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The Fate of Sudan: The Origins and Consequences of a Flawed Peace Process PDF

410 Pages·2012·1.853 MB·English
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The FaTe oF Sudan abouT The auThor John Young has been involved in research around peace, security, governance, federalism conflict, elections, and political parties in the Horn of Africa since 1986, but in recent years has had a particular interest in peace and security issues in Sudan. These research interests have been pursued in various capacities as an independent and UN journalist, academic researcher, Canadian government consultant, peace monitor in the north–south Sudan conflict, evaluator of various peace support programs, and, most recently, political adviser to the Carter Center for the April 2010 national elections and southern Sudan referendum. The FaTe oF Sudan The Origins and COnsequenCes Of a flawed PeaCe PrOCess John Young Zed Books london | new york The Fate of Sudan: The Origins and Consequences of a Flawed Peace Process was first published in 2012 by Zed Books Ltd, 7 Cynthia Street, London n1 9jf, uk and Room 400, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, ny 10010, usa 2nd impression, 2013 www.zedbooks.co.uk Copyright © John Young 2012 The right of John Young to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988 Designed and typeset in Monotype Bulmer by illuminati, Grosmont Cover design by www.roguefour.co.uk Index by Rohan Bolton All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of Zed Books Ltd. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data available isbn 978 1 78032 327 5 ConTenTS acknowledgments vii abbreviations viii map xi preface xiii introduction The Failures of Liberal Peacemaking in Sudan 1 one Protagonists and Peace Partners: The nCP and the SPLM 17 two A Flawed Approach to Peacemaking 79 three Dispensing with Democracy: The April 2010 Elections 134 four Confirming the Inevitable: The January 2011 Referendum 177 five The Three Areas: Blue nile, Southern Kordofan, and Abyei 226 six A Changing Landscape: Political Transitions in South and north Sudan 289 conclusion The Legacy of a Flawed Peace Process 352 postscript 360 notes 364 references 372 index 378 aCknowledgmenTS For a book of this nature there are far too many people to thank. In addition, some cannot be thanked or quoted because given their positions it would cause them embarrassment. There are also many other ordinary but anonymous people who have informed my views. In Sudan a sitt al-chai (tea lady) or a soldier sharing a place in the back of a truck are often more informative than a cabinet minister or general. But, with those caveats, a few people and organizations deserve a particular note of thanks. The first must go to Mahgoub Mohamed Salih, the dean of Sudanese journalism, and the South Sudanese statesman Bona Malwal, who employed me as a neophyte journalist for the Sudan Times between 1986 and 1989 and to whom I still regularly go for advice and wisdom. The second note of ap- preciation is to the Carter Center, which employed me as a political adviser through the final heady days of the Sudan peace process and demonstrated remarkable tolerance for someone whose views were sometimes very different from their own. Lastly, two individuals must be noted. The first is my friend and frequent translator/fixer Riak ‘Franco’ Pouk Nyab for his advice and good humor during our many travels in South Sudan. The second is my wife, Thea Geddert, who shared some of my Sudan adventures, read and corrected drafts of this book, and has been very patient about my passion for Sudan. abbreVIaTIonS ABC Abyei Boundary Commission AEC Assessment and Evaluation Commission AJOC Abyei Joint Oversight Committee ANC African National Congress AU African Union AUHIP African Union High Level Implementation Panel AL Arab League BEG Bahr el Ghazal CANS Civil Administration of New Sudan CCSS Coordinating Council of Southern Sudan CPA Comprehensive Peace Agreement DoP Declaration of Principles DPA Darfur Peace Agreement DUP Democratic Unionist Party EDF Equatoria Defense Force EPLF Eritrean People’s Liberation Front EPRDF Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front GNU Government of National Unity GoS Government of Sudan GoSS Government of South Sudan HAC Humanitarian Affairs Commission ICC International Criminal Court ICF Islamic Charter Front ICG International Crisis Group ix abbreVIaTIonS ICSS Interim Constitution for Southern Sudan IDP Internally displaced person IGAD Inter-Governmental Authority on Development IGADD Inter-Governmental Authority on Drought and Development IMF International Monetary Fund IPF IGAD Partners’ Forum JEM Justice and Equality Movement JIU Joint Integrated Units JLEI Joint Libyan Egyptian Initiative LLMPC Legitimate League of Muslim Preachers and Clerics LRA Lord’s Resistance Army NASC National Alliance for the Salvation of the Country NBI Nile River Basin Initiative NCP National Congress Party NDA National Democratic Alliance NDI National Democratic Institute NEC National Election Commission NIF National Islamic Front NISS National Intelligence and Security Service NLC National Liberation Council NRM/A National Resistance Movement/Army NSCC New Sudan Council of Churches NUP National Umma Party OAG Other armed groups OCV Out of country voting OLF Oromo Liberation Front OLS Operation Lifeline Sudan PAIC Popular Arab and Islamic Conference PCP Popular Congress Party PDF Popular Defense Force PNC Popular National Congress PPLF Political Parties Leadership Forum RCC Revolutionary Command Council RoSS Republic of South Sudan SAF Sudan Armed Forces SANU Sudan African National Union SCP Sudan Communist Party SLM/A Sudan Liberation Movement/Army

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