A H a n d b o o k f o r D e v e l o p m e n t P r a c t i t i o n e r s TTeenn SStteeppss ttoo aa RReessuullttss-- BBaasseedd MMoonniittoorriinngg aanndd EEvvaalluuaattiioonn SSyysstteemm Jody Zall Kusek Ray C. Rist THE WORLD BANK A Handbook for Development Practitioners Ten Steps to a Results-Based Monitoring and Evaluation System A Handbook for Development Practitioners TTeenn SStteeppss ttoo aa RReessuullttss--BBaasseedd MMoonniittoorriinngg aanndd EEvvaalluuaattiioonn SSyysstteemm Jody Zall Kusek Ray C. Rist THE WORLD BANK Washington, D.C. © 2004 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 Telephone 202-473-1000 Internet www.worldbank.org E-mail [email protected] All rights reserved. 1 2 3 4 07 06 05 04 The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of the World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorse- ment or acceptance of such boundaries. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission promptly. For permission to photocopy or reprint any part of this work, please send a request with complete information to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA, telephone 978-750-8400, fax 978-750-4470, www.copyright.com. All other queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA, fax 202-522-2422, e-mail [email protected]. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Kusek, Jody Zall, 1952– Ten steps to a results-based monitoring and evaluation system : a hand- book for development practitioners / Jody Zall Kusek and Ray C. Rist. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-8213-5823-5 1. Government productivity—Developing countries—Evaluation. 2. Performance standards—Developing countries—Evaluation. 3. Total quality management in government—Developing countries—Evaluation. 4. Public administration—Developing countries—Evaluation. I. Rist, Ray C. II. Title. JF1525.P67K87 2004 352.3′5—dc22 2004045527 Contents Preface xi About the Authors xiv Introduction Building a Results-Based Monitoring and Evaluation System 1 Part I New Challenges in Public Sector Management 2 International and External Initiatives and Forces for Change 3 National Poverty Reduction Strategy Approach 8 Internal Initiatives and Forces for Change 10 Part 2 Results-BasedM&E—APowerfulPublicManagementTool 11 Monitoring and Evaluation: What Is It All About? 12 Key Features of Traditional Implementation-Focused and Results- Based M&E Systems 15 Many Applications for Results-Based M&E 17 Political and Technical Challenges to Building a Results-Based M&E System 20 Introducing the 10-Step Model for Building a Results-Based M&E System 23 Where to Begin: Whole-of-Government, Enclave, or Mixed Approach 24 Part 3 M&E Experience in Developed and Developing Countries 27 M&E Experience in Developed and OECD Countries 27 Special M&E Challenges Facing Developing Countries 32 M&E Experience in Developing Countries 35 Chapter 1 Step 1: Conducting a Readiness Assessment 39 Part 1 Why Do a Readiness Assessment? 40 Part 2 The Readiness Assessment: Eight Key Questions 43 Part 3 Readiness Assessments in Developing Countries: Bangladesh, Egypt, and Romania 48 vi Contents Part 4 Lessons Learned 49 Chapter 2 Step 2: Agreeing on Outcomes to Monitor and Evaluate 56 The Importance of Outcomes 56 Issues to Consider in Choosing Outcomes to Monitor and Evaluate 57 The Importance of Building a Participatory and Consultative Process involving Main Stakeholders 58 The Overall Process of Setting and Agreeing upon Outcomes 59 Examples and Possible Approaches 61 Chapter 3 Step 3: Selecting Key Performance Indicators to Monitor Outcomes 65 Indicators Are Required for All Levels of Results-Based M&E Systems 66 Translating Outcomes into Outcome Indicators 66 The “CREAM” of Good Performance Indicators 68 The Use of Proxy Indicators 70 The Pros and Cons of Using Predesigned Indicators 72 Constructing Indicators 74 Setting Indicators: Experience in Developing Countries 75 Chapter 4 Step 4: Setting Baselines and Gathering Data on Indicators 80 Establishing Baseline Data on Indicators 81 Building Baseline Information 82 Identifying Data Sources for Indicators 83 Designing and Comparing Data Collection Methods 84 The Importance of Conducting Pilots 86 Data Collection: Two Developing Country Experiences 89 Chapter 5 Step 5: Planning for Improvement—Selecting Results Targets 90 Definition of Targets 90 Factors to Consider When Selecting Performance Indicator Targets 91 Examples of Targets Related to Development Issues 93 The Overall Performance-Based Framework 94 Chapter 6 Step 6: Monitoring for Results 96 Part 1 Key Types and Levels of Monitoring 98 Links between Implementation Monitoring and Results Monitoring 101 Part 2 Key Principles in Building a Monitoring System 103 Achieving Results through Partnership 105 Needs of Every Results-Based Monitoring System 106 The Data Quality Triangle: Reliability, Validity, and Timeliness 108 Contents vii Analyzing Performance Data 111 Pretesting Data Collection Instruments and Procedures 112 Chapter 7 Step 7: The "E" in M&E—Using Evaluation Information to Support a Results-Based Management System 113 Uses of Evaluation 115 The Timing of Evaluations 118 Types of Evaluations 121 Characteristics of Quality Evaluations 126 Examples of Evaluation at the Policy, Program, and Project Levels 128 Chapter 8 Step 8: Reporting the Findings 129 The Uses of Monitoring and Evaluation Findings 130 Know and Target the Audience 130 Presentation of Performance Data in Clear and Understandable Form 132 What Happens If the M&E System Produces Bad Performance News? 136 Chapter 9 Step 9: Using the Findings 138 Uses of Performance Findings 138 Additional Benefits of Using Findings: Feedback, Knowledge, and Learning 140 Strategies for Sharing Information 146 Chapter 10 Step 10: Sustaining the M&E System within the Organization 151 Six Critical Components of Sustaining Results-Based M&E Systems 152 The Importance of Incentives and Disincentives in Sustaining M&E Systems 155 Possible Problems in Sustaining Results-Based M&E Systems 155 Validating and Evaluating M&E Systems and Information 160 M&E: Stimulating Positive Cultural Change in Governments and Organizations 160 Last Reminders 160 Chapter 11 Making Results-Based M&E Work for You and Your Organization 162 Why Results-Based M&E? 162 How to Create Results-Based M&E Systems 165 Summing Up 170 viii Contents Annexes: Annex I: Assessing Performance-Based Monitoring and Evaluation Capacity: An Assessment Survey for Countries, Development Institutions, and Their Partners 174 Annex II: Readiness Assessment: Toward Results-Based Monitoring and Evaluation in Egypt 178 Annex III: Millennium Development Goals (MDGs): List of Goals and Targets 200 Annex IV: National Evaluation Policy for Sri Lanka: Sri Lanka Evaluation Association (SLEva) jointly with the Ministry of Policy Development and Implementation 204 Annex V: Andhra Pradesh (India) Performance Accountability Act 2003: (Draft Act) (APPAC Act of 2003) 211 Annex VI: Glossary: OECD Glossary of Key Terms in Evaluation and Results-Based Management (2002) 223 Notes 230 References 231 Useful Web Sites 235 Additional Reading 236 Index 239 Boxes i.i Millennium Development Goals 4 i.ii Example of Millennium Development Goal, Targets, and Indicators 5 i.iii Transparency International 6 i.iv The Power of Measuring Results 11 i.v Key Features of Implementation Monitoring versus Results Monitoring 17 i.vi Australia’s Whole-of-Government Model 29 i.vii France: Lagging Behind but Now Speeding Ahead in Governmental Reform 30 i.viii Republic of Korea: Well on the Road to M&E 31 i.ix Malaysia: Outcome-Based Budgeting, Nation Building, and Global Competitiveness 36 i.x Uganda and Poverty Reduction—Impetus toward M&E 37 1.1 The Case of Bangladesh—Building from the Bottom Up 50 1.2 The Case of Egypt—Slow, Systematic Moves toward M&E 51 1.3 The Case of Romania—Some Opportunities to Move toward M&E 52 3.1 Indicator Dilemmas 71 3.2 The Africa Region’s Core Welfare Indicators 76 3.3 Sri Lanka’s National Evaluation Policy 77 3.4 Albania’s Three-Year Action Plan 78 3.5 Program and Project Level Results Indicators: An Example from the Irrigation Sector 79 3.6 Outcome: Increased Participation of Farmers in Local Markets 79 4.1 Albania’s Strategy for Strengthening Data Collection Capacity 88
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