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New Developments in Statistical Modeling, Inference and Application: Selected Papers from the 2014 ICSA/KISS Joint Applied Statistics Symposium in Portland, OR PDF

218 Pages·2016·6.899 MB·English
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ICSA Book Series in Statistics Series Editors: Jiahua Chen · Ding-Geng (Din) Chen Zhezhen Jin Mengling Liu Xiaolong Luo Editors New Developments in Statistical Modeling, Inference and Application Selected Papers from the 2014 ICSA/ KISS Joint Applied Statistics Symposium in Portland, OR ICSA Book Series in Statistics SeriesEditors JiahuaChen DepartmentofStatistics UniversityofBritishColumbia Vancouver Canada Ding–Geng(Din)Chen UniversityofNorthCarolina ChapelHill,NC,USA Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/13402 Zhezhen Jin (cid:129) Mengling Liu (cid:129) Xiaolong Luo Editors New Developments in Statistical Modeling, Inference and Application Selected Papers from the 2014 ICSA/KISS Joint Applied Statistics Symposium in Portland, OR 123 Editors ZhezhenJin MenglingLiu MailmanSchoolofPublicHealth DivisionofBiostatistics DepartmentofBiostatistics NYUSchoolofMedicine ColumbiaUniversity NewYork,NY,USA NewYork,NY,USA XiaolongLuo SeniorDirector,Biostatistics CelgeneCorporation Summit,NJ,USA ISSN2199-0980 ISSN2199-0999 (electronic) ICSABookSeriesinStatistics ISBN978-3-319-42570-2 ISBN978-3-319-42571-9 (eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-42571-9 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016952641 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2016 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthorsandtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerland Reviewers Ming-HuiChen,Ph.D. DepartmentofStatistics UniversityofConnecticut 215GlenbrookRoad,U-4120 Storrs,CT06269 E-mail:[email protected] PengChen,Ph.D. CelgeneCorporation 300CornellDrive BerkeleyHeights,NJ07922 E-mail:[email protected] SuktaeChoi,Ph.D. AssociateDirector,Statistics BiostatisticsandProgramming CelgeneCorporation 300CornellDrive BerkeleyHeights,NJ07922 Email:[email protected] MingHu,Ph.D. DivisionofBiostatistics DepartmentofPopulationHealth NewYorkUniversitySchoolofMedicine 6501stAve,5thFloor NewYork,NY10016 Email:[email protected] XiangHuang,Ph.D. DivisionofBiostatistics DepartmentofPopulationHealth v vi Reviewers NewYorkUniversitySchoolofMedicine 6501stAve,5thFloor NewYork,NY10016 Email:[email protected] JaeheeKim,Ph.D. DepartmentofStatistics DuksungWomen’sUniversity 419Ssangmun-DongTobong-Ku Seoul,S.Korea E-mail:[email protected] SungDukKim,Ph.D. BiostatisticsandBioinformaticsBranch DivisionofIntramuralPopulationHealthResearch EuniceKennedyShriverNationalInstituteofChildHealthandHuman Development(NICHD) NationalInstitutesofHealth 6100ExecutiveBlvdRoom7B05A,MSC7510 Bethesda,MD20892-7510 E-mail:[email protected] GangLi,Ph.D. Director,IntegrativeHealthInformatics RWEAnalytics,JanssenR&D 1125Trenton-HarbourtonRoad Titusville,NJ08560 E-mail:[email protected] HuilingLi,Ph.D. CelgeneCorporation 300ConnellDrive,7thFL,7037 BerkeleyHeights,NJ07922 Email:[email protected] KejianLiu,Ph.D. CelgeneCorporation 300CornellDrive BerkeleyHeights,NJ07922 E-mail:[email protected] AntaiWang,Ph.D. DepartmentofMathematicalSciences NewJerseyInstituteofTechnology UniversityHeights Newark,NJ07102 E-mail:[email protected] Reviewers vii JinfengXu,Ph.D. DepartmentofStatisticsandActuarialScience TheUniversityofHongKong Rm228,RunRunShawBuilding PokfulamRoad,HongKong Email:[email protected] XiaonanXue,Ph.D. AlbertEinsteinCollegeofMedicine JackandPearlResnickCampus 1300MorrisParkAvenue BelferBuilding,Room1303C Bronx,NY10461 E-mail:[email protected] XiaojiangZhan,Ph.D. CelgeneCorporation 300CornellDrive BerkeleyHeights,NJ07922 E-mail:[email protected] YichuanZhao,Ph.D. DepartmentofMathematicsandStatistics 726,7thFloor,CollegeofEducationBuilding,30PryorStreet GeorgiaStateUniversity Atlanta,GA30303-3083 E-mail:[email protected] ZhigenZhao,Ph.D. DepartmentofStatistics TempleUniversity 342SpeakmanHall 1801N.13thStreet Philadelphia,PA19122 E-mail:[email protected] Preface The 2014 Joint Applied Statistics Symposium of the InternationalChinese Statis- ticalAssociation and the KoreanInternationalStatistical Society was successfully held from June 15 to June 18, 2014, at the Marriott Downtown WaterfrontHotel, Portland,Oregon,USA.Itwasthe23rdannualAppliedStatisticsSymposiumofthe ICSAandthefirstoftheKISS.Over400participantsattendedtheconferencefrom academia, industry, and government agencies around the world including North America,Asia,andEurope.Theconferenceofferedthreekeynotespeeches,seven shortcourses,76scientificsessions,studentpapersessions,andsocialevents. The 11 papers in this volume were selected from the presentations in the conference. They cover new methodology and application for clinical research and information technology, including model development, model checking, and innovative clinical trial design and analysis. All papers have gone through peer- review process of at least two referees and an editor. We believe they provide invaluableadditiontothestatisticalcommunity. We wouldliketothanktheauthorsfortheircontributionandtheirpatienceand dedication. We also would like to thank referees who devoted their valuable time for the excellentreviews. NewYork,NY,USA ZhezhenJin NewYork,NY,USA MenglingLiu Summit,NJ,USA XiaolongLuo ix Contents PartI TheoreticalDevelopmentinStatisticalModeling DualModelMisspecificationinGeneralizedLinearModels withErrorinVariables.......................................................... 3 XianzhengHuang Joint Analysis of Longitudinal Data and Informative ObservationTimeswithTime-DependentRandomEffects................. 37 YangLi,XinHe,HaiyingWang,andJianguoSun A Markov Switching Model with Stochastic Regimes withApplicationtoBusinessCycleAnalysis.................................. 53 HaipengXing,NingSun,andYingChen Direction Estimation in a General Regression Model withDiscretePredictors......................................................... 77 YuexiaoDongandZhouYu PartII NewDevelopmentsinTrialDesign FutilityBoundaryDesignBasedonProbabilityofClinical SuccessUnderNewDrugDevelopmentParadigm........................... 91 YijieZhou,RujiYao,BoYang,andRamachandranSuresh BayesianModeling of Time Response andDose Response forPredictiveInterimAnalysisofaClinicalTrial ........................... 107 Ming-DauhWang, DominiqueA. Williams, Elisa V. Gomez, andJyotiN.Rayamajhi An ROC Approach to Evaluate Interim Go/No-Go Decision-MakingQualitywithApplicationtoFutilityStopping intheClinicalTrialDesigns..................................................... 121 DeliWang,LuCui,LanjuZhang,andBoYang xi xii Contents PartIII NovelApplicationsandImplementation RecentAdvancementsinGeovisualization,withaCaseStudy onChineseReligions............................................................. 151 JürgenSymanzik,ShumingBao, XiaoTian Dai, Miao Shui, andBingShe The Efficiency ofNext-GenerationGibbs-Type Samplers: AnIllustrationUsingaHierarchicalModelinCosmology.................. 167 Xiyun Jiao, David A. van Dyk, Roberto Trotta, and HikmataliShariff DynamicSpatialPatternRecognitioninCountData........................ 185 XiaWang,Ming-HuiChen,RitaC.Kuo,andDipakK.Dey Bias-CorrectedEstimatorsofScalarSkewNormal.......................... 203 GuoyiZhangandRongLiu

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