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Project and Cost Engineers' Handbook, Fourth Edition (Cost Engineering) PDF

338 Pages·2004·3.59 MB·English
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PROJECT AND COST ENGINEERS’ HANDBOOK Fourth Edition Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker 1. Applied Cost Engineering, Forrest D.Clark and A.B.Lorenzoni 2. Basic Cost Engineering, Kenneth K.Humphreys and Sidney Katell 3. Applied Cost and Schedule Control, James A.Bent 4. Cost Engineering Management Techniques, James H.Black 5. Manufacturing Cost Engineering Handbook, edited by Eric M.Malstrom 6. Project and Cost Engineers’ Handbook: Second Edition, Revised and Expanded, edited by Kenneth K.Humphreys 7. How to Keep Product Costs in Line, Nathan Gutman 8. Applied Cost Engineering: Second Edition, Revised and Expanded, Forrest D.Clark and A.B.Lorenzoni 9. Managing the Engineering and Construction of Small Projects: Practical Techniques for Planning, Estimating, Project Control, and Computer Applications, Richard E.Westney 10. Basic Cost Engineering: Second Edition, Revised and Expanded, Kenneth K.Humphreys and Paul Wellman 11. Cost Engineering in Printed Circuit Board Manufacturing, Robert P.Hedden 12. Construction Cost Engineering Handbook, Anghel Patrascu 13. Computerized Project Control, Fulvio Drigani 14. Cost Analysis for Capital Investment Decisions, Hans J.Lang 15. Computer-Organized Cost Engineering, Gideon Samid 16. Engineering Project Management, Frederick L.Blanchard COST ENGINEERING A Series of Reference Books and Textbooks Editor KENNETH K.HUMPHREYS, Ph.D. Consulting Engineer Granite Falls, North Carolina Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker 17. Computerized Management of Multiple Small Projects: Planning, Task and Resource Scheduling, Estimating, Design Optimization, and Project Control, Richard E.Westney 18. Estimating and Costing for the Metal Manufacturing Industries, Robert C.Creese, M.Adithan, and B.S.Pabla 19. Project and Cost Engineers’ Handbook: Third Edition, Revised and Expanded, edited by Kenneth K.Humphreys and Lloyd M.English 20. Hazardous Waste Cost Control, edited by Richard A.Selg 21. Construction Materials Management, George Stukhart 22. Planning, Estimating, and Control of Chemical Estimation Projects, Pablo F.Navarrete 23. Precision Manufacturing Costing, E.Ralph Sims, Jr. 24. Techniques for Capital Expenditure Analysis, Henry C.Thorne and Julian A.Piekarski 25. Basic Cost Engineering: Third Edition, Revised and Expanded, Kenneth K.Humphreys and Paul Wellman 26. Effective Project Management Through Applied Cost and Schedule Control, edited by James A.Bent and Kenneth K.Humphreys 27. Cost Management of Capital Projects, Kurt Heinze 28. Applied Cost Engineering: Third Edition, Forrest D.Clark and A.B.Lorenzoni 29. Planning, Estimating, and Control of Chemical Construction Projects: Second Edition, Revised and Expanded, Pablo F.Navarrete and William C.Cole 30. Value Engineering: Analysis and Methodology, Del L.Younker 31. Project and Cost Engineers’ Handbook: Fourth Edition, edited by Kenneth K.Humphreys Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker edited by KENNETH K.HUMPHREYS Consulting Engineer Granite Falls, North Carolina, U.S.A. PROJECT AND COST ENGINEERS’ HANDBOOK Fourth Edition NEW YORK MARCEL DEKKER Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker Although great care has been taken to provide accurate and current information, neither the author(s) nor the publisher, nor anyone else associated with this publication, shall be liable for any loss, damage, or liability directly or indirectly caused or alleged to be caused by this book. The material contained herein is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any specific situation. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. ISBN: 0-8247-5746-7 This book is printed on acid-free paper. Headquarters Marcel Dekker, 270 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, U.S.A. tel: 212–696–9000; fax: 212–685–4540 Distribution and Customer Service Marcel Dekker, Cimarron Road, Monticello, New York 12701, U.S.A. tel: 800–228–1160; fax: 845–796–1772 World Wide Web http://www.dekker.com Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker. All Rights Reserved. Neither this book nor any part may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, microfilming, and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Current printing (last digit): 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Dr. James M.Neil, PE, 1927–2003 Jim Neil served the cost engineering profession with distinction as an author, educator, and professional engineer. A strong supporter of education, Jim Neil worked tirelessly with the AACE International Education Board in developing reference materials for the profession and in fostering the growth of and support for scholarship programs. Upon Jim Neil’s unexpected passing in 2003, Barry McMillan, Executive Director of AACE International said, “Jim quietly made an enormous impact on our Association, on the profession, on the business community, and on those who knew him in other walks of life.” This book is dedicated in memory of Dr. James M.Neil, PE. His contributions to the cost engineering profession and to education will long be remembered. Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker Preface Twelve years have passed since the publication of the Third Edition of the Project and Cost Engineers’ Handbook. In some ways nothing about the topic has changed. In other ways, everything has changed. Nothing has changed in the fundamental principles of cost engineering. They remain as they were back then. However, with the explosive growth of e-mail and the Internet, the gathering and sharing of data and information has indeed changed dramatically. E-mail was a novelty when the Third Edition was published, and the fax was the predominant method of sharing documents and information over great distances. Now e-mail, scanners, and cell phones dominate communications and the facsimile machine is destined to become a museum piece. When the Third Edition was published, “INTERNET” was understood in the cost engineering and project management professions to mean the International Project Management Association. Now “INTERNET” is the worldwide web and the International Project Management Association has, of necessity, abandoned the Internet name and now is simply IPMA. In this same period IPMA and the International Cost Engineering Council (ICEC), both of which are confederations of national cost and project management associations, have expanded dramatically to include well over 60 national cost and project associations around the world, more than double the previous number of national associations within the IPMA and ICEC organizations. Projects and products have become more and more multinational in nature, and cost engineers and project managers are increasingly concerned about international cost considerations. In this same period projects seemingly have become more risky and cost and project engineers are increasingly concerned about risk analysis. Risks have even been exacerbated by the proliferation of cost and schedule software which is all too often misused by persons lacking the experience which is necessary to discern when the output of the software, be it an estimate or a schedule, is realistic. Work which was previously done by an experienced cost or project engineer all too often is now handled by an inexperienced v Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker person who relies on software without really understanding its limitations or if the inherent assumptions made when the software was developed are reasonable for the project at hand. Further, business scandals and corporate mismanagement seem to have proliferated with increased frequency, resulting in project failures, bankruptcies, corporate collapse, and in some cases, criminal indictments. This has brought increased concern about business and engineering ethics. For these various reasons, except for necessary factual and reference chapters of the Third Edition have been retained in this Edition. However, the Fourth Edition expands on the Third Edition with the addition of discussions of international project considerations, project risk analysis and contingency, ethical considerations and, of course, the Internet. As was the case with the previous three editions of the Project and Cost Engineers’ Handbook, this work would not have been possible without the many contributions of members of AACE International, the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering. My thanks go to them and to AACE International for once again agreeing to sponsor this book. Special thanks go to the Houston Gulf Coast Section of AACE International and the late Aaron Cohen, PE CCE and the late Thomas C.Ponder, PE CCE who in 1979 were responsible for originating the first edition and to Dr. Lloyd M.English, PE who collaborated with me on the third edition. Kenneth K.Humphreys, PhD, PE CCE vi Preface Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker updating and some expansion of Chapter 3, “Cost Estimating,” all of the Acknowledgments The editor wishes to acknowledge the many individuals who have contributed to all four editions of the Project and Cost Engineers’ Handbook. Special thanks are due to AACE International (the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering) for once again sponsoring this book as they did with the prior three edition. Thanks are also due to the International Cost Engineering Council and its member associations for providing much of the information which forms the basis for the new material in this edition. Personal thanks go to Charles P.(Chick) Woodward for his insights on international project considerations and to Michael Curran, President of Decision Sciences Corporation, St. Louis, Missouri, from whom I gained a deep appreciation for concepts of risk analysis and its value in project evaluation. vii Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker Contents Preface v Acknowledgments vii Contributors xv 1. Cost Engineering Basics 1 1.1 Mathematics of Cost Comparisons 1 1.2 Depreciation 4 1.3 Accelerated Cost Recovery System: 1981–1986 9 1.4 Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS) 10 1.5 Cost Comparisons of Unequal Durations 11 1.5.1 Continuous Interest 16 1.6 Inflation 18 1.7 The Learning Curve 22 1.8 Profitability 26 1.9 Working Capital 29 1.10 Conceptual Costing 30 1.11 Forecasting 30 1.12 Value Engineering 32 1.13 Optimization 35 1.13.1 Linear Programming 35 1.13.2 Dynamic Programming 38 1.14 Nomenclature 40 Recommended Reading 41 2. Cost Accounting 43 2.1 Project Cost Accounting 43 2.2 Role of Cost Accounting 44 2.2.1 Accounting Terms 44 ix Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker 2.3 Classification of Costs 47 2.3.1 Direct Costs 49 2.3.2 Indirect Costs 49 2.3.3 Overhead Costs 50 2.3.4 Standard Costs 51 2.3.5 Joint Costs 52 2.3.6 Job Order and Process Costing 54 References 55 Recommended Reading 55 3. Cost Estimating 57 3.1 Capital Cost Estimation 57 3.1.1 Purpose of Estimates 57 3.1.2 Fixed Capital and Working Capital 58 3.1.3 Current Trends in Capital-Cost Estimating 58 3.1.4 Types of Estimates 59 3.1.5 Functions of Capital-Cost Estimates 61 3.1.6 Cost of Making Estimates 61 3.1.7 Representation of Cost Data 62 3.1.8 Factored Estimating 63 3.1.9 Codes of Account 73 3.1.10 Startup Costs 74 3.1.11 Evaluation of the Estimate 76 3.2 Operating Cost Estimation 77 3.2.1 Definitions 77 3.2.2 Purposes of Operating Cost Estimates 77 3.2.3 Raw Materials and Utilities 78 3.2.4 Operating Labor 79 3.2.5 Maintenance 79 3.2.6 Indirect Payroll Cost 80 3.2.7 Operating Supplies 80 3.2.8 Laboratory and Other Service Costs 80 3.2.9 Royalties and Rentals 80 3.2.10 Indirect Costs 81 3.2.11 Distribution Costs 81 3.2.12 Avoidance of Nuisances 81 3.2.13 Contingencies 81 3.2.14 Shortcut Methods 82 3.2.15 Components of Total Product Cost 85 3.3 Summary 85 References 85 Recommended Reading 86 4. Economic Equivalence and Profitability 87 4.1 Introduction 87 4.2 Profitability Analysis 89 Contents x Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker 4.2.1 Depreciation 90 4.2.2 Practical Examples of Economic Comparisons and Profitability 92 4.2.3 Lease Versus Purchase 95 4.2.4 Economics for Capital Projects or Replacements 97 4.2.5 Scheduling a Loan Payment 101 References 115 Recommended Reading 116 5. Cost Control and Reporting 117 5.1 Introduction 117 5.2 Project Formats 118 5.2.1 Contracting Party Viewpoints 118 5.3 Establishing Baselines for Control 119 5.3.1 Cost Control Variables 120 5.4 Status Evaluation and Control 124 5.4.1 Cost/Schedule Integration 124 5.5 Reporting and Analysis 128 5.5.1 Frequency of Reports 129 5.5.2 Variance Analysis 129 5.5.3 Report Distribution 129 References 134 Recommended Reading 135 6. Project Management and Schedule Control 137 6.1 Project Management, Organization, and Execution Conflict 137 6.2 Project Management and Control 141 6.3 PERT, CPM, Arrow and Precedence Scheduling 156 Recommended Reading 167 7. Cost Indexes, Escalation, and Location Factors 169 7.1 Cost Indexes 169 7.1.1 How to Use an Index 171 7.1.2 How an Index is Compiled 173 7.1.3 Analysis of some Building Cost Indexes 175 7.1.4 Limitations in Using Published Indexes 177 7.1.5 Procedure for Estimating Escalation 179 7.2 Location Factors 181 7.2.1 Background Sources 182 7.2.2 International Location Factors 184 7.2.3 Country Cost Indexes 197 7.2.4 Cost Data Sources 197 References 197 Recommended Reading and Other Information Sources 198 xi Contents Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker 8. Operations Research Techniques 201 8.1 Linear Programming 201 8.1.1 Two-Dimensional Graphical Solution 205 8.1.2 Simplex Method 207 8.1.3 Conversion to Simplex Form 208 8.1.4 Interpretation of Simplex Solutions 211 8.2 Dynamic Programming 212 8.3 Simulation 213 8.3.1 Coin Problem 214 8.3.2 Random Variables 215 8.3.3 Queuing Problem 216 8.3.4 Discussion 218 Recommended Reading 220 9. Risk Analysis: How to Do it and How Not to Do it 221 9.1 Introduction 221 9.2 The Fourth Variable 222 9.3 The Monte Carlo Approach 223 9.4 Contingency 224 9.5 Avoiding Risk Analyst Induced Risk 225 9.6 Conducting the Risk Analysis 226 9.7 Available Risk Analysis Software 226 References 227 Recommended Reading 228 10. Cost Engineering in a Worldwide Economy 229 10.1 Introduction 229 10.2 Project Elements Checklist 230 10.2.1 Project Design 230 10.2.2 Bulk Materials 230 10.2.3 Engineered (Process) Equipment 231 10.2.4 Construction Labor 231 10.2.5 Construction Equipment 232 10.2.6 Construction Management Staffing 232 10.2.7 Schedule 232 10.2.8 Local Infrastructure Requirements 232 10.2.9 Material & Equipment Delivery (Shipping & Customs) 233 10.2.10 Progress Payments (Cash Flow) 234 10.2.11 Local Taxes 234 10.2.12 Insurance 235 10.2.13 Project Finance 235 10.2.14 Legal Recourse 235 10.2.15 Social System 235 10.3 How Do You Begin? 236 10.4 Conclusion 237 Recommended Reading 238 xii Contents Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker 11. Computer Applications for Project Control 239 11.1 Why Consider Computerization? 239 11.2 Definition of Terms 240 11.3 Considerations in the Design of Project Management Systems 244 11.4 Basic Steps in System Design and Implementation 245 11.5 A Review of Project Control Software 257 11.5.1 Planning and Scheduling Software 257 11.5.2 Cost Estimating Software 258 11.5.3 Economic Analysis Software 260 11.5.4 Management Reporting Software 260 11.5.5 Risk Analysis Software 260 11.6 Computer-Aided Design Applications for Project Management 261 11.6.1 Basic CAD Components and Capabilities 261 11.6.2 CAD Applications to Cost Control 262 11.6.3 CAD Applications to Weight Control 262 11.6.4 CAD Applications to Document Control 262 11.6.5 CAD Applications to Maintenance 263 11.6.6 CAD Applications to Construction Planning 263 Recommended Reading 264 12. Cost Engineering Ethics 265 12.1 Black and White, or Gray? 265 12.2 The International Cost Engineering Council Canons of Ethics 266 12.3 Computer-Aided Nightmares 267 12.4 A Computer-Assisted Catastrophe 269 12.5 International Project Ethics 272 References 274 Recommended Reading 274 Appendix A. AACE International Certification Programs 275 A.1 Introduction 275 A.2 Certified Cost Engineer/Certified Cost Consultant Examination 275 Exam Basis 275 Exam Schedule 276 Exam Format 276 Preparation Guidance 278 The Professional Paper 278 Sample Exam Questions 280 Answers to Sample Exam Questions 283 A.3 Interim Cost Consultant Examination 283 Exam Basis, Schedule and Format 283 ICC Sample Exam Questions 283 A.4 Planning and Scheduling Professional Certification Examination 284 Contents xiii Copyright © 2005 by Marcel Dekker

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