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Managerial epidemiology : [concepts and cases] PDF

510 Pages·2008·27.079 MB·English
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m Managerial Epidemiology Concepts and Cases, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive introduction to epidemiology and explains how to use a manag erial epidemiological concepts and tools to improve decision-making in the management of health services. Throughout the book, basic principles are presented and then expanded n upon with healthcare management and public health applications as well as case studies. This edition features a new approach. Rather than separating epidemiology epidemiology a principles from application, it blends theory and application in each chapter. g THIS EDITION FEATURES: e concepts • New chapters on infectious-disease epidemiology, morbidity, mortality, descriptive epidemiology, and cost-effectiveness analysis r • A pplication chapters that focus on cardiovascular disease, HIV, and Alzheimer’s disease i and cases • More than 40 in-depth case studies of varying levels of difficulty, along with a questions and detailed answers • Insight from distinguished experts l e “Managerial epidemiology is as critical to managing healthcare organizations as managerial accounting....Understanding the health of populations and communities is essential for the p careful planning and execution of good healthcare decisions....With the tools provided by i Managerial Epidemiology, [healthcare leaders] will succeed admirably.” d —James W. Holsinger Jr., MD, PhD, Charles T. Wethington Endowed Chair in the Health Sciences, e College of Public Health, and Chancellor-Emeritus, Chandler Medical Center, University of Kentucky m (from the foreword) i Steven T. Fleming o Steven T. Fleming, PhD, is an associate professor of epidemiology and health services management in the College of Public Health at the University of Kentucky. l He teaches introductory, advanced, cancer, and managerial epidemiology to nursing and public health students at the University of Kentucky and health administration o students in the United Arab Emirates. g y second edition Order No: 2103 Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page i MA NAG E RI A L EPI DEMIOLO GY SECOND EDITION Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page ii AUPHA Editorial Board HAP Sandra Potthoff, Ph.D., Chair University of Minnesota Simone Cummings, Ph.D. Washington University Sherril B. Gelmon, Dr.P.H., FACHE Portland State University Thomas E. Getzen, Ph.D. Temple University Barry Greene, Ph.D. University of Iowa Richard S. Kurz, Ph.D. St. Louis University Sarah B. Laditka, Ph.D. University of South Carolina Tim McBride, Ph.D. St. Louis University Stephen S. Mick, Ph.D. Virginia Commonwealth University Michael A. Morrisey, Ph.D. University of Alabama—Birmingham Dawn Oetjen, Ph.D. University of Central Florida Peter C. Olden, Ph.D. University of Scranton Lydia M. Reed AUPHA Sharon B. Schweikhart, Ph.D. The Ohio State University Nancy H. Shanks, Ph.D. Metropolitan State College of Denver Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page iii MA NAG E RI A L EPI DEMIOLO GY SECOND EDITION Steven T. Fleming, PhD HealthAdministrationPress,Chicago AsscociationofUniversityProgramsinHealthAdministration,VA Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page iv Your board, staff, or clients may also benefit from this book’s insight. For more information on quantitydiscounts,contacttheHealthAdministrationPressMarketingManagerat(312)424-9470. Thispublicationisintendedtoprovideaccurateandauthoritativeinformationinregardtothesub- ject matter covered. It is sold, or otherwise provided, with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering professional services. If professional advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought. The statements and opinions contained in this book are strictly those of the author(s) and do not representtheofficialpositionsoftheAmericanCollegeofHealthcareExecutives,oftheFoundation oftheAmericanCollegeofHealthcareExecutives,oroftheAssociationofUniversityProgramsin Health Administration. Photocopying and Copyright Information Please contact Copyright Clearance Center at www.copyright.com or 978-750-8400. Copyright © 2008 by the Foundation of the American College of Healthcare Executives. Printed in the United States of America. All rights reserved. This book or parts thereof may not be repro- duced in any form without written permission of the publisher. 12 11 10 09 08 5 4 3 2 1 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Fleming, Steven T., 1950– Managerial epidemiology : concepts and cases / by Steven Fleming. — 2nd ed. p. ; cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-1-56793-292-8 (alk. paper) ISBN-10: 1-56793-292-4 (alk. paper) 1. Health services administration. 2. Epidemiology—Methodology. I. Title. [DNLM:1. EpidemiologicMethods.2. HealthServicesAdministration. WA950F598m2008] RA971.F54 2008 614.4—dc22 2007046084 Find an error or typo? We want to know! Please email it to [email protected], and put “Book Error” in the subject line ThepaperusedinthispublicationmeetstheminimumrequirementsofAmericanNationalStandard for Information Sciences—Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials, ANSI Z39.48- 1984.∞™ Project manager: Eduard Avis; Acquisitions editor: Janet Davis; Cover design: Chris Underdown Health Administration Press Association of University Programs A division of the Foundation in Health Administration of the American College of 2000 14th Street North Healthcare Executives Suite 780 One North Franklin Street Arlington, VA 22201 Suite 1700 (703) 894-0940 Chicago, IL 60606-3529 (312) 424-2800 Printer: Cushing-Malloy Typeface: Galliard Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page v To my loving wife Alayne, my very best friend of 35 years, confidante, and consultant extraordinaire. Thank you for sharing my life with me. To a great mentor and brilliant theorist, Avedis Donabedian. Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page vi Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page vii BRIEF CONTENTS FOREWORD...........................................................................................xv PREFACE............................................................................................xvii II CONCEPTS,PRINCIPLES,ANDAPPLICATIONS 1 An Introduction to Managerial Epidemiology ............................3 2 Infectious Disease Epidemiology ...............................................17 3 Measuring and Interpreting Morbidity .....................................43 4 Healthcare Planning and Needs Assessment ..............................67 5 Quality of Care Measurement....................................................97 6 Mortality and Risk Adjustment................................................125 7 Descriptive Epidemiology: Time, Place, Person.......................153 III EPIDEMIOLOGYANDFINANCE 8 Epidemiology and Financial Management ..............................177 9 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.......................................................205 III EVIDENCE-BASEDMANAGEMENTANDMEDICINE 10 Statistical Tools.........................................................................237 11 Case Control Studies................................................................267 12 Cohort Studies.........................................................................295 13 Randomized Clinical Trials ......................................................321 14 Clinical Epidemiology and Decision Making...........................353 IV APPLICATIONSOFEPIDEMIOLOGYTOSPECIFICDISEASES 15 Cardiovascular Disease.............................................................387 16 Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection..............................417 17 Alzheimer’s Disease..................................................................441 vii Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page viii Flemming_Int:FRIED/BOOK 6/18/08 8:55 AM Page ix DETAILED CONTENTS FOREWORD...........................................................................................xv PREFACE............................................................................................xvii I CONCEPTS,PRINCIPLES,ANDAPPLICATIONS 1 An Introduction to Managerial Epidemiology.............................3 Case Study 1.1. Group Health East.............................................7 2 Infectious Disease Epidemiology................................................17 Agent, Host, and Environment..................................................18 Transmission...............................................................................22 Prevention..................................................................................25 Case Study 2.1. Food Poisoning Outbreak at 29 Bluegrass Hospital...............................................................29 Epidemic Investigation...............................................................30 Case Study 2.2. Outbreak of Influenza in a New York Nursing Home....................................................36 3 Measuring and Interpreting Morbidity......................................43 The Nature and Definition of Disease........................................43 Natural History of Disease.........................................................44 Sources of Morbidity Data.........................................................46 Measuring Morbidity..................................................................47 Case Study 3.1. Product Lines for Group Health East..............51 Screening....................................................................................53 Case Study 3.2. Breast Cancer Screening...................................56 Case Study 3.3. Prostate Cancer Screening................................59 4 Healthcare Planning and Needs Assessment ..............................67 Community Health Planning Tools and Benchmarks................70 Case Study 4.1. Eastern Kentucky Health..................................73 Institutional Planning.................................................................75 Case Study 4.2. Determining Bed Demand for Cardiac Patients Age 65–84...........................................................................76 Strategic Planning Model...........................................................81 Marketing...................................................................................82 Needs Assessment.......................................................................84 ix

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