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MACHINE LEARNING FOR MARKETERS: hold the math PDF

363 Pages·2017·5.9 MB·English
by  SterneJim
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TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pagei Artificial Intelligence for Marketing (cid:2) (cid:2) (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pageii Wiley & SAS Business Series TheWiley&SASBusinessSeriespresentsbooksthathelpsenior-level managerswiththeircriticalmanagementdecisions. TitlesintheWiley&SASBusinessSeriesinclude: AnalyticsinaBigDataWorld:TheEssentialGuidetoDataScienceandIts ApplicationsbyBartBaesens APracticalGuidetoAnalyticsforGovernments:UsingBigDataforGood byMarieLowman Bank Fraud: Using Technology to Combat Losses by Revathi Subramanian BigDataAnalytics:TurningBigDataintoBigMoneybyFrankOhlhorst Big Data, Big Innovation: Enabling Competitive Differentiation through BusinessAnalyticsbyEvanStubbs (cid:2) (cid:2) BusinessAnalyticsforCustomerIntelligencebyGertLaursen BusinessIntelligenceApplied:ImplementinganEffectiveInformationand CommunicationsTechnologyInfrastructurebyMichaelGendron Business Intelligence and the Cloud: Strategic Implementation Guide by MichaelS.Gendron Business Transformation: A Roadmap for Maximizing Organizational InsightsbyAimanZeid ConnectingOrganizationalSilos:TakingKnowledgeFlowManagementto theNextLevelwithSocialMediabyFrankLeistner Data-Driven Healthcare: How Analytics and BI Are Transforming the IndustrybyLauraMadsen Delivering Business Analytics: Practical Guidelines for Best Practice by EvanStubbs Demand-DrivenForecasting:AStructuredApproachtoForecasting,Second EditionbyCharlesChase Demand-Driven Inventory Optimization and Replenishment: Creating a MoreEfficientSupplyChainbyRobertA.Davis (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pageiii Developing Human Capital: Using Analytics to Plan and Optimize Your Learning and Development Investments by Gene Pease, Barbara Beresford,andLewWalker The Executive’s Guide to Enterprise Social Media Strategy: How Social NetworksAreRadicallyTransformingYourBusiness by David Thomas andMikeBarlow EconomicandBusinessForecasting:AnalyzingandInterpretingEconomet- ric Results by John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Sarah Watt,andSamBullard Economic Modeling in the Post–Great Recession Era: Incomplete Data, Imperfect Markets by John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, and Sarah Watt House ForeignCurrencyFinancialReportingfromEurostoYentoYuan:AGuide toFundamentalConceptsandPracticalApplicationsbyRobertRowan HarnessOilandGasBigDatawithAnalytics:OptimizeExplorationand ProductionwithData-DrivenModelsbyKeithHoldaway (cid:2) HealthAnalytics:GainingtheInsightstoTransformHealthCarebyJason (cid:2) Burke Heuristics in Analytics: A Practical Perspective of What Influences Our AnalyticalWorldbyCarlosAndreReisPinheiroandFionaMcNeill HumanCapitalAnalytics:HowtoHarnessthePotentialofYourOrgani- zation’sGreatestAssetbyGenePease,BoyceByerly,andJacFitz-enz Implement,ImproveandExpandYourStatewideLongitudinalDataSys- tem:CreatingaCultureofDatainEducationbyJamieMcQuigganand ArmisteadSapp Intelligent Credit Scoring: Building and Implementing Better Credit Risk Scorecards,SecondEditionbyNaeemSiddiqi KillerAnalytics:Top20MetricsMissingfromYourBalanceSheetbyMark Brown ArtificialIntelligenceforMarketing:PracticalApplicationsbyJimSterne On-Camera Coach: Tools and Techniques for Business Professionals in a Video-DrivenWorldbyKarinReed Predictive Analytics for Human Resources by Jac Fitz-enz and John MattoxII (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pageiv Predictive Business Analytics: Forward-Looking Capabilities to Improve BusinessPerformancebyLawrenceMaiselandGaryCokins RetailAnalytics:TheSecretWeaponbyEmmettCox Social Network Analysis in Telecommunications by Carlos Andre Reis Pinheiro StatisticalThinking:ImprovingBusinessPerformance,SecondEdition by RogerW.HoerlandRonaldD.Snee StrategiesinBiomedicalDataScience:DrivingForceforInnovationbyJay Etchings Style&Statistic:TheArtofRetailAnalyticsbyBrittanyBullard Taming the Big Data Tidal Wave: Finding Opportunities in Huge Data StreamswithAdvancedAnalyticsbyBillFranks TooBigtoIgnore:TheBusinessCaseforBigDatabyPhilSimon TheAnalyticHospitalityExecutivebyKellyA.McGuire The Value of Business Analytics: Identifying the Path to Profitability by EvanStubbs (cid:2) (cid:2) TheVisualOrganization:DataVisualization,BigData,andtheQuestfor BetterDecisionsbyPhilSimon Using Big Data Analytics: Turning Big Data into Big Money by Jared Dean WinwithAdvancedBusinessAnalytics:CreatingBusinessValuefromYour DatabyJeanPaulIssonandJesseHarriott For more information on any of the above titles, please visit www.wiley.com. (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pagev Artificial Intelligence for Marketing Practical Applications (cid:2) (cid:2) Jim Sterne (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pagevi Copyright©2017byRisingMedia,Inc.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,or transmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying, recording,scanning,orotherwise,exceptaspermittedunderSection107or108ofthe 1976UnitedStatesCopyrightAct,withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermissionofthe Publisher,orauthorizationthroughpaymentoftheappropriateper-copyfeetothe CopyrightClearanceCenter,Inc.,222RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923,(978) 750-8400,fax(978)646-8600,orontheWebatwww.copyright.com.Requeststo thePublisherforpermissionshouldbeaddressedtothePermissionsDepartment, JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken,NJ07030,(201)748-6011,fax (201)748-6008,oronlineatwww.wiley.com/go/permissions. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveused theirbesteffortsinpreparingthisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarranties withrespecttotheaccuracyorcompletenessofthecontentsofthisbookand specificallydisclaimanyimpliedwarrantiesofmerchantabilityorfitnessforaparticular purpose.Nowarrantymaybecreatedorextendedbysalesrepresentativesorwritten salesmaterials.Theadviceandstrategiescontainedhereinmaynotbesuitableforyour (cid:2) (cid:2) situation.Youshouldconsultwithaprofessionalwhereappropriate.Neitherthe publishernorauthorshallbeliableforanylossofprofitoranyothercommercial damages,includingbutnotlimitedtospecial,incidental,consequential,orother damages. Forgeneralinformationonourotherproductsandservicesorfortechnicalsupport, pleasecontactourCustomerCareDepartmentwithintheUnitedStatesat(800) 762-2974,outsidetheUnitedStatesat(317)572-3993,orfax(317)572-4002. Wileypublishesinavarietyofprintandelectronicformatsandbyprint-on-demand. Somematerialincludedwithstandardprintversionsofthisbookmaynotbeincluded ine-booksorinprint-on-demand.IfthisbookreferstomediasuchasaCDorDVD thatisnotincludedintheversionyoupurchased,youmaydownloadthismaterialat http://booksupport.wiley.com.FormoreinformationaboutWileyproducts,visit www.wiley.com. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationDataisAvailable: ISBN9781119406334(Hardcover) ISBN9781119406372(ePDF) ISBN9781119406365(ePub) CoverDesign:Wiley CoverImage:©Kngkyle2/GettyImages PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica. 10987654321 (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ffirs02.tex V1-07/19/2017 7:25am Pagevii ThisbookisdedicatedtoColleen. (cid:2) (cid:2) (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ftoc.tex V1-07/12/2017 6:38pm Pageix Contents ForewordbyTomDavenport xiii Preface xvii Acknowledgments xix Chapter1 WelcometotheFuture 1 WelcometoAutonomicMarketing 3 WelcometoArtificialIntelligenceforMarketers 3 WhomIsThisBookFor? 5 TheBright,BrightFuture 6 IsAISoGreatifIt’sSoExpensive? 7 What’sAllThisAIThen? 9 TheAIUmbrella 9 TheMachinethatLearns 10 (cid:2) (cid:2) AreWeThereYet? 14 AI-pocalypse 15 MachineLearning’sBiggestRoadblock 23 MachineLearning’sGreatestAsset 24 AreWeReallyCalculable? 56 Chapter2 IntroductiontoMachineLearning 59 ThreeReasonsDataScientistsShouldReadThisChapter 59 EveryReasonMarketingProfessionalsShouldRead ThisChapter 60 WeThinkWe’reSoSmart 60 DefineYourTerms 61 AllModelsAreWrong 62 UsefulModels 64 TooMuchtoThinkAbout 66 MachinesAreBigBabies 68 WhereMachinesShine 69 StrongversusWeakAI 71 TheRightToolfortheRightJob 72 MakeUpYourMind 88 OneAlgorithmtoRuleThemAll? 89 AcceptingRandomness 92 ix (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ftoc.tex V1-07/12/2017 6:38pm Pagex x CONTENTS WhichTechIsBest? 94 FortheMoreStatisticallyMinded 94 WhatDidWeLearn? 101 Chapter3 SolvingtheMarketingProblem 103 One-to-OneMarketing 105 One-to-ManyAdvertising 107 TheFourPs 108 WhatKeepsaMarketingProfessionalAwake? 109 TheCustomerJourney 111 WeWillNeverReallyKnow 111 HowDoIConnect?LetMeCounttheWays 114 WhyDoIConnect?Branding 117 MarketingMixModeling 119 Econometrics 121 CustomerLifetimeValue 121 One-to-OneMarketing—TheMeme 122 Seat-of-the-PantsMarketing 123 MarketinginaNutshell 124 WhatSeemstoBetheProblem? 126 (cid:2) Chapter4 UsingAItoGetTheirAttention 128 (cid:2) MarketResearch:WhomAreWeAfter? 128 MarketplaceSegmentation 131 RaisingAwareness 141 SocialMediaEngagement 155 InRealLife 158 TheB2BWorld 158 Chapter5 UsingAItoPersuade 165 TheIn-StoreExperience 168 OnthePhone 178 TheOnsiteExperience—WebAnalytics 179 Merchandising 186 ClosingtheDeal 188 BacktotheBeginning:Attribution 193 Chapter6 UsingAIforRetention 200 GrowingCustomerExpectations 200 RetentionandChurn 202 ManyUnhappyReturns 204 CustomerSentiment 208 CustomerService 209 PredictiveCustomerService 216 (cid:2) TrimSize:6inx9in (cid:2) Sterne ftoc.tex V1-07/12/2017 6:38pm Pagexi CONTENTS xi Chapter7 TheAIMarketingPlatform 218 SupplementalAI 218 MarketingToolsfromScratch 221 AWordaboutWatson 224 BuildingYourOwn 230 Chapter8 WhereMachinesFail 232 AHammerIsNotaCarpenter 232 MachineMistakes 235 HumanMistakes 241 TheEthicsofAI 247 Solution? 258 WhatMachinesHaven’tLearnedYet 260 Chapter9 YourStrategicRoleinOnboardingAI 262 GettingStarted,LookingForward 264 AItoLeverageHumans 272 CollaborationatWork 274 YourRoleasManager 276 KnowYourPlace 282 AIforBestPractices 286 (cid:2) (cid:2) Chapter10 MentoringtheMachine 289 HowtoTrainaDragon 290 WhatProblemAreYouTryingtoSolve? 291 WhatMakesaGoodHypothesis? 294 TheHumanAdvantage 297 Chapter11 WhatTomorrowMayBring 305 ThePathtotheFuture 307 Machine,TrainThyself 308 IntellectualCapacityasaService 308 DataasaCompetitiveAdvantage 310 HowFarWillMachinesGo? 316 YourBotIsYourBrand 319 MyAIWillCallYourAI 321 ComputingTomorrow 325 AbouttheAuthor 327 Index 329 (cid:2)

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