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Money, Interest, and Policy: Dynamic General Equilibrium in a Non-Ricardian World PDF

215 Pages·2007·1.632 MB·English
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Money, Interest, and Policy Money, Interest, and Policy Dynamic General Equilibrium in a Non-Ricardian World Jean-Pascal Be´nassy The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London,England 62007MassachusettsInstituteofTechnology Allrights reserved. Nopart of thisbook maybereproduced inanyform by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or informa- tionstorageandretrieval)withoutpermissioninwritingfromthepublisher. MIT Press books may be purchased at special quantity discounts fro business or sales promotional use. For information, please email [email protected] .edu or write to Special Sales Department, The MIT Press, 55 Hayward Street, Cambridge,MA02142. This book was set in Times New Roman on 3B2 by Asco Typesetters, Hong KongandwasprintedandboundintheUnitedStatesofAmerica. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Be´nassy,Jean-Pascal. Money,interest,andpolicy:dynamicgeneralequilibriuminanon-Ricardian world/Jean-PascalBe´nassy. p. cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN-13:978-0-262-02613-0(alk.paper) 1.Money—Mathematicalmodels. 2.Equilibrium(Economics)—Mathematical models. I.Title. HG220.5.B46 2007 339.503—dc22 2006046859 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Contents Introduction ix Part I Ricardian and Non-Ricardian Economies 1 1 The RicardianIssue and the Pigou Effect 3 1.1 Introduction 3 1.2 The Traditional Ricardian Model 3 1.3 Monetary Puzzles 5 1.4 An Overlapping Generations Model 9 1.5 The Pigou E¤ect 12 1.6 Conclusions 16 1.7 References 16 Appendix A: Government Spending 17 Appendix B: Money intheUtility Function 18 2 Pigou Reconstructed: The WeilModel 23 2.1 Introduction 23 2.2 The Model 24 2.3 The Dynamicsof theEconomy 26 2.4 The Pigou E¤ect 28 2.5 Intertemporal Equilibrium and a Dynamic Equation 30 vi Contents 2.6 AGeneralization: DecreasingResources 31 2.7 The AutarkicInterest Rate 32 2.8 Conclusions 34 2.9 References 34 Appendix A: Money in the Utility Function 35 Appendix B:ExistenceConditions 38 Appendix C:Proofof Proposition 2.2 41 Part II Interest, Prices, and Money 45 3 Liquidity Effects 47 3.1 Introduction 47 3.2 Liquidity E¤ects in a Simple IS-LM Model 47 3.3 The Model and Monetary Policy 49 3.4 DynamicEquilibrium 50 3.5 Liquidity E¤ects 51 3.6 AStronger Liquidity E¤ect 53 3.7 The Persistenceof theLiquidity E¤ect 54 3.8 Conclusions 56 3.9 References 56 Appendix: Proofsof Propositions 3.1 and 3.2 57 4 Interest Rate Rules and Price Determinacy 63 4.1 Introduction 63 4.2 The Model and Policy 64 4.3 The Dynamic Equilibrium 65 4.4 RicardianEconomies and the Taylor Principle 66 4.5 Determinacy under an InterestRate Peg 67 4.6 Taylor Rules 68 4.7 EconomicInterpretations 69 4.8 The TaylorPrinciple with aPhillips Curve 70 4.9 Generalizations 73 4.10 Conclusions 76 4.11 References 76 Appendix: InterestRate Pegging with VariableInterestRates 77 5 Global Determinacy 79 5.1 Introduction 79 5.2 The Model 79 Contents vii 5.3 Ricardian Economies and the TaylorPrinciple 82 5.4 Non-RicardianEconomies: Dynamics and SteadyStates 84 5.5 The Financial Dominance Criterion 86 5.6 Local Determinacy and Financial Dominance 87 5.7 Non-RicardianDynamics: AGraphical Representation 89 5.8 GlobalFinancial Dominance 90 5.9 Partial Financial Dominance 92 5.10 InterestRate Rulesand Global Determinacy: Examples 96 5.11 Conclusions 98 5.12 References 99 Appendix A: GlobalDeterminacy inRicardian Economies 99 Appendix B: Global Determinacy: Equilibria of Type R 100 Appendix C: Transversality Conditions 103 6 Fiscal Policy and Determinacy 107 6.1 Introduction 107 6.2 The Model 108 6.3 The DynamicEquations 109 6.4 Ricardian Economies and Determinacy 109 6.5 Local Determinacy in the Non-Ricardian Case 112 6.6 GlobalDeterminacy 115 6.7 Conclusions 119 6.8 References 119 Part III Optimal Policy 121 7 A Simple Frameworkfor Policy Analysis 123 7.1 Introduction 123 7.2 The Model 123 7.3 GeneralEquilibrium Relations 125 7.4 Optimality 127 7.5 Optimal Policies in Walrasian Equilibrium 129 7.6 Conclusions 130 7.7 References 131 8 Government Information and Policy Activism 133 8.1 Introduction 133 8.2 The Sargent-Wallace Argument 134 8.3 The Model 137 viii Contents 8.4 General Equilibrium Relations 138 8.5 Preset Wages 139 8.6 Preset Prices 146 8.7 Conclusions 149 8.8 References 150 9 Fiscal Policyand Optimal InterestRate Rules 151 9.1 Introduction 151 9.2 The Model 152 9.3 General Equilibrium Relations 153 9.4 Optimal Interest Policy: The Walrasian Case 154 9.5 Preset Wages 155 9.6 Preset Prices 158 9.7 Conclusions 163 9.8 References 163 Appendix: Imperfect Competition and Demand Satisfaction 163 10 Inflation and OptimalInterestRate Rules 169 10.1 Introduction 169 10.2 The Model 170 10.3 Market Equilibrium 171 10.4 Preset Prices 172 10.5 Inflation asa Surrogate for Shocks 175 10.6 Variable Contract Length 178 10.7 Conclusions 182 10.8 References 182 Appendix: Proofsfor Chapter 10 183 Bibliography 189 Index 195 Introduction Monetary Economies and the Ricardian Issue The object of this book is to construct rigorous models that bridge the current gap between a number of monetary intuitions and facts, and re- cent macroeconomic modeling in the area of dynamic general equilib- rium. Currently the most popular models in this area are Ricardian (in a sense that will be made clear just below). Ricardian models have been successful on several points but nevertheless produce disturbing puzzles and paradoxes on a number of important monetary issues. A central theme of this book is that moving to so-called non-Ricardian models allowsone to solve many of these problemsin one shot. Ricardian versus Non-Ricardian DynamicModels One of the most important developments in macroeconomics in recent years has been the replacement of traditional ad hoc macroeconomic modelsbydynamicstochasticgeneralequilibrium(DSGE)macromodels, where all decisions are taken by fully maximizing agents (consumers and firms). Of course there are many possible types of DSGE models as there are many types of general equilibrium models. The most popular DSGE modelisastochasticversionofthefamousRamsey(1928)model.House- holds in the economy are represented as a homogeneous family of

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