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The Technological Singularity PDF

269 Pages·2015·1.7 MB·English
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the technological singularity 10058.indb 1 5/6/15 1:03 PM The MIT Press Essential Knowledge Series Understanding Beliefs, Nils J. Nilsson Computing: A Concise History, Paul E. Ceruzzi The Conscious Mind, Zoltan L. Torey Crowdsourcing, Daren C. Brabham Free Will, Mark Balaguer Information and the Modern Corporation, James W. Cortada Intellectual Property Strategy, John Palfrey The Internet of Things, Samuel Greengard Memes in Digital Culture, Limor Shifman MOOCs, Jonathan Haber Open Access, Peter Suber Paradox, Margaret Cuonzo Waves, Frederic Raichlen The Technological Singularity, Murray Shanahan 10058.indb 2 5/6/15 1:03 PM the technological singularity Murray shanahan The MIT Press | Cambridge, Massachusetts | London, England 10058.indb 3 5/6/15 1:03 PM © 2015 Massachusetts Institute of Technology All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher. MIT Press books may be purchased at special quantity discounts for business or sales promotional use. For information, please email [email protected] This book was set in Chaparral by the MIT Press. Printed and bound in the United States of America. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Shanahan, Murray. The technological singularity / Murray Shanahan. pages cm Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-262-52780-4 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. Artificial intelligence—Forecasting. 2. Artificial intelligence— Psychological aspects. 3. Technology—Social aspects. 4. Conscious automata. 5. Brain—Computer simulation. I. Title. Q335.S4626 2015 006.3—dc23 2015000997 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 10058.indb 4 5/6/15 1:03 PM These remarks might appear fanciful to some readers, but to the writer they seem very real and urgent, and worthy of emphasis outside of science fiction. I. J.Good, Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine (1965) Real motive problem, with an AI. Not human, see? William Gibson, Neuromancer (1984) 10058.indb 5 5/6/15 1:03 PM 10058.indb 6 5/6/15 1:03 PM contents Series Foreword ix Preface xi Introduction xv 1 Routes to Artificial Intelligence 1 2 Whole Brain Emulation 15 3 Engineering AI 51 4 Superintelligence 85 5 AI and Consciousness 117 6 The Impact of AI 151 7 Heaven or Hell 179 Glossary 227 Further Reading 239 Index 241 10058.indb 7 5/6/15 1:03 PM 10058.indb 8 5/6/15 1:03 PM series Foreword The MIT Press Essential Knowledge series offers acces- sible, concise, beautifully produced pocket-size books on topics of current interest. Written by leading thinkers, the books in this series deliver expert overviews of subjects that range from the cultural and the historical to the sci- entific and the technical. In today’s era of instant information gratification, we have ready access to opinions, rationalizations, and super- ficial descriptions. Much harder to come by is the founda- tional knowledge that informs a principled understanding of the world. Essential Knowledge books fill that need. Synthesizing specialized subject matter for nonspecialists and engaging critical topics through fundamentals, each of these compact volumes offers readers a point of access to complex ideas. Bruce Tidor Professor of Biological Engineering and Computer Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology 10058.indb 9 5/6/15 1:03 PM

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The idea that human history is approaching a "singularity" -- that ordinary humans will someday be overtaken by artificially intelligent machines or cognitively enhanced biological intelligence, or both -- has moved from the realm of science fiction to serious debate. Some singularity theorists pred
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