Theoretical Foundations for Decision Making in Engineering Design

69 Pages·2001·1.277 MB·English

by  National Research Council (U.S.). Board on Manufacturing and Engineering Design

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ooyp scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.
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originmay CHRISTOPHER L.MAGEE, Ford Motor Company, Dearborn, Michigan
he ors SIMON OSTRACH, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio
m terr WILLIAM B.ROUSE, Enterprise Support Systems, Norcross, Georgia
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ginay EDITH M.FLANIGEN, UOP Corporation (retired), White Plains, New York
m the orierrors m JJOAHMNIE W C..GHISLUL,E GSePnIeEr,a Jl RM.,o Utonrisv Cerosriptyo roaft iDonel,a Wwaarrere, nN, eMwiacrhkigan
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ooyp CAROLYN W.MEYERS, North Carolina A&T University, Greensboro
er bme t JOE H.MIZE, Oklahoma State University (retired), Stillwater
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original typmay have practiDcee soigf ne nisg ain pereorcinegss d beys iwgnh iicnhv ohluvmesa nn oint toenllleyc tp, ucrree aatnivdi tayp, palniedd p ascssieionnc easr,e b terhanavsliaotreadl ianntdo suosceifaull sacrtiiefnaccetss., Tanhde
he ors economics but also many aspects of business and law. A designer must work effectively with a team composed
m terr of members of different disciplines and make tens or even hundreds of decisions for simple products and
k, not froographic tthhouumsTba nhthdisas ts otcufa dpdyteu fcroiesc ieuoxsnpesse rfoioenrn tccheoe mt odp eslvyeenxlt ohppermtoicde nuetcn tavsni. rdoT nuomsoele son fttso t othaoialdts adalnelosdwi ga nptheprers od aeecxshitgeensn defr o frtro od fmelcy i dsthieorsnoig umng hagk vuiniirdgteu sian la menndog dirneuellsee.sri nogf
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er bome ty desigTn.h Iet Calosmo mexiattmeein oens tThhee porreeptiacraalt iFoon utnhdata tuionndse rfgorra dDueacteis siotund Menatsk irnegc eiinv eE fnogri naepeprliynign gD deescigisni orne vaineawlyesdi ss otomoels .of
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ps the relevant literature and consulted experts to seek clarification as needed. In assessing commonly used design
original ed, and m(jeett heondgoinloeg);i ems athnea gceommemnti tdteeec iaslisoon sh efoarr da pcroemsemnteartcioianls parbooduutc td e(Csihgenv eronlgeitn eCeorrinvget tper)a; catincde sm feotrh ao dcso manpdl etxo oplrso udsuecdt
he ain in risk analysis and design of a one-of-a-kind product (a space exploration vehicle).
m tret The committee, though small, brought wide-ranging expertise in economics, decision theory, academic
oe
ed frat bnnot rceosmeamrcuhn,i caantdin ign daucrsotrsisa ld pisrcaicptliicnea. rTy hairse adsiv, eersspietyc iwalalys ivna tlhuea bslteu diny doef ldibeecriasitoionn as naanldy siins sftorur cetnivgein iene rthineg d difefsiicgunl.ties of
ea Robert J.Eagan, chair
es crer, c Committee on Theoretical Foundations for Decision Making in Engineering Design
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us ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ix
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original typmay have the fTohlleo wCionmg miintdteiev iodnu aTlsh efoorre titchaeli rF opurnedseantitoantiso fnosr: DWecmis ioAn. WMualkfi, ngN ianti oEnnagli nAeecraidnegm Dye soigfn Ewnoguilnde elirkineg t;o tShtaenvke
he ors Barrager, independent consultant; David Halstead, GE Aircraft Engines; John Taylor, NASA; and Greg Wyss,
m terr Sandia National Laboratories. In addition, the committee acknowledges Karen Padilla, Sandia National
k, not froographic Lina baocTrcahotoirsdr iareenspc, oefro tr w htyaitpsh i bnegpe rsnoe cvreeedvruaierle wesde idtai pobpnyrs oi onvfde idtvh iedb muya alnsth ucesh corNispeatnt.i ofonra lt hReier sdeiavrecrhs e Cpoeursnpceilc’tsi ve(sN aRnCd’ ste) chRneipcaolr te xRpeervtiieswe,
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ps the institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The content of the
original ed, and rWevei ewwi scho tmo mtheanntks athned fdorlaloftw minagn uinsdcrivipidt uraelms afionr cthoenifri dpeanrttiiacli ptaot iporno tienc tt hteh er eivniteewgr iotyf tohfi st hreep doertl:i bEerranteisvte Rp.rBolcoeosds,.
he ain Caterpillar Inc.; Clive L.Dym, Harvey Mudd College; Jay Lee, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee; Steven C.
m tret Lu, University of Southern California; Farrok Mistree, Georgia Institute of Technology; and David J. Vander
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ed frat bnnot VeenA, Glthenoeurgahl Mtheo troervsi.ewers listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were
ea not asked to endorse the conclusions or recommendations, nor did they see the final draft of the report before its
es crer, c release. The review of the report was overseen by George Dieter, University of Maryland, appointed by the
L filwev Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, who was responsible for making certain that an independent
Mo examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review
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