Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future: Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies PDF
Preview Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future: Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies
Dirk Meissner Leonid Gokhberg Alexander Sokolov Editors Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future . Dirk Meissner (cid:129) Leonid Gokhberg (cid:129) Alexander Sokolov Editors Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies Editors DirkMeissner LeonidGokhberg AlexanderSokolov NationalResearchUniversity- HigherSchoolofEconomics(HSE) InstituteforStatisticalStudiesand EconomicsofKnowledge Moscow Russia ISBN978-3-642-31826-9 ISBN978-3-642-31827-6(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-642-31827-6 SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013940189 ©Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionor informationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerpts inconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysisormaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeing enteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.Duplication ofthispublicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheCopyrightLawofthe Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer.PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter. 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Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Contents 1 TheMeaningofForesightforScience,TechnologyandInnovation Policy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 DirkMeissner,LeonidGokhberg,andAlexanderSokolov PartI InstrumentsandToolsforForesightStudies 2 IntegratedFrameworkforEvaluationofNationalForesight Studies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 AnnaSokolovaandEkaterinaMakarova 3 ResultsandImpactofNationalForesight-Studies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 DirkMeissner 4 InstrumentstomeasureForesight. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 DirkMeissner 5 InteractiveImpacts–ForesightasaProduct,Service andCoproductionProcess. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 IanMiles 6 SystemicForesightMethodology. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 OzcanSaritas PartII ForesightInstrumentsforInnovativeMarkets 7 SectoralForesightStudies:FuturePerspectives ofNanotechnologies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 OlegKarasevandAnastasiaEdelkina 8 AToolkitforIntegratedRoadmaps:EmployingNanotechnologies inWaterandWastewaterTreatment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 OlegKarasevandKonstantinVishnevskiy v vi Contents 9 EarlyPatternsofCommercializationinGraphene. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 PhilipShapira,JanYoutie,andSanjayArora PartIII CountryForesightStudies 10 ForesightinRussia:ImplicationsforPolicyMaking. . . . . . . . . . . . 183 AlexanderSokolov 11 ForesightinGermany:ImplicationsforPolicyMaking. . . . . . . . . . 199 KerstinCuhls 12 ImplementingForesightStudyResultsinPolicyAction andMeasures:EUExperiences. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 JenniferCassingenaHarper PartIV ForesightStudies:InstrumentforInnovationPolicy? 13 ChallengesforScienceandInnovationPolicy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 LukeGeorghiou 14 InnovationPolicyorPolicyforInnovation?–InSearchofthe OptimalSolutionforPolicyApproachandOrganisation. . . . . . . . . 247 DirkMeissner,VitalyRoud,andMarioCervantes 15 IndicatorsforScience,TechnologyandInnovationonthe CrossroadtoForesight. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 LeonidGokhberg 16 Summary–TargetingSTIPolicyInterventions–Future ChallengesforForesight. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 LeonidGokhbergandAlexanderSokolov List of Contributors SanjayArora SchoolofPublicPolicy,GeorgiaInstituteofTechnology,Atlanta, USA Mario Cervantes Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris,France Kerstin Cuhls Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, Karlsruhe,Germany AnastasiaEdelkina NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics (HSE),Moscow,Russia Luke Georghiou Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, Manchester BusinessSchool,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK Leonid Gokhberg National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE),Moscow,Russia Jennifer Cassingena Harper Malta Council for Science and Technology, Kalkara,Malta Oleg Karasev National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE),Moscow,Russia EkaterinaMakarova NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics (HSE),Moscow,Russia Dirk Meissner National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE),Moscow,Russia Ian Miles National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE), Moscow,Russia CentreforServiceResearch,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK VitalyRoud NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics(HSE), Moscow,Russia vii viii ListofContributors OzcanSaritas ManchesterInstituteofInnovationResearch,ManchesterBusiness School,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics(HSE),Moscow,Russia Philip Shapira Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, Manchester BusinessSchool,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK GeorgiaInstituteofTechnology,Atlanta,USA AlexanderSokolov NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics (HSE),Moscow,Russia Anna Sokolova National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE),Moscow,Russia Konstantin Vishnevskiy National Research University - Higher School of Eco- nomics(HSE),Moscow,Russia Jan Youtie Enterprise Innovation Institute at Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta,USA About the Authors Sanjay. Arora is a doctoral student at the School of Public Policy at Georgia InstituteofTechnologywithresearchinterests in innovation, strategic management, entre- preneurship, and science and technology policy. Sanjay has worked for JSTOR, the not-for-profit digital scholarly archive, as Data Manager and more recently for IBM Global Business Services as a Public Sector Consultant. He holds a BA in Information Systems from Wayne State University and a master’sinInformationSystemsManagement from Carnegie Mellon University. Email: [email protected] Mario Cervantes Senior Economist, Sci- ence and Technology Policy Division, Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry, Organisation for Economic Co- operationandDevelopment(OECD),Paris Mario Cervantes is senior economist/ principal administrator at OECD’s Science and Technology Policy Division. In partic- ular,heisresponsiblefortheWorkingParty on Innovation and Technology Policy (TIP). With more than 15 years of experi- ence in innovation policy, Mr. Cervantes has writtenonarangeoftopics fromindustry–sciencerelations,humanresources inS&T,technologyincubators,universitypatentingandlicensing,openinnovation ix
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