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Monetary Policy Instruments for European Monetary Union PDF

159 Pages·1997·3.368 MB·English
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Monetary Poliey Instruments for European Monetary Union Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg GmbH Lukas Menkhoff Monetary Poliey Instruments for European Monetary Union With 8 Figures and 16 rabIes , Springer Prof. Dr. Lukas Menkhoff Aachen University of Technology Department of Economics D-52056 Aachen Germany We kindly thank Deutscher Sparkassenverlag GmbH, Stuttgart for granting permission to publish the English version of Geldpolitische Instrumente der Europäischen Zentralbank. Cataloging-in-Publication Data applied for Die Deutsche Bibliothek - CIP-Einheitsaufnahme Menkhorr, Lukas: Monetary policy instruments for European monetary union: mit 16 Tabellen / Lukas Menkhoff. ISBN 978-3-642-08287-0 ISBN 978-3-662-03412-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-662-03412-5 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illus trations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg GmbH. Viola-tions are liable for prosecution under the German Copyright Law. CI Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1997 Originally published by Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg New Y ork in 1997 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1s t edition 1997 The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publica tion does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. SPIN 10566325 42/2202-5 4 3 2 1 0 - Printed on acid-free paper Foreword This book represents the revised and enlarged results of a research projeet whieh recieved fmaneial support from the "Wissenschaftsförderung der Sparkassenorganisation e.V." and was originally published in German (Menkhoff 1996). As the issue of monetary poliey instruments for EMU is one whieh is inherently international, the publieation of an English edition is a logieal step. I whish to thank the Deutscher Sparkassenverlag, whieh published the German edition, for eneouraging work on this subsequent projeet. The major innovation in the English edition is the inc1usion of several new seetions, i.e. 3.2.4, 3.3.4, 3.3.5, 3.4.3 and 3.5. These new analyses, together with changing institutional eireumstanees and the addition of new literature have also resulted in a large number of minor ehanges through outthetext. The book is a contribution, from a German perspeetive, to the diseussion about monetary poliey instruments of the future European Central Bank. The main instruments are analyzed from the point of view of effieieney; in addition, the need to harmonize often divergent sets of national poliey instruments means that an emphasis on the additional goal of fair eompeti tion is of partieular relevanee. Last but not least, the explieit linking of EMU to the eoneept of subsidiarity has wide-ranging eonsequenees for monetary poliey instruments. I would like to express my gratitude to Axel Bertueh-Samuels, Bernd Braaseh, Heinz Herrmann, Jürgen Jerger, Eberhart Ketzel, Klaus Krumm rieh, Norbert Tolksdorf and Hans-Jürgen Treutler for their helpful adviee and eomments during the course of writing and revising the book. I would also like to thank the partieipants at the 1995 CEPR!Irving Fisher Soeiety Conferenee on "What Monetary Poliey for the European Central Bank?" VI Foreword and the 1996 conference on "European Monetary Union: Transition, Inter national Impacts and Policy Options" of the European Institution for International Economic Relations for their constructive discussions. Finally, my particular thanks go to Robin Bonthrone for his excellent translation (additional material by the author), to Catherine Plitzko for her invaluable lay-out assistance and again to the "Wissenschaftsförderung" for its financial support. Aachen, November 1996 Lukas Menkhoff Contents 1 Introduetion .. ..................................... .............. .......................... 1 1.1 The problems............................................................................... 1 1.2 The background to the goals of the study ........ ........................... 3 1.3 The structure of the study.................. ................ .............. ............ 5 2 The monetary poliey instruments of the European Central Bank ............................................................................................ 7 2.1 Restricting the subject................................. ....... ..... .................... 7 2.2 Monetary policy instruments ...................................................... 8 2.3 The European Central Bank and the status quo .......................... 12 2.4 Historical overview ofmonetary policy instruments .................. 15 2.5 The structure of national role-models ......................................... 21 2.6 Consensus and controversy in Europe ........................................ 34 3 Measuring the instruments against the goals......................... 41 3.1 An "optimum" environment ........................................................ 41 3.2 Monetary efficiency under constraints ........................................ 43 3.2.1 Can a minimum reserve policy be abandoned? .......................... 43 3.2.2 The advantages ofrediscount credits? ........................................ 56 3.2.3 Shielding the real economy ......................................................... 60 3.2.4 Stabilizing function of a steady central bank rate? ..................... 68 3.2.5 Conclusions ................................................................................. 74 3.3 Analysis offair competition ........................................................ 76 3.3.1 Neutral minimum reserve requirement? ..................................... 76 3.3.2 Equitable rediscount quotas? ...................................................... 79 3.3.3 Securities repurchase transactions: an Ordnungspolitik analysis 83 3.3.4 Securities repurchase transactions: participation data analysis.. 86 3.3.5 Securities repurchase transactions: questionnaire analysis ......... 94 VIII Contents 3.3.6 Conclusions ..................... ........................ ........ ........................... 98 3.4 Analysis of decentralization..................... ..... ... .......................... 99 3.4.1 Uniformity and subsidiarity ....................................................... 99 3.4.2 Which financial sector structures are worth preserving? ........... 101 3.4.3 Implications ofidiosyncratic financing structures ..................... 107 3.4.4 Adecentrally organized central bank ........................................ 112 3.4.5 Conclusions ................................................................................ 115 3.5 Policy options for lending facilities and reserve requirements .. 116 4 Discussion of alternative concepts .... ..... ................................. 121 4.1 Outline ........................................................................................ 121 4.2 Lean v. conservative concept ..................................................... 124 4.3 A decentralized concept ............................................................. 125 4.4 Implementation ofthe concepts in Europe ................................ 131 5 Result ofthe study .................................................................... 135 References .............................................................................................. 139 List ofFigures ........................................................................................ 153 List ofTables ......................................................................................... 155 1 Introduction 1.1 The problems Tbe creation of a new European System of Central Banks (ESCB), headed by a European Central Bank (ECB), raises the question of the in struments of monetary policy which will be used by these institutions. With no homogeneity in the array of instruments employed across Europe today, there can certainly be no automatic solution to this problem, as various traditions are now competing head-on in this field. These traditions are of much more than marginal significance, reflect ing the fundamental concepts of how national institutions, and thus Euro pean institutions - including the ECB - should function. In line with its own federal structure, the German position in this competitive arena tends to support decentralized decision-making structures, competition between differing organizational forms and the principle of subsidiarity. Even where other countries fundamentally approve of these principles, imple mentation in concrete terms may weIl lead to divergent views on how this should be achieved, as these will be based alm ost inevitably on the coun tries' own established structures. Although this interest in the future arrangements for the monetary pol icy instruments of the ECB - and the ECB will also be taken as represen tative of all the national central banks (ESCB) in this study - affects all the countries involved to an equal extent, an additional concern is evident for those countries tending towards decentralized organizational struc tures. Contrary to the declared beliefs in institutional diversity, subsidiar ity and decentralized structures, it is likely from the outset that the shift in responsibility for monetary policy from the nation states to the European level will be accompanied by more uniform policy instruments and greater centralization in their employment. 2 1 Introduction On the other hand, however, it should not be assumed automatically that Germany's existing monetary policy instruments would necessarily be the best for the ECB, just because they happen to have demonstrated their usefulness in the past. This study will therefore examine in detail the potential instruments of monetary policy open to the ECB. Emphasis will be placed on fair competition and decentralization, firstly because these aspectsare expected to result in substantial divisions between the coun tries involved, and secondly because they are of particular interest to Ger many, for the reasons outlined above. However, a strict requirement for any discussion is, of course, that the monetary efficiency of the instru ments is ensured. The tasks involved in this study can therefore be summarized as an analysis of the instruments of the ECB to establish - how efficient they are in terms of monetary policy, the extent to which they distort competition between various organ izational forms and in case of doubt, whether they tend to promote rather than discriminate against decentralized organizations and decision-making structures, in line with the principle of subsidiarity. To allow concentration on the core problems, the monetary policy in struments in this study have been restricted from the outset to minimum reserve, open market and refinancing policies, as these represent the most important instruments at national level. In particular, the balance of pay ments issues which do not fall under the remit of the ECB - such as any decision on the exchange rate system - have been essentially ignored, in addition to those with effects similar to domestic instruments, above all open market policy. Wherever possible, the analysis will only focus on key aspects relating to the market participants affected and the more detailed design of spe cific instruments. The spotlight will be on the dominant commercial banks, with non-banks, building societies and so on being disregarded. Another topic which has been limited is the notion of decentralization. In principle, monetary policy can also be viewed as an instrument of re gional policy, for instance when the subsidy components of a low-interest discount policy are selectively channelled into economically disadvan taged regions. However, financial policy considerations in particular mean that this interpretation of the tasks of monetary policy has no appre ciable advocates: ifthe objective ofmonetary policy -monetary stability were to be watered down by competing goals, its primary function could be violated (see LehmentIScheide, 1992). Moreover, a range of other

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