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Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics Bruno Tuffin Pierre L’Ecuyer   Editors Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods MCQMC 2018, Rennes, France, July 1–6 Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics Volume 324 Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics This book series features volumes composed of selected contributions from workshops and conferences in all areas of current research in mathematics and statistics, including operation research and optimization. In addition to an overall evaluation of the interest, scientific quality, and timeliness of each proposal at the hands of the publisher, individual contributions are all refereed to the high quality standards of leading journals in the field. Thus, this series provides the research community with well-edited, authoritative reports on developments in the most exciting areas of mathematical and statistical research today. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/10533 fi ’ Bruno Tuf n Pierre L Ecuyer (cid:129) Editors Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods – MCQMC 2018, Rennes, France, July 1 6 123 Editors BrunoTuffin Pierre L’Ecuyer INRIA RennesBretagne-Atlantique Départementd’informatiqueetdeRecherche CampusUniverstaire deBeaulieu Opérationnelle (DIRO) Rennes,France UniversitédeMontréal Montreal,QC, Canada ISSN 2194-1009 ISSN 2194-1017 (electronic) SpringerProceedings in Mathematics& Statistics ISBN978-3-030-43464-9 ISBN978-3-030-43465-6 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-43465-6 Mathematics Subject Classification (2010): 65C05, 62D05, 62E10, 65B99, 62-06, 65Cxx, 62Pxx, 62Lxx ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2020 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregard tojurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface This volume represents the refereed proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing,whichwasheldattheUniversityofRennes,France,andorganizedby Inria, from 1–6 July, 2018. It contains a limited selection of articles based on presentationsmadeattheconference.Theprogramwasarrangedwiththehelpofan international committee consisting of the following members: Zdravko I. Botev (Australia, University of New South Wales) Hector Cancela (Uruguay, Universidad de la Republica) Frédéric Cérou (France, Inria) Nicolas Chopin (France, ENSAE) Ronald Cools (Belgium, KU Leuven) Josef Dick (Australia, University of New South Wales) Arnaud Doucet (UK, Oxford University) Paul Dupuis (USA, Brown University) Michael B. Giles (UK, Oxford University) Mark Girolami (UK, Uinversity of Warwick) Paul Glasserman (USA, Columbia University) Peter W. Glynn (USA, Stanford University) Michael Gnewuch (Germany, Universität Kiel) Emmanuel Gobet (France, Ecole Polytechnique) Takashi Goda (Japan, The University of Tokyo) Arnaud Guyader (France, Université Pierre et Marie Curie) Stefan Heinrich (Germany, Universität Kaiserslautern) Fred J. Hickernell (USA, Illinois Institute of Technology) Aicke Hinrichs (Austria, JKU Linz) Wenzel Jakob (Switzerland, ETH and Disney) Alexander Keller (Germany, NVIDIA) Dirk P. Kroese (Australia, University of Queensland) Frances Y. Kuo (Australia, University of New South Wales) Gerhard Larcher (Austria, JKU Linz) v vi Preface Christian Lécot (France, Université de Savoie) Pierre L’Ecuyer (Canada, Université de Montréal) Christiane Lemieux (Canada, University of Waterloo) Faming Liang (USA, University of Florida, Gainesville) Makoto Matsumoto (Japan, Hiroshima University) Eric Moulines (France, Ecole Polytechnique) Thomas Mueller-Gronbach (Germany, Universität Passau) Harald Niederreiter (Austria, Academy of Sciences) Erich Novak (Germany, Universität Jena) Dirk Nuyens (Belgium, KU Leuven) Art B. Owen (USA, Stanford University) Gareth Peters (UK, University College London) Friedrich Pillichshammer (Austria, JKU Linz) Klaus Ritter (Germany, Universität Kaiserslauten) Gerardo Rubino (France, Inria) Wolfgang Ch. Schmid (Austria, Universität Salzburg) Ian H. Sloan (Australia, University of New South Wales) Raul Tempone (Saudi Arabia, KAUST) Xiaoqun Wang (China, Tsinghua University) Grzegorz W. Wasilkowski (USA, University of Kentucky) Henryk Wozniakowski (USA, Columbia University). This conference continued the tradition of biennial MCQMC conferences initi- ated by Harald Niederreiter. They were begun at the University of Nevada in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, inJune 1994 and followed by conferences at the University of Salzburg, Austria, in July 1996; the Claremont Colleges in Claremont, California, USA, in June 1998; Hong Kong Baptist University in Hong Kong, China, in November 2000; the National University of Singapore, Republic of Singapore, in November 2002; the Palais des Congrès in Juan-les-Pins, France, in June 2004; Ulm University, Germany, in July 2006; Université de Montréal, Canada, in July 2008; University of Warsaw, Poland, in August 2010; the UniversityofNewSouthWales,Sydney,Australia,inFebruary2012;KULeuven, Belgium, in April 2014; and Stanford University, USA, in August 2016. The next MCQMC conference will be held in Oxford, UK, on August 9–14, 2020. The proceedings of these previous conferences were all published by Springer-Verlag, under the following titles: (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing (H. Niederreiter and P. J.-S. Shiue, eds.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 1996 (H. Niederreiter, P. Hellekalek, G. Larcher and P. Zinterhof, eds.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 1998 (H. Niederreiter and J. Spanier, eds.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2000 (K.-T. Fang, F. J. Hickernell and H. Niederreiter, eds.) Preface vii (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2002 (H. Niederreiter, ed.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2004 (H. Niederreiter and D. Talay, eds.) (cid:129) MonteCarloandQuasi-MonteCarloMethods2006(A.KellerandS.Heinrich and H. Niederreiter, eds.) (cid:129) MonteCarloandQuasi-MonteCarloMethods2008(P.L’EcuyerandA.Owen, eds.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2010 (L. Plaskota and H. Woźniakowski, eds.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2012 (J. Dick, F. Y. Kuo, G. W. Peters and I. Sloan, eds.) (cid:129) MonteCarloand Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods2014 (R. Cools andD.Nuyens, eds.) (cid:129) Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2016 (A. Owen and P. W. Glynn, eds.). The program of the conference was rich and varied with over regular 190 talks being presented and more than 230 registered participants. Highlights were the invited plenary talks given by Christophe Andrieu (Bristol, UK), Pierre Henry-Labordère (Société Générale, Paris, France), Éric Moulines (Ecole Polytechnique, France), Marvin Nakayama (NJIT, USA), Barry L. Nelson (Northwestern University, USA), Friedrich Pillichshammer (JKU Linz, Austria), Clémentine Prieur (Université Grenoble Alpes & Inria, France), and Christoph Schwab (ETH Zurich, Swizerland). Thepapersinthisvolumewerecarefullyscreenedandcoverboththetheoryand the applications of Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo methods. We thank the anonymous reviewers for their reports and many others who contributed enor- mously to the excellent quality of the conference presentations and to the high standardsforpublicationintheseproceedingsbycarefulreviewoftheabstractsand manuscripts that were submitted. We gratefully acknowledge generous financial support of the conference by Inria, the University of Rennes 1, Région Bretagne, and Rennes Métropole. Finally, we want to express our gratitude to Springer-Verlag for publishing this volume. Rennes, France Pierre L’Ecuyer Montreal, Canada Bruno Tuffin September 2019 Contents Invited Talks A Tutorial on Quantile Estimation via Monte Carlo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Hui Dong and Marvin K. Nakayama Multilevel Quasi-Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification for Advection-Diffusion-Reaction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Lukas Herrmann and Christoph Schwab Selecting the Best Simulated System: Thinking Differently About an Old Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 Barry L. Nelson Discrepancy of Digital Sequences: New Results on a Classical QMC Topic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 Friedrich Pillichshammer Regular Talks Network Structure Change Point Detection by Posterior Predictive Discrepancy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Lingbin Bian, Tiangang Cui, Georgy Sofronov, and Jonathan Keith Stochastic Methods for Solving High-Dimensional Partial Differential Equations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 Marie Billaud-Friess, Arthur Macherey, Anthony Nouy and Clémentine Prieur Massively Parallel Construction of Radix Tree Forests for the Efficient Sampling of Discrete or Piecewise Constant Probability Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 Nikolaus Binder and Alexander Keller ix x Contents An Adaptive Algorithm Employing Continuous Linear Functionals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 Yuhan Ding, Fred J. Hickernell, and Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama Constructing QMC Finite Element Methods for Elliptic PDEs with Random Coefficients by a Reduced CBC Construction . . . . . . . . . 183 Adrian Ebert, Peter Kritzer, and Dirk Nuyens Sudoku Latin Square Sampling for Markov Chain Simulation . . . . . . . 207 RamiElHaddad,JosephElMaalouf,ChristianLécot,andPierreL’Ecuyer Avoiding the Sign Problem in Lattice Field Theory. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231 Tobias Hartung, Karl Jansen, Hernan Leövey, and Julia Volmer OnHybridPointSetsStemmingfromHalton-TypeHammersleyPoint Sets and Polynomial Lattice Point Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 Roswitha Hofer Robust Estimation of the Mean with Bounded Relative Standard Deviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271 Mark Huber Infinite Swapping Algorithm for Training Restricted Boltzmann Machines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285 Henrik Hult, Pierre Nyquist, and Carl Ringqvist Sensitivity Ranks by Monte Carlo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309 Ian Iscoe and Alexander Kreinin Lower Bounds on the L Discrepancy of Digital NUT Sequences. . . . . . 329 p Ralph Kritzinger and Friedrich Pillichshammer Randomized QMC Methods for Mixed-Integer Two-Stage Stochastic Programs with Application to Electricity Optimization . . . . . . . . . . . . . 345 H. Leövey and W. Römisch Approximating Gaussian Process Emulators with Linear Inequality Constraints and Noisy Observations via MC and MCMC . . . . . . . . . . . 363 Andrés F. López-Lopera, François Bachoc, Nicolas Durrande, Jérémy Rohmer, Déborah Idier, and Olivier Roustant A Multilevel Monte Carlo Asymptotic-Preserving Particle Method for Kinetic Equations in the Diffusion Limit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383 Emil Løvbak, Giovanni Samaey, and Stefan Vandewalle Randomized Global Sensitivity Analysis and Model Robustness . . . . . . 403 David Mandel and Giray Ökten Rapid Covariance-Based Sampling of Linear SPDE Approximations in the Multilevel Monte Carlo Method. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 423 Andreas Petersson

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