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Lecture Notes in Mathematics 2079 Péter Major On the Estimation of Multiple Random Integrals and U-Statistics Lecture Notes in Mathematics 2079 Editors: J.-M.Morel,Cachan B.Teissier,Paris Forfurthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/304 Pe´ter Major On the Estimation of Multiple Random Integrals and U-Statistics 123 Pe´terMajor Alfre´dRe´nyiMathematicalInstitute HungarianAcademyofSciences Budapest,Hungary ISBN978-3-642-37616-0 ISBN978-3-642-37617-7(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-642-37617-7 SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LectureNotesinMathematicsISSNprintedition:0075-8434 ISSNelectronicedition:1617-9692 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013939618 MathematicsSubjectClassification(2010):60H05(StochasticIntegral)60G60(Randomfields) 60F10(Largedeviations) (cid:2)c Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’slocation,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer. PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Violations areliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface Thislecturenotehasafairlylonghistory.Itsstartingpointwasanattempttosolve some limit problems about the behaviour of non-linear functionals of a sequence ofindependentrandomvariables.Theseproblemscouldnotbesolvedbymeansof classicalprobabilisticmethods.I triedto solvethemwith thehelpof somesortof Taylorexpansion.Theideawastorepresentthefunctionalweare investigatingas a sum with a leading term whose asymptotic behaviour can be well described by means of classical results of probability theory and with some error terms whose effect is negligible. This approach worked well, but to bound the error terms I neededsomenon-trivialestimates. Theproofoftheseestimateswas interestingin itself,itwasaproblemworthofacloserstudyonitsownright.SoItriedtowork outthedetailsandtopresentthemostimportantandmostinterestingresultsImet duringthisresearch.Thislecturenoteistheresultoftheseefforts. TosolvetheproblemsImetIhadtogiveagoodestimateonthetaildistribution of the integral of a function of several variables with respect to the appropriate power of a normalizedempirical distribution. Beside this I also had to consider a generalizedversionof this problemwhen the tail distributionof the supremumof such integrals has to be bounded. The difficulties in these problems concentrate aroundtwopoints. (a) We consider non-linear functionals of independentrandom variables, and we havetoworkoutsometechniquestodealwithsuchproblems. (b) Theideabehindseveralargumentsistheobservationthatindependentrandom variables behave in many respects almost as if they were Gaussian. But we have to understand how strong this similarity is, and when we can apply the techniquesworked outfor Gaussian randomvariables.Beside this we have to findmethodstodealwithourproblemsalsoinsuchcaseswhenthetechniques relatedtoGaussianandalmostGaussianrandomvariablesdonotwork. Todealwithproblem(a)Ihavediscussedthetheoryofmultiplerandomintegrals and their most important properties together with the properties of the so-called (degenerate)U-statistics.IconsideredtheWiener–Itoˆ integralswhicharemultiple Gaussian type integralsand providea usefultool to handle non-linearfunctionals v vi Preface of Gaussian sequences. I also provedsome results abouta good representationof theproductofWiener–Itoˆ integralsordegenerateU-statisticsasasumofWiener– Itoˆ integrals or degenerate U-statistics. A comparison of these results indicates some similarity betweenthe behaviourof Wiener–Itoˆ integralsand degenerateU- statistics. Itried topresenta fairlydetaileddiscussionof Wiener–Itoˆ integralsand degenerateU-statisticswhichcontainstheirmostimportantproperties. Problem (b) appeared in particular in the study of the supremum of a class of random integrals. It may be worth mentioning that there is a deep theory worked out mainly by Michel Talagrand which gives good estimates in such problems, at leastinthecaseifonlyonefoldintegralsareconsidered.Itturnedouthoweverthat the results and methodsof this theoryare not appropriateto provesuch estimates thatI neededin this work. Roughlyspeaking,the problemsI methave a different character than those investigated in Talagrand’s theory. This point is discussed in moredetailinthemaintextofthiswork,inparticularinChap.18,whichgivesan overviewoftheproblemsinvestigatedinthisworktogetherwiththeirhistory.The problemsgetevenharderifthesupremumnotonlyofonefoldbutalsoofmultiple randomintegralshastobeestimated.Heresomenewmethodsareneededwhichwe canfindbyrefiningsomesymmetrizationargumentsappearinginthetheoryofthe so-calledVapnik–Cˇervonenkisclasses. I have also considered an example in Chap.2 which shows how to apply the estimates proved in this work in the study of some limit theorem problems in mathematicalstatistics.Actuallythiswasthestartingpointoftheresearchdescribed in this work. I discussed only one example, but I consider it more than just an example.Mygoalwastoexplainamethodthatcanhelpinsolvingsomenon-trivial limitproblemsandtoshowwhytheresultsofthislecturenotesareusefulintheir investigation.I thinkthatthisapproachworksin a verygeneralsetting, butthisis thetaskoffutureresearch.Letmealsoremarkthattounderstandhowthismethod works and how to apply it one does not have to learn the whole material of this lecturenote.ItisenoughtounderstandthecontentoftheresultsinChap.8together withsomeresultsofChap.9aboutthepropertiesofU-statistics. I had two kinds of readers in mind when writing this lecture note. The first kindofthemwouldliketolearnmoreaboutsuchproblemsinwhichrelativelyfew independenceisavailable,andasaconsequencethemethodsofclassicalprobability theory do not work in their study. They would like to acquire some results and methods useful in such cases, too. The second kind of readers would not like to gointothedetailsofcomplicated,unpleasantarguments.Theywouldrestricttheir attentiontosomeusefulmethodswhichmayhelptheminprovingthelimittheorem problems of probability theory they meet also in such cases when the standard methodsdonotwork.Thislecture notecanbe consideredas anattemptto satisfy thewishesofbothkindsofreaders. Preface vii Acknowledgement This research was supported by the Hungarian National Foundation for Science (OTKA)undergrantnumber91928. Budapest,Hungary Pe´terMajor January2013 Contents 1 Introduction................................................................. 1 2 MotivationoftheInvestigation:DiscussionofSomeProblems........ 5 3 SomeEstimatesAboutSumsofIndependentRandomVariables..... 15 4 OntheSupremumofaNiceClassofPartialSums..................... 21 5 Vapnik–CˇervonenkisClassesandL2-DenseClassesofFunctions.... 35 6 The ProofofTheorems4.1and4.2ontheSupremum ofRandomSums............................................................ 41 7 TheCompletionoftheProofofTheorem4.1............................ 53 8 FormulationoftheMainResultsofThisWork......................... 65 9 SomeResultsAboutU-statistics.......................................... 79 10 MultipleWiener–Itoˆ IntegralsandTheirProperties................... 97 11 TheDiagramFormulaforProductsofDegenerateU-Statistics...... 121 12 TheProofoftheDiagramFormulaforU-Statistics.................... 139 13 TheProofofTheorems8.3,8.5andExample8.7....................... 151 14 ReductionoftheMainResultinThisWork............................. 169 15 TheStrategyoftheProoffortheMainResultofThisWork.......... 181 16 ASymmetrizationArgument.............................................. 191 17 TheProofoftheMainResult ............................................. 209 18 AnOverviewoftheResultsandaDiscussionoftheLiterature....... 227 ix

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