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Springer U ndergraduate Mathematics Series Springer-Verlag London Ltd. Advisory Board Professor P.J. Cameron Queen Mary and Westfieid College Dr M.A.]. Chaplain University ofDundee Dr K. Erdmann Oxford University Professor L.c.G. Rogers University ofBath Dr E. Süli Oxford University Professor J.F. Toland University ofBath Other books in this series Basic Linear Algebra T.S. Blyth and B.P. Robertson (3-540-76122-5) Elements ofLogic via Numbers and Sets D.L.Iohnson (3-540-76123-3) Multivariate Calculus and Geometry S. Dineen (3-540-76176-4) Elementary Number Theory G.A. Iones and I.M. Iones (3-540-76197-7) Introductory Mathematics: Applications and Methods G.S. Marshall (3-540-76179-9) Vector Calculus P.C. Matthews (3-540-76180-2) Introductory Mathematics: Algebra and Analysis G. Smith (3-540-76178-0) Groups, Rings and Fields D.A.R. Wallace (3-540-76177-2) Marek Capinski and Ekkehard Kopp Measure, Integral and Probability With 23 Figures , Springer Marek Capinski, Dr hab, PhD Nowy Sacz Graduate School ofBusiness, 33-300 Nowy Sacz, ul.Zielona 27, Poland Peter Ekkehard Kopp, DPhil Department of Mathematics, U niversity of H ull, Cottingham Road, H ull HU 6 7RX, UK Cover illustration elements reproduced by kind permission of. Aptech Systems, Inc., Publi.hers ofthe GAUSS Mathem.tical and Statistical System, 23804 S.E. Kent-Kangley Road, Maple Valley, WA 98038, USA. Tel: (206) 432 -7855 Fax (206) 432 -7832 email: [email protected] URL: www.aptech.com American Stati.tical Association: Chance Vol B No I, 1995 article by KS and KW Heiner 'Tree Rings of the Northem Shawangunks' page 32 fig 2 Springer-Verlag: Mathematica in Education and Research Vol4 Issue 3 1995 artide by Roman E Maeder, Beatrice Amrhein and Oliver Gloor 'Illustrated Mathematies: Visualization ofMathematica! Objecu' page 9 fig 11, originally published as a CD ROM 'Illustrated Mathematics' by TELOS:ISBN 978-3-540-76260-7, german edition byBirkhauser: ISBN 978-3-540-76260-7. Mathematica in Education and Research Vo14 Issue 3 1995 article by Richard JG aylord and Kazume Nishidate 'Traffk Engineering with Cdlular Automata' page 35 fig 2. Mathematica in Education and Research Vol5lssue 2 1996 artide by Michael Trott -rhe lmplicitization of a Trefoil Knot' page 14. Mathematica in Education and Research VolS Issue 21996 artide by Lee de Cola 'Cains, Ieees, Bars and Bells: Simulation of the Binomial Proc eS5 page 19 fig 3. Mathematica in Education and Research Vol5 Issue 2 1996 artic1e by Richard Gaylord and Kazurne Nishidate 'Contagious Spreading' page 33 fig 1. Mathematica in Education and Research Vol 5 Issue 2 1996 artide by loe Buhler and Stan Wagon 'Secrets of the Made1ung Constant' page SO fig I. ISBN 978-3-540-76260-7 British Library Cataloguing in Publieation Data CapiiIski, Marek Measure, integral and prob ability. - (Springer undergraduate mathematics series) 1. Lebesque integral 2. Measure theory 3. Probabilities I. Title 11. Kopp, Ekkehard 515.4'3 ISBN 978-3-540-76260-7 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data CapiiIski, Marek, 1951- Measure, integral, and prob ability I Marek CapiiIski and Ekkehard Kopp. p. cm. -- (Springer undergraduate mathematies series) Includes index. ISBN 978-3-540-76260-7 ISBN 978-1-4471-3631-6 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4471-3631-6 1. Measure theory. 2. Integrals, Generalized. 3. Probabilities. I. Kopp, P.E., 1944- . 11. Tide. IIl. Series. QA312.C36 1999 98-34763 515'.42--dc21 CIP Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographie reproduction in accordance with the terms of licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside those terms should be sent to the publishers. © Springer-Verlag London 1999 Originally published by Springer-Verlag London Limited in 1999 The use of registered names, trademarks etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher makes no representation, express or implied, with regard to the accuracy of the information contained in this book and cannot accept any legal responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions that may be made. Typesetting: Camera ready by authors and Michael Mackey 12/3830-543210 Printed on acid-free paper Preface The central concepts in this book are Lebesgue measure and the Lebesgue integral. Their role as standard fare in UK undergraduate mathematics courses is not wholly secure; yet they provide the principal model for the development of the abstract measure spaces which underpin modern probability theory, while the Lebesgue function spaces remain the main sour ce of examples on which to test the methods of functional analysis and its many applications, such as Fourier analysis and the theory of partial differential equations. It follows that not only budding analysts have need of a clear understanding of the construction and properties of measures and integrals, but also that those who wish to contribute seriously to the applications of analytical methods in a wide variety of areas of mathematics, physics, electronics, engineering and, most recently, finance, need to study the underlying theory with some care. We have found remarkably few texts in the current literature which aim explicitly to provide for these needs, at a level accessible to current under graduates. There are many good books on modern prob ability theory, and increasingly they recognize the need for a strong grounding in the tools we develop in this book, but all too often the treatment is either too advanced for an undergraduate audience or else somewhat perfunctory. We hope therefore that the current text will not be regarded as one which fills a much-needed gap in the literat ure! One fundamental decision in developing a treatment of integration is whether to begin with measures or integrals, i.e. whether to start with sets or with functions. Functional analysts have tended to favour the latter approach, while the former is clearly necessary for the development of prob ability. We have decided to side with the probabilists in this argument, and to use the (reasonably) systematic development of basic concepts and results in proba bility theory as the principal field of application - the order of topics and the v VI Preface terminology we use reflect this choice, and each chapter concludes with further development of the relevant probabilistic concepts. At times this approach may seem less 'efficient' than the alternative, but we have opted for direct proofs and explicit constructions, sometimes at the cost of elegance. We hope that it will increase understanding. The treatment of measure and integration is as self-contained as we could make it within the space and time constraints: some sections may seem too pedestrian for final-year undergraduates, but experience in testing much of the material over a number of years at Rull University teaches us that familiar ity and confidence with basic concepts in analysis can frequently seem some what shaky among these audiences. Rence the preliminaries include a review of Riemann integration, as well as areminder of some fundamental concepts of elementary real analysis. While prob ability theory is chosen here as the principal area of application of measure and integral, this is not a text on elementary prob ability, of which many can be found in the literat ure. Though this is not an advanced text, it is intended to be studied (not skimmed lightly) and it has been designed to be useful for directed self-study as well as for a lecture course. Thus a significant proportion of results, labelled 'Proposition', are not proved immediately, but left for the reader to attempt before proceeding further (often with a hint on how to begin), and there is a generous helping of Exercises. To aid self-study, proofs of the Propositions are given at the end of each chapter, and outline solutions of the Exercises are given at the end of the book. Thus few mysteries should remain for the diligent. After an introductory chapter, motivating and preparing for the principal definitions of measure and integral, Chapter 2 provides a detailed construction of Lebesgue measure and its properties, and proceeds to abstract the axioms ap propriate for prob ability spaces. This sets a pattern for the remaining chapters, where the concept of independence is pursued in ever more general contexts, as a distinguishing feature of prob ability theory. Chapter 3 develops the integral for non-negative measurable functions, and introduces random variables and their induced probability distributions, while Chapter 4 develops the main limit theorems for the Lebesgue integral and com pares this with Riemann integration. The applications in prob ability lead to a discussion of expectations, with a focus on densities and the role of character istic functions. In Chapter 5 the motivation is more functional-analytic: the focus is on the Lebesgue function spaces, including a discussion of the special role of the space L2 of square-integrable functions. Chapter 6 sees areturn to measure theory, with the detailed development of product measure and Fubini's theorem, now leading to the role of joint distributions and conditioning in probability. Finally, Preface VII following a discussion of the principal modes of convergence for sequences of integrable functions, Chapter 7 adopts an unashamedly probabilistic bias, with a treatment of the principallimit theorems, culminating in the Lindeberg-Feller version of the Central Limit Theorem. The treatment is by no means exhaustive, as this is a textbook, not a treatise. Nonetheless the range of topics is probably slightly too extensive for a one-semester course at third-year level: the first five chapters might provide a useful course for such students, with the last two left for self-study or as part of a reading course for students wishing to continue in prob ability theory. Alternatively, students with astronger preparation in analysis might use the first two chapters as background material and complete the remainder of the book in a one-semester course. May 1998 Marek Capinski Ekkehard Kopp Contents 1. Motivation and preliminaries ............................... 1 1.1 Notation and basic set theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1.1.1 Sets and functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1.1.2 Countable and uncountable sets in IR ................. 4 1.1.3 Topological properties of sets in IR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1.2 The Riemann integral: scope and limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 7 1.3 Choosing numbers at random . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 12 2. Measure.................................................... 15 2.1 Null sets ................................................ 15 2.2 Outer measure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 20 2.3 Lebesgue measurable sets and Lebesgue measure ............. 27 2.4 Basic properties of Lebesgue measure .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 35 2.5 Borel sets ............................................... 40 2.6 Probability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 45 2.6.1 Probability space . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 46 2.6.2 Events: conditioning and independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 46 2.7 Proofs of propositions ..................................... 49 3. Measurable functions ....................................... 53 3.1 The extended realline .................................... 53 3.2 Definition............................................... 53 3.3 Examples................................................ 57 3.4 Properties............................................... 58 3.5 Probability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 64 3.5.1 Random variables .................................. 64 ix x Contents 3.5.2 Sigma fields generated by random variables ............ 65 3.5.3 Probability distributions ............................ 66 3.5.4 Independence of random variables .................... 68 3.6 Proofs of propositions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 69 4. Integral..................................................... 71 4.1 Definition of the integral .................................. 71 4.2 Monotone Convergence Theorems .......................... 78 4.3 Integrable functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 82 4.4 The Dominated Convergence Theorem ...................... 87 4.5 Relation to the Riemann integral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 92 4.6 Approximation of measurable functions ..................... 97 4.7 Probability .............................................. 100 4.7.1 Integration with respect to probability distributions .... 100 4.7.2 Absolutely continuous measures: examples of densities .. 102 4.7.3 Expectation of a random variable ..................... 109 4.7.4 Characteristic function .............................. 110 4.8 Proofs of propositions ..................................... 111 5. Spaces of integrable functions ............................... 115 5.1 The space LI ............................................ 116 5.2 The Hilbert space L2 ..................................... 121 5.2.1 Properties of the L2-norm ........................... 122 5.2.2 Inner product spaces ................................ 124 5.2.3 Orthogonality ...................................... 127 5.3 The LP spaces: completeness ............................... 128 5.4 Probability .............................................. 134 5.4.1 Moments .......................................... 134 5.4.2 Independence ...................................... 138 5.5 Proofs of propositions ..................................... 141 6. Product measures .......................................... 145 6.1 Multi-dimensional Lebesgue measure ........................ 145 6.2 Product a-fields .......................................... 146 6.3 Construction of the product measure ........................ 148 6.4 Fubini's Theorem ......................................... 155 6.5 Probability .............................................. 159 6.5.1 Joint distributions .................................. 159 6.5.2 Independence again ................................. 161 6.5.3 Conditional probability ............................. 163 6.5.4 Characteristic functions determine distributions ........ 165 6.6 Proofs of propositions ..................................... 168 Contents XI 7. Limit theorems ............................................. 171 7.1 Modes of convergence ..................................... 171 7.2 Probability .............................................. 173 7.2.1 Convergence in prob ability .......................... 175 7.2.2 Weak law of large numbers .......................... 179 7.2.3 Borel-Cantelli lemmas .............................. 184 7.2.4 Strong law of large numbers ......................... 188 7.2.5 Weak convergence .................................. 196 7.2.6 Central Limit Theorem ............................. 201 7.3 Proofs of propositions ..................................... 208 8. Solutions to exercises ....................................... 209 9. Appendix ................................................... 219 References ...................................................... 223 Index ........................................................... 225

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