PASCAL’S WAGER This page intentionally left blank Pascal’s Wager Pragmatic Arguments and Belief in God JEFF JORDAN CLARENDONPRESS·OXFORD 1 GreatClarendonStreet,Oxfordox26dp OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwidein Oxford NewYork Auckland CapeTown DaresSalaam HongKong Karachi KualaLumpur Madrid Melbourne MexicoCity Nairobi NewDelhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto Withofficesin Argentina Austria Brazil Chile CzechRepublic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore SouthKorea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam OxfordisaregisteredtrademarkofOxfordUniversityPress intheUKandincertainothercountries PublishedintheUnitedStates byOxfordUniversityPressInc.,NewYork ©JeffJordan2006 Themoralrightsoftheauthorhavebeenasserted DatabaserightOxfordUniversityPress(maker) Firstpublished2006 Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced, storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans, withoutthepriorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress, orasexpresslypermittedbylaw,orundertermsagreedwiththeappropriate reprographicsrightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproduction outsidethescopeoftheaboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment, OxfordUniversityPress,attheaddressabove Youmustnotcirculatethisbookinanyotherbindingorcover andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationData Dataavailable TypesetbyLaserwordsPrivateLimited,Chennai,India PrintedinGreatBritain onacid-freepaperby BiddlesLtd.,King’sLynn,Norfolk ISBN0–19–929132–2(Pbk.) 978–0–19–929132–8(Pbk.) 1 3 5 7 9 10 8 6 4 2 ForJuliaandJacobJordan This page intentionally left blank Preface A disconnect exists between the arguments that philosophers find interesting and the arguments actually employed by Christians and other theists as reasons in support of their religious commitments. Think of the Ontological argument. Books and articles aplenty are directed toward it, yet few of those found in a pew would cite the Ontological argument as a reason for their being a theist. Pragmatic theistic arguments bridge the gap between the academy and the ‘real world’, with theoretical issues in epistemology, the ethics of belief, and decision theory enticing the specialist; while a practical strain of commonsenseandfamiliaritydrawsthenon-specialist. InthisbookIinvestigatevarioustheisticpragmaticargumentsandthe objectionsemployed against them. Special attentionis paid to Pascal’s Wager,asthemostprominentexampleofatheisticpragmaticargument. A result of this investigation is a new version of the Wager that I shall callthe‘Jamesian Wager’,whichsurvivestheobjectionshurledagainst theistic pragmatic arguments and provides strong support for theistic belief. Iamgratefultothecolleaguesandfriendswhosloggedthroughdrafts of the chapters found within and generously offered comments and suggestions:MichaelAlmeida, Stephen T. Davis, Alan Ha´jek, Andrew Marx, TomMorris,JoelPust,KateRogers, WilliamRowe, PaulSaka, and William Wainwright. I owe a deep debt of gratitude to Doug Stalker for his unflagging encouragement, and sage advice, despite the glacialpaceofmywriting.IalsoappreciatethesupportofthoseatOUP: PeterMomtchiloff,JacquelineBaker,EvaNyika,AndrewHawkey;and HilaryWalford,whoperformedaheroicjobofcopyediting. Several previous publications of mine have been extensively revised and form the base upon which the superstructure of the book has beenraised.‘Pascal’sWagers’,MidwestStudiesinPhilosophy,26(2002), 213–23,formspartofChapter1,while‘PragmaticArguments’,inP.L. Quinn and C. Taliaferro (eds.), A Companion to Philosophy of Religion (Oxford: Basil Blackwell Publishers, 1997), 352–59, and ‘Pragmatic Argumentsand Belief’,American Philosophical Quarterly, 33/4(1996), 409–20, form parts of Chapter 2. Parts of Chapter 3 come from ‘The Many Gods Objection’, in Gambling on God: Essays on Pascal’s
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