Spatial decision support for resource allocation. Integration of optimization, uncertaint

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Spatial decision support for resource allocation. Integration of optimization,
uncertainty analysis and visualization
Aerts, J.C.J.H.
Publication date
2002
Document Version
Final published version
Link to publication
Citation for published version (APA):
Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2002). Spatial decision support for resource allocation. Integration of
optimization, uncertainty analysis and visualization. [, Universiteit van Amsterdam]. UvA.
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Download date:01 Mar 2023
Spatiall Decision Support
forr Resource Allocation
Integrationn of
,, m
^Uncertaintyy analysis
a
/andd ^ ™
8 8
-Visualization/
techniques s
Jeroenn Aerts
11 - 'Wts
STELLINGEN N
Henn ruimtelijk en beslissingsondcrstcunend systeem (SDSS) voor
allocatieproblemenn is bij voorkeur gebaseerd op een 'decision
framework'. .
Simulatedd annealing is een krachtig algoritme om grote ruimtelijke
allocatieproblemenn op te lossen.
Linearr integer programming en simulated annealing algoritmen zijn
inn staat ruimtelijke allocatie alternatieven te genereren en passen
daaromm goed in de 'design step' van een SDSS.
Onzckcrheidsanalysee moet een integraal onderdeel zijn van de
'computationall step' van een SDSS.
Ruimtelijkee onzekerheid kan het resultaat van een SDSS voor
allocatieproblemenn sterk beïnvloeden.
Dee visualisatie van onzekerheid is belangrijke informatie voor
beleidsmakerss op het gebied van de allocatie van natuurlijke
hulpbronncn. .
Mctt 'multi criteria decision making' (MC'DM) technieken kunnen
appelss met peren worden opgeteld.
Dee Nederlandse Spoorwegen zouden het gebruik van
optii ma li sa tic technieken moeten optimaliseren.
Eenn Fysisch Geograaf is in multidisciplinaire projecten vaak
"dee derde hond in het kegclspcl"
(Uitt II. Brusselmans, De terugkeer van Bonanza).
Optimalisatietechniekenn kunnen de rotatieteelt van moestuinhoudcis
efficiënterr maken en daardoor de gewasopbrengst verhogen.

Spatiall Decision Support
for r
Resourcee Allocation
Integrationn of
Optimization,, Uncertainty analysis
andd Visualization techniques
Jeroenn Aerts

Spatiall Decision Support
for r
Resourcee Allocation
Integrationn of Optimization,
Uncertaintyy analysis and Visualization
techniques s
UU \i")l MIS( 1! PROI-KSU1RII-Ï
[orr \ erkrijgmg \an Jc graad \aii doctor aan dc I' 111 \ cv>ilost \;m Amsterdam, up gc/ag \an
dcc Rector Magtutleus prof, mi. P.I'. \ an der Heijden ton o\ ciMaan \ an ecu dour 1KM college
\\ our promonc^ mgcMclde connnisMc. in het openbaar te \ crdcJigcn in dc Aula der
II 'tmcr-atcit
opp dinsdag 22 jamtan -M)iP te 14.0!) unr.
doorr Jeroen ('harlc-* Joseph 1 Inbert Acrh
Geborenn le Maastricht
I'i'omotor: :
Pr.-]'' Dr JA!. \ ^-sirjtcr.
(( o-Prnmotoi :
Dr.. . (j.h.M. l!cu\clml,
OMN^CC k-den pnmintimniimissie:
Dr.. I:. \\ . bonten
Pro;; Dr. Ir. A.K. UrcL!i
Pro!! Dr. i'.A Humuijili
Pr«>-'' Dr. K.( . ( larkc
Pro!! Dr. M I- (HHKICIÏIIJ
ii )!" K. Jaijss^n
Ploff Dr 1.. Ramden
icuhci:: V;luai wetenschappen. V\'i-iM.i:u.k: en In Innnalica
\ctls.. JciOCll t'.J.II.
Spatt ad DILIMOII Support tor Resource Allocation: Integration of ( ïptimi/ation. I nccrtainh
anahh ->i> ,i;u! Visuali/alion techniques
I'hcsiss l ni\ ciMieil win Amsterdam - \\ nh sununar\ in Dutch
lMi\\ -hi - ""ovM 1è - :
1 1
'Muss siuj\ was carried out ai me NcihcHatids ('enter lor < ico-l'coloLncal Research i. K. Vil
JU,!! ihc [i:-'iti:te of Miodn ersüv aan] lcos\sicm Dwiamics (IMi'Di. f-'acult\ of Science,
liinersitxx ol' Xmstcrdani. Mie pro jee', has heen financially supported h\ Resource Anal\s^
coiisithancA.. Delft. The Netherlands. 'I lic Mud\ was IUTLICK conducicd m the l SA and
sponsoredd b\ the National ('enl er i or (icoLirapluc In formal ion and Anal_\ sis (N'(.'(ii.\ l al llie
ll 'ni\ eisit\ of California. Santa Harhara l l'CSIi).
4 4
Prefacee and Acknowledgements
Ass most raiders know, prefaces in dissertations often ha\e a melancholie undertone.
Althoughh one general!) acknowledges thai the road lo the final 'masterpiece' has heen
roughh and exhausting, the result makes up for must of the hlood and tears. \ow . I'm not
denvingg having w resiled with formulating mv research questions, gelling the proper data
andd submitting a piece of text eligible tor re\ lew. [iowc\cr. I ha\e to sa\ thai I enjo\ed
almostt every tnniule of (his research -- a research that was stimulated through a faninMic
sabbaticall year in California. Bui. more important, the pleasure of working on this research
largehh shows llie scientific and professional skills of the people who guided me ail ihe u av
too the final result. Il also shows the great support of colleagues and friends who w ere there
whenn I needed them. 'I his section is therefore dedicated to those who dircctlv or indirect!1,
supportedd me during the development of this thesis.
First.. I would like to thank my co-promotor Gerard llctivclink (I nivcrsitv ot \nisterdani.
I.. \.\>. He managed to leach me how to reshape 'copy-pastc-nicc-picture-consuhnnt-stv le'
textt into scientific papers --this is. believe me. not an casv task. Gerard alwavs kepi die
researchh on the right track, had appropriate criticism, noted when the research needed sonic
neww encrgv. and knew how to stimulate when there was momentum. Gerard is a great
teacherr and is a true scientist. I also thank Willem Bouten lor initiating lite coniacN w itl-un
thee l.\ \ and m> promolor Koos Verstralen (I v.\i who accepted me as a I'hl) student.
criticalhh i"e\iewed this thesis and showed straightforward guidance lo arrange mo-a of the
admmisiralionn m the end.
furthermore.. 1 thank Mark Ridglcy (l.'niv ersiiv o\ Hawaii) lor inspiring discussions, which
ledd lo formulating this research. Mis suggestions and comments ha\c set ihe basis for much
off the optimization work described in Chapters 2 and 3. Besides. Mark became a good
friendd with whom 1 share the same admiration tor the Mediterranean htcsivle. Irwin
F.isingcrss inputs ha\e substantially improved the de\ elopmcnl of the third chapter He
continuedd to stay alert and enthusiastic. even ader his internship had finished. Also, the
suggestionss made bv Cor llurkens from Findhovcn l..'ni\ersily arc grcatb appreciated, fie
e\\ en used mv ease studies m his classes to lesl ihent on students.
II highlv appreciate the contributions of several Resource Analysis colleagues: Andre \ an
Velzenn and Joop de Scholier supported the formulation and continuation ot'the research.
Peterr kouw enhov en made several clever suggestions along the wa\ and Diederik
Waardenburgg de\ eloped a solid piece of software.
11 also would like to thank frank Kijshcrman. Rob Koudstaal and Gerrit Baarde tor teaching
thee principles of pohev analysis and the use ot' the framework for anab sis. ihe killer u hiGi
formss ihe basis of this research. linalK. Joris tic Venie. Daan Scherfi. Rogier \\ dnis. frank
Robijn.. Jos Boelens. Marcel faal and I do Monloort were perfect colleagues, and much of
Introduction Introduction
tlK'irr contributions MIL- t\iuK\l ni this i.::^-1^. A special werd lor V\ dlem. Danicüc MIK! Stijn.
:hc\\ are ;sblc to make :sn\ oiscussmn rMci'cstniL:.
\\ w iu\i of appreciation for Rob Mi-Jurp. Hcnihard Maier. I 'm 1 i'ci. I im Martin. Ahmadul
ILhMii.. I :da. Busbra. Matin and Pe'.c:' l)i'iini;ch. who ah directh ei" mdirecll) helped me
wilhinn affiliated project-.. Kon Jan-^en. Marjan \ an Meruijncn and ()ddrun I ran are
)) thanked lor their support a:id eniical remarks. cspemalb m. the eark stages oj the
research.. The l 1 funded projects Avcn-anos and ('artesian are worth mentioning lor die ir
innovv aine aspects, and both pro\ idee 1:1c w nil the ncccssajA da la
Thee people al l. ( SB and m particular \('(d.\. arc thanked tor their enthusiasm,
professionall attitude and cjrea: supper:. l.a\ei! I.ucuis made me teel rmhl al home and -
loaelherr v.nh Christian Brown- took -real care o! all the administration. At the \('<;IA. I
wouldd like to thank Malt Rice. Matt 1 ae.crcr. J or LIC Sduenlcs i '1.1 futho! es mas importante
cjnec!! haf meeste"!. Xiaolnme. 1 m. ke1. MI < 'unin and \shton Short HULIC i thank \ou both for
teachingg me the basics of baskcihaf r John dalle. Ann Ricchia//i. Sum llipnh. Jordan
Hastings.. Jmg Xionc /hang. Jtelcne /hou and Scan Bcnison. 1 1'urlhc!' thank. Helen
('ouciehs,, Dan Mont e lie (thanks lor ;x\ icw MIL: the ip. icsti onna ire i. \oah (lokKtem i [hanks
lorr \oiir explanation ol' Slid Tib. Idiacdon kuiukidis. 'I im Rohmson and Jeannette
(andauu M\ spemai appreciation itue ;o Sara lahnkant and Ben; hard Schneider. w ho \\ eie
meatt colica'cucs. and friends. nd \'e\ Kcupcr. w lie helped me thoroughb with writing the
;i
chapterr or. \ isuah/ation.
Y\\ hen entering the geograpln depart men 1 at b( 'SB lor die first tune, it was rather scan to
chmhh the stairs el' [.I! [son I hill leadirL: lo die iwo w mgs o id he building --lhe\ are occupied
b\\ die two professors, (loodctuld ai:J ( 'larkc. Il turned out. howc\cr. tiial the doors were
widee epen. and lhe\ sia\ ed open ail -.car through. Mike and Keilh. thanks a lot tor \our
comments,, suggestions and support'
11 am lurthermoi"e grateful to Surah (na\ lor editing most o Id he f .nghsh m this thesis. A No.
Patrickk and hsther Mckmlcv Rita, hen and \iuhew made the last 4 months m Santa
baihaiaa \ er\ special, and together w ," helped to increase the farmwcr of 'i lanw's pkt/a' and
'('( hamchm.cr mid
\\ neinlen bedanken \anweirc het si.uccs\o] hccindicien van een pioctschrilt mag misschien
raarr klinken, maar /ij dragen zeker H lol het ereeëren \ LUI een sociale omgc\ mg die \ oor
tuill onontbeerlijk is om überhaupt ia: merken te komen. Daarom bedank ik: Hans. Diula.
Ingeborg.. Remden. Vincent. Juni. Monica. Miriam. \!e\. hdwm, Irwm. l.K. Melle.
Madeleine.. Maarten Schermer. Karnr.ne. Maarlcn. Rcnce. 'lom. \unenueke. \ico. Barl.
lenia.. ('aria. Doniime. Ilse. Ruud. \nnew ick. Steven. Luuk. Joos. Mark. Sandra. Diane.
Manu.. krik. Bas (prijniatis. bibiana en Das de Uree.
II en speciaal dankwoord \ oor urn" oudeis die eig Hols /ïju (en dat \ eelt oocd'i. en
naluurlijkk mijn naaste familie. Mcafian. Anna. ('harlotlc. Jean. 1 dien. Jeroen. Raul en
Marict. .
Icuslelle.. lic\c Ans. het ïaar in Sav.ta Barbara met ion was jantasiisch' Daarom heeft dit
proefschriftt niet name dank/ij jeu ecii; inhoud gekregen'
6 6