Intelligent Complex Adaptive Systems Ang Yang CSIRO Land and Water, Australa Yn Shan Medcare Australa IGI PublIShInG IGIP Hershey • New York Acquisition Editor: Kristin Klinger Senior Managing Editor: Jennifer Neidig Managing Editor: Sara Reed Development Editor: Kristin Roth Copy Editor: Larissa Vinci Typesetter: Amanda Appicello Cover Design: Lisa Tosheff Printed at: Yurchak Printing Inc. Published in the United States of America by IGI Publishing (an imprint of IGI Global) 701 E. Chocolate Avenue Hershey PA 17033 Tel: 717-533-8845 Fax: 717-533-8661 E-mail: [email protected] Web site: http://www.igi-global.com and in the United Kingdom by IGI Publishing (an imprint of IGI Global) 3 Henrietta Street Covent Garden London WC2E 8LU Tel: 44 20 7240 0856 Fax: 44 20 7379 0609 Web site: http://www.eurospanonline.com Copyright © 2008 by IGI Global. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, without written permission from the publisher. Product or company names used in this book are for identification purposes only. Inclusion of the names of the products or companies does not indicate a claim of ownership by IGI Global of the trademark or regis- tered trademark. Intelligent complex adaptive systems / Ang Yang and Yin Shan, editors. p. cm. Companion volume to: Applications of complex adaptive systems. Summary: “This book explores the foundation, history, and theory of intelligent adaptive systems, providing a fundamental resource on topics such as the emergence of intelligent adaptive systems in social sciences, biologically inspired artificial social systems, sensory information processing, as well as the conceptual and methodological issues and approaches to intelligent adaptive systems”--Provided by publisher. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-1-59904-717-1 (hardcover) ISBN-13: 978-1-59904-719-5 (ebook) 1. Functionalism (Social sciences) 2. System analysis. 3. Biocomplexity--Simulation methods. 4. Social systems--Simulation methods. 5. Economics--Methodology. 6. Organizational sociology--Simulation meth- ods. 7. Modularity (Engineering) 8. Modularity (Psychology) 9. Self-organizaing systems. 10. Adaptive control systems. I. Yang, Ang. II. Shan, Yin. HM484.I57 2008 300.1’1--dc22 2007032059 British Cataloguing in Publication Data A Cataloguing in Publication record for this book is available from the British Library. All work contributed to this book is new, previously-unpublished material. The views expressed in this book are those of the authors, but not necessarily of the publisher. Intelligent Complex Adaptive Systems Table of Contents Foreword.................................................................................................vi Preface..................................................................................................viii Section.I General.Theories Chapter.I From.Reductive.to.Robust:.Seeking.the.Core.of.Complex. Adaptive.Systems.Theory.......................................................................1 Steven E. Wallis, Independent Consultant, USA Chapter.II Method.of.Systems.Potential.as.“Top-Bottom”.Technique.of. the.Complex.Adaptive.Systems.Modelling.........................................26 Grigorii S. Pushnoi, St. Petersburg, Russia Gordon L. Bonser, California, USA v Section.II Important.Concepts Chapter.III Modularity.and.Complex.Adaptive.Systems......................................75 David Conforth, University of NSW, Australia David G. Green, Monash University, Australia Chapter.IV Concept and Definition of Complexity..............................................105 Russell K. Standish, UNSW, Australia Section.III Computing.Perspectives Chapter.V Emergence.of.Creativity:.A.Simulation.Approach...........................126 Hrafn Thorri Thórisson, Reykjavík University, Iceland Chapter.VI Solving.the.Sensory.Information.Bottleneck.to.Central. Processing.in.Adaptive.Systems.........................................................159 Thomy Nilsson, University of Prince Edward Island, Canada Chapter.VII Complexity,.Information,.and.Robustness:.The.Role.of. Information.“Barriers”.in.Boolean.Networks..................................187 Kurt A. Richardson, ISCE Research, USA Chapter.VIII Emergent.Specialization.in.Biologically.Inspired.Collective. Behavior.Systems................................................................................215 G. S. Nitschke, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands M. C. Schut, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands A. E. Eiben, Vrije Universiteit, The Netherlands v Section.IV Social.Science.Perspectives Chapter.IX Emergence.in.Agent-Based.Computational.Social.Science:. Conceptual,.Formal,.and.Diagrammatic.Analysis...........................255 Jean Louis Dessalles, ENST, Paris, France Jacques Ferber, LIRMM, CNRS, & University of Montpellier, France Denis Phan, GEMAS, CNRS, and University of Paris IV Sorbonne, & CREM, CNRS, and University of Rennes I, France Chapter.X Ontological Reflections on Peace and War.......................................300 Hayward R. Alker, University of Southern California & Watson Institute, Brown University, USA Chapter.XI The.Allocation.of.Complexity.in.Economic.Systems.......................331 Jason Potts, University of Queensland & Queensland University of Technology, Australia Kate Morrison, Volterra Pacific Pty. Ltd., Australia Joseph Clark, University of Queensland & Suncorp Pty. Ltd., Australia About.the.Contributors......................................................................351 Index.....................................................................................................358 v Foreword I don’t believe in the existence of a complex systems theory as such and, so far, I’m still referring to complex systems science (CSS) in order to describe my research endeavours. In my view, the latter is constituted, up until now, by a bundle of loosely connected methods and theories aiming to observe— from contrasted standpoints—these fascinating objects of research called complex adaptive systems. Nearly 40 years after Von Bertalanffy’s General System Theory (1968) and Jacques Monod’s Chance and Necessity (1971), it is fair to look back and to try to assess how much remains to be said about these complex adaptive systems. After all, Prigogine’s Order out of Chaos (1984) already demonstrated that future wasn’t entirely predictable in a his- tory-contingent world. Nearly at the same period, Maturana and Varela’s Tree of Knowledge (1987) questioned the closure of biological systems and proposed a challenging theory of autopoieitic systems, oddly left aside by CSS’s mainstream research. Later on, Holland’s Hidden Order (1996) set out the terminology associated with and the characteristics of complex adaptive systems, still in use nowadays. More recently, Watts’s Six Degrees (2004) epitomized current assumptions of network theorists asserting that a system’s structure and organization—most of the time—dictate its functional proper- ties. What remains from these influential contributions are a heterogeneous corpus of partly conflicting theories and a disparate set of tools and methods. Furthermore, too often complex systems science lends itself to criticism when it trades its artificial complex adaptive systems for natural (i.e., actual) ones. v Computer-based simulations, regardless of their expected accuracy, aren’t the reality, there are just metaphoric representations; “the world as it might be, not the world as it is” according to Holland himself. So, yes, much remains to be said about complex adaptive systems (CAS). Altogether, we need to better our understanding of natural CAS and to im- prove analytical capacities of artificial CAS. Both aspects need to be dealt with cautiously in order to avoid ill-fated circularities that have sometimes characterized research out of in-vitro simulations or artificial society experi- ments. It is indeed an understated challenge to design a computer metaphor that describes a given reality independently of the hypothetical processes to be tested. Flawed designs often result in logical tautologies whereby the model always verifies the assumptions. Another challenge consists in the reconciliation between system-wide and individual-centred representations of CAS. This task is anything but trivial as technical limitations and epis- temological differences have contributed to the divide. Technically, latest hybrid simulation platforms provide the means to couple agent-based mod- elling with dynamical systems modelling or network-oriented simulations. But epistemological differences on internationality, for example, need to be dealt with in a same way biology has progressively dealt with the tension between Lamarckism and Darwinism on evolution. In this context, the present ouvrage comes at its time. The carefully se- lected chapters cover the latest theoretical developments on natural CAS and innovative ways to improve the analytical capacities of artificial CAS. Traditional concepts of complex systems science are re-visited: what is emer- gence? Can we explain the emergence of creativity in natural CAS? How does emergent specialization improve artificial CAS’s design? Likewise, essential characteristics of social CAS are scrutinized: How do information flows influence the complexity of social systems? Can we propose a robust ontological foundation for social simulations? Finally, this book invites us into an interdisciplinary journey through biological evolution, neo-classical economics, system thinking and social sciences, using CSS as its Arian’s thread. Intelligent complex adaptive systems (ICAS) will emerge from this interdisciplinary cross-fertilization combined with technological advances. They will provide powerful analytical capacities, supported by a reunified and holistic vision on complex adaptive systems. They will help us to build what I will have to call, finally, a complex systems theory. Pascal Perez Associate Professor, Research School of Pacific & Asian Studies, Australian National University v Preface Our world is a large, integrated system of systems. These systems, whether they are ecological, social, or financial, are complex and constantly adapt to their environment. Many of them are essential for our very existence. Be- ing so complex, and because of the intensive interactions among the system components, they cannot be fully understood by isolating their components or applying simple cause and effect reasoning. These systems, however, can be examined by looking for patterns within their behaviour. Intelligent complex adaptive systems (ICAS) research uses systemic inquiry to build multi-dis- ciplinary representations of reality to study such complex systems. Because the use of ICAS is prevalent across a number of disciplines, papers describing ICAS theory and applications are scattered through different journals and conference proceedings. It is, therefore, important to have a book that broadly covers the state-of-art in this highly evolving area. There has been a strong interest among researchers regarding the publication of this book. Forty-nine submissions were received. All papers went through rigid peer review by at least three reviewers and only 23 were accepted for publication, an acceptance rate of just under 50%. Because of size constraints, these papers are published two volumes. This book focuses on the theoreti- cal side of ICAS while its sister book Applications of Intelligent Complex Adaptive Systems emphasises the techniques and applications. These two volumes cover a broad spectrum of ICAS research from discussion of general theory and foundations to more practical studies of ICAS in various artificial x and natural systems. It is important to highlight that a significant portion of contributions come from the social sciences. This will, we believe, provide readers of these books with extremely valuable diverse views of ICAS, and also clearly demonstrates the wide applicability of ICAS theories. Intelligent.Complex.Adaptive.Systems The study of ICAS draws richly from foundations in several disciplines, perhaps explaining in part why ICAS research is so active and productive. These diverse fields that contributed to the formation of ICAS included the genetic algorithm (Holland, 1975) and cellular automata (Gardner, 1970, von Neumann, 1966) in computer sciences, evolution and predator-prey models (Lotka, 1925) in biology, and game theory (von Neumann & Mor- genstern, 1944) in economics. Researchers of ICAS are interested in various questions, but these can be summarised as to how to describe complex systems, and how to describe the interactions within these systems that give rise to patterns. Thus, although researchers from different backgrounds may have very different approaches to the study of ICAS, it is the unique properties of ICAS systems, such as nonlinearity, emergence, adaptivity and modularity that form the centre of inquiries. Many of these properties will be thoroughly explored in these two volumes. It is the complexity of ICAS systems which means that although a variety of techniques which have been employed to study ICAS, computer simulations have become important and widely used. These simulations involve several important computing techniques that may interest readers of these books. • Evolutionary computation (EC) is a highly active field of research inspired by natural evolution. Essentially, EC models the dynamics of a population of distinctive entities such as chromosomes in genetic algorithms or programs in genetic programming. Thus, while EC has been used as a simplified model to study ICAS, it is also an ICAS itself having wide applicability for solving scientific and engineering prob- lems. • Cellular automata (CA), and related techniques such as Boolean net- works, are common techniques in ICAS. The behaviour of entities that respond to the environment is defined as rules or other forms. Each
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