in Hin~rill ProC:~55ind D~V~lopine (ounfri~5 A DISCUSSION OF ECONOMIC, TECHNICAL AND STRUCTURAL F AC TORS A United Nations Study prepared by the Department of Technical Co-operation for Development United Nations Secretariat A Speciallssue of Natural Resources Forum ~ Published in co-operation with the United Nations by Graham &T rotman Published in 1984 by Graham & Trotman Ud. Sterling House 66 Wilton Road London SW1 V 1DE in co-operation with the United Nations © United Nations, 1984 ISBN 918-0-86010-500-8 ISBN 918-94-011-8106-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1001/918-94-011-8106-8 Acknowledgement Ivor Herbert, Lorraine Ruffing and Stephen Zorn assisted in the preparation ofthis study. This publication is protected by International Copyright Law. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form, or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission ofthe copyright holder. The views and opinions expressed in these papers are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the United Nations. Contents INTRODUCTION 1 1 MINERAL PROCESSING IN DEVELOPING 2.1.5 Semi-fabrication COUNTRIES - ADVANTAGES AND 2.1.6 Demand for aluminium DISADVANTAGES Internal demand in developing countries World demand 1.1 The Present Situation 3 2.2 Processing Technology 19 1.2 Benefits to be Gained from Local 2.2.1 Alumina production Processing 3 Alkaline processes 1.2.1 Resource based industrialization Pedersen process 1.2.2 Reducing dependence Acid leaching 1.2.3 Development of national capacity Combined acid and salt 1.2.4 Transfer-price manipulation leaching processes 1.2.5 Economic rents 2.2.2 Aluminium production 1.2.6 Access to capital Carbothermal reduction 1.3 Barriers to Local Processing of Use of other reductants Minerals 6 Purification processes 1.3.1 Tariffs and other trade limitations Other electrolytic processes 1.3.2 Non-economic factors 2.3 The Cost of Processing 21 1.3.3 Marketing problems 2.3.1 Alumina production 1.3.4 Effects of technology Capital costs 1.3.5 Economies of scale Operating costs 1.4 Economic Analysis ofProcessing Revenue Projects 9 2.3.2 Aluminium production 1.4.1 Capital costs Capital costs 1.4.2 Transport costs Operating costs 1.4.3 Environmental costs Revenue 1.4.4 Energy costs 2.4 Energy Use 23 1.4.5 Complementary inputs 1.4.6 Labour costs 2.5 Av ailability of Aluminium Technology 26 1.4.7 Infrastructure 1.4.8 Externalities 1.4.9 New vs. expansion projects 1.4.10 Conc1uding remark 3 COPPER 2 BAUXITE, ALUMINA AND ALUMINIUM 3.1 The Present Situation 27 2.1 The Present Situation 15 3.1.1 Copper reserves 2.1.1 Bauxite reserves 3.1.2 Copper ore and concentrate production 2.1.2 Bauxite production 3.1.3 Smelting and refining of copper 2.1.3 Alumina production 3.1.4 Semi-fabrication 2.1.4 Aluminium production 3.1.5 Demand for copper 3.2 Copper Processing Technology 30 4.2 Iron and Steel Technology 41 3.2.1 PyrometaUurgy 4.2.1 Direct reduction steel-making Reverberatory furnace smelting 4.2.2 Conventional steel production Electric furnace smelting 4.3 Steel Processing Costs 42 Flash furnaces 4.3.1 Capital costs Continuous smelting 4.3.2 Operating costs 3.2.2 Hydrometallurgy 4.3.3 Revenue CLEAR process 4.3.4 Economic factors Sherritt-Cominco process Anaconda Arbiter process 4.4 Energy Use in Iron and Steel 43 Cyprus copper process 3.2.3 Comparison of different processes 5 ECONOMIC FACTORS AFFECTING THE LOCATION OF PROCESSING IN 3.3 Economics of Copper Processing 33 DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 3.3.1 Capital costs 3.3.2 Operating costs 5.1 Capital Requirements 47 3.3.3 Concentrate sales vs. building a 5.2 Sources of Finance 48 smelter 5.3 Labour Requirements, Labour 3.4 Copper Rod Production 34 Intensity, Labour Share in Total Costs SO 3.i Energy Use in Copper Processing 35 5.4 Raw Materials Requirements 51 4 IRON AND STEEL 5.5 Transport Costs 51 4.1 The Present Situation 37 5.6 By-products 53 4.1.1 Iron ore reserves 5.7 Energy Requirements and Av ailability 54 4.1.2 Iron ore production 4.1.3 Agglomeration NOTES 57 4.1.4 Pig iron and steel production 4.1.5 Demand for steel Internal demand in developing countries World demand Introduction This study ex amines the faetors which affeet the Conferenee on Industrialization, made the loeation of mineral proeessing in developing following points: eountries. These ean be divided into two broad "National industrialization policies should eategories. The first of these eneompasses stress the objeetive of inereasing the extern al eeonomic and teehnieal elements affeeting the autonomy of the developing regions and countries, basic vi ability of a projeet.1 These include eapital, with special attention to the promotion of skilled labour, raw materials, eomplementary exports . .. (and) also seek to inerease the value inputs, energy, eeonomies of seale, teehnological added to raw materials being proeessed and ehange, growth in demand, proximity to export exported. markets and transport eosts. The seeond eonsists In the light of the foregoing, it is proposed that of struetural elements including sourees of finanee national industrialization policies should: (a) prp and teehnology, trade and investment and mote integrated industrialization based on the taxation policies. potential of eaeh eountry; (b) stimulate by various The desirability of inereasing the extent of me ans the intensive use of natural resourees, both proeessing of natural resourees in the developing through the promotion of employment policies eountries has been emphasized in many inter and through the formulation of sehemes which national declarations. For example, the United favour the processing of available raw materials.,,3 Nations General Assembly, the United Nations Conferenee on Trade and Development Among the reasons stated by the developing (UNCTAD), the United Nations Industrial De eountries for see king to inerease proeessing of velopment Organization (UNIDO), the Organiza raw materials are: (a) national strategies for in tion for Eeonomic Co-operation and Development dustrialization based on the use of loeal raw (OECD) and the Commission of the European materials; (b) the need to lessen dependenee on Eeonomic Communities (EEC) have all sup the industrial eountries; (e) the development of ported measures to promote loeal proeessing of skills that ean also be used in other seetors of the raw materials in developing eountries.2 A state economy; (d) the ability to enjoy more of the ment on this issue, by the 1974 Latin Ameriean eeonomic rents resulting from raw material pro- TABLE 1 Mineral Processing Chains Stage Mineral 1. Mining-Beneficiation 2. Smelting 3. Refining 4. Semi-Fabrication Bauxite Bauxite ore-dried Alumina", Aluminium" (billets, ingots) Rods, tubes, bauxite sections Copper Ore-concentrate Blister Refined copper Rods, tubes, ore (cathodes, section billets, ingots, bars) Iron Ore-pellets Pigiron Crude steel Billets, blooms ore sinter (ingots) slabs a Bauxite is refined to alumina which in turn is smelted to aluminium. 1 2 INTRODUCfION duction; and (e) the opportunity to obtain invest pyrometallurgy and hydrometallurgy of copper , ment capital which might not otherwise be and the use of the blast furnace combined with available. the basic oxygen furnace (B.O.F.) or direct re The term 'mineral processing' embraces all duction combined with electric arc furnace for those activities between the production of ore steel are rather weIl known. However, in all from amine and the manufacture of a product for projects process modifications must be made to final consumption.4 However, it is impractical for match the quality of local inputs and requirements. most developing countries to consider processing The issues associated with mineral processing of minerals beyond the stage of refined metal in developing countries have been the subject of a ingot or basic ferro-aIloy, unless a domestic number of other reports.7 This study pays particu market of sufficient size exists for economic pro lar attention to energy requirements, the availa duction of semi-fabricated products.5 Accordingly, bility and cost of technology and capital costs. this study concentrates on the production of Energy is a growing concern of industrializing refined copper , aluminium ingot, crude steel, and nations, since mining and mineral processing are selected intermediate products. The basic proces energy-intensive.8 An important question , there sing chains involved are shown in Table 1.6 fore, is the impact that energy requirements and It is widely believed that mining and mineral availability might have on the location of process processing methods such as the Bayer process for ing facilities in developing countries. alumina, the Hall-Heroult process for aluminium, 1 Mineral Processing in Developing Countries Advantages and Disadvantages 1.1 THE PRESENT SITUATION industries. Many petroleum-producing countries have adopted industrialization plans based on The most recent worldwide survey of mineral export-oriented refining and the use of natural processing9 by the United Nations Industrial gas as a feedstock for petrochemical productS.14 Development Organization showed that, as of One of the major arguments for increased 1977, the developing countries as a whole ac processing of natural resources, even where a counted for an average of some 20-30% of strategy of production for domestic industry is not mineral processing capacity (Table 2). immediately feasible, concerns the supposed link age or 'ripple' effects. These are often said to be 1.2 BENEFITS TO BE GAINED FROM of two general kinds: LOCAL PROCESSING (a) availability of the product, for local use as weil as for export, and the stimulation of linked 1.2.1 RESOURCE-BASED INDUSTRIALIZATION activities, where local processing of a product Increased local processing of natural resources, makes possible primary production of another and especially of minerals, has become an element product (where, for example, the processing of in developing countries' proposals for a New phosphate rock generates a demand for sulphuric International Economic Order. In view of the acid); 10 limited success in the developing countries of (b) indirect effects outside the primary-product import-substitution strategies and of the limited sector itself in the use of infrastructure, supply of number of countries which have been able to equipment, and fiscal impacts. 15 pursue export-oriented strategies based on manu Processing projects may not all be ac facturing or assembly operations, resource-based companied by the desired linkage effects. It may industrialization strategies have been given in be the case, for example, that a small economy creasing attention by developing countries. Two cannot support a manufacturing industry based variations of these strategies have been tried. One on local raw materials simply because the market assumes that more processing and hence more involved is too smalI. added value from primary product exports will speed development.11 The other concentrates on 1.2.2 REDUCING DEPENDENCE the use of agricultural and natural-resource Further processing of natural resources is often products not primarily for export, but for domestic seen as a me ans of reducing a country's depen consumption. This strategy has been attempted in dence on other countries. 1 Several aspects of the People's Republic of China and in the dependence have been identified: Democratic Republic of Korea. In non-centrally (a) trade dependence, in which developing planned countries, the approach has sometimes countries' ability to import desired consumer and been advocated, but never wholly put into prac capital goods depends on the export of primary tice.12 Some countries have been pursuing both products; strategiesY For example, Chile and Venezuela (b) financial dependence, in which the produc have undertaken more processing of copper and tion of raw materials and the construction of iron ore, both for export and for use in domestic infrastructure associated with that exploitation 3 4 MINERAL PROCESSING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES TABLE2 Developing countries' share in mineral processing capacity (1977) Developing countries' share (per cent)" Mine Intermediate Metal production processingb productionC Bauxite-aluminium 62 26 13 Copper 53 39 27 Iron-steel 40 9 Lead 34 24 Nickeid 42 27 Tin 88 72 Zinc 29 15 Source: UNIDO, 1980. Mineral Processing in Developing Countries. United Nations, New York. "Excludes the USSR, Eastern Europe, and the centrally-planned economies of Asia. b Intermediate stages are alumina and blister copper . For other metals, either no distinct intermediate stage exists (lead, tin and zinc), the inter mediate stage is almost universally associated with final-stage processing (iron and steel), or the intermediate stage is difficult to define with precision because of the variety of processes used (nickel). Products are aluminium ingot, refined copper, crude steel, refined lead, C refined nickel and ferro-nickel, tin metal, and slab zinc. dMine production includes some products (e.g. nickel matte from Botswana) which are partially processed but would not be marketable without further processing. Metal production reflects nickel content of final products. have been financed by capital from external management as is gene rally the case in mineral sources; processiog. Forward linkages (i.e. ioto semi (c) technological dependence, in which capital fabricated products or even to the metal stage) goods embodying foreign technologies are mayaiso risk technological obsolescence, since imported; competing producers may develop more efficient (d) managerial dependence; technologies. The development of continuous (e) market dependence.17 casting in the copper industry illustrates this type The impact of strategies that emphasize pro of risk.18 The same kind of risk exists in the cessing of raw materials is not clear-cut. For extraction of minerals, but may be less acute example, additional processing may weH improve because extraction technology is changing less a country's balance of payments by adding value rapidly than processing technology. to exports, but at the same time will tend to The impact of further processing on market increase dependence on export earnings to finance dependence varies according to the commodity the capital goods and other imports required for involved and the extent of processing. In some processing. Similarly, because efficient resource cases (e.g. production of refined copper or alu processing activities are more often large-scale minium ingot) processing will widen the market and capital-intensive, their immediate impact ing options of producer countries, since there are may be to deepen the financial dependence of many more metal fabricating companies than capital-importing countries. Along the same lines, there are sm elters and refiners. Integration into technological and managerial dependence are forward processing can also be the means to pro likely to be increased where a country must mote loyalty among consumers by meeting special import processing technology, equipment and needs. However, there are long periods when the ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES 5 sale of refined met als is highly competitive at low scope for plant to operate using older technology prices with surpluses ending up in terminal in order to generate more employment per unit of markets. At the same time, the raw material output. 19 This conclusion is reinforced by re cent buyers (smelters and refineries) may be paying increases in energy costs, as older processing high premiums to keep their capital-intensive technologies are considerably more energy plants operating at reasonable levels to minimize intensive than new processes. losses. Relatively high productivity, combined with the low share of wages in total costs, have made 1.2.3 DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONAL CAPA CITY mining and mineral processing companies willing, Mining and mineral processing produee relatively in the re cent past, to agree to workers' demands little direct employment, in relation to the capital for high wages. The creation of such high-wage deployed. enclaves in a sm all developing economy may lead A UNIDO study estimated the amount of to rural-urban migration, as workers leave their capital investment adjusted to a 1980 basis re jobs to seek work in the high-wage sector , even if quired toerea·te one job in mineral processing as they also TUn the risk of a considerable period of between US$200 000 to more than $1.5 million unemployment. 20 (Table 3). 1.2.4 TRANSFER-PRICE MANIPULATION Even if it is wished to increase employment in mineral processing industries, there is little scope Where both mining and mineral processing oper for substituting labour for capital. Most techno ations are under the same corporate ownership, logical change in processing has been aimed at processing facilities in the developing country increasing the efficiency of raw material use. may reduce the company's opportunities to opti Given the high share of raw material costs and the mize profits and tax payments through transfer relatively low share of labour eosts in the value of priee manipulation. In the bauxite-aluminium finished metal products, espeeially in developing industry, for example, the six largest trans countries where wage rates are lower than in the national eorporations account for 66% of world industrialized nations, there is little ineentive to wide alumina refining eapacity and 54% of foeus on labour-eapital substitution. The avail aluminium smelting eapacity.21 The price paid to able evidenee suggests that, sinee most innovations bauxite mines by refineries has often been estab in aluminium and copper proeessing have signifi lished by the corporation in order to minimize its cantly increased resource recovery rates as weIl as worldwide tax li ability . Similarly, in the ease of an inereased capital-Iabour ratio, there is little copper , a significant amount of trade in unpro- TABLE3 Employment in mineral proeessing Output per Capital cost man-year per job Process (tons) (1980 US dollars)d Alumina refining 800 667000 Aluminium smelting 90 312000 Copper smelting-refining 140 450000 Steelmaking 200 210 000 Lead smelting-refining 225 202000 Nickel processing (sulphides) 150 1 540000 Tin smelting 20 205000 Zine smelting 200 410 000 Source: UNIDO, 1980, Mineral Processing in Developing Countries, p. 76. a Costs ad justed to a 1980 basis by using Marshall and Swift index of mining and milling costs, as published in Chemical Engineering. 6 MINERAL PROCESSING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES cessed and partially-processed material has been tion in demand results from changes in the conducted between units of large transnational demand for mineral-containing finished consumer corporations, although the industry has become goods and capital equipment, and producers, markedly less concentrated in the past decade. whether of raw materials, primary metals, or finished goods, must react to these changes in 1.2.5 ECONOMIC RENTS demand either by continuing to produce at full A producer of refined metal has a wider range of capacity and accepting a dedine in prices, by potential customers than does a producer of un cutting back production, or through strategies processed or semi-processed material. Most containing elements of both. There is no evidence markets where unprocessed minerals are bought to show that these business-cyde induced fluctua are highly concentrated. Non-ferrous metal tions are less severe in the case of primary met als smelters and steelworks, as indicated below, have than in the case of ores and concentrates. important economies of scale. Often their large 1.2.6 ACCESS TO CAPITAL size dictates the purchase of supplies from several different mines. The limited number of such A final reason for a developing country to pursue processing facilities can reasonably be expected to 'downstream' processing of minerals may be that work to the advantage of the processor as pur foreign capital is easier to obtain for such a chaser. In contrast, refined met als and minerals project than other kinds of investment funds. are bought by a wide variety of industries. Certain industrialized nations wh ich are heavily In the case of copper , there are about 20 dependent on mineral imports are prepared to independent copper smelters wh ich are prepared provide public funds for programmes which help to buy concentrate from independent mines. to assure long-term supplies. For example, the Copper concentrate purchase contracts are governments of France, the Federal Republic of usually based on the London Metal Exchange Germany and Japan have all subsidized their price for refined copper , but payments are arrived mining and mineral processing companies' at only after complicated deductions for smelting foreign investment ventures so long as such and refining charges, and impurities. In contrast, projects induded a mechanism for export back to the producers of refined copper in international the capital-supplying country. 24 Foreign investors trade have a great number of potential customers. in such ventures may be willing, as a condition for Trade in refined metal is normallyon the basis of obtaining access to the raw materials, to accept a contract which specifies quantities, chemical host government insistence on the establishment specifications, delivery and payment terms, of local processing facilities, especially where usually on the basis of London or New York there are substantial home-government sub si dies Metal Exchange prices. If a supplier of refined and tax concessions involved. However, the bar copper is unable to find a customer, he can always gaining advantage which developing countries dispose of his product directly on the exchange, have as a result of importing nations' desire to an option not open to producers of concentrate. assure their own supplies may be considerably The above argument does not necessarily less throughout the 1980s than in the mid-1970s at imply that refined metal prices would increase as the height of international concern over raw a result of additional processing facilities in the material supplies.25 developing countries, but that such development could in principle obtain for the mineral 1.3 BARRIERS TO LOCAL PROCESSING producing countries some of the gains otherwise OFMINERALS accruing to processors in the consuming countries, though such gains may not be very large.22 Neither A good deal of the discussion of mineral process may processing through to final metal stage stabil ing in developing count ries has focused on ize the export earnings of mineral producers, 'barriers' or obst ades to the development of since the major cause of price instability in processing facilities. 26 These barriers can be seen minerals markets is variation in demand, in re as policies wh ich have resulted in a lesser degree sponse to business cyde fluctuations.23 This varia- of processing in Third World count ries than