Reliability assessments of concrete structures using non-linear finite element analyses Hanna Eklund Astrid Skorve Arne Strand Civil and Environmental Engineering Submission date: June 2017 Supervisor: Max Hendriks, KT Co-supervisor: Morten Engen, KT Jochen Köhler, IBM Norwegian University of Science and Technology Department of Structural Engineering Department)of)Structural)Engineering) ) ) ))))))))))))))ACCESSIBILITY Faculty(of(Engineering(Science(and(Technology( NTNU6)Norwegian)University)of)Science)and)Technology) ( ( ( ( MASTER)THESIS)2017) ( ( SUBJECT(AREA:(( DATE:(( NO.(OF(PAGES:( Structural(Design( 11.06.2017( 150( ( ( TITLE:( ( Reliability)Assessments)of)Concrete)Structures)using)Non6Linear)Finite)Element) Analyses) ) Pålitelighetsanalyser(av(betongkonstruksjoner(ved(bruk(av(ikkePlineære( elementanalyser) ( BY:( ( ( ( Hanna(Eklund( Astrid(Skorve( Arne(Strand( ( SUMMARY:( Reliability(assessment(of(slender(concrete(columns(using(NonPlinear(finite(element(analysis((NLFEA)(is( studied(in(this(thesis.(Several(reliability(methods(in(combination(with(NLFEA(are(applied(and(discussed(to( assess(the(consistency(of(the(Eurocode(design(calculations(in(regard(to(reliability.( The(Eurocode(applies(the(safety(format(of(Partial(safety(factor((PSF)(which(assumes(a(linear(Limit(state( function((LSF).(Using(NLFEA(may(result(in(a(nonPlinear(limit(state,(hence(violating(the(assumption(of(the( PSF(method.(Still,(the(Eurocode(recommends(using(the(PSF(format(on(nonPlinear(problems(when(NLFEA( are(conducted.( Current(research(on(concrete(structures(involves(formulating(new(safety(formats(that(are( applicable(to(NLFEA(and(nonPlinear(LSFs.( This(thesis(further(adapts(the(current(research(to(the(problem(of(slender(columns(subject(to(large(second( order(effects.( The(reliability(is(assessed(by(a(response(surface(method(in(combination(with(first(and( second(order(reliability(methods.(Both(NLFEA(and(an(analytic(approach(was(used(in(the(probabilistic( design.(The(Monte(Carlo(method(was(applied(as(well(to(determine(the(accuracy(of(the(methods.(Five( random(variables(were(introduced,(namely(the(concrete(compressive(strength,(the(reinforcement(yield( strength,(the(concrete(stiffness,(the(eccentricity(of(the(load(and(the(load(itself.(The(material(and(geometric( uncertainty(have(been(implemented,(while(some(considerations(were(made(towards(the(modelling( uncertainty.(Safety(factors(applicable(to(several(case(configurations(were(also(sought(by(assessing( different(concrete(grades(and(column(slenderness.( Suggestions(for(improvements(in(a(future(version(of(Eurocode(2(is(given.(For(slender(columns,(it(may(seem( advantageous(to(propose(a(new(set(of(safety(factors(that(are(calibrated(to(consider(second(order(effects.(In( general,(safety(factors(associated(to(second(order(effects(should(be(increased,(and(safety(factors( associated(to(the(crossPsectional(resistance(may(be(decreased(or(set(to(one.( ( ( RESPONSIBLE(TEACHER:(Max(Hendriks( ( SUPERVISOR(S):(Max(Hendriks,(Morten(Engen,(Jochen(Köhler( ( CARRIED(OUT(AT:(Department(of(Structural(Engineering( ( Department of Structural Engineering FACULTY OF ENGINEERING NTNU – Norwegian University of Science and Technology MASTER THESIS 2017 for Hanna Eklund, Astrid Skorve and Arne Strand Reliability Assessments of Concrete Structures using Non- Linear Finite Element Analyses Pålitelighetsanalyser av betongkonstruksjoner ved bruk av ikke-lineære elementanalyser Concrete structures are normally designed using the partial safety factor (PSF) method. Implicit in this method is the assumption of a linear limit state function (LSF), and this permits the calibration of partial safety factors that account for the target reliability, and the variability and assumed sensitivity of the respective basic variables. This approach represents generically a large range of design situations today. Non-linear finite element analyses (NLFEA), if properly performed, provides the designer with realistic estimates of the structural behavior. However, with NLFEA the LSF might no longer be linear, and the underlying assumptions of the PSF method would then be violated. Parts of current research in the concrete community is related to formulating proper safety formats that are applicable in connection to NLFEA and possible non-linear LSFs. In this project, the problem will be elaborated on by studying a seemingly simple problem: slender columns subjected to axial loading. Two 3.8 m long reinforced concrete columns with similar geometries but different concrete grades are considered. Supervisor(s): Max Hendriks, Jochen Köhler, Morten Engen NTNU, 17.01. 2017 Preface This MSc thesis is written as the final part of the master program of Civil Engineering at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology in Trondheim. It is written for the Depart- mentofStructuralEngineeringintheperiodfromJanuarytoJune2017. ThethesisconcernsreliabilityassessmentofconcretestructuresusingNLFEA,andthefeasibil- ity of Eurocode calculation methods regarding highly non-linear problems. Structural reliabil- itywasarelativelynewfieldofstudyfortheauthors,sodiggingintoandtryingtocomprehend themethodsandtheoryhasbeenagreatopportunityandchallenge. Thereliabilityassessments performed in this thesis were conducted with self-developed, integrated procedures with Mat- lab, Python, Diana and Command Prompt. The development was time consuming, but greatly increasedtheunderstandingofthepotentialsandlimitationsofdifferentthemethods. ThemasterthesishasbeensupervisedbyProfessorMaxHendriks,AssociateProfessorJochen Köhler and PhD candidate Morten Engen at Multiconsult. Gratitude is extended towards our supervisors for their patient and helpful guidance. We highly appreciate the good advice and long, motivating discussions. We are also thankful for the the insight and knowledge our su- pervisorssharedconcerningstructuralreliability,concretestructuresandinprogramming. ThanksarealsoextendedtoPhDcandidateFinnIdarGrøttaGiskeatMulticonsultforvaluable informationandunderstandingofthesecondorderreliabilitymethod. Trondheim,11.06.2017 HannaEklund AstridSkorve ArneStrand i ii Abstract Reliability assessment of slender concrete columns using Non-linear finite element anal- ysis (NLFEA) is studied in this thesis. Several reliability methods in combination with NLFEAareappliedanddiscussedtoassesstheconsistencyoftheEurocodedesigncalcu- lationsinregardtoreliability. The Eurocode applies the safety format of Partial safety factor (PSF) method which as- sumes a linear Limit state function (LSF). Using NLFEA may result in a non-linear limit state, hence violating the underlying assumption of the PSF method. Still, the Eurocode recommends using the PSF format on non-linear problems when NLFEA are conducted. Current research on concrete structures involves formulating new safety formats that are moreapplicabletoNLFEAandnon-linearLSFs. This thesis further adapts the current research to the problem of slender columns subject to large second order effects. The reliability is assessed by a response surface method in combinationwithfirstandsecondorderreliabilitymethods. BothNLFEAandananalytic approach was used in the probabilistic design. The Monte Carlo method was applied as well to determine the accuracy of the methods. Five random variables were introduced, namely the concrete compressive strength, the reinforcement yield strength, the concrete stiffness, the eccentricity of the load and the load itself. The material and geometric un- certaintyhavebeenimplemented,whilesomeconsiderationsweremadetowardsthemod- ellinguncertainty. Safetyfactorsapplicabletoseveralcaseconfigurationswerealsosought byassessingdifferentconcretegradesandcolumnslenderness. Suggestions for improvements in a future version of Eurocode 2 is given. For slender columns,itmayseemadvantageoustoproposeanewsetofsafetyfactorsthatarecalibrated to consider second order effects. In general, safety factors associated to second order effects should be increased, and safety factors associated to the cross-sectional resistance maybedecreasedorsettoone. iii iv
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