The Death of Argument APPLIED LOGIC SERIES VOLUME32 Managing Editor Dov M. Gabb ay, Department of Computer Science, King's College, London, U.K. Co-Editor Jon Barwiset Editorial Assistant Jane Spurr, Department of Computer Science, King's College, London, U.K. SCOPE OF THE SERIES Logic is applied in an increasingly wide variety of disciplines, from the traditional subjects of philosophy and mathematics to the more recent disciplines of cognitive science, compu ter science, artificial intelligence, and linguistics, leading to new vigor in this ancient subject. Kluwer, through its Applied Logic Series, seeks to provide a home for outstanding books and research monographs in applied logic, and in doing so demonstrates the underlying unity and applicability of logic. The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume. The Death of Argument Fallacies in Agent Based Reasoning by JOHN WOODS The Abductive Systems Group, University ofB ritish Columbia, Vancouver, Canada and Department of Computer Science, King's College, London, England and Department of Philosophy, University of Lethbridge, Canada Springer-Science+Business Media, B.V. A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. ISBN 978-90-481-6700-5 ISBN 978-1-4020-2712-3 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4020-2712-3 Printed on acid-free paper All Rights Reserved © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2004 Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2004 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2004 No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. For their unstinting support, their love and endless good humour, I dedicate this work to Carol Woods Catherine Armstrong Kelly Woods Michael Woods. Contents Dedication v Preface xiii Acknowledgments XVll Prologue XIX Part I Metatheoretical Questions 1. WHO CARES ABOUT THE FALLACIES? 3 1 Questions About Fallacies. 3 2 The Current State of Fallacy Theory. 5 3 Light At The End Of The Tunnel? 7 4 Their Importance. 12 5 Is That All There Is? 15 6 Critical Thinking 19 7 So What? 20 2. THE NECESSITY OF FORMALISM 25 1 Methodological Pluralism 25 2 Formal Logic 26 3 Nomic Systematicity 30 4 Technical Information 31 5 Theory and Practice 32 5.1 Massey 33 5.2 McPeck 34 5.3 McP**k 35 5.4 Scriven 35 Vlll THE DEATH OF ARGUMENT 6 Pedagogy 36 7 Conclusion 38 8 Appendix A 39 9 Appendix B 39 10 Appendix C 41 3. THE INFORMAL CORE OF FORMAL LOGIC 43 1 Artificial Languages 43 2 The Language of PC 45 3 The Utility of PC 48 4 The Irreducible Informality 49 5 Quantum Logic 53 6 Further Work for Informal Logic 55 7 Informal Theories of Implication and Consistency 60 Part II Threats and Intimidation 4. AD BACULUM AND PASCAL'S WAGER 65 1 The Standard Treatment 65 2 Prudential Argument 66 3 Case One: The Heist 67 4 Case Two: The Anti-smoking Commercial 67 5 Case Three: Pascal's Wager 68 6 Doxastic Surrender 69 7 Inaccessibility to Reason 70 8 The State, the Party and the Wager 71 5. APPEAL TO FORCE 75 1 Arguments From the Stick 75 2 Case One 76 3 Case Two 76 4 Case Three 76 5 Case Four: Risk A version Strategies 77 6 Case Five: The Stick-Up 78 7 Case Six: Negotiations 80 8 Case Seven: Veiled Threats 82 Contents ix 9 Practical Arguments 84 10 Ad Baculum Reasoning 86 10.1 Collective Bargaining 87 10.2 The Mugger 89 10.3 Anti-smoking Arguments 89 10.4 Utilities 90 11 Description of a Basic Model 91 11.1 Example 92 11.2 Example 92 11.3 Propositions 93 11.4 Actions 93 Part III Arguments Involving Reference to Persons 6. DIALECTICAL BLINDSPOTS 97 1 Not Practising What You Preach 97 2 Insincerity and Irrationality 99 3 Explanatory Opacity 104 4 Blindspots 106 5 Trust 107 7. AD HOMINEM 111 1 Johnstone to Locke 111 2 Aristotelian Refutations 112 3 Falsifying Refutations 118 4 Peirastic Refutations 120 5 Proof Ad Hominem 122 8. AND SO INDEED ARE PERFECT CHEAT 125 1 "Fallacies" that aren't Fallacies 125 2 Bias 126 3 Popular Appeals and Common Knowledge 131 4 Preconception and Dogmatism 137 4.1 Ad Verecundiam 138 4.2 Conservatism 139 4.3 Inconsistency 141 5 Doxastic Loyalty 144 X THE DEATH OF ARGUMENT Part IV Pragma-Dialectics 9. PRAGMA-DIALECTICS 151 1 The Pragma-dialectical Approach 151 2 Difficulties 153 3 Unification 155 4 Prospects for Pragma-dialectics 156 10. BUTTERCUPS, GNP'S AND QUARKS 161 1 Theory-dependency 161 2 Fallacies 163 3 Moderate Dependency 165 4 Theory and Analysis 168 11. UNIFYING THE FALLACIES? 171 1 Theory Reductions 171 2 Exemplar Theory 174 3 VEG as Theoretical Stipulation 177 4 Reconciling WW and VEG 179 Part V Intractable Disagreement 12. STANDOFFS IN PUBLIC POLICY 185 1 Degrees of Standoff, Force I-III 185 2 Extremism 187 3 Dealing with Standoffs of Force Five 194 4 Education as Strategy: Persuasion and Thought Control 197 13. STANDOFFS AND DEMORALIZATION 201 1 Demoralization 201 2 Spinning 208 3 Witnessing 211 4 Privatizing the Good 212 5 Indoctrination 214
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