Reliability Engineering Advanced Research in Reliability and System Assurance Engineering Series Editor: Mangey Ram, Professor, Graphic Era (Deemed to be University), Dehradun, India Reliability Engineering Modeling and Simulation Based Analysis in Reliability Engineering Edited by Mangey Ram Methods and Applications Reliability Engineering Theory and Applications Edited by Ilia Vonta and Mangey Ram System Reliability Management Solutions and Technologies Edited by Adarsh Anand and Mangey Ram Reliability Engineering Methods and Applications Edited by Mangey Ram Edited by Mangey Ram For more information about this series, please visit: https://www.crcpress.com/ Reliability-Engineering-Theory-and-Applications/Vonta-Ram/p/book/9780815355175 Reliability Engineering Methods and Applications Edited by Mangey Ram CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group 6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300 Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742 © 2020 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business No claim to original U.S. Government works Printed on acid-free paper International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-138-59385-5 (Hardback) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the validity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this form has not been obtained. If any copyright material has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may rectify in any future reprint. Except as permitted under U.S. Copyright Law, no part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, trans- mitted, or utilized in any form by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereaf- ter invented, including photocopying, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the publishers. For permission to photocopy or use material electronically from this work, please access www.copyright. com (http://www.copyright.com/) or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of users. For organizations that have been granted a photocopy license by the CCC, a separate system of payment has been arranged. Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. Library of Congress Cataloging‑in‑Publication Data Names: Ram, Mangey, editor. Title: Reliability engineering : methods and applications / edited by Mangey Ram. Other titles: Reliability engineering (CRC Press : 2019) Description: Boca Raton, FL : CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Group, 2018. Series: Advanced research in reliability and system assurance engineering | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2019023663 (print) | LCCN 2019023664 (ebook) | ISBN 9781138593855 (hardback) | ISBN 9780429488009 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Reliability (Engineering) Classification: LCC TA169 .R439522 2019 (print) | LCC TA169 (ebook) | DDC 620/.00452--dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019023663 Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at http://www.taylorandfrancis.com and the CRC Press Web site at http://www.crcpress.com Contents Preface......................................................................................................................vii CRC Press Acknowledgments .....................................................................................................ix Taylor & Francis Group Editor ........................................................................................................................xi 6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300 Contributors ...........................................................................................................xiii Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742 © 2020 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business Chapter 1 Preventive Maintenance Modeling: State of the Art ............................1 No claim to original U.S. Government works Sylwia Werbińska-Wojciechowska Printed on acid-free paper Chapter 2 Inspection Maintenance Modeling for Technical Systems: International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-138-59385-5 (Hardback) An Overview ......................................................................................41 This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume Sylwia Werbińska-Wojciechowska responsibility for the validity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this form has not been obtained. If any copyright material Chapter 3 Application of Stochastic Processes in Degradation Modeling: has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may rectify in any future reprint. An Overview ......................................................................................79 Except as permitted under U.S. Copyright Law, no part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, trans- Shah Limon, Ameneh Forouzandeh Shahraki, mitted, or utilized in any form by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereaf- and Om Prakash Yadav ter invented, including photocopying, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the publishers. For permission to photocopy or use material electronically from this work, please access www.copyright. Chapter 4 Building a Semi-automatic Design for Reliability Survey with com (http://www.copyright.com/) or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Semantic Pattern Recognition ..........................................................107 Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of users. For organizations that have been granted a photocopy license by the Christian Spreafico and Davide Russo CCC, a separate system of payment has been arranged. Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are Chapter 5 Markov Chains and Stochastic Petri Nets for Availability and used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. Reliability Modeling ........................................................................127 Library of Congress Cataloging‑in‑Publication Data Paulo Romero Martins Maciel, Jamilson Ramalho Dantas, Names: Ram, Mangey, editor. and Rubens de Souza Matos Júnior Title: Reliability engineering : methods and applications / edited by Mangey Ram. Other titles: Reliability engineering (CRC Press : 2019) Description: Boca Raton, FL : CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Group, 2018. Chapter 6 An Overview of Fault Tree Analysis and Its Application in Dual Series: Advanced research in reliability and system assurance engineering | Includes Purposed Cask Reliability in an Accident Scenario ........................153 bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2019023663 (print) | LCCN 2019023664 (ebook) | ISBN Maritza Rodriguez Gual, Rogerio Pimenta Morão, Luiz 9781138593855 (hardback) | ISBN 9780429488009 (ebook) Leite da Silva, Edson Ribeiro, Claudio Cunha Lopes, Subjects: LCSH: Reliability (Engineering) Classification: LCC TA169 .R439522 2019 (print) | LCC TA169 (ebook) | DDC and Vagner de Oliveira 620/.00452--dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019023663 Chapter 7 An Overview on Failure Rates in Maintenance Policies .................165 Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at Xufeng Zhao and Toshio Nakagawa http://www.taylorandfrancis.com and the CRC Press Web site at http://www.crcpress.com v vi Contents Chapter 8 Accelerated Life Tests with Competing Failure Modes: An Overview ....................................................................................197 Kanchan Jain and Preeti Wanti Srivastava Chapter 9 European Reliability Standards .......................................................223 Miguel Angel Navas, Carlos Sancho, and Jose Carpio Chapter 10 Time-Variant Reliability Analysis Methods for Dynamic Structures .........................................................................................259 Zhonglai Wang and Shui Yu Chapter 11 Latent Variable Models in Reliability ..............................................281 Laurent Bordes Chapter 12 Expanded Failure Modes and Effects Analysis: A Different Approach for System Reliability Assessment ..................................305 Perdomo Ojeda Manuel, Rivero Oliva Jesús, and Salomón Llanes Jesús Chapter 13 Reliability Assessment and Probabilistic Data Analysis of Vehicle Components and Systems ....................................................337 Zhigang Wei Chapter 14 Maintenance Policy Analysis of a Marine Power Generating Multi-state System ............................................................................361 Thomas Markopoulos and Agapios N. Platis Chapter 15 Vulnerability Discovery and Patch Modeling: State of the Art .......401 Avinash K. Shrivastava, P. K. Kapur, and Misbah Anjum Chapter 16 Signature Reliability Evaluations: An Overview of Different Systems .............................................................................................421 Akshay Kumar, Mangey Ram, and S. B. Singh Index ......................................................................................................................439 Preface The theory, methods, and applications of reliability analysis have been developed significantly over the last 60 years and have been recognized in many publications. Therefore, awareness about the importance of each reliability measure of the system and its fields is very important to a reliability specialist. This book Reliability Engineering: Methods and Applications is a collection of different models, methods, and unique approaches to deal with the different techno- logical aspects of reliability engineering. A deep study of the earlier approaches and models has been done to bring out better and advanced system reliability techniques for different phases of the working of the components. Scope for future develop- ments and research has been suggested. The main areas studied follow under different chapters: Chapter 1 provides the review and analysis of preventive maintenance modeling issues. The discussed preventive maintenance models are classified into two main groups for one-unit and multi-unit systems. Chapter 2 provides the literature review on the most commonly used optimal inspection maintenance mode using appropriate inspection strategy analyzing the complexity of the system whether single or multi-stage system etc. depending on the requirements of quality, production, minimum costs, and reducing the frequency of failures. Chapter 3 presents the application of stochastic processes in degradation modeling to assess product/system performances. Among the continuous stochastic processes, the Wiener, Gamma, and inverse Gaussian processes are discussed and applied for degradation modeling of engineering systems using accelerated degradation data. Chapter 4 presents a novel approach for analysis of Failure Modes and Effect Analysis (FMEA)-related documents through a semi-automatic procedure involving semantic tools. The aim of this work is reducing the time of analysis and improving the level of detail of the analysis through the introduction of an increased number of considered features and relations among them. Chapter 5 studies the reliability and availability modeling of a system through Markov chains and stochastic Petri nets. Chapter 6 talks about the fault tree analysis technique for the calculation of reliability and risk measurement in the transportation of radioactive materials. This study aims at reducing the risk of environmental contamination caused due to human errors. Chapter 7 surveys the failure rate functions of replacement times, random, and periodic replacement models and their properties for an understanding of the com- plex maintenance models theoretically. Chapter 8 highlights the design of accelerated life tests with competing failure modes which give rise to competing risk analysis. This design helps in the prediction of the product reliability accurately, quickly, and economically. vii viii Preface Chapter 9 presents an analysis, classification, and orientation of content to encour- age researchers, organizations, and professionals to use IEC standards as applicable procedures and/or as reference guides. These standards provide methods and math- ematical metrics known worldwide. Chapter 10 discusses the time-variant reliability analysis methods for real-life dynamic structures under uncertainties and vibratory systems having high nonlinear performance. These methods satisfy the accuracy requirements by considering the time correlation. Chapter 11 presents a few reliability or survival analysis models involving latent variables. The latent variable model considers missing information, heterogeneity of observations, measurement of errors, etc. Chapter 12 highlights the failure mode and effects analysis technique that esti- mates the system reliability when the components are dependent on each other and there is common cause failure as in redundant systems using the logical algorithm. Chapter 13 provides an overview of the current state-of-the-art reliability assess- ment approaches, including testing and probabilistic data analysis approaches, for vehicle components and systems, vehicle exhaust components, and systems. The new concepts include a fatigue S-N curve transformation technique and a variable trans- formation technique in a damage-cycle diagram. Chapter 14 is an attempt to develop a semi-Markov model of a ship’s electric power generation system and use multi-state systems theory to develop an alterna- tive aspect of maintenance policy, indicating the importance of the human capital management relating to its cost management optimization. Chapter 15 discusses the quantitative models proposed in the software security literature called vulnerability discovery model for predicting the total number of vulnerabilities detected, identified, or discovered during the operational phase of the software. This work also described the modeling framework of the vulnerability discovery models and vulnerability patching models. Chapter 16 discusses the signature and its factor such as mean time to failure, expected cost, and Barlow-Proschan index with the help of the reliability function and the universal generating function also using Owen’s method for a coherent sys- tem, which has independent identically, distributed elements. Throughout this book, engineers and academician gain great knowledge and help in understanding reliability engineering and its overviews. This book gives a broad overview on the past, current, and future trends of reliability methods and applica- tions for the readers. Mangey Ram Graphic Era (Deemed to be University), India Acknowledgments The Editor acknowledges CRC Press for this opportunity and professional sup- port. My special thanks to Ms. Cindy Renee Carelli, Executive Editor, CRC Press/ Taylor & Francis Group for the excellent support she provided me to complete this book. Thanks to Ms. Erin Harris, Editorial Assistant to Mrs. Cindy Renee Carelli, for her follow up and aid. Also, I would like to thank all the chapter authors and reviewers for their availability for this work. Mangey Ram Graphic Era (Deemed to be University), India ix