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386 Pages·2004·3.244 MB·English
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TThhiiss ppaaggee iinntteennttiioonnaallllyy lleefftt bbllaannkk This page intentionally left blank MATHEMATICAL MODELS IN BIOLOGY AN INTRODUCTION ToJ.,R.,andK., mayrealityliveuptothemodel MATHEMATICAL MODELS IN BIOLOGY AN INTRODUCTION ELIZABETH S. ALLMAN DepartmentofMathematicsandStatistics, UniversityofSouthernMaine JOHN A. RHODES DepartmentofMathematics, BatesCollege    Cambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, São Paulo Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge  , United Kingdom Published in the United States of America by Cambridge University Press, New York www.cambridge.org Information on this title: www.cambrid ge.org/9780521819800 © Elizabeth S. Allman and John A. Rhodes 2004 This book is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provision of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published in print format 2003 - ---- eBook (EBL) - --- eBook (EBL) - ---- hardback - --- hardback - ---- paperback - --- paperback Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of s for external or third-party internet websites referred to in this book, and does not guarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate. Contents Preface pagevii NoteonMATLAB xi 1. DynamicModelingwithDifferenceEquations 1 1.1. TheMalthusianModel 2 1.2. NonlinearModels 11 1.3. AnalyzingNonlinearModels 20 1.4. VariationsontheLogisticModel 33 1.5. CommentsonDiscreteandContinuousModels 39 2. LinearModelsofStructuredPopulations 41 2.1. LinearModelsandMatrixAlgebra 41 2.2. ProjectionMatricesforStructuredModels 53 2.3. EigenvectorsandEigenvalues 65 2.4. ComputingEigenvectorsandEigenvalues 78 3. NonlinearModelsofInteractions 85 3.1. ASimplePredator–PreyModel 86 3.2. EquilibriaofMultipopulationModels 94 3.3. LinearizationandStability 99 3.4. PositiveandNegativeInteractions 105 4. ModelingMolecularEvolution 113 4.1. BackgroundonDNA 114 4.2. AnIntroductiontoProbability 116 4.3. ConditionalProbabilities 130 4.4. MatrixModelsofBaseSubstitution 138 4.5. PhylogeneticDistances 155 5. ConstructingPhylogeneticTrees 171 5.1. PhylogeneticTrees 172 5.2. TreeConstruction:DistanceMethods–Basics 180 5.3. TreeConstruction:DistanceMethods–Neighbor Joining 191 v vi Contents 5.4. TreeConstruction:MaximumParsimony 198 5.5. OtherMethods 206 5.6. ApplicationsandFurtherReading 208 6. Genetics 215 6.1. MendelianGenetics 215 6.2. ProbabilityDistributionsinGenetics 228 6.3. Linkage 244 6.4. GeneFrequencyinPopulations 261 7. InfectiousDiseaseModeling 279 7.1. ElementaryEpidemicModels 280 7.2. ThresholdValuesandCriticalParameters 286 7.3. VariationsonaTheme 296 7.4. MultiplePopulationsandDifferentiatedInfectivity 307 8. CurveFittingandBiologicalModeling 315 8.1. FittingCurvestoData 316 8.2. TheMethodofLeastSquares 325 8.3. PolynomialCurveFitting 335 A. BasicAnalysisofNumericalData 345 A.1. TheMeaningofaMeasurement 345 A.2. UnderstandingVariableData–Histogramsand Distributions 348 A.3. Mean,Median,andMode 352 A.4. TheSpreadofData 355 A.5. PopulationsandSamples 359 A.6. Practice 360 B. ForFurtherReading 362 References 365 Index 367 Preface Interactionsbetweenthemathematicalandbiologicalscienceshavebeenin- creasing rapidly in recent years. Both traditional topics, such as population anddiseasemodeling,andnewones,suchasthoseingenomicsarisingfrom theaccumulationofDNAsequencedata,havemadebiomathematicsanex- citing field. The best predictions of numerous individuals and committees havesuggestedthattheareawillcontinuetobeoneofgreatgrowth. We believe these interactions should be felt at the undergraduate level. Mathematics students gain from seeing some of the interesting areas open tothem,andbiologystudentsbenefitfromlearninghowmathematicaltools mighthelpthempursuetheirowninterests.Theimageofbiologyasanon- mathematical science, which persists among many college students, does a greatdisservicetothosewhoholdit.Thistextisanattempttopresentsome substantivetopicsinmathematicalbiologyattheearlyundergraduatelevel. Wehopeitmaymotivatesometocontinuetheirmathematicalstudiesbeyond theleveltraditionalforbiologystudents. Thestudentswehadinmindwhilewritingithaveastronginterestinbi- ologicalscienceandamathematicalbackgroundsufficienttostudycalculus. Wedonotassumeanytrainingincalculusorbeyond;ourfocusonmodeling throughdifferenceequationsenablesustokeepprerequisitesminimal.Math- ematical topics ordinarily spread through a variety of mathematics courses areintroducedasneededformodelingortheanalysisofmodels. Despitethisorganization,weareawarethatmanystudentswillhavehad calculusandperhapsothermathematicscourses.Wethereforehavenothesi- tatedtoincludecommentsandproblems(allclearlymarked)thatmaybenefit those with additional background. Our own classes using this text have in- cludedanumberofstudentswithextensivemathematicalbackgrounds,and they have found plenty to learn. Much of the material is also appealing to studentsinotherdisciplineswhoaresimplycurious.Webelievethetextcan beusedproductivelyinmanyways,forbothclassesandindependentstudy, andatmanylevels. vii viii Preface Ourwritingstyleisintentionallyinformal.Wehavenottriedtoofferdefini- tivecoverageofanytopic,butratherdrawstudentsintoaninterestingfield. Inparticular,weoftenonlyintroducecertainmodelsandleavetheiranalysis to exercises. Though this would be an inefficient way to give encyclopedic exposuretotopics,wehopeitleadstodeeperunderstandingandquestioning. Because computer experimentation with models can be so informative, wehavesupplementedthetextwithanumberofMATLABprograms.MAT- LAB’ssimpleinterface,itswidespreadavailabilityinbothprofessionaland studentversions,anditsemphasisonnumericalratherthansymboliccompu- tationhavemadeitwell-suitedtoourgoals.WesuggestappropriateMATLAB commands within problems, so that effort spent teaching its syntax should beminimal.Althoughthecomputerisatoolstudentsshoulduse,itisbyno meansafocusofthetext. In addition to many exercises, a variety of projects are included. These propose a topic of study and suggest ways to investigate it, but they are allatleastpartiallyopen-ended.Notonlydoesthisallowstudentstoworkat differentlevels,italsoismoretruetotherealityofmathematicalandscientific work. Throughoutthetextarequestionsmarkedwith“(cid:1).”Theseareintendedas gentle prods to prevent passive reading. Answers should be relatively clear afteralittlereflection,ortheissuewillbediscussedinthetextafterward.If youfindsuchnaggingannoying,pleasefeelfreetoignorethem. Thereismorematerialinthetextthancouldbecoveredinasemester,offering instructors many options. The topics of Chapters 1, 2, 3, and 7 are perhaps themoststandardformathematicalbiologycourses,coveringpopulationand disease models, both linear and nonlinear. Chapters 4 and 5 offer students anintroductiontonewertopicsofmolecularevolutionandphylogenetictree constructionthatarebothappealinganduseful.Chapter6,ongenetics,pro- videsaglimpseofanotherareainwhichmathematicsandbiologyhavelong beenintertwined.Chapter8andtheAppendixgiveabriefintroductiontothe basictoolsofcurvefittingandstatistics. Intermsoflogicaldevelopment,mathematicaltopicsareintroducedasthey areneededinaddressingbiologicaltopics.Chapter1introducestheconcepts of dynamic modeling through one-variable difference equations, including thekeynotionsofequilibria,linearization,andstability.Chapter2motivates matrixalgebraandeigenvectoranalysisthroughtwo-variablelinearmodels. Thesechaptersareabasisforallthatfollows. An introduction to probability appears in two sections of Chapter 4, in order to model molecular evolution, and is then extended in Chapter 6 for

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