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Reinventing Clinical Decision Support-Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, and Diagnostic Reasoning PDF

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RReeiinnvveennttiinngg CClliinniiccaall DDeecciissiioonn SSuuppppoorrtt Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, and Diagnostic Reasoning RReeiinnvveennttiinngg CClliinniiccaall DDeecciissiioonn SSuuppppoorrtt Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, and Diagnostic Reasoning Paul Cerrato and John Halamka A PRODUCTIVITY PRESS BOOK CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group 6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300 Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742 © 2020 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business No claim to original U.S. Government works Printed on acid-free paper International Standard Book Number-13: 978-0-367-18623-4 (Hardback) This book contains information obtained from authentic and highly regarded sources. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the validity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this form has not been obtained. If any copyright material has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may rectify in any future reprint. Except as permitted under U.S. Copyright Law, no part of this book may be reprinted, reproduced, transmit- ted, or utilized in any form by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying, microfilming, and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without written permission from the publishers. For permission to photocopy or use material electronically from this work, please access www.copyright. com (http://www.copyright.com/) or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of users. For organizations that have been granted a photocopy license by the CCC, a separate system of payment has been arranged. Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at http://www.taylorandfrancis.com and the CRC Press Web site at http://www.crcpress.com Trademarks Used in This Publication Allscripts is trademark of Allscripts Software LLC, Chicago, IL. Amazon SageMaker is a registered trademark of Amazon Technologies, Seattle, WA. Apache MxNet is a trademark of Apache MXNet. CareKit and HealthKit are registered trademarks of Apple, Cupertino, CA. Carestream Health is a registered trademark of Carestream Health, Inc., Rochester, NY. Cerner is a registered trademark of Cerner Health, Kansas City, KS. ClinicalKey, Elsevier, ExpertPath, ImmunoQuery, and StatDX are registered trademarks of Elsevier. ColonFlag is a trademark of Medial EarlySign, Hod Hasharon, Israel. Deloitte is trademark of Deliotte, New York, NY. DreaMed Advisor Pro is a trademark of DreaMed Diabetes Ltd., Petah Tikva, Israel. DynaMed Plus and EBSCO are registered trademarks of EBSCO Publishing Inc., Birmingham, AL. Epic is a registered trademark of Epic Systems Corp, Verona, WI. Google is a registered trademark of Google LLC. Health Catalyst is a trademark of Health Catalyst Inc., Salt Lake City, UT. Isabel Healthcare is trademark of Isabel Healthcare Ltd., Haslemere, UK. KLAS is a registered trademark of KLAS Enterprises, LLC. LGI Flag is a trademark of Medial EarlySign, Hod Hasharon, Israel. Livongo is a trademark of Livongo Health Inc., Chicago, IL. MD-Logic is a registered trademark of MD Logic Coram, NY. OpenNotes is a trademark of Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA. Optum is a registered trademark of Optum Inc. Redshift is a registered trademark of Amazon Technologies, Seattle, WA. UnitedHealthcare is a registered trademark of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, Minnetonka, MN. UpToDate is a registered trademark of Wolters Kluwer. Viscensia is a registered trademark of OBS Medical, Oxfordshire, UK. VisualDx is a registered trademark of Visual Dx, Rochester, NY. Wolters Kluwer is a trademark of Wolters Kluwer, South Holland, the Netherlands. Zio is a trademark of iRhythm Technologies, San Francisco, CA. Dedication The first duty of every [writer] is to the truth, whether it’s scientific truth, or historical truth or personal truth. If you can’t find it within yourself to stand up and tell the truth . . . [y]ou don’t deserve [to be a writer]. — Captain Jean Luc Picard* * Retrieved from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8AYY5dpzNlU. vii Contents Dedication vii Contents ix Preface xiii Reinventing CDS Requires Humility in the Face of Overwhelming Complexity xiii References xvi About the Authors xvii Chapter 1: Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Errors 1 Measuring Diagnostic Errors 1 Understanding the Multiple Causes of Diagnostic Errors 5 Diagnostic Reasoning 6 Type 1 and Type 2 Thinking 7 Combining Cognitive Approaches 8 Finding Solutions 11 Improving Clinicians’ Diagnostic Skills 13 Listening More, Talking Less 17 In Clinical Decision Support, Practical Beats Sexy 20 References 21 ix

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