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SPRINGER BRIEFS IN POLITICAL SCIENCE Yang Razali Kassim The Geopolitics of Intervention Asia and the Responsibility to Protect 123 SpringerBriefs in Political Science For furthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/8871 Yang Razali Kassim The Geopolitics of Intervention Asia and the Responsibility to Protect 123 YangRazali Kassim NanyangTechnological University Singapore Singapore ISSN 2191-5466 ISSN 2191-5474 (electronic) ISBN 978-981-4585-47-7 ISBN 978-981-4585-48-4 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-981-4585-48-4 Springer SingaporeHeidelberg New YorkDordrecht London LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013958149 (cid:2)TheAuthor(s)2014 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionor informationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purposeofbeingenteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthe work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of theCopyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the CopyrightClearanceCenter.ViolationsareliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexempt fromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preamble The turn of the twenty-first century has been accompanied by the growing para- mountcyofthehumanconditionorwhatisincreasinglybeingreferredtoashuman security. The post-Cold War peace has been interrupted by turmoil, while the paradigmofthenation-statehascomeunderunprecedentedpressureinthefaceof the increasingly borderless nature of the globalised world. As inter-state conflicts recede to the background, intra-state tensions have increased, triggered by such post-moderncrisesasweakgovernance,weakstatesandfailingstates.Atthesame time,thewell-beingoftheindividualhascomeunderseverestress,aggravatedby the growing disruption in the cosmic order and the balance of nature, caused in large part by destructive human activity. All in all, there is growing primacy of humansecurityasthedegeneratingconditionoftheindividualputsunprecedented pressure on the state to protect the well-being of the people under its care. Attheinternationallevel,thepushfortheprotectionoftheindividualhastaken on the form of a new norm in support of humanitarian intervention called the responsibilitytoprotect(R2P).ButwhiletheUnitedNationshasadoptedR2Pasa principle, many member-states, especially those from the global South, still har- bourseriousreservations.OneofthemostcriticalattitudesistheviewthatR2Pis butadoctrinepushedbytheWestortheindustrialisedNorthunderthecloakofthe UNtoadvanceitshegemonyofthepost-ColdWarinternationalorder.Proponents of this view refers to such assertiveness as ‘new interventionism’. Such critiques have been vociferously dismissed and counter-argued by the advocates of R2P who say there is a crucial, and nuanced, difference between interventionism—including humanitarian interventionism—and R2P. While interventionism justifies the use of force by the international community on ‘humanitarian grounds’, R2P supports the use of force only as a last resort, and even so, only with the unanimous endorsement of the United Nations Security Council in strictly four specific cases of mass atrocity crimes—genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity. But the outbreak of the game-changing people power revolts throughout the MiddleEastandNorthAfricasinceDecember2010—referredtopopularlyasthe ArabSpringbutineffectawaveofuprisingsorpeoplepowerrevolutions—hasput R2Ptotallyonthedefensive.Thisishappeningevenasthenewnormwasforthe first time successfully, though controversially, applied by the international com- munity over Libya. The backlash on R2P has given rise to sharper accusations of v vi Preamble neo-imperialism by the West and consequently a countervailing push in the form ofthe idea oftheresponsibilitywhile protecting (RWP).Since its emergence, the newinternationaldebateisshapingaroundwhetherRWPisanalternativenormto R2P, or whether it marks the implementing phase in the evolution of the doctrine of international protection. Regardless,RWPmarkstheglobalpushandpullovertheideaofhumanitarian intervention. Significantly, this tussle—which is at once intellectual, diplomatic and geopolitical—was being played out in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, beginning with Tunisia and quickly spreading to neighbouring countries Egypt and Libya like a domino until it hovered over Syria. It is over Syria that the international community has been locked in an excruciating stale- mate overwhetherandhow toprotect Syriancivilianstrapped inapoliticalcrisis between an increasingly unpopular regime and a revolting population. This book serves to capture the current geopolitics of international intervention and its relationship with the fledgling doctrine of R2P. ThisbooklooksatthethemeinthecontextofAsiawhichisbroadlydefinedas stretching from West Asia to East Asia. West Asia includes the Middle East, which is approached in the context of the Arab Uprisings or what is popular referredtoasthe‘ArabSpring’,thustouchingNorthernAfrica.Asiaalsoincludes sub-continental Asia, the biggest part of which is India. East Asia in turn encompassestheswatheoflandfromRussianAsiainSiberia,China,Japan,South Korea to Southeast Asia and Australia and Oceania. This conceptual definition of Asia coincides with the one used by Chandra Muzaffar in his book ‘‘Whither WANA?’’ReflectionsontheArabUprisings.HeprefersWANAwhichstandsfor West Asia and North Africa to MENA or the Middle East as WANA describes a geographical region that embraces almost the whole of the Arab world and other countries in that space such as Iran and Turkey. Because it is geographical, he says, it is ideologically neutral (Muzaffar 2013). This brief also serves as an observation of the attitudes and policies of the key countriestowardsR2Pandhumanitarianinterventionbroadlydefinedasthethreat or use of force in the international arena to alleviate human suffering, besides assessingthepossiblefutureofthenormofcivilianprotection.Giventheongoing crisissurroundingR2Pandhumanitarianintervention,morewillcertainlybeheard in the future about this increasingly significant but controversial theme. Yang Razali Kassim Reference Muzaffar, C. (2013). Whither WANA? Reflections on the Arab Uprisings. JUST International. Retrieved December 30 2013, from http://issuu.com/juste-books/ docs/whither_wana_reflections_on_the_ara/1 Contents 1 Rise of the Responsibility While Protecting (RWP). . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.1 New Era of Humanitarian Intervention. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1.1.1 Responsibility While Protecting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.1.2 Beyond R2P?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.2 Geopolitics of RWP. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 1.2.1 Rise of BRICS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 1.3 Genesis and Debates on R2P . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 1.3.1 Humanitarian Intervention and R2P. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2 The Arab Uprisings and the P5 Powers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2.1 R2P’s Tussle Over Syria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 2.2 R2P, Realpolitik and Syria. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.3 The Arab League and R2P. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.4 Future of R2P in the Middle East . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 3 China as a P5 Player. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.1 China and the Arab Uprisings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.1.1 China’s Stance Over International Humanitarian Intervention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 3.1.2 Evolution of China’s Non-intervention Policy. . . . . . . . . 34 3.1.3 Schools of Thought on China’s Attitude Towards Intervention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 3.2 Impact of China’s Evolving Stance on Intervention. . . . . . . . . . 39 3.3 China’s Middle East Policy Towards the Arab Uprisings. . . . . . 40 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 4 China, India, Japan and an Emerging Eastphalian Order? . . . . . . 43 4.1 The Rise of Eastphalia? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 4.2 India and Eastphalia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 4.2.1 India’s Position on Non-intervention. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 4.2.2 Domestic Criticisms of India’s Stance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 4.2.3 India’s Strategic Thinking on Intervention. . . . . . . . . . . 47 vii viii Contents 4.2.4 India’s Place in Eastphalia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 4.3 Japan and R2P . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 4.3.1 Four Contesting Perspectives on R2P . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 4.3.2 The Conservative View. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 4.3.3 Revisionist View. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 4.3.4 The Liberal View . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 4.3.5 The Peaceniks View . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 4.3.6 Japan, R2P and Natural Disasters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 5 ASEAN and R2P. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 5.1 Malaysia’s Unusual Interventionist Stance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 5.2 R2P-Like Situations in Southeast Asia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 5.3 Rohingya: New Test Case of R2P in Southeast Asia . . . . . . . . . 61 5.4 ASEAN’s Attitude Towards R2P. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 5.5 ASEAN’s Doctrine of Non-interference. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 5.6 Reconciling Sovereignty and Humanitarianism . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.7 Typology of R2P Positions in ASEAN. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 5.8 Promoting R2P in Southeast Asia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 5.9 CSCAP Study on R2P 2011 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 6 Critiques and Critics of R2P . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 6.1 ‘New Humanitarianism’? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 6.2 Five Major Critiques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 6.3 The Future of Humanitarian Intervention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 7 Geopolitics of Intervention: Way Forward . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 7.1 Small Five Versus P5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 7.2 Origin of S5: Responsibility Not to Veto (RN2V). . . . . . . . . . . 86 7.3 Reforming the Veto System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 7.4 Genesis of R2NV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 7.5 Beyond UN Reform. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 7.6 New Politics of Protection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 7.7 R2P, the Emerging Global Order and Eastphalia. . . . . . . . . . . . 94 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 8 Postscript . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 8.1 International Intervention: A Turning Point?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 8.1.1 International Intervention Without International Law?. . . 102 8.1.2 Saudi-US Relations: Intervention and Geopolitical Reconfiguration? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 Chapter 1 Rise of the Responsibility While Protecting (RWP) Abstract The outbreak of a wave of people power revolts, starting in Tunisia in December 2010 and spreading quickly throughout the Middle East and North Africa, caused unprecedented instability in a politically sensitive region. Like a sudden volcanic eruption, the conflagration was as stunning as it was surprising, triggeringmajorsocietalupheavalsfromLibyaandEgypttoYemen,Bahrainand Syria, apart from leading to political changes in other regional states such as Kuwait, Jordan, Morocco, Kuwait, Lebanon and Oman. The revolts or the Arab Spring, as they are popularly referred to in the media, are in effect the Arab Revolution and one of modern history’s unexpected political phenomena. They alsoputtoseveretesttheUnitedNations’experimentinthefledglinginternational relations doctrine known as the Responsibility to Protect (R2P), adopted by the world body just 5 years earlier in 2005. R2P was designed to bridge the gulf between naked unilateral international intervention as in the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, on the one hand, and international helplessness in the face of mass atrocity crimes within the borders of sovereign states, on the other. R2P would permitandjustifyinternationalinterventiononlyasalastresort—whenstatesfail, areunwilling,orareevenbreachingtheirresponsibilitytoprotecttheirownpeople throughstate-inducedmassatrocitycrimes. R2Pwasinvokedforthefirsttimeby theUNduringtheArabUprisings,butquicklybecamecontroversialforleadingto regimechangeinLibya.ThesubsequentbacklashagainstR2Psawmanycountries opposed to its application in Syria and is widely seen as the key cause of the currentpoliticalstalemateintheUN.Attemptstounblockthediplomaticlogjamat theUNhasgivenrisetoanewinitiativeknownas‘responsibilitywhileprotecting’ (RWP).ButisRWPacounter-response torollback R2P,orisitamovetobetter implement R2P as the new doctrine to resolve the international community’s dilemma over human suffering? Keywords Responsibility while protecting (RWP) (cid:2) Responsibility to protect (R2P) (cid:2) Humanitarian intervention (cid:2) Sovereignty (cid:2) BRICS (cid:2) UN security council resolutions 1970 and 1973 Y.R.Kassim,TheGeopoliticsofIntervention,SpringerBriefsinPoliticalScience, 1 DOI:10.1007/978-981-4585-48-4_1,(cid:2)TheAuthor(s)2014 2 1 RiseoftheResponsibilityWhileProtecting(RWP) 1.1 New Era of Humanitarian Intervention In 2011, 6 years after the United Nations overwhelmingly adopted the concept of the Responsibility to Protect (R2P), the world body invoked it twice to protect civilians in Libya from the onslaught of their own government in the wake of the Arab uprisings that swept through the Middle East and North Africa. By way of twoSecurityCouncilresolutions,UNSC1970andUNSC1973,theUNimposeda no-fly zone to prevent the Gaddafi regime from bombing its own citizens and authorised ‘all necessary measures’ to protect ordinary Libyans who had risen up against their longstanding ruler, inspired by the dethronement of other authoritarian leaders first in Tunisia and then in Egypt. The political convulsions had a knock-on effect and spread to other countries in the region specifically YemenandBahrain—convulsionsthatcontinuetoreverberateinSyriaevenatthe time of writing. WhilstthepoliticalupheavalsinTunisiaandEgyptthatbroughtdownPresident Zine al-Bidin and Hosni Mubarak did not lead to international humanitarian intervention,theupheavalinLibyadidbringworldattention,partlybecauseofthe brutalityinflictedbytheGaddafiregimeontheLibyanprotesterswhowerelargely helplessinthefaceoftheregime’satrocities.Yet,thefallofGaddafiunleasheda ragingcontroversyintheinternationalcommunity,especiallyattheUN,precisely because the international humanitarian intervention under R2P had led to regime change—which was never the purpose of R2P. Indeed, a fundamental principle separating R2P from its predecessor conception of humanitarian intervention was thatR2Pwouldstopshortofregimechange.Thisdistinguishingtenetwascentral to the idea of R2P when it was first advanced by its conceptualisers in the 2001 report by the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty (ICISS), primarily to assuage its detractors that R2P was not a post-Cold War version of Western neo-imperialism in disguise. The fall of Gaddafi not only contravened that principle but proved the worst fears of its critics while shaking the confidence of the many fencesitters on the intellectual divide over R2P, especially in the developing world, but also two major veto-wielding powers in the Security Council—Russia and China. The critical impact of this mishandling of R2P in Libya caused a serious setback for UNinterventionwhentheArabuprisingsspreadtoSyriainthesameyearandthe Assad regime responded with armed aggression against a largely defenceless civilianpopulationwhohadalsorisenupagainsttheregime.Amajorcauseofthe setbackwasthedouble-vetobyRussiaandChinawhowereconvincedbynowthat interventionwouldonlyservetheagendaoftheWestandwerethereforestrongly againstaWestern-sponsoredinitiativetopassanR2P-likeresolutionontheAssad regime.Atthetimeofwriting,theUNwasstillsorelyinastalemateoverSyria.It was against this backdrop that an unlikely player—Brazil—initiated the move to bridge the gulf between the proponents and detractors of R2P.

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