Studies in Economic Transition General Editors: Jens Hölscher, Reader in Economics, University of Brighton; andHorst Tomann, Professor of Economics, Free University Berlin This series has been established in response to a growing demand for a greater understanding of the transformation of economic systems. It brings together theoretical and empirical studies on economic transition and economic devel- opment. The post-communist transition from planned to market economies is one of the main areas of applied theory because in this field the most dramatic examples of change and economic dynamics can be found. The series aims to contribute to the understanding of specific major economic changes as well as to advance the theory of economic development. The implications of economic policy is a major point of focus. Titles include: Irwin Collier, Herwig Roggemann, Oliver Scholz and Horst Tomann (editors) WELFARE STATES IN TRANSITION East and West Hella Engerer PRIVATIZATION AND ITS LIMITS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE Property Rights in Transition Hubert Gabrisch and Rüdiger Pohl (editors) EU ENLARGEMENT AND ITS MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS IN EASTERN EUROPE Currencies, Prices, Investment and Competitiveness Oleh Havrylyshyn DIVERGENT PATHS IN POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION Capitalism for All or Capitalism for the Few? Jens Hölscher (editor) FINANCIAL TURBULENCE AND CAPITAL MARKETS IN TRANSITION COUNTRIES Jens Hölscher and Anja Hochberg (editors) EAST GERMANY’S ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT SINCE UNIFICATION Domestic and Global Aspects Mihaela Kelemen and Monika Kostera (editors) CRITICAL MANAGEMENT RESEARCH IN EASTERN EUROPE Managing the Transition Emil J. Kirchner (editor) DECENTRALIZATION AND TRANSITION IN THE VISEGRAD Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia Tomasz Mickiewicz ECONOMIC TRANSITION IN CENTRAL EUROPE AND THE COMMONWEALTH OF INDEPENDENT STATES Julie Pellegrin THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF COMPETITIVENESS IN AN ENLARGED EUROPE Stanislav Poloucek (editor) REFORMING THE FINANCIAL SECTOR IN CENTRAL EUROPEAN COUNTRIES Gregg Robins BANKING IN TRANSITION East Germany after Unification Johannes Stephan ECONOMIC TRANSITION IN HUNGARY AND EAST GERMANY Gradualism and Shock Therapy in Catch-up Development Johannes Stephan TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER VIA FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE Theory, Method of Research and Empirical Evidence Hans van Zon THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF INDEPENDENT UKRAINE Adalbert Winkler (editor) FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN EASTERN EUROPE The First Ten Years Studies in Economic Transition Series Standing Order ISBN 0–333–73353–3 (outside North America only) You can receive future titles in this series as they are published by placing a standing order. Please contact your bookseller or, in case of difficulty, write to us at the address below with your name and address, the title of the series and the ISBN quoted above. Customer Services Department, Macmillan Distribution Ltd, Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, England Technology Transfer via Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern Europe Theory, Method of Research and Empirical Evidence Edited by Johannes Stephan Selection and editorial matter © Johannes Stephan 2006 Individual chapters © contributors 2006 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 4LP. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2006 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 Companies and representatives throughout the world PALGRAVE MACMILLAN is the global academic imprint of the Palgrave Macmillan division of St. Martin’s Press, LLC and of Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. Macmillan® is a registered trademark in the United States, United Kingdom and other countries. Palgrave is a registered trademark in the European Union and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-54796-8 ISBN 978-0-230-52448-4 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780230524484 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Technology transfer via foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern Europe : theory, method of research and empirical evidence / edited by Johannes Stephan. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. 1. Investments, Foreign–Europe, Eastern. 2. Investments, Foreign–Europe, Central. 3. Technology transfer–Europe, Eastern. 4. Technology transfer–Europe, Central. I. Stephan, Johannes, 1966– HG5430.7.A3T43 2006 338.947′026–dc22 2006051475 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 Contents List of Tables vii List of Figures ix Preface xi Acknowledgements xv Notes on the Contributors xvii List of Abbreviations xix Introduction xxi Part I Theory and Review of the Latest Research on the Effects of FDI into Central East Europe 1 Introduction: The Scope of the Review 3 Björn Jindra 2 The Theoretical Framework: FDI and Technology Transfer 6 Björn Jindra FDI, foreign subsidiary and MNC 6 MNEs 7 Technology transfer 8 Technology transfer via inward FDI 16 Classification of determinants for technology transfer 27 Principal research questions 29 3 Empirical Studies: Approaches, Methodological Problems and Findings 30 Björn Jindra Methodological challenges 30 Meta-analysis of traditional econometric studies 35 Mezzo-analysis in technology transfer research 65 4 Conclusions Drawn from the Latest Research: Lessons, Limits and New Research Trends 72 Björn Jindra Lessons from existing research 72 Limits of existing research and new research trends 72 The broader research agenda 74 v vi Contents Part II Empirical Studies 5 FDI, Productivity and Economic Restructuring in Central and Eastern Europe 77 Judit Hamar and Johannes Stephan International theory of trade and finance 77 National and industrial labour productivity levels 79 The importance of FDI in CEE economies 83 The changing focus of foreign investors, by broad sectors of the economy 85 The penetration of CEECs’ manufacturing industry by FDI 86 The role of FIEs in CEECs’ productivity improvements 87 The role of FIEs in technology upgrading 89 6 An Econometric Study of Estonia and Slovenia: The Effect of FDI on Labour Productivity 96 Priit Vahter Introduction 96 Theoretical background 96 Previous empirical literature 102 Data and descriptive statistics 105 General model and econometric concerns 114 Estimation results 119 Conclusions 123 7 Results of a Fieldwork Project 126 Judit Hamar and Johannes Stephan Introduction 126 Conceptual framework: the taxonomy for FIEs and potential for technology transfer 127 The main features of the sample 132 The empirical taxonomy of FIEs and potential for internal technology transfer 134 Intensity of integration with the host economy and potential for external technology transfer 145 The potential for internal and external technology transfer: summary of results 152 Determinants of FIE development 153 Appendix: The Questionnaire 160 Bibliography 165 Index 176 List of Tables 2.1 Explicit channels for internal and external effects via foreign subsidiaries 17 2.2 A classification of determinants for technology transfer via inward FDI 26 3.1 Overview of econometric studies, 1998–2004 36 3.2 Summary of the meta-analysis 49 3.3 Determinants tested in econometric studies in the sample 63 3.4 Determinants of technology (meta- and mezzo-analysis) 68 5.1 National and industrial labour productivity levels, selected CEECs, 2002 80 5.2 Structural adjustments: the share of manufacturing sectors, by employment and by gross value added, 1993 and 2000 81 5.3 Inward FDI stock as a percentage of GDP, 1995–2002 83 5.4 FIEs’ share in the Hungarian economy, 1992–2001 84 5.5 Inward FDI flows as a percentage of gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), 1991–2002 85 5.6 Stock of FDI in manufacturing and some major service sectors, 1998, 2000–2 86 5.7 FIEs’ share in manufacturing industries, 2000 and 2001 87 5.8 Performance differences between FIEs and DEs, 2000 and 2001 88 5.9 Structure of FIEs according to technology levels of manufacturing industries 90 5.10 Importance of FIEs, by technological level 91 6.1 Data description, 1994–2001 108 6.2 Descriptive statistics on the share of FDI in Estonia and Slovenia, 2001 and 2000 108 6.3 Estonia: productivity difference between the four types of firms, 1996–2001 109 6.4 Slovenia: productivity difference between the four types of firms, 1994–2000 113 6.5 Average monthly wages in manufacturing, selected CEECs, 2000–2 114 vii viii List of Tables 6.6 Slovenia: regression results of the estimated model, the effect of FDI on productivity, 1994–2000 118 6.7 Estonia: regression results of the estimated model, the effect of FDI on productivity, 1996–2001 118 6.8 The first stage of the Heckman-type two-step procedure 120 6.9 The effect of FDI on productivity 121 7.1 Distribution of firms, according to technology and country 132 7.2 Distribution of sample FIEs, by country and size 133 7.3 Autonomy indices and FIE productivity growth in the complete sample 136 7.4 Distribution sales and purchases, by regions 146 7.5 Share of backward and forward linking FIEs and the OPT type of FIEs 148 7.6 Indicators for non-material external technology transfer potential 150 7.7 Results of a stepwise OLS regression in five model specifications 156 List of Figures 2.1 General channels of technology transfer and transfer via the foreign subsidiary 9 3.1 Results for technology transfer via foreign subsidiaries in the transmission economies 62 5.1 FDI and national labour productivity, 1993, 2000 and 2002 78 5.2 FDI inflows into CEECs, by host region, 1991–6, 1994–2002 82 5.3 Hourly industrial labour costs in manufacturing industry, European countries, 2000 94 6.1 FDI inflows into Estonia and Slovenia, 1998–2002 106 7.1 The conceptual taxonomy of FIEs and potential for technology transfer 130 7.2 Empirical taxonomy of FIEs and potential for technology transfer: sector-specific groups of subsidiaries 140 7.3 Empirical taxonomy of FIEs and potential for technology transfer: country-specific groups of subsidiaries 143 ix