TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE Edited by Aurora A.C. Teixeira Technological Change Edited by Aurora A.C. Teixeira Published by InTech Janeza Trdine 9, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia Copyright © 2012 InTech All chapters are Open Access distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 license, which allows users to download, copy and build upon published articles even for commercial purposes, as long as the author and publisher are properly credited, which ensures maximum dissemination and a wider impact of our publications. After this work has been published by InTech, authors have the right to republish it, in whole or part, in any publication of which they are the author, and to make other personal use of the work. Any republication, referencing or personal use of the work must explicitly identify the original source. As for readers, this license allows users to download, copy and build upon published chapters even for commercial purposes, as long as the author and publisher are properly credited, which ensures maximum dissemination and a wider impact of our publications. Notice Statements and opinions expressed in the chapters are these of the individual contributors and not necessarily those of the editors or publisher. No responsibility is accepted for the accuracy of information contained in the published chapters. The publisher assumes no responsibility for any damage or injury to persons or property arising out of the use of any materials, instructions, methods or ideas contained in the book. Publishing Process Manager Marija Radja Technical Editor Teodora Smiljanic Cover Designer InTech Design Team First published April, 2012 Printed in Croatia A free online edition of this book is available at www.intechopen.com Additional hard copies can be obtained from [email protected] Technological Change, Edited by Aurora A.C. Teixeira p. cm. ISBN 978-953-51-0509-1 Contents Preface IX Part 1 Conceptualizing Technological Change 1 Chapter 1 Technological Change and Economic Transformation 3 Musa Jega Ibrahim Chapter 2 The Social Consequences of Technological Change in Capitalist Societies 25 Tony Smith Chapter 3 Intellectual Property Rights and Endogenous Economic Growth – Uncovering the Main Gaps in the Research Agenda 45 Mónica L. Azevedo, Sandra T. Silva and Óscar Afonso Chapter 4 Reconciling Orthodox and Heterodox Approaches to Economic Growth – A Modeling Proposal 65 Aurora A.C. Teixeira Part 2 Measuring Technological Change 87 Chapter 5 Measuring Technological Change – Concept, Methods, and Implications 89 Byoung Soo Kim Chapter 6 Quantitative Technology Forecasting Techniques 103 Steven R. Walk Part 3 The Empirics of Technological Change 125 Chapter 7 Trade, SBTC and Skill Premia – A Cross-Country and Cross-Gender Analysis 127 Oscar Afonso, Alexandre Almeida and Cristina Santos VI Contents Chapter 8 Internationalization Approaches of the Automotive Innovation System – A Historical Perspective 141 António C. Moreira and Ana Carolina Carvalho Chapter 9 Towards the European Union – Impact of FDI and Technological Change on Turkish Banking 173 Özlem Olgu Chapter 10 The Impact of ICTs on Innovative Sustainable Development in East and Southern Africa 197 Gabriel Kabanda Chapter 11 Knowledge Frontiers for Sustainable Growth and Development in Zimbabwe 219 Gabriel Kabanda Preface “Technological change is an important, if not the most important, factor responsible for economic growth …” (Mansfield, 1971: 1-2) Technological change is today central to the theory of economic growth (Teixeira and Fortuna, 2010). It is recognized as an important driver of productivity growth and the emergence of new products from which consumers derive welfare (Verspagen, 2010). Technological change depends not only on the work of scientists and engineers, but also on a wider range of economic and societal factors, including institutions such as intellectual property rights and corporate governance, the operation of markets, a range of governmental policies (science and technology policy, innovation policy, macroeconomic policy,competition policy, etc.), historical specificities, etc. (Teixeira and Lopes, 2012). In a classical work (Schmookler, 1966: 1), technology is defined as a “social pool of knowledge of the industrial arts” and technological change as alterations in that knowledge stock. However, the concept of ‘technology’ has had narrower or broader meanings, ranging from the technical information contained in only one patent to a more generic form covering the artefact dimension of a machine and the technical know-how of human beings (engineers, managers, machine operators, etc.). Broader meanings also include the institutions that enable the use of technical knowledge (including companies and the manner in which they are organized), and the socio- political and legal contexts that influence the direction and rate of knowledge transfer and associated artefacts. Thus, depending on the context and definition, technological change may be related not only with changes in the knowledge which, in principle, all potential users may easily access, but also with the experience associated with labour, the learning process of individuals and developments in the machines with which they work (Hall, 1994). It may also apply to organizational and sociocultural changes. When these changes imply some degree of improvement in terms of a given criterion, we talk of technological progress or advancement. Technical or technological change demands innovation (Fagerber, 2005).Like ‘technology’, innovation also has narrower and broader meanings. The global process of innovation implies a set of activities that contribute to the production of new goods X Preface and services or to production involving completely new forms/methods (Schumpeter, 1934). In a narrower sense, innovation occurs when a new good, service or method of production is commercialized for the first time, usually meaning the first in a given economy, but also meaning at times the first time for a given company or the first time at world level (Tidd and Bessant, 2009). When a given product is produced by means of a new method, process innovation takes place; when the product is changed or a new product is introduced, it is product innovation that has occurred. It should be noted that some product innovations are also process innovations (Steil et al., 2002). Generally speaking, the term ‘Economics of Innovation’ (Freeman, 1990) is usually associated to the evolutionary school of thought and ‘Economics of Technological Change’ (Mansfield and Mansfield, 1993) to the neoclassical school. Although this ‘divide’ in nomenclatures and schools is evident in the works The Economics of Innovation and The Economics of Technical Change edited, respectively by Chris Freeman and Edwin and Elizabeth Mansfield, a not insignificant number of authors in the area do not distinguish between them (at least, not explicitly). In the work edited by Freeman (1990), the main topics focused on are ‘Innovation and evolutionary models of economic growth and development’, ‘Sources and effects of innovation’, ‘Innovative strategies of companies’, ‘The selective context innovative companies have to face’, and ‘Patterns of innovation, cycles and paradigms’. In the work of Mansfield and Mansfield (2003), though, the main topics are: ‘Technological change and economic growth’, ‘Social and private returns of Research and Development’, ‘Market structure and technological change’, ‘Intellectual property rights’, ‘Dissemination of innovations’, ‘International transfer of technology’, and ‘Technology management’. The focus on interdisciplinarity which characterizes much of the work on technological change and the economics of innovation reflects the fact that no single area is able to cover all the aspects of technological innovation/change. Thus, so as to obtain an overarching perspective, there is a need to combine contribution from several areas. Economics, for example, has traditionally worked on the allocation of resources to innovation activities (in competition with other purposes) and the corresponding economic impact, where the process of innovation has been more or less handled as a “black box” (Rosenberg, 1982). What happens in that “box” has been left to other domains. Much of what takes place in the area of innovation naturally has to do with learning, a key topic in the science of cognition. Such learning occurs in organized environments, for example, groups, teams, companies and networks, whose operation is studied in domains like sociology, science of organizations, management, and business studies. Furthermore, as highlighted by the economic geographers, learning processes tend to be related to specific contexts and locations. The manner in which innovation is organized and its location has also suffered major transformations over time, as has been pointed out in studies in the area of economic history. The economics of technological innovation/change thus invaded the territory that had already been divided among Industrial Economics, Theory of the Firm, and Regional Economics, without neglecting important aspects from International Economics and