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The Short-Run Approach to Long-Run Equilibrium in Competitive Markets: A General Theory with Application to Peak-Load Pricing with Storage PDF

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Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 684 Anthony Horsley Andrew J. Wrobel The Short-Run Approach to Long- Run Equilibrium in Competitive Markets A General Theory with Application to Peak-Load Pricing with Storage Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 684 FoundingEditors: M.Beckmann H.P.Künzi ManagingEditors: Prof.Dr.G.Fandel FachbereichWirtschaftswissenschaften FernuniversitätHagen Hagen,Germany Prof.Dr.W.Trockel MuratSertelInstituteforAdvancedEconomicResearch IstanbulBilgiUniversity Istanbul,Turkey and InstitutfürMathematischeWirtschaftsforschung(IMW) UniversitätBielefeld Bielefeld,Germany EditorialBoard: H.Dawid,D.Dimitrov,A.Gerber,C.-J.Haake,C.Hofmann,T.Pfeiffer, R.Slowin´ski,W.H.M.Zijm Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/300 Anthony Horsley (cid:129) Andrew J. Wrobel The Short-Run Approach to Long-Run Equilibrium in Competitive Markets A General Theory with Application to Peak-Load Pricing with Storage 123 AnthonyHorsley(1939-2006) AndrewJ.Wrobel Watford,Hertfordshire,UK Warsaw,Poland CompletedinAugust2015,thisbookisarevisedandrestructuredversionoftheSTICERDDiscussion PaperTE/05/490“Characterizationsoflong-runproduceroptimaandtheshort-runapproachtolong-run marketequilibrium: ageneraltheorywithapplications topeak-load pricing”©AnthonyHorsleyand AndrewJ.Wrobel(London,LSE,2005). ISSN0075-8442 ISSN2196-9957(electronic) LectureNotesinEconomicsandMathematicalSystems ISBN978-3-319-33397-7 ISBN978-3-319-33398-4(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-33398-4 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016939945 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2016 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthorsandtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerland Preface This book is dedicated to the memory of Anthony Horsley (1939–2006),nuclear physicistandmathematicaleconomist,myfriendandmentor.Mostofthebookwas Chap.5ofmyPh.D.Econ.thesis“Theformaltheoryofpricingandinvestmentfor electricity”,writtenattheLondonSchoolofEconomicsunderTony’ssupervision. Thispartof the research was supportedfinanciallyby TilburgUniversity’sCenter for Economic Research (in 1989–1990)and by ESRC grant R000232822(1991– 1993);theirsupportisgratefullyacknowledged.Thefinalmanuscriptwasprepared attheEasternIllinoisUniversity;Iamgratefulfortheuseoftheirpremises,which sustainedmyconclusion.IdonotthinkthatIcouldhavemadethislasteffortwithout themoralsupportofmynewly-wedwifeAnitaShelton,professorofhistoryatthe EIU,whohasencouragedmetoreturnto academicworkaftera breakofnearlya decade. This work, which develops ideas of Boiteux and Koopmans, as well as a few new ones, is permeated by Horsley’s way of thinking about scientific problems. His fundamental conviction, grounded in his training and research in elementary particle physics,was that new mathematicalframeworkscouldofferopportunities fortheoriesofgreaterverisimilitudewithnewinsightsandresults.Icouldnotagree more.Rigouris,ofcourse,derigueurthesedays,butitbecomesrigormortisifall itservesisaformalextensionofexistingknowledge.Ihopethatthisbookwillhelp tovindicateTony’sstance. Charleston,Illinois,USA AndrewJ.Wrobel August2015 v Contents 1 Introduction .................................................................. 1 2 Peak-Load Pricing with Cross-Price Independent Demands:ASimpleIllustration............................................ 15 2.1 Short-RunApproachtoSimplestPeak-LoadPricingProblem...... 15 2.2 ReinterpretingCostRecoveryasaValuationCondition............. 17 2.3 EquilibriumPricesfortheSingle-ConsumerCase................... 18 3 CharacterizationsofLong-RunProducerOptimum .................... 21 3.1 CostandProfitasValuesofProgrammeswithQuantity Decisions............................................................... 21 3.2 Split SRP Optimization: A Primal-Dual System fortheShort-RunApproach........................................... 25 3.3 Duality:Cost andProfit asValuesof Programmes withShadow-PriceDecisions......................................... 26 3.4 SRPandSRCOptimizationSystems................................. 38 3.5 SRC/PPartialDifferentialSystemfortheShort-RunApproach.... 40 3.6 OtherDifferentialSystems............................................ 42 3.7 TransformationsofDifferentialSystemsbyUsingSSLorPIR..... 43 3.8 Summary of Systems Characterizing Long-Run ProducerOptimum .................................................... 45 3.9 Extended Wong-Viner Theorem and Other TranscriptionsfromSRPtoLRC ..................................... 47 3.10 DerivationofDualProgrammes ...................................... 52 3.11 Shephard-HotellingLemmasandTheirDualCounterparts......... 53 3.12 Dualityfor LinearProgrammeswith Nonstandard ParametersinConstraints ............................................. 62 4 Short-RunProfitApproachtoLong-RunMarketEquilibrium ........ 73 4.1 OutlineoftheShort-RunApproach................................... 73 4.2 DetailedFrameworkforShort-RunProfitApproach ................ 80 vii viii Contents 5 Short-RunApproachtoElectricityPricinginContinuousTime....... 91 5.1 TechnologiesforElectricityGenerationandEnergyStorage ....... 91 5.2 OperationandValuationofElectricPowerPlants................... 97 5.3 Long-RunEquilibriumwithPumpedStorageorHydro GenerationofElectricity .............................................. 109 6 Existence of Optimal Quantities and Shadow Prices withNoDualityGap......................................................... 119 6.1 Preclusion of Duality Gaps by Semicontinuity ofOptimalValues...................................................... 119 6.2 SemicontinuityofCostandProfitinQuantityVariables OverDualBanachLattices............................................ 122 6.3 SolubilityofCostandProfitProgrammes............................ 131 6.4 Continuity of Profit and Cost in Quantities andSolubilityofShadow-PricingProgrammes...................... 133 7 ProductionTechniqueswithConditionallyFixedCoefficients.......... 137 7.1 ProducerOptimumWhenTechnicalCoefficientsAre ConditionallyFixed.................................................... 137 7.2 DerivationofDualProgrammesandKuhn-TuckerConditions ..... 142 7.3 VerificationofProductionSetAssumptions.......................... 148 7.4 ExistenceofOptimalOperationandPlantValuation andTheirEqualitytoMarginalValues ............................... 150 7.5 LinearProgrammingforTechniqueswithConditionally FixedCoefficients ..................................................... 152 8 Conclusions................................................................... 155 A ExampleofDualityGapBetweenSRPandFIVProgrammes.......... 157 B ConvexConjugacyandSubdifferentialCalculus ........................ 161 B.1 ThesemicontinuousEnvelope ........................................ 161 B.2 TheConvexConjugateFunction...................................... 162 B.3 SubgradientsandSubdifferentiability................................ 164 B.4 ContinuityofConvexFunctions...................................... 166 B.5 ConcaveFunctionsandSupergradients............................... 167 B.6 SubgradientsofConjugates........................................... 168 B.7 SubgradientsofPartialConjugates ................................... 171 B.8 ComplementabilityofPartialSubgradientstoJointOnes........... 176 C NotationList.................................................................. 183 References......................................................................... 193 List of Figures Fig.2.1 Short-runapproachtolong-runequilibriumofsupply and(cross-priceindependent)demandforthermally generatedelectricity:(a)determinationoftheshort-run equilibriumpriceandoutputforeachinstantt,given acapacityk;(b)and(d)trajectoriesoftheshort-run equilibriumpriceandoutput;(c)theshort-runcost curve.Whenkissuchthattheshadedareain(b)equals r,theshort-runequilibriumisthelong-runequilibrium............. 16 Fig.3.1 Decision variables and parameters for primal programmes(optimizationof:long-runprofit,short-run profit, long-runcost, short-runcost) and for dual programmes(priceconsistencycheck,optimization of:fixed-inputvalue,outputvalue,outputvalueless fixed-inputvalue).Ineachprogrammepair,thesame pricesandquantities—.p;y/foroutputs,.r;k/forfixed inputs,and.w;v/forvariableinputs—aredifferently partitionedintodecisionvariablesanddata(whichare subdividedintoprimalanddualparameters).Arrows leadfromprogrammestosubprogrammes........................... 32 Fig.4.1 Flow chart for an iterative implementation of the short-runprofit approachto long-runmarket equilibrium. For simplicity, all demand for the industry’soutputsisassumedtobeconsumerdemand thatisindependentofprofitincome,andallinputprices arefixed(intermsofthenumeraire).Absenceofduality gapandexistenceoftheoptima(rO,yO)canbeensuredby usingtheresultsofSects.6.1to6.4 .................................. 74 ix

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