Mission Oriented Effectiveness Evaluation and Optimization of Complex Systems

356 Pages·2021·16.26 MB·English

by  Deping Zhang, Xueffeng Yan

COMPUTER SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND APPLICATIONS

M O E
ISSION RIENTED FFECTIVENESS
E O
VALUATION AND PTIMIZATION
C S
OF OMPLEX YSTEMS

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COMPUTER SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND APPLICATIONS

M O E
ISSION RIENTED FFECTIVENESS
E O
VALUATION AND PTIMIZATION
C S
OF OMPLEX YSTEMS

DEPING ZHANG
AND
XUEFENG YAN
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Zhang, Deping, author. | Yan, Xuefeng, author.
Title: Mission oriented effectiveness evaluation and optimization of
complex systems / Deping Zhang and Xuefeng Yan.
Description: New York : Nova Science Publishers, Inc., [2021] | Series:
Computer science, technology and applications | Includes bibliographical
references and index. |
Identifiers: LCCN 2021015013 (print) | LCCN 2021015014 (ebook) | ISBN
9781536193800 (hardcover) | ISBN 9781536195354 (adobe pdf)
Subjects: LCSH: System analysis. | Systems engineering.
Classification: LCC T57.6 .Z54 2021 (print) | LCC T57.6 (ebook) | DDC
003--dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2021015013
LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2021015014

Published by Nova Science Publishers, Inc. † New York
We would like to dedicate this book to our families. Sincere thanks
to support from our beloved parents, wives and children.

Contents
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xiii
1 OverviewofEffectivenessEvaluation 1
1.1. RelatedResearch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.2. MainProblemsandtheTrends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.3. SignificanceofSoSEffectivenessEvaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
2 BasicConcepts 7
2.1. EffectivenessMeasurement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2.1.1. ConceptofEffectiveness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2.1.2. EffectivenessMeasurementAnalysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
2.2. SystemOperationalCapability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
2.2.1. Definition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
2.2.2. OperationalEffectivenessandOperationalCapability . . . . . . . . 14
2.3. EffectivenessIndex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
2.4. ProcessofSystemEffectivenessEvaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
2.5. SystemEffectivenessEvaluationMethod. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
2.5.1. ClassicalEffectivenessEvaluationMethod . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
2.5.2. NewMethodofSystemEffectivenessEvaluation . . . . . . . . . . 22
3 ConstructionofEvaluationIndexSystem 25
3.1. SelectionPrincipleofEvaluationIndexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
3.2. ConstructionofIndexSystem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
3.3. ConstructionofEvaluationIndexSystem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
3.3.1. ConstructionModelofEvaluationIndexSystem . . . . . . . . . . 29
3.3.2. SelectionofConstructionPattern . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
3.3.3. TheConstructionProcessofHierarchyEvaluationIndexSystem . . 33
3.3.4. IndexSystemandOptimization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.3.5. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
3.4. EvaluationIndexSystemConstruction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
3.4.1. CharacteristicsofSoSEffectivenessofEvaluation . . . . . . . . . 44
3.4.2. IndexSystemFramework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
3.4.3. CorrelationAnalysisofEfficiencyIndexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
viii Contents
3.4.4. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
3.5. ConstructionofMission-OrientedEvaluationIndexSystem . . . . . . . . . 70
3.5.1. ConstructionofOperationalMissionProfile . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
3.5.2. MissionEffectivenessEvaluationIndexSystemBased onProcess-
FocusedThinkingMethod . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
3.5.3. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
3.6. SelectionofEffectivenessEvaluationIndex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
3.6.1. IndexesSelectionBasedonMultipleCorrelationAnalysis . . . . . 80
3.6.2. DynamicIndexSelectionBasedonSensitivityAnalysis . . . . . . 83
3.6.3. IndexSelectionBasedonKernelPrincipalComponentAnalysis . . 84
4 MathematicalModelingofEffectivenessIndex 89
4.1. BasicIndexMeasurement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89
4.1.1. IndexDimensionlessBasedonUtilityFunction . . . . . . . . . . . 89
4.1.2. IndexDimensionlessBasedonMembership . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
4.2. MathematicalModelingofSystemEffectivenessIndex . . . . . . . . . . . 94
4.2.1. SystemCapabilityIndexModeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94
4.2.2. SystemEffectivenessIndexModeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
4.3. MathematicalModelingofSoSEffectivenessIndex . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
4.3.1. ModelingofNetworkedEvaluationIndex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
4.3.2. ModelingofEmergenceEvaluationIndex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111
5 ClassicalMethodofEffectivenessEvaluation 119
5.1. EffectivenessEvaluationBasedonAHP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
5.1.1. BasicPrinciplesofAHP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
5.1.2. EffectivenessEvaluationBasedonAHP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125
5.1.3. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127
5.2. TheComprehensiveEffectivenessEvaluationBasedonANP . . . . . . . . 132
5.2.1. TheBasicPrincipleofANP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132
5.2.2. EffectivenessEvaluationBasedonANP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138
5.2.3. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145
5.3. ComprehensiveEffectivenessEvaluationBasedonFactorAnalysis . . . . . 150
5.3.1. BasicPrinciplesofFactorAnalysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150
5.3.2. EfficiencyEvaluationBasedonFactorAnalysis . . . . . . . . . . . 157
5.3.3. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157
5.4. ComprehensiveEffectivenessEvaluationBasedonADC . . . . . . . . . . 160
5.4.1. BasicPrinciplesofADC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160
5.4.2. TheEffectivenessEvaluationBasedonADC . . . . . . . . . . . . 163
5.4.3. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165
5.5. ComprehensiveEffectivenessEvaluationBasedonCloudModel . . . . . . 171
5.5.1. BasicTheoryofCloudModel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172
5.5.2. EffectivenessEvaluationBasedonCloudModel . . . . . . . . . . 180
5.5.3. CaseStudy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184
5.6. IntelligentEffectivenessEvaluationBasedonMachineLearning . . . . . . 188
5.6.1. ClassicalMachineLearningAlgorithms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189