WEBFFIRS 04/24/2015 10:45:45 Pageii WEBFFIRS 04/24/2015 10:45:45 Pagei “Forbankmanagers,riskmanagers, andstudentsoffinancialriskmanagement inbanking, thisindispensableguideprovidesacomprehensivecoverageofallrelatedtopics,frombalance sheetmanagementtomarketandcreditmodels.Thetextgroupsallthattheyneedtoknowto understandthetechniques,thepracticesandthemainmodels,tonavigatebythemselvesinthe ever-evolvingandhighlytechnicalliteratureonrisks,andtowardsfurtherspecialisationsas needed.Thereissomuchonecantalkabout,thatmanyauthorshaveanarrowandspecialized approach,whichdoesnothelpreaderstoappreciatethefullscopeofthefield.Ontheother hand,thisbookstaysfocusedonriskmanagementwhileaddressingallanglesofthefield.The book is an extremely valuable contribution to the knowledge of risk management.” Christian Jimenez, Regional Director, PRMIA Paris “This comprehensive volume is ideal for finance professionals who aspire to deepen their knowledgeofriskmanagementinthebankingsector.Inaneverever-changingenvironmentof financialservices,thisentirelyrevisededitionprovidesthekeystothesophisticationandthe technicalitiesofriskmanagementtechniquesandmodels.Withacombinationofintellectual rigorandpragmaticapplication,thetextintegratesconciselyawidebodyofwork,avoiding the narrower approaches of specialists. Overall, Joël Bessis offers a balanced, extensive yet relevant coverage of the far-reaching expertise needed to control and supervise risks in financial institutions.” Elie Heriard-Dubreuil, Senior Director, Global Supranationals, Sovereign Ratings, Standard & Poor’s Rating Services “Understanding how banking firms operate and how risk models are designed and implemented has now become central in modern finance. This book provides a concise overviewofthesetopicsandcombinesanalyticalrigorwithrelevanceandpracticesinspired bytheacademicandprofessionalexperiencesoftheauthor.Amust-readforallstudentsand practitionerswhoneedtohaveapracticalknowledgeofhowriskmanagementisconducted and will evolve in banking.” Christophe Perignon, Associate Professor of Finance, HEC Paris “The author’s balanced profile, combining academic background with the experience of professionallife,showsupinthe‘howto’approachforimplementingmodels,techniquesand processes, accessible to non-specialists, in the real world. A truly fantastic book and an enduring and worthy part of the financial markets literature.” Professor Moorad Choudhry, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Brunel University, and former Treasurer, Corporate Banking Division, Royal Bank of Scotland “Inacontextwherebankingfirmsfacenewchallengesofriskmanagementandriskregulations, whichhaveadirectinfluenceofhowbanksdevelop,itismoreimportantthaneverthatall professionals,bankmanagersandriskmanagersalike,haveacomprehensiveviewofthe diversityofriskmanagementcontributions,fromasset-liabilitymanagementtobankssystems andriskmodels.Thisconciseandappliedcoverageofriskmanagementinbankswillenable professionalstoeffectivelytomasterthetechnicalitiesofthefieldandformeducatedjudgments onwhatriskmanagersandriskengineersdo,whichimpactstheirownroles.” Patrick Legland, Global Head of Research and Member of Global Capital Markets Executive Committee, Société Générale WEBFFIRS 04/24/2015 10:45:45 Pageii WEBFFIRS 04/24/2015 10:45:45 Pageiii R ISK M ANAGEMENT B IN ANKING FOURTH EDITION Joël Bessis WEBFFIRS 04/24/2015 10:45:45 Pageiv Thiseditionfirstpublished2015 2015JoëlBessis Secondeditionpublished2007,thirdeditionpublished2011byJohnWiley&Sons,Ltd Registeredoffice JohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester,WestSussex,PO198SQ, UnitedKingdom Fordetailsofourglobaleditorialoffices,forcustomerservicesandforinformationabouthowtoapply forpermissiontoreusethecopyrightmaterialinthisbookpleaseseeourwebsiteatwww.wiley.com. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,or transmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordingor otherwise,exceptaspermittedbytheUKCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988,withouttheprior permissionofthepublisher. Wileypublishesinavarietyofprintandelectronicformatsandbyprint-on-demand.Somematerial includedwithstandardprintversionsofthisbookmaynotbeincludedine-booksorinprint-on- demand.IfthisbookreferstomediasuchasaCDorDVDthatisnotincludedintheversionyou purchased,youmaydownloadthismaterialathttp://booksupport.wiley.com.Formoreinformation aboutWileyproducts,visitwww.wiley.com. Designationsusedbycompaniestodistinguishtheirproductsareoftenclaimedastrademarks.All brandnamesandproductnamesusedinthisbookaretradenames,servicemarks,trademarksor registeredtrademarksoftheirrespectiveowners.Thepublisherisnotassociatedwithanyproductor vendormentionedinthisbook. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveusedtheirbestefforts inpreparingthisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttotheaccuracyor completenessofthecontentsofthisbookandspecificallydisclaimanyimpliedwarrantiesof merchantabilityorfitnessforaparticularpurpose.Itissoldontheunderstandingthatthepublisheris notengagedinrenderingprofessionalservicesandneitherthepublishernortheauthorshallbeliable fordamagesarisingherefrom.Ifprofessionaladviceorotherexpertassistanceisrequired,theservices ofacompetentprofessionalshouldbesought. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Bessis,Joël. [Gestiondesrisquesetgestionactif-passifdesbanques.English] Riskmanagementinbanking/JoëlBessis.—Fourthedition. pagescm Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-1-118-66021-8(paperback) 1. Bankmanagement. 2. Riskmanagement. 3. Asset-liabilitymanagement. I. Title. HG1615.B457132015 332.1068´1—dc23 2015010257 AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. ISBN978-1-118-66021-8(paperback)ISBN978-1-118-66018-8(ebk) ISBN978-1-118-66019-5(ebk) CoverDesign:Wiley Buildingdetail©Shutterstock/Kimages;Background©iStock.com/svariophoto Setin10/12ptTimesNewRomanMTStdbyThomsonDigital,Noida,India PrintedinGreatBritainbyTJInternationalLtd,Padstow,Cornwall,UK WEBFTOC 04/24/2015 10:55:36 Pagev Contents Foreword vii Preface ix AbouttheAuthor xi 1 RisksandRiskManagement 1 2 BankingRegulationsOverview 13 3 BalanceSheetManagementandRegulations 21 4 LiquidityManagementandLiquidityGaps 31 5 InterestRateGaps 43 6 HedgingandGapManagement 57 7 EconomicValueoftheBankingBook 67 8 ConvexityRiskinBanking 81 9 ConvexityRisk:TheCaseofMortgages 91 10 FundsTransferPricingSystems 109 11 Returns,RandomShocksandValue-at-Risk 123 12 PortfolioRiskandFactorModels 135 13 Delta-normalVaRandHistoricalVaR 149 14 ExtensionsofTraditionalVaR 159 15 Volatility 169 16 SimulationofInterestRates 179 WEBFTOC 04/24/2015 10:55:36 Pagevi vi CONTENTS 17 MarketRiskRegulations 189 18 CreditRisk 199 19 CreditRiskData 211 20 ScoringModelsandCreditRatings 221 21 DefaultModels 237 22 CounterpartyCreditRisk 253 23 CreditEventDependencies 263 24 CreditPortfolioRisk:Analytics 271 25 CreditPortfolioRisk:Simulations 283 26 CreditRiskRegulations 293 27 CapitalAllocationandRiskContributions 303 28 Risk-adjustedPerformanceMeasures 315 29 CreditDerivatives 323 30 Securitizations 331 References 345 Index 351 WEBFOREW 04/24/2015 11:13:28 Pagevii Foreword It isatruism that while every financialcrisis isdifferent,errorsmade inrisk managementin bankingaretimeless.Irememberwellreadinganarticlefrom1994,publishedbytheFederal ReserveBankofMinneapolis,thathighlightedmistakesmadebybothlargeandsmallbanksin the US banking crisis of 1980–81. Every single one of the recommendations made by the authors of that paper would have been relevant and applicable to banks that crashed in 2008–09. An ineffective risk management framework, coupled with an aggressive asset origination policy, will always combine to bring badly-run banks down the next time there is an economic downturn. Sound principles of risk management are vital at all times, throughout the cycle. In essence, they are timeless. Thisbookistimeless.Ihavebeenfamiliarwithitsinceitwasfirstpublished,andhavebeen itsbiggestfaneversince.Itisgreattoseeitbeingissuednowinits4thedition.Itisoneofthose rarebooksthatcombinestherigorofasound,balancedacademicapproach,essentialifoneisto operate in finance without emotion and with logic, with the accessibility and real-world relevancethatisanimperativeforthepractitioner.Itisagenuine“handbook”,onecanreadit andapplyitsprinciplesrightawayinjustabouteverytypeofbankinginstitutionintheworld, and that bank would be better off as a result. Everysinglechapterinthebookisworthyofstudy.Iamveryenthusiasticaboutthechapters onALMgapandhedging.Theauthorplaceseverythingincontext,andtiesinmarketriskand bankingbookrisk,togetherwithcreditrisk–arare,combinedapproachthatplaystomyown strongbeliefabouthowriskmanagementinbanksshouldbegovernedbytheAsset-Liability Committee (ALCO). Balance sheet risk needs one oversight body that operates with board authority, and as the balance sheet is impacted by ALM, market and credit risk together, it makes sense to view these from the ALCO table. AsayoungmanIusedtoplaythebassguitar.BeingaskedtowritethisForewordisabitlike beingaskedbyPaulMcCartneytoplaybassonhisnextalbum,itisthatmuchofaprivilege! Professor Bessis has made a fantastic and most worthwhile contribution to the financial WEBFOREW 04/24/2015 11:13:28 Pageviii viii FOREWORD economicsliteraturewiththisbook,rightfromitsfirstedition,andIamlucky tohavehada copy on the desk with me ever since it was first published. I do hope that this exciting and interestingneweditionmakesbalancesheetriskinbankingsomethingthatismoremainstream attheboardlevel,andfurthermorespursreadersontotheirownresearchandinvestigation–if they follow the application and dedication evident in this work, they will not be going far wrong. Professor Moorad Choudhry Department of Mathematical Sciences Brunel University Former Treasurer, Corporate Banking Division, Royal Bank of Scotland November 2014
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