EUROPEAN ECONOMY Economic Papers 384| September 2009 The Diffusion/Adoption of Innovation in the Internal Market Jordi Suriñach, Corinne Autant-Bernard, Fabio Manca Nadine Massard and Rosina Moreno EUROPEAN COMMISSION Economic Papers are written by the Staff of the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, or by experts working in association with them. The Papers are intended to increase awareness of the technical work being done by staff and to seek comments and suggestions for further analysis. The views expressed are the author’s alone and do not necessarily correspond to those of the European Commission. Comments and enquiries should be addressed to: European Commission Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Publications B-1049 Brussels Belgium E-mail: [email protected] This paper exists in English only and can be downloaded from the website http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications A great deal of additional information is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa server (http://europa.eu ) KC-AI-09-384-EN-N ISSN 1725-3187 ISBN 978-92-79-11195-2 DOI 10.2765/40088 © European Communities, 2009 The Diffusion/Adoption of Innovation in the Internal Market This study was commissioned by Directorate-General Economonic and Financial Affairs and carried out by (1) Jordi Suriñach ([email protected]) (2) Corinne Autant-Bernard ([email protected]) (1) Fabio Manca ([email protected]) (2) Nadine Massard ([email protected]) (1) Rosina Moreno ([email protected]) (1) Anàlisi Quantitativa Regional-IREA (AQR-IREA) – Universitat de Barcelona (2) Centre de Recherches Economiques de l'Université De Saint-Etienne (CREUSET) The Diffusion/Adoption of Innovation in the Internal Market Table of Contents Executive Summary……………………………………………………………………………i Abstract………………………………………………………………………………………xv Introduction, objectives and outline of the report.....................................................................9 Part I. Literature review and analytical framework to study innovation diffusion.................15 I.1. Review of theoretical and empirical studies............................................................16 I.1.1. Stylised facts in the process of diffusion of innovation..................................16 I.1.2. Demand models: Demand-side determinants of the diffusion of innovation.18 I.1.2.1 Theoretical and empirical evidence based on the demand models...............................18 I.1.2.2 Review of main determinants of innovation diffusion on the demand-side.................21 I.1.3. Supply models and Technology characteristics: Supply-side determinants of the diffusion of innovation..............................................................................24 I.1.3.1 Theoretical and empirical evidence based on the supply models.................................24 I.1.3.2 Review of main determinants of innovation diffusion on the supply-side...................25 I.1.4. Review of the literature and the main determinants of innovation adoption as a result of the interaction between supply and demand..................................26 I.1.5. Regulatory environment determinants: Emphasizing the role of IPRs, integration and competition.............................................................................30 I.1.5.1 The role of IPR regimes...............................................................................................32 I.1.5.2 The role of integration and competition.......................................................................36 I.1.6. How innovation diffusion is formalised in empirical literature......................40 I.1.7. Conclusion......................................................................................................43 I.2. Internal Market and innovation diffusion/adoption.................................................45 I.2.1. The IM objectives...........................................................................................45 I.2.2. Why IM may impact on the drivers of innovation diffusion?........................46 I.2.2.1 IM and the awareness about new technologies............................................................47 I.2.2.2 IM and the ability to use and adapt the new technology..............................................48 I.2.2.3 IM and the profitability of adoption.............................................................................49 I.2.3. Conclusion......................................................................................................50 I.3. Theoretical model and empirical strategy...............................................................51 I.3.1. Setup of the basic model.................................................................................52 I.3.2.Endogenous technology...................................................................................52 I.3.3. Innovation diffusion/adoption and the role of the IM.....................................54 I.3.4. Empirical Approach........................................................................................58 I.3.4.1 On the IM approximation.............................................................................................58 I.3.4.2 Estimating the impact of the IM on innovation adoption.............................................59 Part II. Descriptive statistical analysis of the innovation diffusion in EU..............................62 II.1. Using innovation survey to account for innovation diffusion/adoption.................65 II.1.1. Innovation survey: a review .........................................................................65 II.1.2. Target population of the CIS.........................................................................68 II.1.3. Data collection in the CIS3............................................................................69 II.1.3.1 Unit non-response: sampling issues............................................................................69 II.1.3.2 Item non-response.......................................................................................................70 II.1.4. Characteristics of the data..............................................................................70 II.1.5. The database building....................................................................................72 II.1.5.1 CSI3 Macro and Micro data comparisons...................................................................72 II.1.5.2 A database built from Micro and Macro data.............................................................75 II.2. Measuring innovation adoption..............................................................................77 II.2.1. Definition and magnitude of innovation adoption based on CIS3................77 II.2.2. Magnitude of innovation adoption................................................................80 II.2.3. Nature of innovation adoption.......................................................................81 II.3. Descriptive statistics of innovation adoption in the EU.........................................83 II.3.1. Descriptive analysis of adoption rates: General strategies............................84 II.3.2. Descriptive analysis of innovation adoption by countries.............................85 II.3.3. Descriptive analysis of innovation adoption by sector..................................92 II.3.4. Sector compostion and country’s overall performance.................................95 II.4. Descriptive statistics of the potential determinants of innovation adoption in the EU.............................................................................................................................96 II.4.1. Innovation inputs and adoption.....................................................................97 II.4.1.1 Sources of information for innovation: Different country profiles clearly identified but not significatively related to the level of innovation adoption...................................98 II.4.1.2 Innovation expenditure nature and the adoption rate are not significantly associated...................................................................................................................101 II.4.1.3 Human capital resources and adoption rate: a positive but non significant correlation ..................................................................................................................................106 II.4.1.4 A weak positive relationship between adoption rate and organizational changes.....109 II.4.1.5 A non significant correlation between adoption and cooperation in joint R&D........110 II.4.1.6 Conclusion on the relationship between innovation inputs and innovation adoption......................................................................................................................114 II.4.2. Market features and innovation adoption rates............................................114 II.4.2.1 Competition and innovation adoption rates: no significant correlation.....................114 II.4.2.2 The innovation adoption rate seems to be not correlated with the level of trade and negatively correlated with the barriers to trade................................................. 117 II.4.3. Regulatory environment and adoption rate ................................................121 II.4.3.1 Patents and other protection methods and adoption rate...........................................121 II.4.3.2 Internal Market and adoption rate.............................................................................127 II.5. Time profile of innovation adoption in EU countries..........................................133 II.5.1. Towards a more process oriented adoption ................................................134 II.5.2. Divergence in the evolution of the nature of adoption for product and process innovation ...................................................................................................137 II.6. Conclusion: Typology of countries according to their innovation adoption patterns .....................................................................................................................................140 Part III. Econometric Analysis of the Impact of the Internal Market on Innovation Adaption across EU countries.................................................................................................147 III.1. Introduction.........................................................................................................148 III.2. First Stage analysis: the impact of IM regulations on the transmission channels of Innovation Adoption...........................................................................................150 III.2.1. Introduction to the first stage.....................................................................150 III.2.2. Trade channel.............................................................................................151 III.2.3. Cooperation transmission channel.............................................................155 III.2.4. Competition channel..................................................................................158 III.3. Second stage estimates: the impact of the Transmission Channels of Innovation Adoption..............................................................................................................163 III.3.1. Total Innovation Adoption results .............................................................164 III.3.2. Product Innovation Adoption.....................................................................167 III.3.3. Process Innovation Adoption.....................................................................169 III.4. Additional disaggregation of Innovation Adoption ...........................................170 III.4.1. Product Innovation Adoption made in Cooperation.........................................170 III.4.2. Product Innovation Adoption made in Isolation........................................170 III.4.3. Process Innovation Adoption made in Cooperation...................................172 III.4.4. Process Innovation Adoption made in Isolation........................................173 III.5. Additional estimations on the second stage equation: Innovation Adoption equation using micro data...................................................................................174 III.6. Conclusions ........................................................................................................178 Part IV. Analysis of the effects of innovation diffusion/adoption on productivity growth..181 IV.1. Introduction .......................................................................................................182 IV.2. Empirical verification of the relationship between innovation adoption and productivity.........................................................................................................182 IV.2.1. Empirical verification of the relationship between innovation adoption and productivity at the global level...............................................................................183 IV.2.2. Empirical verification of the relationship between innovation adoption and productivity at the sectoral level.............................................................................188 IV.3. Empirical verification of the relationship between innovation adoption and productivity growth...............................................................................................................191 Part V. Policy recommendations...........................................................................................199 V.1. Identifying the determinants of innovation adoption...........................................201 V.1.1. The transmission channels at the macro level......................................................201 V.1.2. Micro-economic determinants of innovation adoption.....................................203 V.1.3. Role of IPR.....................................................................................................................205 V.2. Identifying the IM regulations likely to boost the channels of innovation adoption. .....................................................................................................................................206 V.3. Dealing with the diversity of national profiles....................................................210 V.4. Suggestions for future implemention of CIS data and questionnaries.................212 References.............................................................................................................................214 Appendices of Part I..............................................................................................................231 Appendix I.1. Deeper analysis of the authors with main contributions to the literature on innovation diffusion in the demand-side models.............................231 Appendix I.2. Deeper view of the forces that influence the diffusion of innovation according to the supply models.............................................................233 Appendix I.3. IPRs and the level of development of the economy and the endowment of other factors......................................................................................236 Appendix I.4. Different paths for the diffusion/adoption of innovation......................239 Appendices of Part II.............................................................................................................243 Appendix II.1. Problem of double counting from macro dataset and its implications..........................................................................................243 Appendix II.2. Innovation Adoption by sectors..........................................................247 Appendix II.3. Robustness check of our indicator of Innovation Adoption and discussion of alternative indicators......................................................260 Appendix II.4. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) concerning sources of information for innovation.......................................................................................265 Appendix II.5. Factorial Correspondence Analysis (FCA) and additional descriptive statistics concerning innovative expenditure......................................268 Appendix II.6. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) concerning invention protection methods................................................................................................271 Appendix II.7. Descriptive statistics by country and sector........................................274 Appendix II.8. Typology of EU countries…………………………………………….278 Appendix II.9. Summary of the variables used in part II............................................280 Appendix II.10. Product and Process Innovation Adoption correlation matrices.......283 Appendices of Part III...........................................................................................................287 Appendix III.1. Determinants of trade.........................................................................287 Appendix III.2. Determinants of Cooperation.............................................................288 Appendix III.3. Determinants of Competition.............................................................289 Appendix III.4. Some explanations about variables used in Part III and their definitions............................................................................................290 Appendix III.5. Determinants of Innovation and Innovation Adoption at micro level ..................................................................................................295 Appendix III.6. Summary of the variables used in part III..........................................314 List of Tables.........................................................................................................................318 List of Figures.......................................................................................................................320
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