On Integrating Unmanned Aircraft Systems into the National Airspace System International Serieson INTELLIGENTSYSTEMS, CONTROL, AND AUTOMATION: SCIENCE ANDENGINEERING VOLUME36 Editor ProfessorS.G.Tzafestas,NationalTechnicalUniversityofAthens,Greece EditorialAdvisoryBoard ProfessorP.Antsaklis,UniversityofNotreDame,IN,U.S.A. ProfessorP.Borne,EcoleCentraledeLille,France ProfessorD.G.Caldwell,UniversityofSalford,U.K. ProfessorC.S.Chen,UniversityofAkron,Ohio,U.S.A. ProfessorT.Fukuda,NagoyaUniversity,Japan ProfessorF.Harashima, UniversityofTokyo,Tokyo,Japan ProfessorS.Monaco,UniversityLaSapienza,Rome,Italy ProfessorG.Schmidt,TechnicalUniversityofMunich, Germany ProfessorN.K.Sinha,McMasterUniversity, Hamilton,Ontario,Canada ProfessorD.Tabak,GeorgeMasonUniversity, Fairfax,Virginia, U.S.A. ProfessorK.Valavanis, UniversityofDenver,U.S.A. Forothertitlespublishedinthisseries,goto http://www.springer.com/series/6259 . . K.Dalamagkidis K.P. Valavanis L.A. Piegl On Integrating Unmanned Aircraft Systems into the National Airspace System Issues, Challenges, Operational Restrictions, Certification, and Recommendations (cid:65)(cid:66)(cid:67) Konstantinos Dalamagkidis Kimon P. Valavanis University of South Florida University of Denver Department of Computer Science Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering and Engineering Clarence M. Knudson Hall 4202 E. Fowler Ave. 2390 S. York Street Tampa FL 33620 Denver CO 80208 USA USA [email protected] [email protected] Dr. Les. A. Piegl University of South Florida Department of Computer Science and Engineering 4202 E. Fowler Ave. Tampa FL 33620 USA [email protected] ISBN 978-1-4020-8671-7 e-ISBN 978-1-4020-8672-4 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2008935507 ©2009 SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,B.V. Nopartofthisworkmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorby anymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,microfilming,recordingorotherwise,withoutwritten permissionfromthePublisher,withtheexceptionofanymaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurpose ofbeingenteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework. Printedonacid-freepaper 987654321 springer.com Tomyfamily,andthefriendswhohave helpedmeretainmysanity overtheyears. KonstantinosDalamagkidis ToStellitsaandPanoulis,mykids. KimonP.Valavanis Dedicatedtomylovingwife,Kae. LesA.Piegl Foreword WhenfirstaskedbyKimontowriteaforewordtothismonographIfelthonoredto beselectedandbeganmyreviewofthemanuscriptwithaneyetoitspotentialcon- tributiontotheUASindustrywhichiscurrentlytryingtogainaccesstotheNational AirspaceSystem.DuetothenatureofthedocumentIsoonfoundmyselfconflicted onpreciselywhatthecontributionmightultimatelybe.Onegoalofthispublication it appeared was to establish a baseline summary of the state of the industry from airframe/power-plantvariabilityandhencemissioncomplexityperspective. Italso organizedcriticallyimportantinformationrelatedtotheUnitedStatesandInterna- tionalregulatorystatusandledtosuggestionsregardinghowtoovercomeremaining hurdles.This,theauthorshaveorganizedverypreciselyandplacethedocumentin a position for periodic review on regulatory progress. As the results of the current Aviation Rule Committee addressing Small UAS Airworthiness Certification and Operational considerations (sUAS ARC), these results can easily be incorporated intoaddendaormanuscriptrevisions. Another key contribution is the review of UAS flight safety from the perspec- tive of risk (which is defined in early on) one component of which is the level of damagebyimpactonthegroundcoupledwiththelikelihoodofaneventhappening (probabilityofoccurrence),andparsedwithrespecttoflightoverareasofvarying populationdensity.Thiswasthefirstcomprehensiveanalysisofrisksincethesemi- nalstudiesbyRolandWeibelandDr.JimHansmanofMIT.Theproblemisthatthis industryhasnomechanismyet,istooimmature,tohavededicatedpeerreviewpro- cessesassociatedwithstandardjournals.Whatweightorsignificancethencanwe applytothedataandinterpretation/analysisthattheauthorshavebroughtforward? I took it upon myself, on an ad hoc basis, to ask industry colleagues to review the manuscript, and the scientific papers presented at conference by Kimon and Konstantinos,whichareusedasabasisforthedatapresented,andtoprovidefeed- backaddressingthevalidityofassumptions,models,thedataparadigmandworkup inessencea“poormanspeerreview”. Severalauthoritiesweighedinwithcommentsandsuggestions.Iampleasedto reportthatthereviewersreportnosignificantissueswiththedatamodelsandexper- imentalparadigmused.Thisissignificantbecausethereporteddataindicatethatthe vii viii Foreword earlierdataandanalysisbytheMITgroupwas“overlyconservative”andUASsof varyingweightclasses,wouldposelessriskthatwhathasbeenreportedbyearlier studies.(Ihadintendedtonamethereviewersinthespiritoffulldisclosure,how- everregrettably,publishingdeadlinesinterferedwithmyabilitytogetpermissionto includenamesandalsotoacquirepermissionfromtheiremployerstobequoted.) Further,thedatacontainedwithinhasbeensubmittedtoseveralmembersinthe leadershipofthesUASARCanditishopedthatitwillbegivendueconsideration as the ARC reports in with it’s suggested guidance to the FAA as it promulgates sUASsafetyregulationsbeginningwithsmallUASs. In general I am very pleased that Kimon and his colleagues have put this sum- marydocumenttogetherfortheUAScommunityandIlookforwardtosemiannual orannualupdatedtowhatmaybecomeanongoing,living,compilationoftheUAS StateoftheIndustry. OysterBay,NY,September2008 JamesE.Jewell PresidentUAVMarketSpaceInc. ASTMF38UASExecutiveCommitteeMembershipSecretary Preface UnmannedAircraftSystems(UAS)researchanddevelopmentandprocurement,as wellasdiverseUASrelatedactivitiesareincreasingrapidly,worldwide.UAShave seenunprecedentedlevelsofgrowthonallfrontsoverthepast10years;however, thebestisyettocome! Whathasbeenanamazingfactisthatalthoughin1997thetotalincomeofthe Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) global market was about $2.27 billion,1 it has beenarguedthatuntil2015theUAVmarketintheUS,asawhole,willreach$16 billion,withEuropeasacontinentplayingtheroleofthesecondbutdistantcom- petitor, spending just about 2 billion.2 However, a study conducted by the Teal e Group3 claims that UAVs will continue to be the most dynamic growth sector of the world aerospace industry, estimating that UAV spending will more than triple over the next decade, totaling close to $55 billion. An interesting conclusion that theTealGroupreachedwasthatthecivilUAVmarketwillslowlyemergeoverthe nextdecade,startingfirstwithgovernmentorganizationsrequiringsurveillancesys- temssimilartomilitaryUAVssuchascoastguards,borderpatrolorganizationsand similarnationalsecurityorganizations. Surprisinglyenough,itisthisconclusionthat,coupledwithmajorinitiativesto pushforcivilianandpublicuseUAS,motivatedtheauthorstowritethisbook.The motivation and rationale becomes more than obvious when one considers that uti- lizationofUASforcivilianapplicationsrequiresthattheyflyincivilian,restricted, space,thatis,itrequiresthatUASbeintegratedintotheNationalAirspaceSystem (NAS)ofthecountryorcontinenttheyflyover. The challenge is huge because all that is available today, worldwide, reflects mannedaviation.Effortsbynationalandinternationalorganizationstoproduceand develop rules, regulations, procedures and standards for integration of UAS in to 1 “WorldMarketsforMilitary,CivilandCommercialUAVs:ReconnaissanceUAVsandAerial Targets”,FrostandSullivan,1998. 2DickersonL.,“UAVsontheRise”,AviationWeek&SpaceTechnology,AerospaceSourceBook 2007,Vol.166,No.3,2007. 3http://www.roboticstrends.com/displayarticle880.html,09/06,RoboticsTrends. ix x Preface the national airspace are on the rise, but, development of a detailed and complete roadmapisfarfrombeingcomplete. In essence, integration of UAS in the NAS will depend, among other things, on whether UAS achieve, at a minimum, an equivalent level of safety to that of mannedaviation.Thissafetylevelisdefinedprimarilyintermsoftheriskposedby UASoperationstohumanlifeeventhoughotherpotentialcollateraldamagemaybe takenintoaccount. Theauthorshopethatthisproject,beingfarfromcomplete,willserveasarefer- encetext,perhapsausefultool,whichlaysthefoundationforwhatneedsbedone inordertoarriveatthedesiredoutcome:integratedmannedandunmannedaviation flyinginthesameairspace. Assuch,currentmannedaviationregulationsarereviewed,followedbyavailable unmannedaviationregulationsworldwide.UASsafetyassessmentsandfunctional requirements are presented, which lead to derivation of equivalent levels of safety based on those used for manned aviation. Recommendations for a roadmap that leadstoUASintegrationintothenationalairspacesystemarealsopresented. Last, but not least, it is expected that as the field matures and the roadmap is moreconcrete,thisbookwillbeupdatedinordertoserveasa‘referencemanual’ or‘handbook’. Tampa,FL KonstantinosDalamagkidis September2008 KimonP.Valavanis LesA.Piegl
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