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Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive DSpace Repository Theses and Dissertations 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items 2017-12 Unconventional restraint: obstacles to Army Special Operations Forces' employment in support to resistance operations Hoelscher, Eric A.; Staab, Charles A., II Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/56939 Downloaded from NPS Archive: Calhoun NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS UNCONVENTIONAL RESTRAINT: OBSTACLES TO ARMY SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES’ EMPLOYMENT IN SUPPORT TO RESISTANCE OPERATIONS by Eric A. Hoelscher Charles A. Staab II December 2017 Thesis Advisor: Kalev Sepp Second Reader: John Tullius Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704–0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington, DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED (Leave blank) December 2017 Master’s thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS UNCONVENTIONAL RESTRAINT: OBSTACLES TO ARMY SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES’ EMPLOYMENT IN SUPPORT TO RESISTANCE OPERATIONS 6. AUTHOR(S) Eric A. Hoelscher and Charles A. Staab II 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION REPORT Monterey, CA 93943-5000 NUMBER 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND 10. SPONSORING / ADDRESS(ES) MONITORING AGENCY N/A REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. IRB number ____N/A____. 12a. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. 13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words) st Despite ever-increasing political support to U.S. Army Special Operations Forces (ARSOF) in the 21 century, enduring obstacles continue to limit the execution of support to resistance movements as a viable strategic policy option for the United States. When both diplomatic and conventional military options prove too costly and/or reach an impasse, the National Command Authority is left with two options: do nothing or force a change by supporting elements of the indigenous opposition. Recent history provides several examples of presidential decisions to leverage U.S. military support to resistance movements (STR) to, as outlined in Joint Publication 3-05, Special Operations (2014), “coerce, disrupt or overthrow a government or occupying power” in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and most recently, Syria. Yet the efficacy of this core activity remains constrained by legal, political, and organizational challenges. This thesis explores both the causes and depths of these obstacles to the employment of ARSOF elements in support to indigenous resistance activities and identifies feasible means to overcome these hurdles. Ultimately, recognition and alleviation of these obstacles will optimize ARSOF’s activities and arm national policymakers with the ways and means to achieve long-lasting policy ends. 14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF Army special operations forces (ARSOF), unconventional warfare (UW), support to resistance PAGES (STR), special forces (SF) 179 16. PRICE CODE 17. SECURITY 18. SECURITY 19. SECURITY 20. LIMITATION CLASSIFICATION OF CLASSIFICATION OF THIS CLASSIFICATION OF OF ABSTRACT REPORT PAGE ABSTRACT Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified UU NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ii Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. UNCONVENTIONAL RESTRAINT: OBSTACLES TO ARMY SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES’ EMPLOYMENT IN SUPPORT TO RESISTANCE OPERATIONS Eric A. Hoelscher Major, United States Army B.A., University of Wisconsin at La Crosse, 2006 Charles A. Staab II Major, United States Army B.S., United States Military Academy, 2006 Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN DEFENSE ANALYSIS from the NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL December 2017 Approved by: Kalev Sepp, Ph.D. Thesis Advisor John Tullius, Ph.D. Second Reader John Arquilla, Ph.D. Chair, Department of Defense Analysis iii THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK iv ABSTRACT Despite ever-increasing political support to U.S. Army Special Operations Forces st (ARSOF) in the 21 century, enduring obstacles continue to limit the execution of support to resistance movements as a viable strategic policy option for the United States. When both diplomatic and conventional military options prove too costly and/or reach an impasse, the National Command Authority is left with two options: do nothing or force a change by supporting elements of the indigenous opposition. Recent history provides several examples of presidential decisions to leverage U.S. military support to resistance movements (STR) to, as outlined in Joint Publication 3-05, Special Operations (2014), “coerce, disrupt or overthrow a government or occupying power” in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and most recently, Syria. Yet the efficacy of this core activity remains constrained by legal, political, and organizational challenges. This thesis explores both the causes and depths of these obstacles to the employment of ARSOF elements in support to indigenous resistance activities and identifies feasible means to overcome these hurdles. Ultimately, recognition and alleviation of these obstacles will optimize ARSOF’s activities and arm national policymakers with the ways and means to achieve long-lasting policy ends. v THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK vi TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND ..........................................................1 II. LITERATURE REVIEW .....................................................................................3 A. VIABILITY OF STR AS A STRATEGY ................................................3 B. MODERN CONFLICT PARADIGM ......................................................4 C. POLITICAL AND LEGAL CHALLENGES TO STR ..........................5 D. ORGANIZATIONAL CHALLENGES TO STR ...................................6 E. TRAINING AND EDUCATIONAL CHALLENGES TO STR ............7 III. APPROACH/METHODOLOGY .........................................................................9 A. SUPPORT TO RESISTANCE MOVEMENTS VERSUS UNCONVENTIONAL WARFARE .........................................................9 B. TRADITIONAL WARFARE VERSUS IRREGULAR WARFARE ...............................................................................................10 C. INDIRECT APPROACH VERSUS DIRECT APPROACH ...............11 D. SPECIAL WARFARE VERSUS SURGICAL STRIKE .....................11 E. COMBATING TERRORISM VERSUS COUNTERTERRORISM .......................................................................12 IV. PREMISE 1: STR IS A VIABLE OPTION ......................................................13 A. A HISTORY OF FAILURE? ..................................................................14 B. THE “MAGIC BULLET” FALLACY ..................................................16 C. SHORT-TERM SUCCESS, LONG-TERM FAILURE, AND WINNING THE “DAY AFTER” ...........................................................21 D. CONCLUSION ........................................................................................25 V. PREMISE 2: MODERN CONFLICT PARADIGM CHANGE ......................27 A. CHINA ......................................................................................................28 B. RUSSIA .....................................................................................................30 C. IRAN .........................................................................................................33 D. SIMILAR REFLECTIONS WITHIN U.S. DOCTRINE .....................37 E. CONCLUSION ........................................................................................38 VI. LEGAL OBSTACLES ........................................................................................41 A. INTERNATIONAL LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS .............................41 B. DOMESTIC LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS .........................................46 C. SUMMARY ..............................................................................................54 vii

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