Strategies for Rapid Climate Mitigation Tokeeptheglobalaveragetemperaturefromrisingfurtherthan2°C,emissions must peak soon and then fall steeply. This book examines how such rapid mitigation can proceed – in the scale and speed required for effective climate action – using an analogy provided by the mobilisation for a war that encompassed nations, World War II. Strategies for Rapid Climate Mitigation examines the wartime–climate ana- logy by drawing lessons from wartime mobilisations to develop contingency plans for a scenario where governments implement stringent mitigation programmes as an ‘insurance policy’ where we pay for future benefits. Readers are provided a picture of how these programmes could look, how they would work, what could trigger them, and the challenges in execution. The book analyses in detail one plausible approach to a crucial issue – an approach built upon knowledge of climate science and on proven and demonstrated mitigation measures. The book is meshed with a social and political analysis that draws upon narratives of mobilisations during the war to meet a transnational threat, while also addressing the shortcomings of the analogy and its strategies. The book will be of great interest to scholars, students, and practitioners of public policy, climate policy, energy policy, international relations, and strategic studies. Laurence L. Delina conducts research at the Frederick S. Pardee Center for theStudyoftheLonger-Range FutureatBostonUniversity,USA.Heisalso a research associate at the Center for Governance and Sustainability at the University of Massachusetts Boston, an Earth System Governance Research Fellow, and a Visiting Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School. “The most fascinating part of this book is its close look at how wartime mobilization of our industrial sector might actually happen. People have been talking about it for years, but Laurence Delina has actually done the work to figure it out.” – Bill McKibben, founder of 350.org, USA “The world needs to transition to clean, renewable energy as quickly as possible to reduce the health and climate damage inflicted by the combus- tion age. This excellent new book examines resources and efforts needed for such a transformation, using wartime mobilization as an example. I recom- mend it highly for students and the public.” – Mark Z. Jacobson, Stanford University, USA “Strategies for Rapid Climate Mitigation is an important and timely contribu- tion to the urgent debate about the actions required to drive swift and equi- table decarbonisation of the global economy. The detailed and thoughtful discussion of key legislative, regulatory, financial, and labour market policies for mobilizing the resources and capabilities required to achieve emergency speed emission reductions is particularly valuable.” – John Wiseman, Deputy Director,MelbourneSustainableSocietyInstitute,UniversityofMelbourne,Australia “In our age of catastrophe and neoliberal defeatism, this book is abeacon of hope. Laurence Delina uses his fierce intellect and bold vision to demon- stratethataglobalemergencymobilizationagainstclimatechange,withstates as central actors, is a viable strategy—indeed it may be the only one left. A must read.” – Margaret Klein-Salamon, founder and director of The Climate Mobilization, USA “Despite frequent calls for rapid transitions to a lower carbon economy, few people have sought systematically to build on the lessons of the past to sketch out potential scenarios for the future. The Gendanken (thought) experiment that lies at the heart of this book forces us to engage with his- torical lessons and face up to uncomfortable truths about the role of the state, finance and labour in enabling and accelerating an energy transition to a world in which climate change is more effectively addressed. It is original, provocative and deserves to be widely read.” – Peter Newell, University of Sussex,UK.EditorofThePoliticsofGreenTransformations(Routledge2015). “Delina asks how human societies can tackle the herculean task of recasting energy systems to meet climate change. He successfully sketches the many moving parts involved in a complex socio-technical transition. From sus- tainable energy technologies to public policies, and from vested interests to systemic inertia, transition looks daunting. In answer, Delina argues for reviving governmentasaleadingagentofchange,ratherthanrelyingonlyon the market. Using wartime mobilization history, he shows both the possibilities and limitations of government action. He calls for the creation of new, powerful institutions to help plan and superintend the widespread, rapid take-up of sustainable energy technologies. He also calls for checks on executive power, reflecting modern democratic norms. The book empowers us to imagine how we might arrive at our climate-safe future.” – Alastair Iles, University of California Berkeley, USA “If publics come to demand climate action, as well they might as extreme weather intensifies and surprises multiply, this book offers a model, histori- cally grounded yet applied to contemporary, even future trends. Delina doesn't just look back for ‘lessons from history’ but projects forward, ima- gining the possibility of fundamentally challenging the self-destructive, end- lessly expansionist order.” – Thomas Princen, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, USA Routledge Advances in Climate Change Research Local Climate Change and Society The Anthropology of Climate Edited by M. A. Mohamed Salih Change An integrated critical perspective Water and Climate Change in Hans A Baer and Merrill Singer Africa Challenges and community initia- Planning Across Borders in a tives in Durban, Maputo and Climate of Change Nairobi Wendy Steele, Tooran Alizadeh, Leila Edited by Patricia E. 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Koehn Wartime mobilisation as a model for action? Community Action and Climate Laurence L. Delina Change Jennifer Kent This page intentionally left blank Strategies for Rapid Climate Mitigation Wartime mobilisation as a model for action? Laurence L. Delina Add Add Add AAddddAAddddAAddAdAddddd AddAddAdd AddAddAdd AdAddd AddAdd AdAddd Firstpublished2016 byRoutledge 2ParkSquare,MiltonPark,Abingdon,OxonOX144RN andbyRoutledge 711ThirdAvenue,NewYork,NY10017 RoutledgeisanimprintoftheTaylor&FrancisGroup,aninformabusiness ©2016LaurenceL.Delina TherightofLaurenceL.Delinatobeidentifiedasauthorofthisworkhas beenassertedbyhiminaccordancewithsections77and78ofthe Copyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthisbookmaybereprintedorreproduced orutilisedinanyformorbyanyelectronic,mechanical,orothermeans, nowknownorhereafterinvented,includingphotocopyingandrecording, orinanyinformationstorageorretrievalsystem,withoutpermissionin writingfromthepublishers. Trademarknotice:Productorcorporatenamesmaybetrademarksor registeredtrademarks,andareusedonlyforidentificationandexplanation withoutintenttoinfringe. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationData Names:Delina,LaurenceL. Title:Strategiesforrapidclimatemitigation:wartimemobilisationasa modelforaction?/LaurenceL.Delina. Description:Abingdon,Oxon;NewYork,NY:Routledge,Earthscan, 2016.|Series:Routledgeadvancesinclimatechangeresearch Identifiers:LCCN2015048759|ISBN9781138646230(hb)| ISBN9781315627663(ebook) Subjects:LCSH:Climatechangemitigation.|Climatechangemitigation-- Socialaspects.|Climatechangemitigation--Internationalcooperation. Classification:LCCQC903.D4452016|DDC363.738/746--dc23 LCrecordavailableathttp://lccn.loc.gov/2015048759 ISBN:978-1-138-64623-0(hbk) ISBN:978-1-315-62766-3(ebk) TypesetinGoudy byTaylor&FrancisBooks To Lucy and Rito Sr., para kay nanay kag tatay