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Supply chains and value webs PDF

15 Pages·2017·11.85 MB·English
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Supply chains and value webs Part of the Business Trends series Business ecosystems come of age Supply chains and value webs Supply chains and value webs By Eamonn Kelly and Kelly Marchese Overview OVER the last few decades, Ecosystems are dynamic and co-evolving communities supply chain profession- of diverse actors who create als have helped transform the new value through business environment. They increasingly productive and have contributed to accelerated sophisticated models of Supply chains are increasingly globalization by directly con- both collaboration becoming value webs that necting actors in emergent and and competition. span and connect whole ecosystems of suppliers and developed economies. They Read more about our view of business collaborators; properly have enabled many major cor- ecosystems in the Introduction. activated, they can play a porations to become nimbler critical role in reshaping and leaner by focusing on what business strategy and they themselves do best, while delivering superior results. carefully constructing external arrange- ments for the rest. Supply chain professionals have helped reduce costs, improve efficiency, and substantially enhance operational per- formance. And they have altered the basis of competition—as one scholar has suggested, increasingly today, “Companies don’t com- needs of customers. Today’s supply chains con- pete—supply chains do.”1 tain growing varieties of players interacting in By mastering the management of assets interdependent and often indirect ways.3 that exist outside the traditional boundaries In fact, many “supply chains” appear to be of the firm, the supply chain profession has evolving into “value webs,” which span and also helped forge the dynamic, collaborative, connect whole ecosystems of suppliers and industry-transcending world of ecosystems collaborators. Properly activated, these value described throughout this report. As the webs can be more effective on multiple dimen- era of the vertically integrated corporation sions—reducing costs, improving service has waned, new and more fluid alternatives levels, mitigating risks of disruption, and deliv- have proliferated. But to date these arrange- ering feedback-fueled learning and innovation. ments have typically replaced ownership with This is likely to accelerate as new technologies “control.”2 In ecosystems, influence will need generate more data, provide greater transpar- to be achieved across increasingly complex ency, and enable enhanced connectivity with networks—through relationships, collabora- even tiny suppliers and partners. The shift can tion, and co-creation. Many traditional supply create new challenges for the supply chain chains are becoming increasingly agile, adap- profession—but also extraordinary opportuni- tive, and resilient, and are supporting faster ties to play an even more central strategic role and more flexible responses to the changing in shaping the future of enterprise. iii Business ecosystems come of age What’s behind this trend? taste.”6 For many operations managers, such A set of powerful developments have goals call for complex, multifaceted enhance- worked together to help transform the business ments of activities taking place at multiple environment, changing how supply chains are locational levels. configured, further heightening their strategic Today, new waves of technology are significance for many firms, and creating new accelerating these already established shifts. leadership imperatives for the years ahead. Continuous innovation and global dissemina- First, advancing information and com- tion of new technologies and tools are directly munications technologies drastically reduced enabling new connectivity, collaboration, and the transaction costs of dealing with outside co-creation across multiple businesses. The entities, so that in short order, many assets that rise of the Internet of Things—which con- had made sense to own and activities tradi- nects increasingly smart products—is greatly tionally performed in-house were now often enhancing the creation of and access to data, better sourced from external suppliers. The and producing ever-increasing transparency. general loosening of corporate dependence Substantial technological changes unfolding on ownership of key assets contributed to the today in manufacturing, including 3D printing activation of many new external resources and and new robotics, are set to transform many capabilities—and an explosion of new actors production processes and may significantly ready and able to contribute. disrupt today’s distribution models. This technological enablement of inter-firm The speed and scale of these changes are coordination has coincided with a long-term creating new opportunities for many sup- political movement: trade liberalization by ply chain professionals—and also putting many nations around the world. Together, increased pressure on them to adapt. Their role the two forces enabled the offshoring, global is expanding far beyond enhancing perfor- outsourcing, and foreign market entries that mance by getting essentially the same things helped create the new global economy. The done, but differently and elsewhere. Their focus leading firms of mature economies moved is extending beyond continuous improvement rapidly to globalize their operations, many of existing operations. Instead, these profes- of them with an eye to a future when all sionals are being positioned as increasingly the growth of the world’s population—the strategic leaders discovering fundamentally next billion people—would be in emerg- different ways of creating new value, driving ing economies.4 Meanwhile, many busi- continuous innovation and learning, and sus- nesses in less mature economies gained the taining enterprise growth. opportunity to grow and join the global economic mainstream. The trend Leading firms everywhere soon real- ized there was a “sweet spot” to be found by Having helped transform the operating and effectively marrying globalization to “localiza- performance models of most major enter- tion.” Nestlé, for example, declares that “food prises over the last few decades, many supply is a local matter,” and operates its networks chains are now playing an even more central according to a basic principle: “Centralize what strategic role. They are helping lead their busi- you must, but decentralize what you can.”5 The nesses into the dynamic, hyper-connected, and Coca-Cola Company works to strike a similar collaborative world of ecosystems. In doing balance. One commentator describes its strat- so, many are now creating and leading more egy as “mingling global and local… utilizing complex systems perhaps better character- local suppliers and local bottlers, employing ized as value webs. The word “chain” has a local people, and addressing local culture and powerful metaphoric logic that captures well iv Supply chains and value webs Figure 1: Supply chains evolve into value webs Linear supply chains are evolving into… complex, dynamic, and connected value webs COMPETITION COMPETITION Suppliers C O -C R E Manufacturers A T IO N A G N O D O C D O L S L A Distributors B O R A T IO N Consumers Value is based on the production of Value is based on knowledge exchange that goods and services drives proactive production of goods and services Source: Deloitte analysis. Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com a series of discrete links by which goods are increasingly fluid and interdependent value bought, have value added to them, and are web, leaders should surround their contracts sold to the next value-adder—up until an end with trust; build on transactions and one-time buyer consumes them. This remains of criti- deals to cultivate long-term relationships and cal importance. However, increasingly, value mutual learning; combine the power of control is being created not only within firms, but in with the potential of co-creation; make sure the rich interactions between them. Linear that defined, fixed standards do not create bar- sequences of procurement are increasingly riers to valuable innovation and co-evolution; supplemented by more iterative and innova- and not only leverage leading practices, but tion-oriented collaborations. also aim to create “next practices.” To be sure, in a world of value webs, the Some leading companies have explic- essential goals of traditional supply chain man- itly adopted hybrid approaches to embrace agement do not go away. But they are often such dualities. In one frequently quoted augmented by new imperatives—like learn- example, Chinese motorcycle manufacturer ing, agility, and renewal. Collaboration is an Dachangjiang deliberately pursued both value addition to, not a replacement of, traditionally web and supply chain arrangements by break- more closed, contractual arrangements. Clear ing its design into multiple modules, awarding commitments to meet rigorously monitored several suppliers responsibility and substan- standards and service-level agreements will tial latitude for each, and actively encourag- remain critical. But to claim the benefits of an ing collaboration between them to promote v Business ecosystems come of age Figure 2. Supply chain leaders vs. followers: Use of technical capabilities and new technologies Question: For each of the supply chain capabilities below, please indicate whether it is currently in use at your company. 70% Integrated business planning 46% 70% Optimization tools 54% 63% Demand forecasting 52% Supplier collaboration 63% and risk analytics 44% 57% GPS and/or RFID* Supply chain leaders 35% Supply chain followers 53% In-memory computing 36% * Manufacturing and retail respondents only Control tower analytics 53% ** Manufacturing respondents only and visualization 25% Based on a survey of 400 executives. “Leaders” 50% 3D printing** 22% were identified as companies rated by their executives as much above average compared 48% Real-time shipment tracking* with other firms in their industry on inventory 36% turnover and percentage of on-time and in-full 45% Wearable technology** deliveries. The remaining companies were 21% identified as “followers.” 40% Artificial intelligence 15% Advanced robotics 40% in manufacturing** 24% 30% Advanced delivery systems* 10% Source: 2015 Deloitte Supply Chain Leadership Survey. Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com innovation, while also imposing aggressive leaders rate their ability to negotiate and col- performance targets regarding pricing, quality, laborate with partners highly, compared to less and timing of production.7 than half of followers.8 These greater abilities Just as most businesses have already and attitudes reflect in the bottom line: 73 learned how to activate and deploy assets they percent of surveyed leaders reported financial don’t own, they are now becoming increas- performance significantly above their industry ingly adept at doing so with assets they don’t average, in contrast to less than 15 percent control, either. The 2015 Deloitte Supply Chain of followers.9 Leadership Survey confirms the value of gaining skills that promote influence. It finds Implications that “leaders” distinguish themselves from “followers” in several areas. They are much Value webs are characterized by complex, more aggressive at using technical capabilities connected, and interdependent relationships, and powerful new technologies, like supplier where knowledge flows, learning, and collabo- collaboration and risk analytics, which can be ration are almost as important as more familiar critical in complex, dispersed networks (see product flows, controls, and coordination. figure 2). Leaders also tend to support diversity To lead and secure advantage in this increas- and inclusion and manage global and virtual ingly organic and networked environment, teams significantly better than their peers leaders will likely have to focus on three core (see figure 3). They are usually more adept at developmental priorities. working with others: 80 percent of surveyed vi Supply chains and value webs Engagement with more, facilitator of relationships between firms that often smaller, players otherwise would not or could not cooperate. The emergence of value webs is enabling In the United States, IBM launched Supplier the conditions for small, highly focused sup- Connection, a platform-based network pliers to proliferate in global supply chains. that helps large firms manage their connec- Important and complex capabilities increas- tions with smaller businesses.11 Across many ingly involve deep specialization that often industries we see the rise of “value networks” flourishes in smaller, tightly niched firms. that use cloud computing and social network Barriers to entry are generally declining. platforms to enable many-to-many supplier Young, nimble, and entrepreneurial firms fre- connections. For example, Real Time Value quently have innovation advantages. Many of Network has over 30,000 trading partners, the best and brightest of the Millennial genera- allowing supply chain managers to more easily tion are showing themselves to value autonomy find the small players that can bring ideas and and independence, gravitating toward smaller flexibility to their arrangements.12 businesses and more New software flexible employment For the most part, supply tools can also provide arrangements. No broader perspective surprise, then, that chain functions of large and deeper insight according to startup into expanding value tracker Crunchbase, businesses weren’t set up webs. Amgen, for the average startup in example, which offers a supply chain today to deal with a world of treatment for seri- is smaller by almost a ous illnesses such as third than those that thousands of partners. cancer and kidney participated in the disease, has seen its decade 2000–2010.10 Now they must adjust. network expand sub- Indeed, some sup- stantially. “Originally pliers are so tiny that most of our suppli- their connections ers were closer to with large firms can appear more like talent home,” observes executive director of supply sourcing than procurement. chain Patricia Turney. “More and more, we’re For many corporations, these connections finding that we are sourcing materials from can bring many advantages, but also invite really remote locations.” So Turney has put greater complexity. For the most part, supply tools in place to map the whole ecosystem, and chain functions of large businesses weren’t set a process to create a “war room” when disrup- up to deal with a world of thousands of part- tions threaten supply lines. A few months into ners. Now they must adjust. So, for example, implementation, she reports, “We already have we see firms establishing or relying on new some new insights into our tier 2 suppliers “platforms” to facilitate greater levels of con- and where they’re located that we didn’t have nectivity, collaboration, and co-creation with before.”13 other businesses. (As a familiar example of a platform, picture Amazon Services, which Reducing risk, raising provides its customers with an e-commerce resilience, deploying data infrastructure for order-taking and fulfillment, Patricia Turney’s comments also serve allowing them to focus on their offerings.) to highlight the ways in which risk can be In China, Alibaba allows small businesses reduced in increasingly complex value webs. to build their own supply chains, acting as a It seems to be working well for Amgen: As vii Business ecosystems come of age Turney also observed, “We have a phrase . . . Designing resilience into supply chains and ‘every patient, every time.’ We’ve never shorted value webs will likely rise in importance, and the market, never had a patient go without be supported by new capabilities. For example, life-saving medicine. . . . [We have] 24/7 3D printing technologies already enable some oversight.”14 supply chains to reduce dependency on far- Since their inception, supply chains have flung production arrangements. When British generally been tightly associated with risk fighter jets flew for the first time with com- management and business continuity planning. ponents made using 3D printing technology Globally extended production and distribution in early 2014, Mike Murray, head of airframe arrangements are often subject to risk factors integration at BAE Systems, described a new- beyond anyone’s control—from geo-political found freedom afforded by the technology. events to natural disasters. Dependency on “You are suddenly not fixed in terms of where the capabilities and integrity of others outside you have to manufacture these things,” said your organization, even if tightly contractually Murray. “You can manufacture the products controlled, can create certain vulnerabilities. at whatever base you want, providing you can And, if it was ever possible to lay the blame get a machine there.”18 Data is also likely to for product deficiencies on suppliers, that is play an increasingly critical role, especially as not likely to remain a credible excuse. For the Internet of Things enables vast amounts example, in 2013, millions of food products to be collected and analyzed to create greater advertised as containing beef were withdrawn transparency and discover opportunities, effi- from shelves in Europe after they were found ciencies, and problems. However, in Deloitte’s to contain horsemeat. The scandal highlighted 2015 supply chain survey, only 46 percent of deficiencies in the traceability of the food sup- respondents rated their analytics competen- ply network, and dealt a blow to the finances cies as currently very good, while 67 percent and reputations of affected brands, retailers, expected them to become more important in and restaurants.15 It is simply expected today the next five years. that firms have clear visibility into the activi- ties—and the integrity—of their vendors. Attracting and developing Increasingly complex, highly distributed next-generation talent networks can generate some new risks, but Talent considerations are also on the rise. there is a paradox here. Many also have high Value webs can be an increasingly important levels of resilience and can be, in writer Nassim source of hard-to-access talent, especially Taleb’s phrase, “anti-fragile”—displaying as new and more open models proliferate. self-organizing, flexible qualities surprisingly Development of the talent of partners is also capable of reconfiguring to overcome shocks rising in importance for many firms such as and disruptions.16 These qualities are usually Nike, which are placing increased emphasis on stronger when underpinned by strong, endur- providing shared training programs for suppli- ing relationships. Consider the experience of ers’ employees.19 Renesas, a Japanese producer of microcon- The supply chain profession itself is also trollers, when the 2011 earthquake severely clearly evolving, and will require important damaged its main production facility. After new skills and capabilities: design of resilient a swarm of workers from its suppliers and networks; management of reciprocity-based customers voluntarily showed up in sub-zero relationships; adoption of technologies such temperatures and got the plant up and running as 3D printing; and analytics. No wonder again, their value web was in many respects the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has cal- stronger for the experience.17 culated that the number of logistics-related viii Supply chains and value webs Figure 3. Skills requiring future investment as supply chains evolve Based on Deloitte’s 2015 Supply Chain Leadership Survey of supply chain executives 74% 71% 68% believe that strategic thinking and believe that recruiting senior supply believe that collaborating across problem solving will become more chain leaders is difficult, with 66% functions will become more important, important,i with only 43% rating their saying that leading and developing with only 47% rating their current current competency as high.ii others will become more important. competency as high. 65% 65% 64% believe that managing global and believe that persuading and commu- believe that negotiating and virtual teams will become more nicating effectively will become more collaborating with value chain important, with only 43% rating their important, with only 42% rating their partners will become more important, current competency as high. current competency as high. with only 51% rating their current competency as high. i Respondents were asked if these competencies will become more or less important to their company’s supply chain organization over the next five years. ii Respondents were asked to rate their companies on these competencies; “high” includes ratings of “very good” or “excellent.” Source: 2015 Deloitte Supply Chain Leadership Survey. Graphic: Deloitte University Press | DUPress.com jobs will increase by 22 percent between 2012 and problem solving was very good. With 74 and 2022.20 percent surveyed also saying that such strategic Recruiting for these positions may need thinking and problem solving will increase in to be creative. In Deloitte’s 2015 supply chain importance, it seems there is no time to lose survey, 70 percent of top-performing supply (see figure 3). chain functions expect to use non-traditional recruitment methods in the coming years. What’s next? In their training efforts, too, they will benefit from preparing veteran managers for deeper As the business landscape increasingly collaboration with other business functions configures around dynamic, highly interactive and leadership and more central participation ecosystems, supply chains will likely evolve in the evolution of strategy. substantially. Many larger firms will invest The most effective supply chain leadership in their own supplier ecosystems, recogniz- is already at a premium. In the Deloitte 2015 ing that feeding and nurturing them will help supply chain survey, 71 percent of executives generate demand, innovation, and support in claimed that it was difficult to recruit senior a variety of ways that cannot always be pre- supply chain leaders,21 and only 43 percent dicted. New mindsets are likely to take hold felt that their supply chain strategic thinking as the profession embraces more networked ix Business ecosystems come of age and “web-like” arrangements. New leader- infection in New York City and proved far ship capabilities will be increasingly valued, more accurate than traditional seasonal as relationships based on reciprocity, mutual flu trend estimates.23 When real-time data trust, and shared interests become increasingly sources from across massive webs are brought vital and effective. Listen, for example to Kurt together, new insights can emerge that enable, James, a supply chain leader at McDonald’s for example, far more accurate and localized supply chain: demand forecasting. New value webs will form as 3D printing transforms multiple aspects of When hiring, we look for people with char- today’s global supply chains, enabling opera- acter traits uniquely suited to our supply chain—namely, an innate sense of fairness tions to atomize in ways few can even imagine and an ability to consistently empathize today. Amazon, for example, filed for patents with the challenges suppliers face in meet- in February 2015 for installing printers in ing our often aggressive deadlines, stan- delivery trucks—taking the concept of “real- dards, and evolving needs.22 time” to a new level.24 Many supply chain professionals will become more closely connected to colleagues New mindsets are likely who are creating “on-demand” talent mod- els, or designing new, more open innovation to take hold as the systems. Consider major corporations such as Ford, AutoDesk, Intel, and Fujitsu that have profession embraces more forged partnerships with TechShop, a growing chain of “makerspaces,” enabling them to con- networked and “web-like” nect with the fast-growing Maker Movement.25 All this will compel the supply chain profes- arrangements. sion that helped shape today’s economy to adapt in turn to its new demands. As ecosys- tems become increasingly central to business strategy, the core value of the profession will Substantial experimentation will likely lie less and less in getting the same things done occur, driven particularly by the increas- ever more efficiently, and more and more in ing prevalence and predictive qualities of the strategic pursuit of creating new value, data. In the realm of social data, for example, achieving breakthrough performance, sus- “Nowcasting” is a growing field of social taining growth, and—once again—changing listening-enabled forecasting. A recent study the world. analyzed Twitter posts to estimate influenza x

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mance by getting essentially the same things done, but differently and . In the United States, IBM launched Supplier. Connection disease, has seen its network .. Nassim Taleb, Antifragile: Things that Gain from. Disorder (New
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