Pest Risk Modelling and Mapping for Invasive Alien Species PDF
Preview Pest Risk Modelling and Mapping for Invasive Alien Species
Pest Risk Modelling and Mapping for Invasive Alien Species CABI INVASIVES SERIES Invasive species are plants, animals or microorganisms not native to an ecosystem, whose introduction has threatened biodiversity, food security, health or economic development. Many ecosystems are aff ected by invasive species and they pose one of the biggest threats to biodiversity worldwide. Globalization through increased trade, transport, travel and tourism will inevitably increase the intentional or accidental introduction of organisms to new environments, and it is widely predicted that climate change will further increase the threat posed by invasive species. To help control and mitigate the eff ects of invasive species, scien- tists need access to information that not only provides an overview of and background to the fi eld, but also keeps them up to date with the latest research fi ndings. Th is series addresses all topics relating to invasive species, including biosecurity surveil- lance, mapping and modelling, economics of invasive species and species interactions in plant invasions. Aimed at researchers, upper-level students and policy makers, titles in the series provide international coverage of topics related to invasive species, including both a synthesis of facts and discussions of future research perspectives and possible solutions. Titles Available 1. Invasive Alien Plants: An Ecological Appraisal for the Indian Subcontinent Edited by J.R. Bhatt, J.S. Singh, R.S. Tripathi, S.P. Singh and R.K. Kohli 2. Invasive Plant Ecology and Management: Linking Processes to Practice Edited by T.A. Monaco and R.L. Sheley 3. Potential Invasive Pests of Agricultural Crops Edited by J.E. Peña 4. Invasive Species and Global Climate Change Edited by L.H. Ziska and J.S. Dukes 5. Bioenergy and Biological Invasions: Ecological, Agronomic and Policy Perspectives on Minimizing Risk Edited by L.D. Quinn, D.P. Matlaga and J.N. Barney 6. Biosecurity Surveillance: Quantitative Approaches Edited by F. Jarrad, S.L. Choy and K. Mengersen 7. Pest Risk Modelling and Mapping for Invasive Alien Species Edited by Robert C. Venette Pest Risk Modelling and Mapping for Invasive Alien Species Edited by Robert C. Venette USDA Forest Service, USA CABI is a trading name of CAB International CABI CABI Nosworthy Way 38 Chauncy Street Wallingford Suite 1002 Oxfordshire OX10 8DE Boston, MA 02111 UK USA Tel: +44 (0)1491 832111 Tel: +1 800 552 3083 (toll free) Fax: +44 (0)1491 833508 E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.cabi.org © CAB International and USDA 2015. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronically, mechanically, by photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the copyright owners. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library, London, UK. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Pest risk modelling and mapping for invasive alien species / edited by Robert C. Venette, USDA Forest Service, USA. pages cm. -- (CABI invasives series) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-78064-394-6 (alk. paper) 1. Nonindigenous pests--Geographical distribution--Mathematical models. 2. Ecological risk assessment--Mathematical models. I. Venette, Robert C. SB990.P55 2015 578.62--dc23 2014035632 ISBN-13: 978 1 78064 394 6 Commissioning editor: David Hemming Assistant editor: Alexandra Lainsbury Production editor: Claire Sissen Typeset by Columns Design XML Ltd, Reading, UK Printed and bound in the UK by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon, CR0 4YY Contents Preface x Robert C. Venette 1 Th e Challenge of Modelling and Mapping the Future Distribution and Impact of Invasive Alien Species 1 Robert C. Venette 2 Mapping Endangered Areas for Pest Risk Analysis 18 Richard Baker, Dominic Eyre, Sarah Brunel, Maxime Dupin, Philippe Reynaud and Vojtěch Jarošík 3 Following the Transportation Trail to Anticipate Human-mediated Invasions in Terrestrial Ecosystems 35 Manuel Colunga-Garcia and Robert A. Haack 4 Simulation Modelling of Long-distance Windborne Dispersal for Invasion Ecology 49 Hazel R. Parry, Debbie Eagles and Darren J. Kriticos 5 Using the (cid:195)(cid:131)(cid:248)(cid:155)(cid:196)(cid:227) Program for Species Distribution Modelling to Assess Invasion Risk 65 Catherine S. Jarnevich and Nicholas Young 6 Th e NCSU/APHIS Plant Pest Forecasting System (nappfast) 82 Roger D. Magarey, Daniel M. Borchert, Glenn A. Fowler and Steven C. Hong 7 Detecting and Interpreting Patterns within Regional Pest Species Assemblages using Self-organizing Maps and Other Clustering Methods 97 Susan Worner, Rene Eschen, Marc Kenis, Dean Paini, Kari Saikkonen, Karl Suiter, Sunil Singh, Irene Vänninen and Mike Watts 8 Modelling the Spread of Invasive Species to Support Pest Risk Assessment: Principles and Application of a Suite of Generic Models 115 Christelle Robinet, Hella Kehlenbeck and Wopke van der Werf vv vi Contents 9 Estimating Spread Rates of Non-native Species: Th e Gypsy Moth as a Case Study 131 Patrick C. Tobin, Andrew M. Liebhold, E. Anderson Roberts and Laura M. Blackburn 10 Predicting the Economic Impacts of Invasive Species: Th e Eradication of the Giant Sensitive Plant from Western Australia 145 David C. Cook, Andy Sheppard, Shuang Liu and W. Mark Lonsdale 11 Spatial Modelling Approaches for Understanding and Predicting the Impacts of Invasive Alien Species on Native Species and Ecosystems 162 Craig R. Allen, Daniel R. Uden, Alan R. Johnson and David G. Angeler 12 Process-based Pest Risk Mapping using Bayesian Networks and GIS 171 Rieks D. van Klinken, Justine V. Murray and Carl Smith 13 Identifying and Assessing Critical Uncertainty Th resholds in a Forest Pest Risk Model 189 Frank H. Koch and Denys Yemshanov 14 Making Invasion Models Useful for Decision Makers: Incorporating Uncertainty, Knowledge Gaps and Decision-making Preferences 206 Denys Yemshanov, Frank H. Koch and Mark Ducey 15 Assessing the Quality of Pest Risk Models 223 Steven J. Venette Index 235 Th is book is enhanced with supplementary resources. To access the material please visit: www.cabi.org/openresources/43946/ Contributors Allen, Craig R., US Geological Survey – Nebraska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, NE 68583-0984, USA. E-mail: allencr@ unl.edu Angeler, David G., Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden. E-mail: [email protected] Baker, Richard, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Aff airs, Sand Hutton, York YO41 1LZ, UK. E-mail: [email protected] Blackburn, Laura M., USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Morgantown, WV 26505, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Borchert, Daniel M., Plant Epidemiology and Risk Analysis Laboratory, Center for Plant Health Science and Technology, Plant Protection and Quarantine, Animal Plant Health Inspection Service, USDA, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA. E-mail: Daniel.M.Borchert@aphis. usda.gov Brunel, Sarah, European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization, 21 Boulevard Richard Lenoir, 75011 Paris, France. E-mail: [email protected] Colunga-Garcia, Manuel, Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, Michigan State University, 1405 S. Harrison Road, East Lansing, MI 48823, USA. E-mail: colunga@ msu.edu Cook, David C., Department of Agriculture and Food Western Australia, PO Box 1231, Bunbury, WA 6231, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Ducey, Mark, Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of New Hampshire, 114 James Hall, Durham, NH 03824, USA. E-mail: [email protected]. edu Dupin, Maxime, Previously at: INRA, UR633 Zoologie Forestière, F-45075 Orléans, France. E-mail: [email protected] Eagles, Debbie, CSIRO Australian Animal Health Laboratory, Private Bag 24, Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Eschen, Rene, CABI, Rue des Grillons 1, CH-2800 Delémont, Switzerland. E-mail: r.eschen@ cabi.org Eyre, Dominic, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Aff airs, Sand Hutton, York YO41 1LZ, UK. E-mail: [email protected] vii viii Contributors Fowler, Glenn A., Plant Epidemiology and Risk Analysis Laboratory, Center for Plant Health Science and Technology, Plant Protection and Quarantine, Animal Plant Health Inspection Service, USDA, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA. E-mail: [email protected]. gov Haack, Robert A., USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 3101 Technology Blvd, Suite F, Lansing, MI 48910, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Hong, Steven C., Center for Integrated Pest Management, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Jarnevich, Catherine S., US Geological Survey, Fort Collins Science Center, 2150 Centre Avenue, Building C, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Jarošík, Vojtěch, Lately at: Institute of Botany, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Zámek 1, Průhonice, CZ 25243, Czech Republic. Johnson, Alan R., School of Agricultural, Forest, and Environmental Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634-0310, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Kehlenbeck, Hella, Julius Kühn-Institute, Institute for Strategies and Technology Assessment, Kleinmachnow, Germany. E-mail: [email protected] Kenis, Marc, CABI, Rue des Grillons 1, CH-2800 Delémont, Switzerland. E-mail: m.kenis@ cabi.org Koch, Frank H., USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Eastern Forest Environmental Th reat Assessment Center, 3041 Cornwallis Road, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Kriticos, Darren J., CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Liebhold, Andrew M., USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Morgantown, WV 26505, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Liu, Shuang, CSIRO Land and Water Flagship, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia & Plant Biosecurity Cooperative Research Centre, Bruce, ACT 2617, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Lonsdale, W. Mark, CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia & Plant Biosecurity Cooperative Research Centre, Bruce, ACT 2617, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Magarey, Roger D., Center for Integrated Pest Management, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Murray, Justine V., CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, PO Box 2583, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Paini, Dean, CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia & Plant Biosecurity Cooperative Research Centre, Bruce, ACT 2617, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Parry, Hazel R., CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, GPO Box 2583, EcoScience Precinct, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Reynaud, Philippe, Anses – Plant Health Laboratory, CBGP, Campus International de Baillarguet CS 30016, 34988 Montferrier-sur-Lez Cedex, France. E-mail: Philippe. [email protected] Roberts, E. Anderson, Department of Entomology, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Robinet, Christelle, INRA, UR633 Zoologie Forestière, F-45075 Orléans, France. E-mail: [email protected] Saikkonen, Kari, MTT Agrifood Research, FI-31600 Jokioinen, Finland. E-mail: kari. [email protected] Sheppard, Andy, CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia & Plant Biosecurity Cooperative Research Centre, Bruce, ACT 2617, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Contributors ix Singh, Sunil, CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia & Plant Biosecurity Cooperative Research Centre, Bruce, ACT 2617, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Smith, Carl, School of Agriculture and Food Sciences, Th e University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Suiter, Karl, NSF Centre for Integrated Pest Management, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27606, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Tobin, Patrick C., School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Uden, Daniel R., Nebraska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, NE 68503-0984, USA. E-mail: [email protected] van der Werf, Wopke, Centre for Crop Systems Analysis, Wageningen University, PO Box 430, 6700 AK Wageningen, Th e Netherlands. E-mail: [email protected] van Klinken, Rieks D., CSIRO Biosecurity Flagship, PO Box 2583, Brisbane, QLD 4001, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] Vänninen, Irene, MTT Agrifood Research, FI-31600 Jokioinen, Finland. E-mail: Irene. [email protected] Venette, Robert C., USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, 1561 Lindig Street, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Venette, Steven J., Department of Communication Studies, Th e University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, MS 39406, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Watts, Mike, Information Technology Programme, AIS St Helens, PO Box 2995, Auckland 1140, New Zealand. E-mail: [email protected] Worner, Susan, Bio-Protection Research Centre, PO Box 84, Lincoln University, Lincoln 7647, New Zealand. E-mail: [email protected] Yemshanov, Denys, Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, 1219 Queen Street East, Sault Ste. Marie, ON P6A 2E5, Canada. E-mail: [email protected] Young, Nicholas, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA. E-mail: [email protected]
Description:The list of books you might like
