pisrcaicptliicnea. rTy hairse adsiv, eersspietyc iwalalys ivna tlhuea bslteu diny doef ldibeecriasitoionn as naanldy siins sftorur cetnivgein iene rthineg d difefsiicgunl.ties of ea Robert J.Eagan, chair es crer, c Committee on Theoretical Foundations for Decision Making in Engineering Design L filwev Mo Xh m g, ed fromattin en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri ee us PREFACE viii s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins Paall s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci al typhave ginay orim he ors m terr k, not froographic op oy er bme t p ao ps original ed, and he ain m tret oe ed frat bnnot ea es crer, c L filwev Mo Xh m g, ed fromattin en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri ee us ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ix s are trd. Plea ke eaert ge bry ins ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Paall s. ent ed ting filesetbeen acci original typmay have the fTohlleo wCionmg miintdteiev iodnu aTlsh efoorre titchaeli rF opurnedseantitoantiso fnosr: DWecmis ioAn. WMualkfi, ngN ianti oEnnagli nAeecraidnegm Dye soigfn Ewnoguilnde elirkineg t;o tShtaenvke he ors Barrager, independent consultant; David Halstead, GE Aircraft Engines; John Taylor, NASA; and Greg Wyss, m terr Sandia National Laboratories. In addition, the committee acknowledges Karen Padilla, Sandia National k, not froographic Lina baocTrcahotoirsdr iareenspc, oefro tr w htyaitpsh i bnegpe rsnoe cvreeedvruaierle wesde idtai pobpnyrs oi onvfde idtvh iedb muya alnsth ucesh corNispeatnt.i ofonra lt hReier sdeiavrecrhs e Cpoeursnpceilc’tsi ve(sN aRnCd’ ste) chRneipcaolr te xRpeervtiieswe, op er bome ty Cthoem amutihtoteres. aTnhde t hpeu rNpRosCe ionf mthaiks iningd tehpee npduebnlits rheevdi erwep oisr tt oas p sroouvnidde a csa pnodsisdi balned a ncrdi ttioc aeln csoumrem theantt st hteh arte pwoirltl maseseistst p ao ps the institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The content of the original ed, and rWevei ewwi scho tmo mtheanntks athned fdorlaloftw minagn uinsdcrivipidt uraelms afionr cthoenifri dpeanrttiiacli ptaot iporno tienc tt hteh er eivniteewgr iotyf tohfi st hreep doertl:i bEerranteisvte Rp.rBolcoeosds,. he ain Caterpillar Inc.; Clive L.Dym, Harvey Mudd College; Jay Lee, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee; Steven C. m tret Lu, University of Southern California; Farrok Mistree, Georgia Institute of Technology; and David J. Vander oe ed frat bnnot VeenA, Glthenoeurgahl Mtheo troervsi.ewers listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were ea not asked to endorse the conclusions or recommendations, nor did they see the final draft of the report before its es crer, c release. The review of the report was overseen by George Dieter, University of Maryland, appointed by the L filwev Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, who was responsible for making certain that an independent Mo examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review Xh m g, comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the ed fromattin authoring committee and the institution. en recomposg-specific forn. eno the original work has bation of and other typesettiding styles, for attributiauthoritative version epresentaks, hean as the digital rord breblicatio e: This new e lengths, won of this pu PDF filnal; linnt versi About this to the origiuse the pri

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