Studies in Systems, Decision and Control 388 Olexandr Kyrylenko · Andrii Zharkin · Oleksandr Butkevych · Ihor Blinov · Ievgen Zaitsev · Artur Zaporozhets Editors Power Systems Research and Operation Selected Problems Studies in Systems, Decision and Control Volume 388 SeriesEditor JanuszKacprzyk,SystemsResearchInstitute,PolishAcademyofSciences, Warsaw,Poland The series “Studies in Systems, Decision and Control” (SSDC) covers both new developments and advances, as well as the state of the art, in the various areas of broadly perceived systems, decision making and control–quickly, up to date and withahighquality.Theintentistocoverthetheory,applications,andperspectives on the state of the art and future developments relevant to systems, decision making,control,complexprocessesandrelatedareas,asembeddedinthefieldsof engineering,computerscience,physics,economics,socialandlifesciences,aswell astheparadigmsandmethodologiesbehindthem.Theseriescontainsmonographs, textbooks, lecture notes and edited volumes in systems, decision making and control spanning the areas of Cyber-Physical Systems, Autonomous Systems, Sensor Networks, Control Systems, Energy Systems, Automotive Systems, Biological Systems, Vehicular Networking and Connected Vehicles, Aerospace Systems, Automation, Manufacturing, Smart Grids, Nonlinear Systems, Power Systems, Robotics, Social Systems, Economic Systems and other. Of particular valuetoboththecontributorsandthereadershiparetheshortpublicationtimeframe and the world-wide distribution and exposure which enable both a wide and rapid disseminationofresearchoutput. IndexedbySCOPUS,DBLP,WTIFrankfurteG,zbMATH,SCImago. AllbookspublishedintheseriesaresubmittedforconsiderationinWebofScience. Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/13304 · · Olexandr Kyrylenko Andrii Zharkin · · Oleksandr Butkevych Ihor Blinov · Ievgen Zaitsev Artur Zaporozhets Editors Power Systems Research and Operation Selected Problems Editors OlexandrKyrylenko AndriiZharkin InstituteofElectrodynamics InstituteofElectrodynamics NationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine NationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine Kyiv,Ukraine Kyiv,Ukraine OleksandrButkevych IhorBlinov InstituteofElectrodynamics InstituteofElectrodynamics NationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine NationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine Kyiv,Ukraine Kyiv,Ukraine IevgenZaitsev ArturZaporozhets InstituteofElectrodynamics InstituteofEngineeringThermophysics NationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine NationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine Kyiv,Ukraine Kyiv,Ukraine ISSN2198-4182 ISSN2198-4190 (electronic) StudiesinSystems,DecisionandControl ISBN978-3-030-82925-4 ISBN978-3-030-82926-1 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-82926-1 ©TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s),underexclusivelicensetoSpringerNature SwitzerlandAG2022 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsaresolelyandexclusivelylicensedbythePublisher,whether thewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuse ofillustrations,recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,and transmissionorinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilar ordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthorsandtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressedorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictional claimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface Ensuring operational reliability and safety of objects integrated power system of Ukraine’s complex task. Solution of which is related to the optimization of oper- atingmodes of electricpower facilitiesand theircontrol systems,information and measuringsystemsandmetrologicalsupportintheelectricpowerindustry,ensuring thefunctioningoftheelectricpowersystemintheconditionsofacompetitivemarket oftheelectricpower. Monograph presents the research results aimed at covering solutions to current scientificandpracticalproblems,occuringduringtheoperationofintegratedpower systemofUkraineinmodernmarketconditioninthenextareas: – implementationofnewapproachestothecalculationofthecapacityofintersec- tionsbetweenpowersystemsortheirparts; – studyofpowersystemstabilitybyfrequencywithconsideringaccounttheinflu- enceofrenewablegenerationsourcesandtheoperationoffrequencyemergency automationdevicesofpowerplants; – research methods for identification of dominant modes of low-frequency elec- tromechanical oscillations are suitable for use in real time in monitoring systems; – development of new methods of flow distribution analysis in electric networks ofarbitrarystructure,whichallowstotakeintoaccountthelimitationsofpower flowswhenmodellingthedecentralizedcombinationofelectricitymarketsinthe marketsegment“dayahead”; – studies of short-term forecasting electricity generated by renewable energy sourcesanddevelopmentnewneuraldeeplearningnetworksarchitecture; – development structural and parametric operating modes optimization methods formainelectricnetworkswithconsideringdesignfeaturesofultra-high-voltage powertransmissionlinesandcoronationeffectsintheirwires; – development methods and devices for improving metrological and technical characteristics of measuring systems for monitoring and diagnosing generating equipmentofpowerplants. v vi Preface Developtheseareas,themonographcoversnewtechnologiesandmethodsrelated tothemanagementoflargeinterconnectedpowersystems,solvingastableandreli- able problem of electricity generation, ensuring optimal operation of transmission linestakingintoaccounttheprobabilisticnatureofcoronalosses,sourcesofelec- tricity from renewable sources and energy sources. Devices with remote control, whichisreasonableinthecaseofcyclicalandlong-termchangesinload,aswellas assessingtheimpactoftransmissionnetworkconstraintsonelectricityexchangein thecontextofintegrationofelectricitymarketsintotheEuropeanelectricitymarket. So,themonographcanbedividedintoseveralmainsections. Themainpartofthemonographisdevotedtothemanagementofpowersystems. Total transmission power is an important indicator of any system interfaces used to maintain system stability in a market environment. Information about the total transmission power for power systems management used. In addition, total trans- missionpowerdailyorevenhourlytoestimatethereliabilitymarginsforallpower transmissions through the interfaces of each network. According to the proposed approach,usersspendtheirtimesettingupandpreparingbigdataforcalculations. Thisapproachsignificantlyreducesthenumberoferrorsofoperationalstaffwhen performing calculations. To optimize the modes of operation of the transmission line,proposedtosolveproblemsofvoltageandreactivepoweroptimization.Power lines operating mode monitoring consists of correct choice of the composition of the charging power compensation devices in order to regulate the voltage levels andpowercoefficientsatthebusterminals.Byusingmoderndevicesforcontrolled compensation of power line charging, it is possible to achieve deeper regulation of reactive power and voltage, and, accordingly, to minimize the loss of active power. Interconnected mathematical models set to determine the economic effect ofoptimizingthemodeofoperationoftheelectricalnetworkwithultra-highpower lines in terms of voltage and reactive power, taking into account the probabilistic natureofcoronalosses.Methods,algorithmsandmethodsofoperativeoptimization of operating modes of separate power lines taking into account corona losses are developed. Methodsforsolvingtheproblemofchoosingtheoptimalplacesofdisconnection inelectricitydistributionnetworksandimplementingitsresultsareconsidered.This shownthatauniversalsolutionistheuseofpowerelectronicdevices,whichmakes itpossibletoformtheso-called“softpoints”ofthedistributioncircuitsintheactive controlandreactivepowerflowstoensureminimumpowerlossduetorapidresponse tochangesinelectricalloadand/ormodesofproductionandenergystorageinthe presenceofscatteredsourcesofproductionmeansandelectricitystorage.Newtech- nologicalsolutionsareproposedthatallowtoeffectivelyreduceelectricitylossesin distributionnetworkswithlocalsourcesofenergyproductionandstorageduetothe possibilityofdynamicmanagementofthenetworkconfiguration. Devoted to the analysis model checking technique applicability in energetics scenarios. Proven and widely adopted TLC (TLA checker) model checker has been considered as an instrument for design solutions verification. To this end, the Temporal Logic of Actions (TLA) and corresponding formalisms—TLA+ and PlusCal—havebeenappliedtoformallyspecifythefunctionalpropertiesprovided Preface vii asblock-diagrams.Powersystemsmanagementscenariostakingplaceinelectricity marketshavebeenapproachedaspromisingproblemdomain. UnsatisfactoryaccuracyofRESelectricitygenerationforecastsleadstoadditional production and/or consumption disparities and additional costs for settling these imbalances.Insuchcircumstances,itispossibletoimprovethequalityofdecision- makingwhenplanningregimes,usingaccurateforecastsforthemarketsfortheday ahead and intraday. For this purpose, a new architecture developed for short-term energyforecastingofaggregateRESproduction. Theotherpartofthemonographonthemonitoringandcontrolsystemdesigned toidentifythedangerofdisruptionofthestabilityofself-energyanditsequipment. To assess the condition of generators as mechanical systems, a structural system of systems and a new type of mechanical parameters meter proposed. The use of the system and sensors allows for depth monitoring of the condition of individual generatorunitsinrealtime,inordertoimplementtheautomaticabilitytodecideon thepossibilityofoperatingthegeneratorbasedontheuseofidentificationsystems andartificialintelligence. Inpowersystems,especiallyininterconnectedones,Low-Frequencyoscillations (LF)periodicallyoccur,leadingtoaccidentswithsevereconsequences.Thestudyof frequencystabilityinpowersystemsbasedontheconsiderationoflocalfrequency control to mitigate the impact of renewable generation on high-load linear flows andtheimpactoffrequencystabilityconsideredfrequencyalarmsystemsandAGC modelling.Theresultsofresearchesofvariousmethodsofsignalanalysisfortheiruse inrealtimefordetectionofmodesofelectromechanicaloscillationsinpowersystems presented.Usingreal-timemethodsundercertainconditions,differentresultsofLFO modeidentificationobtained.Thisapproachallowsyoutogetamorereliableestimate oftheparametersoftheLFOmodesmorereliably. Thepresentedresearchresultsinmonographallowincreasingthereliabilityand efficiencyofoperationofenergyfacilitiesandensuringthestabilityofpowersystems, the introduction of effective methods and tools for forecasting electricity supply, optimize power systems, suggest road map to integrate electricity markets taking intoaccountnetworkconstraintsinmodernconditionsofelectricitymarkets. The authors of the monograph are mainly from Institute of Electrodynamics of theNationalAcademyofSciencesofUkraine. Kyiv,Ukraine OlexandrKyrylenko April2021 AndriiZharkin OleksandrButkevych IhorBlinov IevgenZaitsev ArturZaporozhets Contents Decentralized Market Coupling with Taking Account Power SystemsTransmissionNetworkConstraints .......................... 1 IhorBlinov,OlexandrKyrylenko,EuvgenParus,andOksanaRybina Improving the Reliability and Power Quality in Distribution NetworkswithSourcesofDispersedGeneration ...................... 23 AndriiZharkin,VolodymyrNovskyi,VolodymyrPopov,andSerhiiPalachov Some Features of Electromechanical Oscillations Modes IdentificationinPowerSystems ..................................... 47 OleksandrButkevychandVolodymyrChyzhevskyi HybridDiagnosticsSystemsforPowerGeneratorsFaults:Systems DesignPrincipleandShaftRun-OutSensors ......................... 71 IevgenZaitsev,AnatoliiLevytskyi,andVictoriiaBereznychenko Operating Modes Optimization of Bulk Electrical Power Networks:StructuralandParametricalMethods ..................... 99 VladislavKuchanskyy,DenysMalakhatka,andArturZaporozhets ShortTermRenewableEnergyForecastingwithDeepLearning NeuralNetworks .................................................. 121 VolodymyrMiroshnyk,PavloShymaniuk,andViktoriiaSychova GridsTransferCapacity:CalculationMethodologyandFeatures ...... 143 VsevolodPavlovsky, LukianLukianenko, AndriiZakharov, andAnnaPrykhodko FrequencyStabilityoftheBulkIsolatedPowerSystemwithaHigh ShareofRenewablesandNuclearGeneration ........................ 161 VsevolodPavlovskyi,AntonSteliuk,OlegLenga,andViacheslavHrechko ix Decentralized Market Coupling with Taking Account Power Systems Transmission Network Constraints IhorBlinov ,OlexandrKyrylenko ,EuvgenParus , andOksanaRybina Abstract The chapter is devoted to the development of theoretical and method- ologicalbasesforassessingtheimpactoftransmissionnetworkconstraintsonelec- tricityexchangeinthecontextofintegrationofelectricitymarketsintotheEuropean electricity market. The chapter presents theoretical substantiations of models for assessingtheimpactofnetworkconstraintsontheexchangeofelectricitythroughthe electricsectiononthepricingprocessesintheelectricityday-aheadmarketsegment onthebaseofthedecentralizedmarketcouplingconcept.Ageneraldescriptionofthe existingmethodsofcongestionmanagementformarketcouplingisgiven.Oneofthe mostimportantandactualtasksofoperabilityassuranceoftheday-aheadmarketis todeterminethecross-bordercongestionmanagementmethods.Thelatterapproach ismorepromisingandactivelydevelopingnow.Themostknownimplementationsof marketcouplingaretheflow-basedmarketcoupling(FBC)anddecentralizedmarket coupling(DMC),includingtrilateralmarketcoupling(TMC).ThemainFBCdisad- vantageisthenecessityoflinearizationofelectricitydemandfunction.Itprevents fromadequatelytakingintoaccountthedemandandofferstructure,whichisgener- atedfromlinearanddiscretetypebids.Asaresult,thewrongchoicesofincrement of iterative process and the missing of the global extremum are possible. DMC uses mathematical apparatus of net export curves (NECs), which correctly reflect the potential of the export and import of electricity for a local market area in the common electricity market. However, the use of NEC is complicated in case of a coupling of more than two electricity markets. Also, there is the problem of the formalpresentationofrelationsstructurebetweenthecouplingmarkets.Approaches totheanalysisofrestrictionsontheexchangeofelectricitybyelectriccross-section asataskofmulti-purposeoptimizationofthewelfarefunctionofelectricitymarket participantsareformalized.Methodsandmodelsofanalysisofprocessesofdecen- tralized market coupling of a group of price zones of free configuration are given. B I.Blinov( )·O.Kyrylenko·E.Parus·E.Parus·O.Rybina·O.Rybina InstituteofElectrodynamicsofNASofUkraine,Kyiv,Ukraine O.Kyrylenko e-mail:[email protected] O.Rybina e-mail:[email protected] ©TheAuthor(s),underexclusivelicensetoSpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2022 1 O.Kyrylenkoetal.(eds.),PowerSystemsResearchandOperation,StudiesinSystems, DecisionandControl388,https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-82926-1_1