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272 Pages·1989·5.03 MB·English
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Research in Criminology Series Editors Alfred Blumstein David P. Farrington Research in Criminology Understanding and Controlling Crime: Toward A New Research Strategy D.P. Farrington, L.E. Ohlin and J.Q. Wilson The Social Ecology of Crime J.M. Byrne and R.J. Sampson (Eds.) The Reasoning Criminal: Rational Choice Perspectives on Offending D.B. Cornish and R.Y. Clarke (Eds.) The Social Contex,ts of Criminal Sentencing Martha A. Myers and Susette M. Talarico Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models Peter Schmidt and Ann Dryden Witte Coping. Behavior. and Adaptation in Prison Inmates Edward Zamble and Frank Porporino Prison Crowding: A Psychological Perspective Paul B. Paulus Off School. In Court: An Experimental and Psychiatric Investigation of Severe School Attendance Problems I. Berg, I. Brown and R. Hullin Policing and Punishing the Drinking Driver: A Study of General and Specific Deterrence Ross Homel Judicial Decision Making. Sentencing Policy. and Numerical Guidance Austin Lovegrove Delbert S. Elliott David Huizinga Scott Menard Multiple Problem Youth Delinquency, Substance Use, and Mental Health Problems Springer-Verlag N ew York Berlin Heidelberg London Paris Tokyo Delbert S. Elliott David Huizinga Scott Menard Institute of Behavioral Science University of Colorado at Boulder Boulder, CO 80309, USA Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Elliott, Delbert S. Multiple problem youth: delinquency, substance use, and mental health problems/Delbert S. Elliott, David Huizinga, Scott Menard. p. cm.-(Research in criminology) Bibliography: p. ISBN-13:978-O-387-96925-l (a1k. paper) l. Juvenile delinquency-United States. 2. Youth-United States-Drug use. 3. Youth-United States-Mental health. 1. Huizinga, David. II. Menard, Scott. III. Title. IV. Series. HV9104.E447 1988 362.7/4/0973-dcI9 88-38132 Printed on acid-free paper © 1989 by Springer-Verlag New York Inc. All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer-Verlag, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, etc. in this publication, even if the former are not especially identified, is not to be taken as a sign that such names, as understood by the Trade Marks and Merchandise Marks Act, may accordingly be used freely by anyone. Typeset by TCSystems, Inc. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 ISBN -13 :978-0-387-96925-1 e-ISBN-13 :978-1-4613-9637-6 DOl: 10.1007/978-1-4613-%37-6 Contents Preface ............................................................................... VI Chapter 1 Introduction.............................. ........................... 1 Chapter 2 The Demographic Distribution of Delinquency and ADM Problems..................................................... 24 Chapter 3 Prevalence and General Offending/Use Patterns: The Joint Occurrence of Delinquent Behavior and ADM Problems..................................................... 50 Chapter 4 Age, Period, and Cohort Effects .............................. 87 Chapter 5 Developmental Patterns ......................................... 118 Chapter 6 The Etiology of Delinquency and ADM Problems....... 137 Chapter 7 Prediction of Delinquent and ADM Behavior from Other Delinquent and ADM Behavior....................... 169 Chapter 8 Summary and Implications ..................................... 191 References .......................................................................... 205 Appendix A Frequency of Alcohol Use .................................... 217 Appendix B Mental Health Measures ....................................... 219 Appendix C Prevalence and Offending/Use Rates for Multiple Problem Types.................................................... 227 Appendix D Annual Transition Matrices for Problem Behavior Types................................................................ 254 Author Index....................................................................... 256 Subject Index....................................................................... 260 Preface In April 1984 the Alcohol, Drug Abuse, Mental Health Administration (ADAMHA) and the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) held a State-of-the-Art Research Conference on juvenile offenders with serious drug, alcohol, and mental health problems. This conference reflected the growing concern over multiple-problem youth, the possibility of a common set of underlying causes linked to these different forms of problem behavior, and questions about how to identify multiple-problem youth and develop treatment strategies that address this more complex pattern of problem behavior and its precipitating causes. This book attemps to address the major epidemiological and etiological issues raised at this conference and is an extended version of a paper presented there by the first two authors (Elliott & Huizinga, 1984). It seems particularly appropriate that the data and analyses presented here rely heavily on the National Youth Survey, a ten-year longitudinal study involving a national sample of adolescents, which has been jointly funded by the National Institute of Mental Health, the National Institute of Drug Abuse, the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, and The National Institute of Justice. This funding pattern reflects the common interest in the relationship between these forms of problem behavior and the complex set of issues that confront us in our efforts to deal with mUltiple-problem youth. We would like to acknowledge the contributions of the many persons associated with the National Youth Survey (NYS) and those who contributed directly and indirectly to the preparation of this volume. Linda Kuhn and Judy Armstrong-Laurie (NYS Field Super visors) are largely responsible for our success in obtaining high quality interviews and maintaining a high participation rate over the ten years of the NYS. Bertha Thomas (the NYS Librarian), more than any other person, is responsible for the quality and documentation of the NYS data set. Her standards for accuracy and completeness are unexcelled in survey research. Although too numerous to mention by name, we also wish to thank our field staff, trackers and interviewers, and the research assistants who were responsible for the collection, editing, and coding of our interviews. Other members of the NYS research team contributed to the analyses and in terpretations offered here. In particular, we acknowledge the contributions of Frank Dunford, Barbara Morse, and Finn Esbensen. Phyllis O'Meara and Dorothy Watson assisted in the preparation of the manuscript and stuck with us through the many revisions of text and tables. We are also grateful for the encouragement and assistance of Dr. Jim Breiling, our Project Monitor at the Antisocial and Violent Behavior Branch of the National Institute of Mental Health. Finally, we wish to thank the members of the NYS youth panel, who have been willing to share their experiences, perceptions, and beliefs, their failures and successes, and their hopes for the future. In the final analysis, it was their willingness to stick with us over ten years of their lives and 'endure multiple, repeated interviews that made this volume possible. Del Elliott, David Huizinga, Scott Menard 1 Introduction Study Objectives Historically, the study of adolescent problems and disorders has involved independent inquiry into specific problems such as delinquent and antisocial behavior, substance (tobacco, alcohol, and illicit drug) use and abuse, suicide, teenage pregnancy, runaway, and mental illness. This division emerged out of the traditional interests and specializations of the various academic disciplines and has been perpetuated by the present organization of federal and state agencies supporting research and program development in these areas and by the current organization of federal, state and community treatment and support services for adoles cents with these problems. Yet there is reason to question the usefulness ofthis division in the light of recent research (Bachman, 1987; Donovan & Jessor, 1985; Elliott, Huizinga, & Ageton, 1985; Huba & Bentler, 1984; Jessor & Jessor, 1977, Osgood et aI, 1988) in which it is suggested that these adolescent problems may have a common etiology and frequently involve concomitant forms of behavior. Should this be the case, there would be a compelling reason to question the appropriateness of the present organization of social control and treatment agencies that tend to focus rather narrowly on a particular problem form with little coordi nation between agencies and little attention to the more general nexus of problems that characterize clients. Although there is a fairly extensive body of knowledge about each of these problem behaviors, relatively little is known about their joint distributions in the adolescent population, their temporal ordering or developmental progression into multiproblem patterns, and whether these problems are causally related to one another, have independent causal antecedents, or are different manifestations of a common causal syn drome.1 Baseline epidemiological and etiological data are critical to I Several recent studies involving national samples have focused on one or more of these issues (see Bachman, 1987; Donovan & Jessor, 1985; Osgood et al., 2 1. Introduction the development of new prevention and intervention strategies and to a more effective integration and coordination of existing services and strategies to deal with youth who exhibit mUltiple forms of problem behavior Our objective in this book is to present national baseline epidemiolog ical and etiological data on the joint occurrence of delinquent behavior and alcohol, drug, and mental health (ADM) problems. Specifically, we propose to address each of the following questions. 1. What patterns of joint delinquent-ADM problems are found within the adolescent population? 2. What proportion of youth exhibit each mUltiple problem pattern, and how are youth exhibiting these patterns distributed in the general population by age, sex, race, class, and place of residence? 3. How do these patterns differ with regard to the frequency of each type of behavior? 4. Is there a particular temporal order or developmental sequence in the onset of these behaviors or disorders that is more likely than others? 5. Can we identify a common set of causes for these problems? 6. What is the predictive effect of joint involvement in these behaviors on subsequent long-range "career" or chronic involvement in crime or ADM disorders? (For example, does the presence of heavy drug use with crime during adolescence increase the risk of a long-range criminal career and, if so, is the effect additive or interactive?) In addressing the epidemiological issues above we have relied upon data from the National Youth Survey (NYS), an ongoing longitudinal study involving a national probability sample of U.S. adolescents. In the discussion of the etiological issues and risk factor models we will review both the results of predictive analyses involving NYS data and the findings from other predictive studies based upon large representative samples. Our general approach can be described as involving general population surveys employing self-reported measures of delinquency and ADM problems. After describing the NYS and the unique suitability of this study for assessing the relationship between delinquent behavior and ADM problems behaviors over the adolescent and early adult years, we will review a number of issues involved in the measurement of delin quency and ADM problems and then present the specific measures employed in the NYS. 1988). These studies and several others involving local samples (Huba & Bentler, 1984; Nurco, Shaffer, Ball and Kinlock, 1984; Zabin et aI., 1986) will be reviewed in later chapters, where their findings are relevant to particular issues being addressed. The National Youth Survey 3 The National Youth Survey The National Youth Survey, funded primarily by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services through the National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) with supplemental funding from the U.S. Department of Justice through the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) and the National Institute of Justice (NIJ), is a projected longitudinal study of delinquent behavior, alcohol and drug use, and problem-related substance use in the American youth population.2 To date, seven waves of data have been collected on this national youth panel covering the period from 1976 to 1986. The data reported here are limited to the first six waves of data and cover the 7-year period from 1976 to 1983. The NYS employed a probability sample of households in the continen tal United States based upon a self-weighting, multistage, cluster sampling design. The sample was drawn in late 1976 and contained 2,360 eligible youth aged 11-17 at the time of the initial interview. Of these, 1,725 (73%) agreed to participate in the study, signed informed consents, and completed interviews in the initial (1977) survey. An age, sex, and race comparison between nonparticipating eligible youth and participat ing youth indicates that the loss rate from any particular age, sex, or racial group appears to be proportional to that group's representation in the population. Further, with respect to these characteristics, participating youth appear to be representative of the total 11- through 17-year-old youth population in the United States as established by the U.S. Census Bureau (Elliott, Ageton, Huizinga, Knowles, & Canter, 1983). Respondent loss over the six surveys was relatively small (13%). Comparisons of participants across the six waves indicated that loss by age, sex, ethnicity, class, place of residence, and reported delinquency did not substantially influence the underlying distributions on these variables. It was thus concluded that the representativeness of the sample with respect to these variables was not affected in any serious way by the losses over the six surveys. For a more detailed analysis of attrition see Elliott et al. (1983). Annual involvement in delinquent behavior and specific ADM problem 2 The work reported here was supported by a series of grants (MH27552) from the Center for Studies of Crime and Delinquency, NIMH, for the period June 1975 through May 1986. Supplemental funding (78-JN-AX-0003) for the second and third years of the study was received from OnDP and supplemental funding (83-IJ-CX-0063) for the collection of arrest data was received from the NIJ. The points of view or opinions expressed here are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the Department of Health and Human Services or the Department of Justice. 4 1. Introduction behaviors was self-reported by members of the youth panel in confiden tial, personal (face-to-face) interviews. In most instances these interviews occurred in the respondent's home. Ifthe situation at home was such that privacy could not be guaranteed, arrangements were made to conduct the interview in some other setting where privacy was assured. Respondents were guaranteed that any information they provided in the interview was confidential and could not be released to any person or agency without their written consent. All data collected were protected by a Privacy Certification from the U. S. Department of Justice or a Certificate of Confidentiality from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. The NYS is well suited to address both the epidemiological and etiological questions posed. The study was specifically designed to obtain baseline epidemiological data and to test an integrated theoretical model explaining delinquency and drug use (Elliott, Huizinga, & Ageton, 1985); it involves a representative national sample with adequate representation of all adolescent age groups; comprehensive measures of delinquent behavior as well as substance use and problem use are available, providing both prevalence and frequency estimates of each behavior and their joint occurrence annually over a 5-year period (1976-1980) and comparable data for 1983; and the longitudinal design affords the opportu nity to examine the temporal ordering of the onset of specific behaviors or problems over the adolescent years. Although adolescent mental disor ders were not a primary focus in the early years of this study, measures of several mental health problems were obtained as predictors of delin quency and problem use of alcohol and drugs and are available for the first 5 years of the study. More attention was given to mental disorders on the sixth wave of the study, which incorporated parts of the NIMH Diagnos tic Interview Schedule (Hesselbrock, Stabenau, Hesslebrock, Mirkin & Mey 1982; Robins, 1981; Robins, Helzer, Croughan, Williams, & Spitzer, 1981a,b) and a major set of questions on the use of mental health services. THE MEASUREMENT OF DELINQUENT BEHAVIOR AND ADM PROBLEM BEHAVIORS. Although self-reported survey measures of delinquency, substance use, and mental illness have come to dominate epidemiological research in these areas, some important limitations of self-reported measures need to be addressed. Self-reported survey measures were initially developed as an alternative to measures obtained from clinical records or from police or court records. Both conceptual and methodological problems were asso ciated with the use of clinical and law enforcement records to identify persons involved or not involved in these problems or to estimate the frequency and distribution of these forms of deviant behavior in any specific population. Conceptually, theories of deviance made an impor-

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