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The money myth: a classic introduction to the modern world of finance and investing PDF

273 Pages·2012·5.047 MB·English
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14.1 CMYK Alexander Davidson is a senior editor ‘For those who wonder where the financial system is taking us but T ‘A must-read counterblast to the investment industry’s marketing We all know that money is important: H for Thomson Reuters GRC, where cannot resist the temptation to get involved themselves, Alexander E millions. It gives invaluable City insider knowledge.’ the world could not function without he specialises in financial services Davidson’s book takes the reader on an invigorating romp of M Tony Levene, personal investment author and journalist it. Yet at the same time we all have a regulation and compliance. He is author markets and the whole panorama of the financial status quo.’ blind faith in the money myth. This myth of many financial books, including three Gavin Oldham, Chief Executive, The Share Centre O tells us that you can trust a company, acclaimed Times newspaper guides to THE a stockbroker, the regulator and the N how the financial markets work. Before ‘An informed guide for the not-yet-fully-seasoned investor.’ claims of ethical standards. The City and becoming a journalist he was a City share Jane Wilson, CEO, Chartered Institute of Public Relations E MONEY MYTH its institutions encourage us to tolerate dealer, until publication of his bestselling Y investment risk and conflict of interests ‘Succinct, up to the minute, and well focused on the current first book, The City Share Pushers, which and to have confidence in the dream that market and the issues which trouble everyone in the market, was subject of a Channel 4 documentary. M you’ll get back more than you’ve paid in. including investors.’ He is a well known commentator on Joanna Page, Partner, Litigation, Allen & Overy Y financial markets. The Money Myth will help you understand T the markets as they really are. Delivering ‘This wise little book takes the reader on a journey into the H you from the murky shadows of the mysterious caves of finance and investment, to discover the financial industry, it gives you timeless monsters and puppeteers who control the market.’ investment wisdom. Catherine Osborne, Professor of Philosophy at the University of East Anglia Above all, The Money Myth will show you how to survive as an investor. Financial markets use persuasion, propaganda and salesmanship to survive. They smooth over weaknesses and highlight their A strengths to seduce us into parting with our money. Investment L products wrapped in euphemism and sold with hyperbole will E X often hide complexity and unclear risk. A N A Classic Introduction D As an investor, you can’t hope to change what goes on behind E the scenes, but you can learn how to ask the right questions and R see through the sales jargon. The Money Myth shows you how D to the Modern World of A to take control of your investments. V I D FINANCE/INVESTING S O Finance and Investing ISBN 978-0-273-75520-3 N Visit our website at 9 780273 755203 www.pearson-books.com Jacket design by Two Associates Jacket images: Shutterstock ALEXANDER DAVIDSON Visit our website at www.pearson-books.com CVR_MONEYMYTHS_55203_CVR.indd 1 05/03/2012 11:15 ‘A must-read counterblast to the investment industry’s marketing millions. It gives invaluable City insider knowledge.’ Tony Levene, personal investment author, journalist and scambuster ‘Alexander Davidson acts an informed guide for the not-yet-fully-seasoned investor. In a wide ranging exploration of the factors that drive share- holder value, he shines his torch beyond company financial results to look at reputation, risk and most of all the interdependent relationships of those working within the square mile and its supporting industries.’ Jane Wilson, Chief Executive Officer, Chartered Institute of Public Relations ‘Ideal bedtime reading for the novice investor, this book demystifies the jargon of financial markets, alerts the neophyte to the many pitfalls and honeytraps and debunks many of the best-known myths about how to make money.’ Professor Laurence Copeland, Cardiff Business School ‘This wise little book takes the reader on a journey into the mysterious caves of finance and investment, to discover the monsters and puppeteers who control the market and either make our money or lose it for us. By linking the current field of financial markets with the age old myths and philosophy of classical antiquity, Davidson helps us to see perennial patterns in human society, the opportunities for greed and manipulation, and the ways in which we in our small boats sail past hazards that tempt us on every side. These timeless truths are put to good use in charting the specific terri- tory of the current financial seas.’ Catherine Osborne, Professor of Philosophy, University of East Anglia ‘It takes confidence to take on the market and put your money where your mouth is. And as The Money Myth makes clear, it is human emotions such as confidence that will in large part determine your fate. This book is engaging and well written, covering the basics of investing as well as some fascinating perspectives on the City.’ Anthony J. Evans, Associate Professor of Economics, ESCP Europe Business School ‘I was delighted to read a business book which highlights the critical impor- tance of risk management and the value of effective insurance. Airmic research shows that risk is an essential board agenda item and many of the most dramatic corporate failures over the last decade have been evidenced by poor risk oversight by the board. The Money Myth provides excellent insights into many of these essential management disciplines.’ John Hurrell, CEO, Airmic ‘This shrewd handbook reveals how regulation and compliance, among other things, can drive share prices as well as City behaviour, and how you should take account of such factors as an investor.’ Joanna Page, partner, head of the corporate and commercial litigation group, Allen & Overy ‘Alexander Davidson opens his new book with a “Wealth Warning” but at least there is no call to issue a health warning – this is no rogue trad- er’s manifesto but a soberly argued guide to the labyrinthine maze that is today’s globalised world of investment opportunities. His text is moreover enlivened and enlightened unusually by references to Classical myths, such as that of Er at the end of Plato’s Republic. These are not mere window- dressing. His occasional use of ancient mythology is intended to illuminate the workings of human nature, as expressed in financial markets.’ Paul Cartledge, A.G. Leventis Professor of Greek Culture, Cambridge University, and Honorary PhD (Economics), University of Thessaly, Greece ‘Recent history has shown us how easily reputations can be damaged. Technological advancement poses enormous opportunity for growth but also introduces reputational risks. It was great to see Alexander Davidson cover these important dimensions and his book will help investors who want to understand the potential impact of risk management practices, for better and for worse, on their shares and other savings.’ Ryan Rubin, UK security and privacy director, Protiviti ‘There is plenty for private investors to ponder over in this punchy and easy-to-read book. Alexander Davidson is forthright in his opinions and his analysis is sound. You don’t need to be a classics scholar – in fact, you don’t need to know much about investing to gain a stack of knowledge from this insight. I welcome any book that helps to demystify the stock market and encourages the public to gain a share of the wealth that the City offers.’ Rodney Hobson, financial journalist and author ‘For those who wonder where the financial system is taking us but cannot resist the temptation to get involved themselves, Alexander Davidson’s book takes the reader on an invigorating romp of markets and the whole panorama of the financial status quo. Woven throughout is the imagery of Greek mythol- ogy which also bears much of the same characteristics of moths being drawn into flames, but the Greeks were not – and indeed are not – so fortunate as British investors in that the latter now have Alexander Davidson as a guide.’ Gavin Oldham, Chief Executive, The Share Centre The Money Myth A classic introduction to the modern world of finance and investing Alexander Davidson PEARSON EDUCATION LIMITED Edinburgh Gate Harlow CM20 2JE Tel: +44 (0)1279 623623 Fax: +44 (0)1279 431059 Website: www.pearson.com/uk First published in Great Britain in 2012 © Alexander Davidson 2012 The right of Alexander Davidson to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. Pearson Education is not responsible for the content of third-party internet sites. ISBN: 978-0-273-75520-3 British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Davidson, Alexander, 1957– The money myth : a classic introduction to the modern world of finance and investing / Alexander Davidson. p. cm. Includes index. ISBN 978-0-273-75520-3 (limp) 1. Investments. 2. Finance. I. Title. HG4521.D129 2012 332--dc23 2012002451 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without either the prior written permission of the publisher or a licence permitting restricted copying in the United Kingdom issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency Ltd, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby Street, London EC1N 8TS. This book may not be lent, resold, hired out or otherwise disposed of by way of trade in any form of binding or cover other than that in which it is published, without the prior consent of the publisher. All trademarks used herein are the property of their respective owners. The use of any trademark in this text does not vest in the author or publisher any trademark ownership rights in such trademarks, nor does the use of such trademarks imply any affiliation with or endorsement of this book by such owners. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 16 15 14 13 12 Typeset in 10pt Galliard by 30 Printed and bound in Great Britain by Ashford Colour Press Ltd, Gosport, Hants Contents Dedication vii Acknowledgements ix Introduction 1 Part One The investor’s journey 7 Chapter 1 The rational stock market investor 9 Chapter 2 Magic numbers 21 Chapter 3 Safe havens 31 Chapter 4 Charm trap 37 Part Two Trading to win 47 Chapter 5 The disciplined share trader 49 Chapter 6 Bear market toolkit 59 Chapter 7 Charting dreams 67 Chapter 8 Technical indicator secrets 83 Part Three The professionals at work 91 Chapter 9 Investment banking power 93 Chapter 10 The super traders 101 Chapter 11 Derivatives chaos 107 Chapter 12 Currency markets miasma 113 Part Four Your money 119 Chapter 13 Bank tricks 121 Chapter 14 Collective investments unmasked 131 Chapter 15 Pensions crisis 141 Part Five Safety first 151 Chapter 16 Insurance comfort 153 Chapter 17 Risks without frontiers 163 Chapter 18 The price of reputation 171 Chapter 19 Blow-up 179 vi Contents Part Six Rules or ruin 187 Chapter 20 Decline and fall 189 Chapter 21 New rules, new City 195 Chapter 22 Face-lift for the Old Lady 201 Chapter 23 Corporate heartbeat 207 Part Seven Behind the façade 215 Chapter 24 The day of the whistle-blower 217 Chapter 25 Media manoeuvres 221 Chapter 26 The power of perception 229 A final word 237 Appendix 1 Twelve wake-up investment rules 239 Appendix 2 Twelve regulatory trends 243 Appendix 3 Investment software checklist 245 Appendix 4 Useful web sites 247 Appendix 5 Further resources 253 Index 255 Dedication I am dedicating this small book to a group that had a major impact on me, and which inspired me, even many years later, to use classical mythol- ogy to explain financial markets. This is the classics department at St Benedict’s School, Ealing, 1972–76, its teachers, Denis Costello, the late Gill Harrison, Andy Hardman, Basil Nickerson and Vaughan Irons, and my fellow sixth-form pupils, Derek Barretto, Simon Kolka, and Anthony Agius. Wealth warning You will find in this book my experience of financial markets. The views expressed are entirely my own and do not necessarily coincide with those of any parties for whom I work or have worked. The text is for educational purposes only. Do not use it as a definitive source. Above all, this book is no substitute for investment advice. Some of the coverage in the book will date, but the essential truths remain the same. Acknowledgements My thanks to the Association of Investment Companies for some help on understanding some finer points on its industry. I am obliged to ShareScope for providing, at my request, some of its excellent charts for this book. May I also offer thanks to Denis Peters, director, corporate commu- nications, at Euroclear, for helping on the section in Chapter 10 concerning back office infrastructure. I am grateful to Professor Catherine Osborne at the University of East Anglia for giving me some useful perspectives on relevant ancient philosophy, which have helped to inform various parts of this book, but were particularly useful for Chapters 19, 25 and 26. I would like to thank Chris Cudmore, my editor at FT Pearson, for giving me the chance to write this book on a subject important to me. Last but not least, I thank Aigulia, my wife, and Acelia, my daughter, for maintaining the home while I was busy on this latest project. Alexander Davidson Abbreviations When I use the name of an organisation for the first time in a chapter, I spell it out in full. Subsequently, I usually abbreviate it. For example, you will find the Financial Services Authority referred to subsequently as the FSA.

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