Technological Forecasting and Social Change 1991: Vol 39 Index

7 Pages·1991·0.9 MB·English

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 39 Author Index
Ausubel, J., 2, 11 Leporelli, C., 363
Ayres, R.U., 7, 145 Levine, D., 253
Linstone, H.A., 319, 417
Bolger, F., 235 Luper, D.C., 377
Bommer, M.R.W., 377
Bonanzinga, P., 363 Mahajan, V., 291
Brooks, H., 4, 5, 103 Marazita, C.F., 397
Marom, D., 309
Martino, J.P., 335
Cabe, R., 265
Modelski, G., 3, 23
Chiang, J.-T., 391
Muller, E., 291
Coates, J.F., 327, 331, 411
Muysken, J., 201
De Greene, K.B., 349
Nakiéenovié, N., 1, 8, 181
De Wit, G.R., 201
Nicolo, E., 363
Diederen, P.J.M., 9, 201
Nijkamp, P., 3, 45
Dinar, A., 309
Peirce, W.S., 3, 35
Ezekoye, I., 7, 145 Perry Ill, G., 3, 23
Gordon, T.J., 337 Rakel, H., 253
Griibler, A., 1, 7, 159 Renn, O., 253
Rosegger, G., 4, 81
Hjelm, J., 9, 221 Rowe, G., 235
Silverberg, G., 3, 4, 67
Janaro, R.E., 377
Tilton, J.E., 5, 127
Kamann, D.-J.F., 3, 45
Kelley, M.R., 4, 5, 103 Webler, T., 253
Kemp, R.P.M., 201 Wright, G., 235
Volume 39 Book Review Index
Ernste, H., and Jaeger, C., eds., Information Society and Spatial Structure, 327
Golden, W.T., ed., Science and Technology Advice to the President, Congress, and Judiciary,
331
Knezo, G.J., White House Office of Science and Technology Policy: An Analysis, 331
Miller Center of Public Affairs, Report of the Miller Center Commission on the Presidency and
Science Advising, 331
National Academy of Sciences, Science and Technology Advice in the White House:
Recommendations for President-Elect George Bush, 331
Reiss, M., Without the Bomb, 335
Thompson, K.W., ed., The Presidency and Science Advising, 331
Toffler, A., Powershift, 417
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 39 Subject Index
Adoption Complementarity
of computers in agricultural extension, 309 in diffusion, 145
of contingent product, 291 Computer technologies
evolutionary process in, 67 in agricultural extension, 309
of new telecommunication service, 363 need for paradigm shift in, 349
of primary product, 291 Concentration
by small firms, 103 of control, 322
After-tax pay Contingent products
of corporate chief executive officers in USA, pricing and diffusion of, 291
321 Control
Agricultural extension concentration versus diffusion of, 322
rates and patterns of computer adoption and use Cost-sharing principles
in, 309 in research and development technology
Appropriability programs, 391
of technical change, 70 Crazy companies
Appropriateness in diffusion of technologies and social behavior,
in international technology transfer, 377 11
Area of specialization
adoption and use of computers in agricultural Delphi technique
extension affected by, 309 group variation on, 253
Artificial intelligence systems reevaluation of, 235
need for paradigm shift in, 349 Demand-pull hypothesis
Auto industry in technogenesis, 46
interfirm cooperation in, 82 Democracy
Automation diffusion of, |
programmable, 103 long perspective on development of, 23
world increase in, 321
Banking, in Holland Depression-trigger hypothesis
diffusion of process technology in, 201 in technogenesis, 46
Beverage container industry, in USA Deterministic substitution model
material substitution in, 127 in technological evolution, 146
Bifurcations Diffusion
in spatial dynamics, 45 competition in, 145
Bounded rationality complementarity in, 145
circumvention of in technology programs, 391 of computers, 309
of control, 322
Catch-up effect of innovation, |
in diffusion of pervasive systems, 181 through interfirm cooperation, 81
Census Bureau, USA long-term patterns and discontinuities in, 159
gap between rich and poor estimated by, 321 of new telecommunication service, 363
Ceteris paribus qualification of pervasive systems, 181
for theoretical work, 265 of primary and contingent products, 291
Chain saw of process innovations to small firms, 103
in Swedish forestry, 221 of process technology in Dutch banking, 201
Chaotic behavior in “Single Europe”, 35
in spatial dynamics, 45 of social behavior, 11
Chaotic series of technologies, 11, 67, 265
forecasting of using regression, 337 in turbulent environment, 45
Collective evolutionary process Discontinuities, long-term
adoption and diffusion of technology as, 67 of diffusion, 159
Collective invention Discrete time model
as concept of innovation, 69 for adoption of new telecommunication service,
Collectivism, in USA 363
trends in, 323 Dominant design
Common Market of Six of innovations, 70
jurisdictional integration in, 36 Durable investment
Competition under technological change, 69
in diffusion, 145 Dynamic interpretive model
in international technology transfer, 377 network constraints and service quality in, 363
in research and development technology Dynamics
programs, 391 rat-race, 11
SUBJECT INDEX
Economic restructuring for European Communities, 35
in 1980s, 45 Industrial rejuvenation
Electric power system in 1980s, 45
development of, 70 Industry, in USA
Energy resources technological needs of versus industrial research
long-term prospects for, 321 at engineering research centers, 397
Engineering research centers Information resources
industrial research at versus technological needs long-term prospects for, 321
of U.S. industry, 397 Information technology
Environmental conditions in Dutch banking sector, 201
of recipient country in international technology Innovation diffusion
transfer, 377 as collective evolutionary process, 67
Equilibrium diffusion of technological change new perspectives on, |
through multiple processes, 265 in “Single Europe”, 35
Europe to small firms, 103
innovation and diffusion in, 35 Institutional structure
large technology-based systems in, 349 for European Communities, 35
European Communities Integrated firms
institutional structure and industrial prospects pricing and diffusion of primary and contingent
for, 35 products by, 291
Evolutionary ergonomics Interfirm cooperation
integrated design/operations concept illustrated diffusion through, 81
by, 349 International competition
Expert systems attenuation of, 37
need for paradigm shift in, 349 International debt
Extension discipline development of, 319
adoption and use of computers in agricultural International technology transfer
extension affected by, 309 manufacturing strategy model for, 377
External learning opportunities Israel
for small firms, 103 computer technology adoption by agricultural
extension in, 309
Fisher—Pry substitution model
of technological change, 23 Japan
Forecasting large technology-based systems in, 349
of chaotic series using regression, 337 plants built by in European Communities, 35
Forestry, in Sweden VLSI project in, 391
chain saw in, 221 Joint projects
From my perspective [column], 319, 411 between multinational enterprises, 82
Full cost endorsement Jurisdictional integration
for technology programs, 391 in European Communities, 35
Know-how trading
Gap between rich and poor
in USA, 321 in utilization of new technology, 104
Kondratieff cycles
Gompertz curve
in technogenesis, 45
in technological evolution, 145
Government funding strategy
in technology programs, 391 Large technology-based systems
Greenhouse effect and need for paradigm shift, 349
challenge presented by, 321 Learning
concept of, 70
Life-cycle model
Heterogenous agents of technological evolution, 145
changing circumstances in environment of, 265 Light bulb
Holland development of, 70
banking in, 201 Likert scaling
Human capital variables in group Delphi technique, 253
adoption and use of computers in agricultural Lock-in mechanism
extension affected by, 309 in technological evolution, 146
Long waves
Incentive structures in technogenesis, 45
heterogeneity of, 103
Individualism, in USA Managerial implications
trends in, 323 of pricing and diffusion of primary and
Industrial prospects contingent products, 291
424 SUBJECT INDEX
Manufacturing strategy model of pricing and diffusion of primary and
for international technology transfer, 377 contingent products, 291
Materials resources
long-term prospects for, 321 Rat-race dynamics
Material substitution in diffusion of technologies and social behavior,
role of new technology in, 127 il
Megalopolis, global Reapers
tensions and violence in, 320 diffusion of, 68
Military buildup Recipient country
as factor in international debt, 319 resource infrastructure of, 377
Multinational enterprises Recursive equation, nonlinear
cooperative agreements among, 81 chaotic sequence produced by, 337
Multiple process models Regression
for equilibrium diffusion of technological forcasting a chaotic series using, 337
change, 265 Research and development
collective evolutionary process in, 69
National Science Foundation government funding strategy in, 391
engineering research center program of, 397
Network constraints — Schumpeterian viewpoint
in dynamic interpretive model, 363 on endogeneity of Kondratieff cycles, 45
Service quality
Octane, case of in dynamic interpretive model, 363
in competition and complementarity in Sewage sludge, application of to farmland
diffusion, 145 risk assessment of, 253
Ontogenic model Small firms
of technological evolution, 145 diffusion of process innovations to, 103
Open questions Social behavior
in group Delphi technique, 253 diffusion of, 11
Origins Sociotechnical systems
in turbulent environment, 45 need for paradigm shift in, 349
Spatial development
Paradigm shift in technogenesis, 45
need for in large technology-based systems, 349 Strategic partnering
Patterns, long-term between multinational enterprises, 82
of diffusion, 159 Supply side of economy
Person—machine systems, tightly coupled in technogenesis, 45
need for paradigm shift in, 349 Sweden
Pervasive systems forestry in, 221
diffusion of, 181 Systems theory, recent developments in
Pollution need for paradigm shift suggested by, 349
challenge presented by, 321
Population explosion Technogenesis
global, 320 in turbulent environment, 45
Power Technological change
diffusion of, 322 durable investment under, 69
Pricing equilibrium diffusion of, 265
of primary and contingent products, 291 Technological expectations
Primary products role of, 69
pricing and diffusion of, 291 Technological innovation
Private sector in 1980s, 45
research and development in, 391 Technologies
Process gain adoption of, 67
removal of opportunity for, 235 diffusion of, 11, 67
Process innovations interfirm cooperation in development of,
diffusion of to small firms, 103 81
Process loss in material substitution, 127
of interacting groups, 235 in reshaping of world, 320
Process technology Technology programs
diffusion of in Dutch banking, 201 government funding strategy in, 391
Producer-—user interactions Technology transfer
in development and adaptation process, 69 manufacturing strategy model for, 377
Product mix, total in USA, 397
maximizing profits of, 291 Telecommunication service, new
Public policy implications diffusion of, 363
SUBJECT INDEX
Transfer mechanisms technology transfer in, 397
in technogenesis, 46 Universities
Transport infrastructures engineering research centers in, 397
in diffusion of pervasive systems, 181 Urban incubation
Turbulent environment in 1980s, 45
origins and diffusion in, 45 User—producer interactions
Two-parameter model in development and adaptation process, 69
fitting of to chaotic equations, 337 USSR
economic collapse potential in, 319
Uncertainty innovation and productivity in, 36
reduction of, 253
Underwriting VLSI Project
of research and development technology strategy of, 391
programs, 391 Voodoo economics
United States development of, 323
future of, 319
large technology-based systems in, 349 Wars, entered by USA
plants built by in European Communities, 35 itemization of, 320