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The indomitable investor: why a few succeed in the stock market when everyone else fails PDF

254 Pages·2012·1.136 MB·English
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ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiii 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM The Indomitable Investor ffffiirrss..iinndddd ii 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiii 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM The Indomitable Investor Why a Few Succeed in the Stock Market When Everyone Else Fails Steven M. Sears John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiiiii 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM Copyright © 2012 by Steven M. Sears. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions. Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifi cally disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fi tness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor author shall be liable for any loss of profi t or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages. For general information on our other products and services or for technical support, please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at (800) 762-2974, outside the United States at (317) 572-3993 or fax (317) 572-4002. Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print may not be available in electronic books. For more information about Wiley products, visit our web site at www.wiley.com. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data: Sears, Steven M. The Indomitable investor : why a few succeed in the stock market when everyone else fails/Steven M. Sears. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-118-11034-8 (cloth); ISBN 978-1-118-22433-5 (ebk); ISBN 978-1-118-23739-7 (ebk); ISBN 978-1-118-26239-9 (ebk) 1. Stocks. 2. Risk management. 3. Speculation. 4. Portfolio management. I. Title. HG4661.S36 2012 332.63'22—dc23 2012004096 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 ffffiirrss..iinndddd iivv 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM For Kitya, Onward, to Ithaca ffffiirrss..iinndddd vv 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM ffffiirrss..iinndddd vvii 2277//0022//1122 99::4488 AAMM Contents Chapter 1 Risk 1 A Nation of Stock Market Junkies 4 Calm Words for Wild Times 7 Chapter 2 Greed 13 The Hardest Decision 23 The Iron Man 24 Atlas Doesn’t Shrug 27 The Warrior Philosopher 28 Like Monkeys at the Zoo 30 A Context 32 The Danger of Warren Buffett 34 The Value of Errors 35 Chapter 3 Fear 37 The Theory of Contrary Opinion 42 Exile on Wall Street 44 The Media Is the Message 47 Media Misreads Google 49 vii ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiii 2277//0022//1122 99::4499 AAMM viii contents Paulson’s Gamble 50 Buffett’s Goldman Trade 53 Fading the News 53 Chapter 4 The Anatomy of Information 55 The Doors of Perception 58 Anatomy of Information 60 The Future Is Now 63 Show Business 66 Words Are Weapons 68 Trust, but Verify 70 Chapter 5 Chaos 81 Money Never Sleeps 82 Perversities 82 The Black Swan’s Calling Card 85 Map of the Market 86 Don’t Get Skewed 89 Apathy and Fear Are Your Friend 90 Fear Not Black Swans 91 Is MPT MIA or KIA? 92 800 Years of Crisis 97 Fear Gray Swans 98 Chapter 6 Diogenes’ Lantern 103 Performance Is Relative 106 Death by a Thousand Fees 107 Stockbroker Pay 111 Hidden Fees 116 Beware of New Products 116 An Uncomfortable Conversation 117 A Funny Aside 118 Suitability Requirement 119 Fiduciary Standard 120 Shakespeare’s Rule 121 Appeals to Common Sense 121 Trust but Verify 122 Active versus Passive Fund Management 125 ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiiiii 2277//0022//1122 99::4499 AAMM

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