Knowledge and Coordination Knowledge and Coordination A Liberal Interpretation Daniel B. Klein Oxford University Press, Inc., publishes works that further Oxford University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offices in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Copyright © 2012 by Oxford University Press, Inc. Published by Oxford University Press, Inc. 198 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016 www.oup.com Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Klein, Daniel B. Knowledge and coordination: a liberal interpretation / Daniel B. Klein. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978–0–19–979412–6 (cloth : alk. paper) 1. Liberalism. 2. Economics. I. Title. HB95.K53 2011 330.1–dc22 2011003596 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper To Beckski Somewhere in Holland there lived a learned man, he was an orientalist and was married. One day he did not come to the midday meal, although he was called. His wife waits longingly, looking at the food, and the longer this lasts the less she can explain his failure to appear. Finally she resolves to go over to his room and exhort him to come. There he sits alone in his work-room, there is nobody with him. He is absorbed in his oriental studies. I can picture it to myself. She has bent over him, laid her arm about his shoulders, peered down at the book, thereupon looked at him and said, “Dear friend, why do you not come over to eat?” The learned man perhaps has hardly had time to take account of what was said, but looking at his wife he presumably replied, “Well, my girl, there can be no question of dinner, here is a vocalization I have never seen before. I have often seen the passage quoted, but never like this, and yet my edition is an excellent Dutch edition. Look at this dot here! It is enough to drive one mad.” I can imagine that his wife looked at him, half-smiling, half-deprecating that such a little dot should disturb the domestic order, and the report recounts that she replied, “Is that anything to take so much to heart? It is not worth wasting one’s breath on it.” No sooner said than done. She blows, and behold the vocalization disappears, for this remarkable dot was a grain of snuff. Joyfully the scholar hastens to the dinner table, joyful at the fact that the vocalization had disappeared, still more joyful in his wife. Søren Kierkegaard (1978: 126) CONTENTS Preface Acknowledgments Some Smith-Hayek Homiletics 1. Rinkonomics: A Window on Spontaneous Order 2. Discovery Factors of Economic Freedom About This Book 3. From a Raft in the Currents of Liberal Economics The Two Coordinations 4. Concatenate Coordination and Mutual Coordination 5. Joy and the Matrix of Concatenate and Mutual 6. Light Shed by the Two Coordinations Asymmetric Interpretation 7. Discovery and the Deepself 8. Experiment on Entrepreneurial Discovery 9. Let’s Be Pluralist on Entrepreneurship 10. Knowledge Flat-talk: A Conceit of Supposed Experts and a Seduction to All Studies in Spontaneous Order 11. Urban Transit: Planning and the Two Coordinations 12. The Integrity of You and Your Trading Partners: The Demand for and Supply of Assurance 13. Outstripped by Unknowns: Intervention and the Pace of Technology Rethinking Our Way 14. Unfolding the Allegory behind Market Communication and Social Error and Correction 15. Conclusion: Liberalism These Past 250 Years Appendix 16. Owning Up to and Properly Locating Our Looseness: A Critique of Israel Kirzner on Coordination and Discovery 17. Some Fragments 18. In Defense of Dwelling in Great Minds: A Few Quotations from Michael Polanyi’s The Study of Man Glossary References Index PREFACE In 1917 or so, the pre-eminent English economist Alfred Marshall wrote the following words intended for publication: But the more I studied economic science, the smaller appeared the knowledge which I had of it, in proportion to the knowledge that I needed; and now, at the end of nearly half a century of almost exclusive study of it, I am conscious of more ignorance of it than I was at the beginning of the study. (qtd. in Keynes 1951: 138) Marshall tossed the sheet with those words into the wastepaper basket, where it was retrieved by Mrs. Marshall. It remained unpublished. Perhaps Marshall had the impulse to confess his ignorance of “economic science” as a way of highlighting something central to economic wisdom, but he lost his nerve. This book dwells in the richness of knowledge. It dwells in the significance of that richness for actors within economic processes. It also dwells in the significance of that richness for the aspirations of the analyst to know economic processes. As students and scholars, we read what others write about the economy. We listen to what others say. But is this like reading descriptions of how to ride a bicycle? Do we know the economy itself? The “economy” is a metaphor of organizational management, and yet no one supervises the organization. Still, we somehow speak from a perspective of some imagined beholder of it all. What pleases that beholder? What is the beholder’s “objective function”? Friedrich Hayek spoke of the division of knowledge, or dispersed knowledge. But even these expressions may not go far enough. Knowledge is not merely divided, like a sandwich cut down the middle, or dispersed, like a crowd formerly amassed, but disjointed, living and moving in separate interpretive frames, taunting the will to know. Theorists often make a particular move in their descriptions of things so as to ensure that interpretation is final and symmetric, a move that also makes it common to the agents existing within the description. The move is to assume that the working interpretation is common knowledge (Lewis 1969: 52f; Chwe 2001). When teaching a course in game theory, in a classroom of students seated in an inward-looking circle, I demonstrated the idea by holding up a large blue marker and announcing: “I am holding up a blue marker.” It was common knowledge that I had held up a blue marker. What made it common knowledge was not that everyone knew I had held up a marker, but also that everyone knew that everyone knew, and everyone knew that everyone knew that everyone knew, and so on. The higher-order conditions matter: I know and you know that we both would prefer to meet at the Japanese restaurant, but if I think you think I prefer the Thai place, then maybe I head there. When we play poker, it is common knowledge that we look at our own hand and not at one another’s. That which is common knowledge might be a condition of asymmetric information. To make things “rigorous,” game theorists and economic equilibrium model builders assume that conditions of the model are common knowledge to the agents within the model.1 That is mainly how theorizing goes in professional economics. The common-knowledge precept flattens knowledge down to information. It is flattering to the theorist and seductive to others. But maybe the common knowledge assumption is misplaced. Society is not a set of agents gathered in an inward-looking circle. If the economy is a cosmos of disjointed knowledge, involving asymmetric interpretations, maybe an idiom rooted in common-knowledge precepts and instincts will neglect important facets of the problem. When Adam Smith (TMS: 234) remarked on the planner’s hubris, he pointed out that the actual human being on the ground has not only information and circumstances of its own, but “a principle of motion of its own, altogether different from that which the legislature might chuse to impress upon it.” Not that people are purely individual, or that the individual is sacred. Smith (134) said that the strange applications of some clerics have alienated many people altogether from the contemplation of higher aspirations and more sacred virtues. Likewise, strange applications have alienated many people from contemplation of the primacy of the social good. Political individualists sometimes fall into making their ethics individualistic. It was not by downgrading the social good that Adam Smith authorized liberal policy and the pursuit of honest profit. The way that economists talk has often forsaken the virtues of classical-
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