Reassessing security in the South Caucasus: regional conflicts and transformation PDF
Preview Reassessing security in the South Caucasus: regional conflicts and transformation
Reassessing Security in the South Caucasus Regional Conficts and Transformation Edited by Annie Jafalian Reassessing secuRity in the south caucasus This page has been left blank intentionally Reassessing security in the south caucasus Regional Conficts and Transformation Edited by annie Jafalian Université Jean Moulin – CLESID, France © Annie Jafalian 2011 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher. Annie Jafalian has asserted her right under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988, to be identifed as the editor of this work. Published by Ashgate Publishing Limited Ashgate Publishing Company Wey Court East Suite 420 Union Road 101 Cherry Street Farnham Burlington Surrey, GU9 7PT VT 05401-4405 England USA www.ashgate.com British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Reassessing security in the south caucasus : regional conficts and transformation. 1. Security, International--Caucasus, South. 2. Security, International--Caucasus, South--Cross-cultural studies. 3. Caucasus, South--Politics and government--1991- I. Jafalian, Annie. 355'.033'0475-dc22 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Jafalian, Annie. Reassessing security in the South Caucasus : regional conficts and transformation / by Annie Jafalian. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-4094-2274-7 (hbk) -- ISBN 978-1-4094-2275-4 (ebk) 1. Security, International--Caucasus, South. 2. Caucasus, South--Foreign relations--1991- 3. National security--Caucasus, South--International cooperation. 4. Confict management--Caucasus, South--International cooperation. I. Title. JZ6009.C38J34 2011 355'.0330475--dc23 2011017894 ISBN 9781409422747 (hbk) III ISBN 9781409422754 (ebk) Contents List of Figures, Tables and Maps vii List of Abbreviations ix List of Contributors xi Preface xv Acknowledgements xvii Introduction 1 Annie Jafalian PART I RIsks, ThReATs And ConflICT seTTlemenT 1 Georgia-Russia Confict in August 2008: War as a Continuation of Politics 11 Thornike Gordadze 2 Unfreezing Confict in South Ossetia: Regional and International Implications 33 Sergey Markedonov 3 Armenia’s National Security: External Threats, Domestic Challenges 47 Richard Giragosian 4 Breaking the Deadlock: Karabakh, Nabucco and the Madrid Principles 65 Hayk Kotanjian PART II CooPeRATIon wITh RegIonAl neIghbouRs: TowARd A new bAlAnCe? 5 Azerbaijan in the Changing Status Quo: Adaptation Strategies 75 Burcu Gültekin-Punsmann 6 Armenia: Managing New Opportunities for Regional Integration 91 Alexander Iskandaryan and Sergey Minasyan vi Reassessing Security in the South Caucasus 7 Georgia’s National Security and Regional Policy after the August 2008 War 105 Nika Chitadze 8 Changing Dynamics of Turkish Foreign and Security Policies in the Caucasus 117 Mustafa Aydin 9 Iranian Foreign Policy towards the South Caucasus: Between Revolutionary Ideals and Realpolitik 137 Clément Therme PART III InTegRATIon InTo The euRAsIAn CommunITy: TAkIng sToCk 10 Nato’s Engagement in the South Caucasus: Looking for Energy Security or Expanding Norms and Values? 157 Pierre Jolicoeur and Frédéric Labarre 11 The European Union’s Policy in the South Caucasus: In Search of a Strategy 177 Laure Delcour 12 Armenia’s Foreign and Security Policy: Is Complementarity Possible? 195 Tevan Poghosyan 13 Balancing vs. Bandwagoning: Explaining Georgia’s Alignments in Security Institutions 209 Levan Tsutskiridze Conclusion 223 Annie Jafalian Index 231 List of Figures, Tables and Maps Figure 10.1 Projected Gas Pipelines to European NATO States (UNEP/GRID-Arendal) 176 Tables 3.1 The South Caucasus: Regional Military Spending (2004-2009) 53 3.2 Armenia: Economic Growth (Annual GDP) 60 10.1 Caucasus Reserves at a Glance for 2009 (U.S. Department of Energy) 173 10.2 NATO Countries Energy Statistics for 2009 (U.S. Department of Energy) 174 10.3 NATO Countries Energy Statistics (Natural Gas) for 2009 (U.S. Department of Energy) 175 Maps 1 States and Borders in the Caucasus xviii 2 The Caucasus: An Energy Corridor xix This page has been left blank intentionally List of Abbreviations BTC Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan BTE Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum CIS Commonwealth of Independent States CSCP Caucasus Stability and Cooperation Platform CSTO Collective Security Treaty Organisation FSA Freedom Support Act EAPC Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council ECHO European Commission Humanitarian Offce EU European Union EUMM European Union Monitoring Mission ENP European Neighbourhood Policy CFE Conventional Forces in Europe GTEP Georgian Train and Equip Program IDP Internally Displaced Persons INOGATE Interstate Oil and Gas Transport to Europe IPAP Individual Partnership Action Plan JCC Joint Control Commission LNG Liquefed Natural Gas MAP Membership Action Plan NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organisation NIS Newly Independent States NK Nagorno-Karabakh OSCE Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe PCA Partnership and Cooperation Agreement PfP Partnership for Peace SCO Shanghai Cooperation Organisation SOCAR State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic TACIS Technical Assistance to the Commonwealth of Independent States TRACECA Transport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia UN United Nations UNOMIG United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia USSR Union of Soviet Socialist Republics WTO World Trade Organisation
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