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Research and Development PDF

60 Pages·2015·6.55 MB·English
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Mandate “To provide protection against natural calamities and utilize scientific knowledge as an effective instrument to insure the safety, well-being and economic security of all the people, and for the promotion of national progress.” Vision Center of excellence for weather related information and services Mission Protecting lives, livelihoods and properties through timely, accurate and reliable weather-related information and services Core Values Integrity Commitments Patriotism C ontents 4 Messages  DOST Secretary  PAGASA Acting Administrator 6 Profile of Leader 7 Strengthening and Sharpening Focus on Continuing Program  Disaster Preparedness and Hazard Mitigation 9 MFO 1: Weather, Climate and Flood Forecasting/ Warning and Other Related Services 17 Research and Development 23 Physical Resource Development 24 Human Resource Development 30 Improvement of S & T Governance, Management and Linkages 33 Local and International Linkages and Collaboration 42 S & T Celebration 49 Capitalization 52 Challenges and Directions for the coming year 56 Directory of Key Officials Mario G. Montejo DOST Secretary s e g a s s e M I congratulate the hardworking men and women of the With more Doppler Radars and Automatic Weather Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Stations (AWS) installed around the country, PAGASA's Services Administration (PAGASA) for another year of weather monitoring capability has been enhanced, service to the Filipino people. This quiet diligence is a and its forecasts and warnings have become more reaffirmation of an intrepid brand of public service in the accurate and frequent. face of a natural force that is fickle and extreme. This year, the people could expect more Super typhoon Yolanda sent a strong signal that the significant improvement as the DOST will hydrometeorological hazards in the country are getting acquire more state-of-the-art equipment for increasingly ferocious and unstoppable. PAGASA, on top of its intensive human resource development. But PAGASA remains undaunted as it grapples with this reality. While it is given that its best and collective The work for PAGASA modernization is now in full swing. efforts will always be tested by these phenomena, it I assure everyone of the has to remain armed with the best of weather-monitoring DOST's unending support for this. Thank you and technologies to be able to see the challenges through. mabuhay! 4 Vicente B. Malano Acting Administrator M e s s a g e s The year 2013 marked another fruitful year for PAGASA. monitoring and forecasting system with the establishment The enhancement of weather forecasting capabilities of new centers in major river basins in Mindanao. achieved during the year has translated into a more These facilities are part of PAGASA’s participation in accurate and timely provision of forecasts and warnings. the implementation of the highly successful National Through the acquisition and installation of state-of –the- Operational Assessment of Hazard (NOAH) project. art equipment and facilities, the service capability of PAGASA as a warning agency stepped up to a higher Meanwhile, the agency’s Research & Development level. programs provided support to Climate Change Adaptation (CCA) and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) The operation of the Aparri Doppler Radar station measures with the publication of training manual and beefed up the nine (9) existing radars ensuring a more production of videos. Its disaster risk reduction awareness comprehensive tracking and monitoring of tropical program significantly enhanced preparedness in time of cyclones. impending calamities in communities at risk. In addition, the installation of 158 Automated Weather All these were accomplished through the effort of the Stations (AWSs) and 187 Automatic Rain Gauges (ARGs) men and women of PAGASA in the name of public was completed in strategic areas throughout the country service, proving once again their total dedication to the to solidify the collection of vital weather data used in the agency's noble mission. formulation of forecasts. For the coming year, I assured my countrymen that they The agency, in its effort to reduce the effects of hydro can always depend on us for protection from the risks meteorological hazards, continued to strengthen its flood posed by hydrometeorological hazards. 5 Profile of a Leader Dr. Vicente B. Malano Dr. Vicente B. Malano was finally appointed as the Acting Administrator of PAGASA after serving as Officer- in-Charge for ten months. Dr. Malano was appointed by President Benigno Aquino III on December 16, 2013 and was formally sworn into office by DOST Secretary Mario G. Montejo on December 27, 2013 at the PAGASA Amihan Conference room. Dr. Malano was designated PAGASA Officer-in-Charge in March 2013 following the retirement of Administrator Nathaniel Servando, his predessor. Dr. Malano, who was born in Alburquerque, He acquired his Ph. D. in Meteorology As all his predecessors, Dr. Malano Bohol became the sixth Visayan native from the University of the Philippines rose from the ranks. He was hired as a to lead PAGASA since 1958. The late (UP, Diliman) in 2003. He holds a Meteorologist in 1982 gradually rising Director Roman L. Kintanar was from Master’s Degree in National Security to become the Acting Administrator Argao, Cebu, while Dr. Leoncio A. Administration (MNSA) conferred by for Operations and Services before Amadore who succeeded him in 1994 the National Defense College of the his designation as PAGASA OIC. He hails from Bassey, Samar. Former Philippines (NDCP) in 2010. also headed the Weather Division Directors Prisco D. Nilo and Engr. of PAGASA and published several Martin F. Rellin Jr are from Leyte and Dr. Malano is a graduate of two B.S research papers, most notable of Cebu, respectively, while Dr. Nathaniel Engineering Courses. He graduated which, is the Storm Surge Model for T. Servando is from Iloilo. with Bachelor of Science in Civil Leyte Gulf published in 1999. Engineering at the Central Colleges of the Philippines in 1987. Prior to this, For the next five years, he is determined he finished a degree in B.S Agricultural to make PAGASA the best in Southeast Engineering at the University of Asia in terms of Early Warning System Southern Mindanao in 1980. (EWS). In order to achieve this, he is focused in efforts to strengthen the data monitoring system, database management system, forecast and warning system and the equally important information dissemination system. Known as unassuming and low- keyed person, he works silently to achieve immediate results even without expecting any praise or recognition in return. This positive effort makes him fit to lead PAGASA in serving its noble mission for the country. He is married to Artemilita who is the Directress of her own school in Bulacan and they are blessed with three children. 6 Strengthening Sharpening and Focus on Continuing Program Disaster Preparedness and Hazard Mitigation New Technologies to Enhance Weather Forecasting Capabilities and Services of PAGASA. COSMO Model explicitly capture small-scale severe overcome the shortcomings resulting weather events. from the application of parameterized The COSMO Model was an integral convection in current coarse-grid part of the acquisition of Forecasters’ The COSMO-Model has been hydrostatic models. In addition, Workstation which was installed on designed for meso-β and meso-γ the impact of topography on the March 2013. The nonhydrostatic fully scales where non hydrostatic effects organization of penetrative convection compressible COSMO-Model has been begin to play an essential role in by, channeling effects is represented developed to meet high-resolution the evolution of atmospheric flows. much more realistically in high regional forecast requirements of By employing 1 to 3 km grid spacing resolution non hydrostatic forecast weather services and to provide for operational forecasts over a large models. Record of discussion was a flexible tool for various scientific domain, it is expected that deep conducted in August 2013 and signed applications on a broad range of spatial moist convection and the associated by both parties in December of the scales. Many NWP-models operate on feedback mechanisms to the larger same year. hydrostatic scales of motion with grid scales of motion can be explicitly spacing down to about 10 km and thus resolved. Meso-γ scale NWP-models lack the spatial resolution required to thus have the principle potential to 7 m Forecasters’ Workstation • objective analysis with model- New capabilities for cloud and a r initialization and numerical quality- surface mapping g o This workstation which was installed at control r P different PAGASA Regional Services • Presentation Templates allowing PAGASA upgraded the X Band Satellite g Divisions and other PAGASA Users on-map visualization of custom Ground Station to receive Suomi NPP n ui is a visualization and processing bulletins Satellite apart from the Terra and n system that integrates all the data • unification of BUFR/CREX and Aqua Satellites. The upgraded and ti n and generates products. All database alphanumeric reports new system was installed in April o C contents can be instantly accessed • extended customizable shape file 2013. In 2012, the direct broadcast n and brought to the screen. In summary orography with unlimited precision transmission of SNPP Satellite was o the main functions are: and content turned on. The Visible Imaging Infrared s u • direct access to received reports Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on board this c o • overlaying of any kind of and messages satellite was developed to extend the F meteorological data and features • extensive chart and table output measurement series of the MODIS g n • display of all NWP products, including weather monitoring for sensor currently flying aboard Terra ni unlimited number of models and both observations and models and Aqua satellites. The VIIRS sensor e p parameters is part of the National Polar-orbiting ar • Mathematical Kernel for extensive Operational Environmental Satellite h model computation and evaluation System (NPOESS) Preparatory Project S Mobile Weather Satellite Receiving • combining different models in (NPP) - a joint NASA/IPO instrument d System n overlays or even computations risk reduction project. The success a between models of MODIS, and of the Terra and g In line with the automation forecasting n • display, generating and printing of Aqua platforms in providing earth ni program of PAGASA, a Fixed surface charts, upper-air charts, observations, has set the bar for e Geostationary Satellite Receiving h weather charts, model outputs, the next generation of instruments t System was acquired during the year, g remote-sensing imagery and spacecraft for the continuity of n and was installed in Tuguegarao e • extensible satellite and radar Earth observation. This new satellite r on June 8, 2013 and El Salvador in St support (including nowcasting) launched will likewise takeover from Mindanao on June 18, 2013. One with composing, coloring, the NOAA Series Satellites. Terra Scan Geostationary Satellite Receiving reprojecting and multi-channel visualization workstations were also System is to be used by the STRIDE combining of images installed to different users in PAGASA Team or Storm Chaser as a new and • producing own weather charts including the five PRSDs. cost effective satellite ground station with interactive user-friendly editor that is portable and easy to transport. • preparing forecasts and forecast Internet data is not dependable during charts times of crisis when PAGASA needs • horizontal and vertical cross it most. Likewise the Storm Chasers sections could see the weather system wherever • various thermo diagrams and they are. This direct reception ground hologram from observations and station can provide continuous data models coverage in the absence of internet • nowcasting data integration connectivity and grid power. The • NWP field modification system was acquired in June 2013. • report correction 8 MFO1: Weather, Climate and Flood Forecasting/Warning and Other Related Services Weather, Climate and Flood Forecasting Weather Forecasting and Storms Auring (Jan. 03-04), Dante education, agriculture, tourism, trade (June 07-10), Emong (June 16-19), & commerce and other industries. Typhoon Warning Services Fabian (June 20-20 ), Gorio (June 27- PAGASA has also provided specially 30), Huaning (July 10-13), Isang (July packaged weather information for Mt. This program is centered in the 15-17), Kiko (Ayg 05-06), Labuyo (Aug Mayon, Mt. Bulusan and other selected operation of the weather forecasting 08-12), Maring (Aug 16-21), Nando areas. and warning system of the country. As (Aug 25-29), Ramil (Oct 06-07), Santi part of the program the Agency issued (Oct 08-12), Urduja, (Oct 21-23), Vinta The program also entails observation, public weather forecasts, including a (Oct 28-Nov 01), Yolanda (Nov 06- collection and compilation of weather five-day weather outlook, shipping and 09), Wilma (Nov 03-04), Zoraida (Nov data and information acquired from aviation forecasts. This also includes 10-12). Figure 1. Shows the tropical local and global networks. These information on the probable daily cyclones that entered the PAR. The data are then plotted and analyzed weather condition especially during information issued serves as inputs on weather maps for the formulation the occurrence of severe weather to day-to-day activities and extended and issuance of weather forecasts, disturbances, such as tropical cyclones periods for developmental and advisories and warnings, when that entered the Philippine Area of planning activities, more importantly, for warranted. The transmission of data Responsibility (PAR). During the year disaster preparedness and response and information utilizes a nationwide under review, twenty five (25) tropical to disaster-causing severe weather telecommunication network and cyclones entered the Philippine Area of phenomena. Beneficiaries of these communication link with global Responsibility (PAR) namely: Tropical services include various sectors such meteorological telecommunication Depressions Bising (Jan 11-13) and as the air, sea and land transportation, institutions. Crising (Feb. 18-21) and Tropical Figure 1 shows the tropical cyclones that entered the PAR. 9 s e c vi r e S d e t a el R r e h t O d n a g n ni r a W Handover of the JICA / Doppler radar project g n ti s a c One of the major accomplishments of e PAGASA for the year is the completion r o F of the Japan International Cooperation d Agency (JICA) funded Doppler radar o project. The project was completed o Fl with the installation of the Doppler radar at Guiuan radar station which d n was hit by typhoon “Yolanda” in a November 2013. The rehabilitation e t will be done by JICA. Also completed a m was the project “Establishment of Early Cli Warning and Response System for Disaster Mitigation in Metro Manila” er, (Pasig-Marikina-Laguna Lake river for Bicol River Basin. Likewise, there for effective disaster risk management h basin) under the Korean International is an on-going installation of water in the areas of concern. Enhancement t a Cooperation Agency (KOICA). level gauges, water level sensor and of this flood related warning information e W automatic rain gauge in 13 major river through provision of inundation maps : Flood Forecasting and basins nationwide. The innovation is in is also being undertaken to unable 1 O collaboration with DOST-ASTI. disaster managers to effectively plan Hydro meteorological F their preparedness and mitigation. M Services Information served for flood disaster preparedness, prevention and Flood and storm surge hazard mapping On-going implementation of the projects mitigation consisted of 99 flood bulletins and vulnerability analysis is another for the improvement of flood forecasting Pampanga, Agno, Bicol and Cagayan important activity being undertaken by and warning system of the agency (PABC) River Basins and 2598 general the Agency aimed at enhancing the include the Improvement of Flood flood advisories. PAGASA has vigorously effectiveness of efforts to reduce the Forecasting and Warning System issued a total of 1351 hydrological loss of life and damages caused by for Magat Dam and Downstream forecasts for the PABC River Basins natural hazards. Communities (Norwegian Agency for through its telemetry and multiplex Development Cooperation- Norad) telecommunications network. The 2010-2014, and Strengthening Flood flood bulletins and general advisories Forecasting and Warning system for flood were intended to be utilized 10

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Climatological and Agrometeorological Services. The Climatology and Agrometeology Division (CAD) of PAGASA has consistently carried out
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