INTRODUCING ANOVA AND ANCOVA ISM Introducing Statistical Methods Serieseditor:DanielB.Wright,UniversityofSussex This series provides accessible but in-depth introductions to statistical methods that are not covered in any detail in standard introductory courses. The books are aimed both at the beginning researcher who needs to know how to use a particular technique and the established researcher who wishes to keep up to datewithrecentdevelopmentsinstatisticaldataanalysis. Editorialboard GlynisBreakwell,UniversityofSurrey JandeLeeuw,UniversityofCalifornia,LosAngeles ColmO’Muircheartaigh,UniversityofChicago WillemSaris,UniversiteitvanAmsterdam HowardSchuman,UniversityofMichigan KarlvanMeter,CentreNationaldelaRechercheScientifique,Paris Othertitlesinthisseries IntroducingMultilevelModeling ItaKreftandJandeLeeuw IntroducingSocialNetworks AlainDegenneandMichelForse´ IntroducingLISREL:AGuidefortheUninitiated AdamantiosDiamantopoulosandJudySiguaw INTRODUCING ANOVA AND ANCOVA A GLM A PPROACH ANDREW RUTHERFORD SAGE Publications London • ThousandOaks • NewDelhi #AndrewRutherford2001 Firstpublished2001 Apartfromanyfairdealingforthepurposesofresearchorprivatestudy,or criticismorreview,aspermittedundertheCopyright,DesignsandPatents Act,1988,thispublicationmaybereproduced,storedortransmittedinany form,orbyanymeans,onlywiththepriorpermissioninwritingofthe publishers,orinthecaseofreprographicreproduction,inaccordancewiththe termsoflicencesissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgency.Inquiries concerningreproductionoutsidethosetermsshouldbesenttothepublishers. SAGEPublicationsLtd 6BonhillStreet LondonEC2A4PU SAGEPublicationsInc. 2455TellerRoad ThousandOaks,California91320 SAGEPublicationsIndiaPvtLtd 32,M-BlockMarket GreaterKailash-I NewDelhi110048 BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationdata AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary ISBN0761951601 ISBN076195161X(pbk) LibraryofCongresscatalogrecordavailable TypesetbyKeytecTypesettingLtd PrintedinGreatBritainbyAthenaeumPress,Gateshead ToPatricia CONTENTS 1 ANINTRODUCTIONTOGENERALLINEARMODELS:REGRESSION,ANALYSIS OFVARIANCEANDANALYSISOFCOVARIANCE 1.1 Regression,analysisofvarianceandanalysisofcovariance 1 1.2 Apockethistoryofregression,ANOVAandANCOVA 2 1.3 Anoutlineofgenerallinearmodels(GLMs) 3 1.3.1 Regressionanalysis 4 1.3.2 Analysisofvariance 4 1.3.3 Analysisofcovariance 5 1.4 The‘‘general’’inGLM 5 1.5 The‘‘linear’’inGLM 8 1.6 Leastsquaresestimates 10 1.7 Fixed,randomandmixedeffectsanalyses 10 1.8 ThebenefitsofaGLMapproachtoANOVAandANCOVA 12 1.9 TheGLMpresentation 13 1.10 Statisticalpackagesforcomputers 13 2 TRADITIONALANDGLMAPPROACHESTOINDEPENDENTMEASURESSINGLE FACTORANOVADESIGNS 2.1 Independentmeasuresdesigns 15 2.1.1 Factorsandindependentvariables 17 2.2 TraditionalANOVAforsinglefactordesigns 18 2.2.1 Variance 18 2.2.2 Example 19 2.3 GLMapproachestosinglefactorANOVA 24 2.3.1 ExperimentaldesignGLMs 24 2.3.2 Estimatingeffectsbycomparingfullandreducedexperimental designGLMs 29 2.3.3 RegressionGLMs 32 2.3.4 CellmeanGLMs 41 2.3.5 Cellmean,regressionandexperimentaldesignGLMs 42 3 GLMAPPROACHESTOINDEPENDENTMEASURESFACTORIALANOVA DESIGNS 3.1 Factorialdesigns 43 3.2 Factormaineffectsandfactorinteractions 43 3.2.1 Estimatingeffectsbycomparingfullandreducedexperimental designGLMs 49 viii CONTENTS 3.3 RegressionGLMsforfactorialANOVA 56 3.3.1 EstimatingmainandinteractioneffectswithregressionGLMs 57 4 GLMAPPROACHESTOREPEATEDMEASURESDESIGNS 4.1 Relatedmeasuresdesigns 60 4.2 Repeatedmeasuresdesigns 61 4.3 Ordereffectcontrols 63 4.3.1 Counterbalancing 63 4.3.2 Randomization 65 4.4 TheGLMapproachtosinglefactorrepeatedmeasuresdesigns 65 4.5 Estimatingeffectsbycomparingfullandreducedsinglefactorrepeated measuresdesignGLMs 72 4.6 RegressionGLMsforsinglefactorrepeatedmeasuresdesigns 74 5 GLMAPPROACHESTOFACTORIALREPEATEDMEASURESDESIGNS 5.1 Factorialrelatedmeasuresdesigns 78 5.2 ThefullyrelatedfactorialdesignGLM 79 5.3 Estimatingeffectsbycomparingfullandreducedfullyrelatedfactorial experimentaldesignGLMs 85 5.4 RegressionGLMsforthefullyrelatedfactorialANOVA 88 5.5 MixedfactorialANOVA 94 5.6 Estimatingeffectsbycomparingfullandreducedmixedfactorial experimentaldesignGLMs 98 5.7 RegressionGLMforthemixedfactorialANOVA 99 6 THEGLMAPPROACHTOANCOVA 6.1 ThenatureofANCOVA 105 6.2 SinglefactorindependentmeasuresANCOVAdesigns 106 6.3 Estimatingeffectsbycomparingfullandreducedsinglefactor independentmeasuresANCOVAGLMs 111 6.4 RegressionGLMsforthesinglefactorindependentmeasures ANCOVA 114 6.5 OtherANCOVAdesigns 120 6.5.1 RelatedmeasuresANCOVAdesigns 121 6.5.2 MixedmeasuresfactorialANCOVA 121 7 ASSUMPTIONSUNDERLYINGANOVA,TRADITIONALANCOVAANDGLMS 7.1 ANOVAandGLMassumptions 123 7.1.1 Independentmeasures 123 7.1.2 Relatedmeasures 125 7.1.3 TraditionalANCOVA 126 7.2 AstrategyforcheckingANOVAandtraditionalANCOVAassumptions 127 7.3 Assumptionchecksandsomeassumptionviolationconsequences 128 7.3.1 ANOVAandANCOVA 129 7.3.2 TraditionalANCOVA 136 CONTENTS ix 8 SOMEALTERNATIVESTOTRADITIONALANCOVA 8.1 AlternativestotraditionalANCOVA 145 8.2 Theheterogeneousregressionproblem 145 8.3 TheheterogeneousregressionANCOVAGLM 146 8.4 Singlefactorindependentmeasuresheterogeneousregression ANCOVA 148 8.5 EstimatingheterogeneousregressionANCOVAeffects 150 8.6 RegressionGLMsforheterogeneousANCOVA 154 8.7 Covariate–experimentalconditionrelations 157 8.7.1 Multicollinearity 158 8.8 Otheralternatives 161 8.8.1 Stratification(blocking) 161 8.8.2 Replacingtheexperimentalconditionswiththecovariate 162 8.9 TheroleofANCOVA 162 9 FURTHERISSUESINANOVAANDANCOVA 9.1 Power 164 9.1.1 Optimalexperimentaldesigns 165 9.1.2 Normalityviolations 166 9.1.3 Maineffectsandinteractions 167 9.2 ErrorrateandtheomnibusF-tests 168 9.3 Errorrateandmultiplecomparisons 169 9.4 TheroleoftheomnibusF-test 171 REFERENCES 173 INDEX 179
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